http://thepage.time.com/2008/04/28/sen-b ingaman-to-endorse-obama/

What is it about that tide again?

and a sigh of relief...let's just see where the chips fall...

It's also possible that Donna Brazile has a similar opinion of Mr. Super (http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/2008/04/ mr-supers-take-on-where-undeclared.html)

He puts most congress people in the Pelosi club, which is in Obama's camp. Those SDs, when added to Obama add-ons (from states that Obama won) give Obama a virtually guaranteed victory.

So if Donna Brazile knows all this, as does Howard Dean, there is no reason to make any inflammatory statements about going against the will of the voters and ending this now.

What no one has noted is that since PA, Clinton has heavily toned down the kitchen sink strategy. And that was what the party elders were concerned with. So if there is no mud flying, then there is no reason to say that the contest is damaging the party.

What's best for Brazile and company is exactly what they are doing, being diplomatic and spouting platitudes about what's best for the party while letting this election run its course.

As we go through the next several states, we should see more supers deciding (Add-ons, and from upcoming contests) and the picture will get clearer.

Clinton has made her case that she is more electable. Yet as each week goes by, more supers  endorse Obama than Clinton. Her lead has slipped from 113 in December to 21 today (see demconwatch.)

If this continues over the 4 weeks, he will likely tie her in supers. That fact alone could be more persuasive to remaining supers than all the B.S. on the media about polls, electability, Rev. Wright and all the other nonsense the media spouts every day.

APRIL is the cruellest month, breeding     
Lilacs out of the dead land, mixing     
Memory and desire, stirring     
Dull roots with spring rain..."

T.S. Eliot

I don't want to disappoint you guys but I think you're hanging on to HOPE.

Hope is a beautiful thing, but as the Polish say: "Hope is the mother of fools."

Fortunately there's a rider to that though:
"But a mother loves her children"

But even if she doesn't, it doesn't matter. You don't need to end up with the most pledged delegates to win, you just need the most delegates overall and it certainly looks like she'll get that.

super delegates.  Since he can't win a single big state legitimately, super delegates know they cannot afford to go with him.  They don't want to lose in November.

I didn't suppose anything. My point is valid and it is true without supposition.

it's the polls, she polls way high against McCain now, just when Donna says that. Seems like Obama can't count on his friends. Rats leaving a sinking ship are more loyal, look as his fathead pastor who wants to run in Barack's place. That guy eats envy for breakfast.  Only Tweetie is still firmly attached to Barack's leg. He was suggesting his problem has been fanned by Hillary, who is saying nothing and has said nothing. I guess just the fact of Hillary is enough for Tweetie to start whining and blaming?  So, Barack gets to keep Tweetie, but, he's not a super and the piece in the NYT magazine suggests he may be losing his day job, or getting a big decrease in the five mil he earns a year for selling male enhancement medications. He seems to attract an audience that purchases those meds, but so does KO, and KO attracts more of them.  It does inoculate them against boycotts.  

they could chose to be morons.

so cool. thanks.

to the obvious shift, which is good.

Actually, I think AP's article did a very good job of summing up the landscape..

I also think that the Democrats would be crazy to nominate someone who did not reflect party values as a whole, which is to say someone who feels that this country will do the best if we try to solve our biggest problems such as healthcare - as soon as we can - and not endlessly postpone dealing with them..  lets not forget that a VERY conservative estimate has 21,000 Americans DYING every year because they can't afford heathcare in one way or another.. either drugs, tests or operations...

Personally, I think that estimate is very low, and it doesn't count heart attacks or strokes, etc. in which people do not die.

Obama has said that we can't afford cover the sickest 20% of Americans, the ones who often are not in group plans and can't buy insurance on the open market because of cost. In my opinion, his plan concentrates most of its benefits on people of working age, who are healthy. By not attempting to cover everybody, Obama gives up the opportunity to negotiate prices down as a group, with both healthy (profitable) AND unhealthy (unprofitable) members. Thats a HUGE mistake, and it means many, many people will fall through the cracks. DNC officials probably have healthcare through their jobs at the DNC, I would imagine. But hopefully, they are human and they realize that if we let this historic opportunity go by on healthcare by niminating the wrong candidate, we only have ourselves to blame. We will be letting our people down.

The strongest candidate against John McCain is John Edwards.  He's got elected delegates and he only suspended his campaign - it seems to me he has as much right to the nomination as anyone.

I agree with your point even though I support Hillary.

you are right - she is not ascertaining her preference.  however - she is changing her tune from harshly criticizing HRC/praising BO and the drumbeat of supers ratifying pledged delegates.  what do you think that means?

I am once again astounded these people call Obama supporters cultists...

"Your word choice suggests an inadequate level of enthusiasm for and confidence in Teh Dear Leader...."

snark

i picked up something a week ago in something she said- can't remember what the content was, but it was noticeably less pro-obama than she has been for the last few months. whether she thinks hillary might win and is junping on the bandwagon, or she thinks obama will win, and wants to salvage what she can of the splintered party's support for him, remains to be seen.

i trust brazile about as far as i can throw her. and i throw like a girl.

Glad I'm not the only one who noticed ... thought I may have been on crack.  I had to rewind Tivo to watch a second time.

I hope she (and Dean and others) start being a little more open-minded.  I don't care if they conclude that they heart Sen. Obama, but it seemed like they were jumping on the bandwagon with little proof that he can win in the GE, which really disturbs me.

Also, she and Dean might be worried about their job security should Sen. Clinton secure the nomination.

Did you see Howard Dean interview recently?  Notice the cuff-links?  VERY pro-Clinton cuff links.  The tide is definitely turning.  No doubt in my mind.

Maybe--just maybe--we sometimes see what we want to see.

complaining to my partner, who hasn't a political bone in his body, how Donna is so in the bag for Obama. Then as I'm watching ABC and Donna is talking, he's in the background pretending not to be paying attention. Then he says, "I don't see it." I nearly fell off my barstool - I knew immediately what he meant. I, too, was perplexed at Donna's change in demeanor. Your diary, T.D., really sums it up nicely.

Clinton has the same weaknesses she always has had. Her negatives are sky high and more people view her as out of touch than they view either Obama or McCain.

It's because Hillary will have to win so many MORE supers. She has to win roughly 2/3 of the remaining undecided even under the most pro-Hillary prediction of how the remaining pledged delegates are allocated.

might explain some of the blog behavior we have seen..

Might some Dem. politicos think they have better chances of employment under Obama than they would under Hillary, given that Hillary might be more able to hit the ground running?

Obama's gonna have to manage without my help.  He maybe should have considered that prior to pissing off a lot of Democrats like me.

But with a bit of luck and talent, Clinton's going to be our nominee, in which case I'll be working hard for her against McCain.

I know a lot of folks here are on strike and everything, but if you go over to the orange site, you'll see that nearly everyone is calling for Obama to make it as clear as can be that he does not agree with the things Wright has been saying.

There is no denial that this is an issue.  There's a real maturity and honesty about that.

Everyone knows that Wright went far beyond what is acceptable today.

Based n what?  One poll?  Hillary hasn't been "vetted" yet, with the right wing praising her at the moment and the media focused on taking down Obama.  If you don't think she has more skeletons in her closet, think again!

She's alienated the true democratic base, intellectuals and african americans who really can't stand her now... they aren't going to come back so easily in November...  and she's broke!  Completely broke!

The only thing working in her favor is obama's volunteer campaign organizing a huge voter registration drive... if she were to take the nomination by a coup of superdelegates, she'll need those numbers to counter the majority of democratic voters disenfranchised by her campaign.

The "brillohead" comment was made by a poster on Hillaryis44.  It gets brought up here since some of the Rec list posters frequent that disgusting site.