Folks,
I like this bit from the Politico http://www.politico.com/news/stories/030 8/8920.html
It points out that there are now D's in both Delay's and Hastert's seats. It points out the current cash advantage ($30m) of the DCCC over the NRCC.
To me, this is the money quote:
"By itself, this would not be that big of a deal, but coupled with everything else it will just deflate the [House Republican] Conference," said an aide to one top GOP lawmaker. "And symbolically, losing Hastert's seat is like the toppling of the Saddam statue in Baghdad for Republicans."
Apparently, both Roy Blount (R Minority Whip) and McBush both campaigned for Oberweis. We know Obama campaigned for Foster.
The article continues to suggest that R hopes are just about gone in seats currently held by Walsh (NY), Davis (VA), and Weller (IL). They can't even get it up with any sort of candidate against several D freshmen. The R hopes rest on holding seats like Wilson's in NM.
The article concludes suggesting that if trends like IL-14 hold, we could win 40 more seats. I'd be real happy with even 1/3 of that.
A DCCC memo pointed out that "80 percent of the Republican open and Republican incumbent seats the DCCC is targeting this cycle have better Democratic performances than Illinois 14. Forty out of the 50 seats the DCCC is targeting have Democratic performances of 45 percent or higher."
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