Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall

I'm watching Hillary Clinton's townhall in Laramie, WY on CNN.com and I'm really struck by the distinct shift in tone and mood on display at the event. Remember the sort of desperation that seemed to characterize Clinton's appearances a couple of weeks ago? Today there is a calmness and a sense of confidence in her demeanor; the Hillary Clinton speaking to Wyoming voters today is a politician eminently comfortable in her own skin. Amazing what a few wins will do for you.

Some people say Clinton's victories on Tuesday were largely psychological, and that's not all wrong, but the importance of psychological wins can not be underestimated. Clinton is now ahead in national polling, she's raised $6 million in 2 days and she is presenting herself to the good people of Wyoming today with a confidence and sense of purpose I have not seen since, hmm, I'm not sure when, which can only help her in tomorrow's caucuses.

I agree with mcjoan that Clinton's performance in the caucuses tomorrow is likely to be a large improvement over those of caucuses past, both because only registered Democrats are allowed to participate but also because the Clinton campaign is really competing there. Bill and Chelsea were there yesterday, they have several staffers on the ground and, as mcjoan puts it:

Clinton has apparently caught up on the importance of having a ground game--putting actual bodies on the ground and deploying a real retail oriented campaign. Organizing makes all the difference.

It's also interesting to hear Clinton adapt her message to a red state like Wyoming. In just a couple minutes, she made no fewer than 3 references to reaching across the aisle. She spoke of cooperating with WY Sen. Mike Enzi, a Republican, in getting 9/11 first responders the help they needed; she spoke of winning over New York Republicans and Independents who, in her words, "discovered I wasn't as bad as they'd heard"; and she spoke of SCHIP as a bi-partisan effort.

Anyone else watching? (And yes, if there's an Obama event later, I'll post about that as well...)

Update [2008-3-7 21:14:56 by Todd Beeton]:Expectations game, Clinton style:

A day before Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton and Sen. Barack Obama were to compete for a small scattering of delegates in Wyoming, Clinton cast herself as the underdog and said the odds are not in her favor. Clinton's campaign has sought to set low expectations for the Saturday caucuses in Wyoming as well as next week's primary in Mississippi, states where her campaign believes Obama has a better shot at winning. "I said, 'Well you know what, I'm going to go to Wyoming anyway — I know it's an uphill climb, I'm aware of that," Clinton told an audience of more than 1,500 at a community college in Cheyenne. "But, you see, I am a fighter, and I believe it's worth fighting for your votes."



Display:


Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Her tone at this event is indeed noticeably more confident and calm. Very interesting...


by Scan on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:09:49 PM EST

Different day different Hillary (none / 0)

Who is she?
Tomorrow she be out screaming about being victim again - Whatever it takes to win.
She is the most despicable Democrat to run for president in my lifetime.
Listening comes first
by Moonwood on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:44:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Obama who? (2.00 / 1)

This from a supporter of the campaign that casts accusations of racism ("video darkening" most recently) after each loss? I'm guessing I can count your lifetime on my fingers and toes.

Obama has run the most divisive, back-stabbing, hypocritical, dirty Democratic primary campaign I have seen in the ten presidential campaigns I have observed. There is no question that he is getting his money's worth out of Robert Gibbs.


by souvarine on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:55:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I think you over did the meds (none / 0)

Obama has run a dirty campaign? could you cite just one example?


Listening comes first
by Moonwood on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:26:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Just one example (none / 0)

Orchestrating Jesse Jr., Clyburn, et al's dog whistle accusations against Bill and Hillary Clinton of being racists, just so he could consolidate the votes of African-Americans.  

That was pretty despicable.

But also ruthlessly effective.

Which is actually what I admired about it.

And it almost won him the nomination.

But not quite . . .  

He'll be much more seasoned when he runs again in 2016.


by Dooley on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:31:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Just one example (none / 0)

I believe you're mistaken. His second term will start in 2012, not 2016.


by carbocation on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:34:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

How about three? (none / 0)

D-Punjab
Lincoln Bedroom
Bill Clinton making money from speeches on 9-11

Those were early in the campaign, he got even more vicious in the run-up to Iowa. Then he went full bore with the racism charges after he lost New Hampshire.

I'd love to see an example of a competitive Democratic presidential primary candidate pulling dirtier tricks in the past forty years. The closest is probably Gibbs' 2004 Dean/Osama ad.


by souvarine on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:39:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Different day different Hillary (none / 0)

Well, you're not going to be happy when she becomes the nominee. But I'LL BE THRILLED!


by cc on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:59:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

I heard an NPR interview with the Gov. (a Democrat!) of Wyoming the other day. He said Obama had a much bigger organizational presence on the ground there, for some time, but that the Clinton campaign had done some organizing recently in Wyoming. This Gov. (a Democrat!) is not endorsing either candidate in the campaign--well, it is Wyoming, after all.

But still, how did he get elected in the first place--by telling everyone he was a Republican?

Clinton may sound confident now that the pressure's off a little bit; but I didn't notice anything that resembled "desperation" prior to Tuesday.

I'm glad this is a Democrat-only caucus, but as the Gov said, Obama's been on the ground organizing for some time there.

Another red state, after all. It's BO's MO.


"I never give them hell. I just tell the truth and they think it's hell." Harry S Truman
by Tennessean on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:41:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (2.00 / 2)

I'm watching too -- she is totally relaxed, funny, insightful and warm.  I loved her answer about the women who inspired her: her mom, Eleanor Roosevelt, but mostly, the men and women she meets everyday.  And now she's giving detailed policy answers.  Just awesome.


by proudliberaldem on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:12:03 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Hmmmm . . .  Several staffers on the gound

Yeah, that aught to work!    

vs.  how many 100's if not thousands of Obama VOLUNTEERS?

Good luck with that.


Health care is a human right
by Helenann on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:13:39 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Yea...I bet that's exactly what Todd meant and what's going on. Hillary only has a few people on the ground in Wyoming. Yep. /snark

And yes, she does look like a different candidate almost. Relaxed and confident in a way I am not sure I have ever seen her.


by americanincanada on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:16:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

She has one field office.  Obama has four, I believe.


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:30:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

And Bill...don't forget that. I have been reading the loca coverage...Bill is very popular there.

Are there any reliable polls from Wyoming? any reason to think that Clinton can't do well in a closed caucus?!


by americanincanada on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:35:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Bill's popular in Wyoming? Are you crazy I live up here and he's loathed.


by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:41:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Oh, but the rich people they know in Jackson Hole like them!!  As if that impresses local people...


by mainelib on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:08:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Yeah, they do but that's Obama's base, the other liberal area Cheyenne is a college town and likewise right up Obama's alley, the remaining Dem's are ranchers and they quite literally hate the Clintons. (As an aside, we wont carry WY in Nov. but with Obama I'd bet we do carry MT, at least one of the Dakotas and Colorado).


by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:22:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Hillary lost Colorado - don't you remember? (none / 0)


Listening comes first
by Moonwood on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:46:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Maybe, I don't know how many people come out to vote because of Bill Clinton, as opposed to energized locals who support a particular candidate.  I am curious, though - if we accept the premise that she has a ground game in Wyoming, would it still be possible to write off the results from a "red" caucus state if they don't go in her favor?  It seems to me that the narrative, should she lose, would be that "caucuses are undemocratic."  If she wins, suddenly the new narrative would be that it was the closed nature of the caucuses that were the reason for victory.      


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:42:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

When she wins, I'll tell you what the new narrative is.


by Zeitgeist9000 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:00:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Is this based on anything concrete like polling?  Or just on Clinton's cool, calm, presidential awesomeness on display today?  


http://www.yawnmccain.com
by enozinho on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:05:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Ha ha, exactly.  You would tell me what the new narrative is if she loses, too.  That's my point.


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:10:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Oh no, they're on to me!


by Zeitgeist9000 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:17:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

And it turns out that was correct.  Obama had 5 offices and hundreds of volunteers.  And Clinton had one office and a few paid staff.  And guess what, he beat her by 23%.  You saw that right.  

When he loses he loses by less than 10%. And when he wins, he beats her by more than 17%.  At least that has been the pattern in the last 14 states.

Hillary is losing and those who support her would rather endure temporary blindness than see the truth.  She cannot and will not overtake him in the pledged delegates and ALL the momentum for supers is in his court. Since Feb 5, he has picked up 44 supers and she has LOST 6.

I don't understand what goes on in this site.  The above number s are FACT, not spin.

Wake up Hillary supporters.  You can accept Obama as the nominee or contribute to Hillary's fast path to destroy the party for the fall and live with four more years of Bush policies.


Health care is a human right
by Helenann on Sun Mar 09, 2008 at 06:51:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Well (none / 0)

Me and several others I know are driving up from Denver this weekend- to volunteer for Hillary.


by linc on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:49:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Its what won him Iowa, he did townhalls throughout the state.


by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:30:12 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

And, those Q & As with editorial boards shouldn't be forgotten.


by DPW on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:32:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (2.00 / 1)

Q (Planted): Have you always been against the war?
A (Rehearsed): Why, yes, how did you know?

Q (Planted): When haven't you been against the war?
A (Rehearsed): Why, never!

Q (Planted): What do you think of the fact that Senator Clinton was for the war?
A (Rehearsed): I'll leave to you as a voter!


by Zeitgeist9000 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:36:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (2.00 / 0)

Considering Hillary actually DOES plant questions, that's sort of an ironic post of yours.


by Cycloptichorn on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:37:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Loved her super tuesday town hall:

Q: Hillary how are you so experienced and yet so vibrant?  Seriously, Barbra Walters asks harder questions tahn Hill fields.


by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:42:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

She plants questions?


by Zeitgeist9000 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:47:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washingt on/2007/11/plants.html


by DPW on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:56:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

This is actually a better link for the story:

http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/11/13/c linton.planted/index.html


by DPW on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:59:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (2.00 / 1)

My, what a sweet posting! The in-control PTA mom is here to take charge and save us. Well, dear, I just got off the phone with my 82-year-old MOM in Illinois. She and dad are retired farmers and lifelong liberal Dems. They have voted for every Dem for president since 1948 -- including McGovern.

Get the picture?

Even though she is an Illinoisan, mom was undecided about whether to vote for Clinton or Obama in the Illinois primary on February 5. About a week before, she decided to support Obama. It was a painful choice. Mom -- and dad -- love(d) the Clintons and supported Bill through EVERYTHING.

Well, here are the points mom just made to me during our phone call:

ust got off the phone with Ma Rhoades, about a 20-minute conversation:

1. Hillary needs to get out of the race now and start helping Obama.

2. She NEVER thought she would feel so negative about HIllary or Bill.

3. Mom absolutely cannot believe that Hillary said Obama did not have the experience to be commander in chief -- but that McCain does.

4. Mom thinks Hillary is absolutely desperate and will do ANYTHING to win the nomination. Clinton does not care about the Democratic Party.

5. She and dad are both very upset. They defended Bill all the way during the impeachment.

6. The party elders need to go to Hillary and say, "It's over."


by Matty on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:34:53 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (2.00 / 1)

MAtty, I'm sorry your parents are so disillusioned, but please help me:

Can you please explain to your mom that it's "Not over" - neither can mathematically win, so why should she drop out?  Why doesn't Obama drop out instead, for the good of the party, because he will get creamed in the fall.

Obama, too, as he has proven time and again, will "do anything to get elected".  Why don't you point that out to your mom.

Obama has not been that great for his constituents in Illinois.  If he was such a great "community organizer", why didn't he know that the people in his district were going without heat in the projects?  Was it because those were run by the company owned by Tony Rezko?

Why has Obama been caught not once, but twice times this week with his advisors getting caught saying he says one thing on the stump, but really means something else?

Please help your parents see the light and truth.


by cmugirl90 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:41:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Yes, there's been absolutely no graft in New York since Clinton's been in office, as I can attest.  The poor and rich alike live in palatial apartments that are the height of cleanliness.  Also, even though SUSA shows Obama winning more EVs than Clinton, he is the one who should drop out.  As for saying one thing and doing another - does Clinton seriously want a joint ticket when Obama hasn't "passed the threshold" to be CiC?

I'm all for criticism of a particular candidate, but these are not rational arguments.


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:47:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Did you really just say Obama is (none / 0)

winning Electoral Votes over Hillary?  Because if you did and are referring to the SUSA poll that came out yesterday, then you are wrong.  That poll applied no votes from either MI or FL and gave Obama an unfair allotment of 'even' states.  Spin, spin, spin.  And really, GA, SC, AL, MS, AL, NE and probably ND don't count.


by linc on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:56:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Did you really just say Obama is (none / 0)

Huh?  Obama netted 280 EVs in the SUSA poll; Clinton netted 276.  Michigan and Florida were counted.  GA, SC, AL, and MS all went to McCain in both polls - I have no idea what you are talking about.  


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:05:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Did you really just say Obama is (none / 0)

I'm kind of confused where he's going with this.


by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:25:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Did you really just say Obama is (none / 0)

I guess some sort of pledged delegate poll - ???  I have a little alcohol in me right now, and it still doesn't make any sense.


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:30:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Because Obama has a delegate lead she can't close, because he has won the popular vote, and because he has won the most states.  

Nearly all of his victories are double digits. Practically none of hers are.  

If he can keep it close (54-46) in the "big states" and beat her by double digits in the states that "don't count", there is no way she can catch him

Not to mention that he has picked up more than 40 supers since super Tuesday and she has LOST six.

This narrative that Hillary can "win" is the biggest fairy tale I have every seen.  Quoting hubby Bill on that one.  :-)


Health care is a human right
by Helenann on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:07:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Actually, the biggest "fairy tale" is your revisionist history.  Sen. Clinton has won the following states: AR, MA, OH, NJ, TN, NY, RI, OK, CA, AZ, NV, NM, NH and TX.  Of those AR, MA, OH, NJ, TN, NY, RI, and OK were ALL won by double digits.  CA and AZ were both within one point of being double digit wins.  Even the "unprimary" in FL was won by double digits.  So to say that practically NONE of her victories were double digits is, well, revisionist.  Finally, we can extrapolate from this and say that most ALL of her large state victories were by double digits.  When you open up the process, make them truly democratic and TRULY representative of America as a whole, then Hillary shines and Obama just appears as mere background noise.      


by realtarheel on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 10:34:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Obama has a lot more problems with your mom's demographic than Clinton does.  Your folks sound like cool people though.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:43:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

That's funny, (none / 0)

My 76 year old Mom says pretty much the same thing about Obama.


by georgiapeach on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:10:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

She backed Obama during the impeachment? (none / 0)

Did you put her away?


by Erik on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:55:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I used to think (none / 0)

that I was a lot smarter than her, back when I was a young wet-behind-the-ears whippersnapper. I've found out since then that she probably knows more than I, or you, ever will. You might have intended this smart ass remark to be funny, but you will notice that I was able to comment without feeling the need to insult the elderly person who had a different opinion. This is exactly the Obama supporter attitude that pushed me towards Hillary after Edwards dropped out. Thanks for reminding me why I have so many reservations about him.


by georgiapeach on Sat Mar 08, 2008 at 09:17:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

My 88 year old dad changed (none / 0)

from Hillary to Obama - he's sick of the negativity and like Obama a lot - says he has "temperament" - a cool head.  We don't know what Hillary we are going to see from day to day. One day shes sweet the next she's screaming and freakin out.


Listening comes first
by Moonwood on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:56:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That's funny, (none / 0)

MY 80 year old Grandmother is a STAUNCH Hillary supporter, as is the rest of the clan.

We will be four generations of women will be walking the neighborhoods in Indiana for Clinton in a few weeks.  I hope that my niece will remember that experience as I remember doing the same with my mom in support of the first Democratic presidential ticket with a woman in 1984.


by hctb on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:16:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Today there is a calmness and a sense of confidence in her demeanor;

Like Michael Corleone at a baptism.  


http://www.yawnmccain.com
by enozinho on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:35:58 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

I think it more along the lines of Tommy walking in to get "made" in Goodfellas.


by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:27:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

She blew the Michael analogy when she lost 2/5 that could have been her Baptism montage, she has to choose whether she's Sonny, or Fredo right now.


by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:16:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Okay, I will admit it, I am veering wildly off topic right now.

It was announced today that California's primary results were certified.  We saw an 8 delegate shift.  Hillary Clinton lost 4 deleagates and Barack Obama gained 4 delegates.

This basically WIPES OUT any gains made by Mrs. Clinton last Tuesday in Texas and Ohio.

Are these numbers included in the delegate counter you have up on the site on the right sidebar?


Peace, S.
by Reluctantpopstar on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:42:06 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (2.00 / 1)

Mark it down, Hillary Rodham Clinton will be the Democratic nominee.


by mikelow1885 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:43:37 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

You are probably right, but I certainly will not be supporting her.  


by Toddwell on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:49:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

It will be interesting to see if a Democratic Canidate can win without enthusiastic support from the African American community, (look, this isn't just a blog thing, HRC has real, possibly crippling weaknesses among African Americans, and unless she can win NC, I don't see why the SDs should think that she can win in Novemeber.)


by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:04:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Then it's Al Gore time!


by mikelow1885 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:19:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Actually, that might not be horrible, it might just unite the party.


by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:28:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I'd go for that (none / 0)

Would love to see Gore as president.  Wouldn't it be something if that transpired at the convention?


by Montague on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:10:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

This election will be an historic opportunity to draw millions of Latino voters into the Democratic fold for good.  Hillary is doing very, very well among this group.  This is a larger contingent of voters than AAs, although there's no question that AAs have been overwhelmingly Democratic in the past few decades.


by Montague on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:54:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

It's not a zero sum game.  Clinton's support amoung AA's would be higher if she wasn't going up against Obama.  Obama's latino support would be higher if he wasn't going up against Clinton.


http://www.yawnmccain.com
by enozinho on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:58:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

That is true (none / 0)

And since African-Americans have supported Democrats in the past, I think most of them will continue to do so, be it Hillary or Barack.  Furthermore, I think Hillary has a better shot at increasing the Latino swing to the Democratic Party, and the Hispanic/Latino portion of the population is higher.

We can hope that Teixeiria is correct about the emerging Democratic majority.


by Montague on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:09:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That is true (none / 0)

AA's wont go over to McCain but they might well sit it out if Obama goes into Denver ahead and doesn't emerge as the Nominee.


by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:17:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That is true (none / 0)

And a lot of women might sit it out if Hillary doesn't get in there.


by Montague on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:39:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That is true (none / 0)

Here is one of them.  Present.


by Scotch on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:48:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That is true (none / 0)

Hillary has not EARNED the nomination.

She is way behind in delegates (most agree it is impossible for him to even catch him let alone pass him).

She is behind on the popular vote.

She is behind in the number of states won.

And Obama is rapidly closing the super delegate gap.  He has gotten more than 40 since 2/5 and she has actually LOST 6.

You must have a rich fantasy life.


Health care is a human right
by Helenann on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:12:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That is true (none / 0)

yeah, for my money neither have 'earned' it. It is a gift and should be bestowed to the candidate best able to capitalize on that gift: Clinton.


by hctb on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:34:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I'm so tired of that comment (none / 0)

No one has earned the nomination.  No one is owed the nomination.  The difference I see between them now is that Obama feels entitled, while Hillary is fighting for it.

I never felt Hillary was "inevitable"; in fact I didn't become a supporter until the very last moment.  If a brokered convention gave us Al Gore for the nominee, that would actually make me quite happy.  Barring that, since neither candidate will have the necessary 2025 to win outright, the SDs are going to take a close look at who can win the GE.  Since the popular vote includes non-Democrats and since the delegate list is based on arcane rules that permit some votes to be worth more than others, I don't have a problem with SDs doing their thing.  After all, those are the rules we're working with, and both candidates and their supporters will have to live with the rules.

Your fantasy life, sadly for you, is starting to crumble.


by Montague on Sat Mar 08, 2008 at 07:35:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I'm so tired of that comment (none / 0)

How can you say he has not earned it.  He has out organized her.  Out fund raised her.  Out caucused her.  Has won more pledged delegates, more of the popular vote and more states.

To me when you compete and win, you have earned it.  It is simple as that.  The party set up the rules and both Obama and Hillary agreed to those rules.

States hold caucuses and primaries and award pledged delegates.  The one with the most delegates wins.  And the super delegates (who are themselves elected officials) can be expected to support the candidate who won in their state or congressional district.

It is over people.  He has earned it and she can't catch him.  But her scorched earth, throw the kitchen sink, policy may help to ensure that neither of them is the next POTUS.  Thanks!


Health care is a human right
by Helenann on Sun Mar 09, 2008 at 06:55:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Does she even have a chance tomorrow or what?  Is there any info out there on the subject?


http://www.yawnmccain.com
by enozinho on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:53:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

If Hillary somehow manages to steal the nomination (none / 0)

It will be a disaster for the Democratic Party - But I guess its all about Hillary


Listening comes first
by Moonwood on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:01:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (2.00 / 2)

People are already losing confidence.  National polls (which I know don't mean anything right now), but which Obama supporters were trumpeting just a couple of weeks ago, show that he went from a 5 point lead over her in head to head to a 6 point deficit to her - an 11 point swing in 1 week.

And the fact that he can't even win a majority of DEMOCRATS really says something.


by cmugirl90 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:45:49 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Come on!  This is supposed to a positive thread.  This is where you talk about Clinton is calm and Presidential.  Attacking Obama is soo five minutes ago.  Look!  She's Presidential!  I'm loving it!


http://www.yawnmccain.com
by enozinho on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:48:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

It says that a lot of people don't self-identify as Democrats in exit-polls.  If they were so accurate, Kerry would be President right now.


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:52:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

I did not see the same disconnect when BHO was leading in the opinions polls and BHO people was posting the results on every thread.


by indus on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:04:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Hey, it's not like partisanship only infects one campaign.  Besides, I was responding to a different point than yours.


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:13:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Yep, looks like mud slinging really works!

Now, tell me what Hillary will say when McCain notes that her very own words acknowledged that HE'S ready to be the CnC.

I can see the commercial now: after a glowing montage of McCain as Top Gun, McCain as War Hero, McCain as Respected Senator, then here comes Hillary endorsing HIM, her opponent.

Such statements are the results of self-centered, win-at-alll-costs desperation.


Hillary's Dream Team: McCain/Clinton 08
by Carolina Liberal on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:59:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

And what exactly are her foreign policy credentials?

Read this and counter it, if you can:

www.chicagotribune.com/news/chi-experien cemar07,0,51719.story
chicagotribune.com
CAMPAIGN 2008
Clinton's experience claim under scrutiny
Hillary Clinton may have influenced foreign policy, but evidence is scant she played pivotal role

By Mike Dorning and Christi Parsons, WASHINGTON BUREAU Tribune correspondents Jim Tankersley and Rick Pearson contributed to this report
March 7, 2008

Surrounded by military leaders in a Cabinet-style setting, Hillary Clinton on Thursday said she has "crossed the threshold" of foreign policy experience to serve as commander in chief.

Supporters of rival Barack Obama fired back immediately, arguing that the former first lady's trips abroad hardly constituted a practice run for managing global crises.

"She was never asked to do the heavy lifting" when meeting with foreign leaders, said Susan Rice, who was an assistant secretary of state in the Clinton administration and is now advising Obama. "She wasn't asked to move the mountain or deliver a harsh message or a veiled threat. It was all gentle prodding or constructive reinforcement. And it would not have been appropriate for her to do the heavy lifting."

The debate over readiness for the global arena is emerging as the flash point in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, crystallized by a dramatic Clinton campaign commercial asking who is best prepared to answer a 3 a.m. phone call to the White House during a crisis.

Clinton says she is the answer, arguing that Obama's major achievement was his early opposition to the Iraq war in 2002. Indeed, Obama doesn't have much in the way of experience managing foreign crises, nor does Sen. John McCain, the presumptive Republican nominee, for that matter. In fact, it is rare for any president to have that kind of experience before coming into office.

In Clinton's case, she may well have exercised influence on foreign policy that is hard to document because she had a unique opportunity to offer private counsel to her husband, President Bill Clinton.

But while Hillary Clinton represented the U.S. on the world stage at important moments while she was first lady, there is scant evidence that she played a pivotal role in major foreign policy decisions or in managing global crises.

Pressed in a CNN interview this week for specific examples of foreign policy experience that has prepared her for an international crisis, Clinton claimed that she "helped to bring peace" to Northern Ireland and negotiated with Macedonia to open up its border to refugees from Kosovo. She also cited "standing up" to the Chinese government on women's rights and a one-day visit she made to Bosnia following the Dayton peace accords.

Earlier in the campaign, she and her husband claimed that she had advocated on behalf of a U.S. military intervention in Rwanda to stop the genocide there.

'Ancillary' to process

But her involvement in the Northern Ireland peace process was primarily to encourage activism among women's groups there, a contribution that the lead U.S. negotiator described as "helpful" but that an Irish historian who has written extensively about the conflict dismissed as "ancillary" to the peace process.

The Macedonian government opened its border to refugees the day before Clinton arrived to meet with government leaders. And her mission to Bosnia was a one-day visit in which she was accompanied by performers Sheryl Crow and Sinbad, as well as her daughter, Chelsea, according to the commanding general who hosted her.

Whatever her private conversations with the president may have been, key foreign policy officials say that a U.S. military intervention in Rwanda was never considered in the Clinton administration's policy deliberations. Despite lengthy memoirs by both Clintons and former Secretary of State and UN Ambassador Madeleine Albright, any advice she gave on Rwanda had not been mentioned until her presidential campaign.

"In my review of the records, I didn't find anything to suggest that military intervention was put on the table in NSC [National Security Council] deliberations," said Gail Smith, a Clinton NSC official who did a review for the White House of the administration's handling of the Rwandan genocide. Smith is an Obama supporter.

Prudence Bushnell, a retired State Department official who handled the Rwanda portfolio at the time and has not allied with a presidential candidate, confirmed that a U.S. military intervention was not considered in policy deliberations, as did several senior Clinton administration officials with first-hand knowledge who declined to be identified.

Clinton has previously described her role in the Northern Ireland peace process as meeting with women's groups to encourage them to build a political climate for peace.

Former Sen. George Mitchell, who was the lead U.S. negotiator, said Clinton's visits were "very helpful."

"She was especially involved in encouraging women to get involved in the peace process," which was a "significant factor" in the agreement, Mitchell said in an interview.

But Tim Pat Coogan, an Irish historian who has written extensively on the conflict in Northern Ireland, said the first lady's visits were not decisive in the negotiating breakthroughs in Northern Ireland.

"It was a nice thing to see her there, with the women's groups. It helped, I suppose," Coogan said. "But it was ancillary to the main thing. It was part of the stage effects, the optics.

"There were all kinds of peace movements, women's movements throughout the 'Troubles.' But it was more about the clout of Bill Clinton," added Coogan, who said Clinton administration decisions to grant visas to leaders of the Irish Republican Army's political wing and appoint a U.S. negotiator were the keys to changing the political climate.

Beijing speech

One of Clinton's most noteworthy forays onto the foreign stage came in 1995, when she delivered a speech at the United Nations' women's conference in Beijing. That speech was widely noted and hailed as a bold call for women's rights, especially because Clinton explicitly spoke out against forced abortion and other practices of the host country.

"In the years since, I have met many women from many places who tell me they were at Beijing, or had friends who were, or who were inspired by the conference to launch initiatives," Albright wrote in her 2003 memoir.

The speech might never have happened if the first lady had not pressed for it, said one former Clinton administration official sympathetic to her candidacy who traveled with her and Albright to Beijing. The administration was conflicted about whether Hillary Clinton should go to Beijing at all because of the regime's record on human rights.

"Yet she was determined to go and was convinced that her going would send a very strong signal of support for human rights," said the official, who spoke on the condition that he not be named. "Everyone at the end of the process almost certainly would have said, 'How could we be so foolish to question the wisdom of the trip?'"

Still, Rice questioned whether that trip amounted to the kind of preparation for a global crisis that Clinton has claimed.

"How does going to Beijing and giving a speech show crisis management? There was no crisis. And there was nothing to manage," Rice said.

Macedonia visit

In 1999, Clinton visited Albanian refugee camps in Macedonia during the NATO bombing campaign to force Slobodan Milosevic's troops out of Kosovo. Macedonia had sealed its borders in an attempt to stop the arrival of refugees but, under Western pressure, reopened them the day before Clinton visited the camps.

A former Clinton administration official sympathetic to her candidacy said her presence "played a very important role in helping to shore up support for the Kosovars."

But Ivo Daalder, a former Clinton NSC official with responsibility for the Balkans and author of a history of the Kosovo conflict, said the border opening had nothing to do with her negotiating skills.

"It was her coming that helped. But she had absolutely no role in the dirty work of negotiations," said Daalder, an Obama supporter. "This had nothing to do with her competence."

----------

mdorning@tribune.com

cparsons@tribune.com

Copyright © 2008, Chicago Tribune


by mainelib on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:05:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Breaking: Obama supporters question Clinton's exp. (2.00 / 1)

Did you read the article you posted? Did you really expect people like Susan Rice, Obama's principal foreign policy spokesperson, to support attacks on Obama's experience? Or Daalder, or Gail Smith?

The fact that the Chicago Tribune couldn't find a single on the record comment from anyone who is not an Obama surrogate speaks volumes about the veracity of Hillary Clinton's experience claim. If all you've got in response is bought and paid for Obama spin, then you ain't got nuthin'.


by souvarine on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:39:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Lack of long-term planning has been a defining feature of her campaign.  


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:09:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

     She will say that even with all of his impressive national security credentials, he is absolutely wrong about continuing the Iraq war for 100 years, and the people are going to agree with, even some Republicans. She will also point out that she is also strong on national security, and understands what is required to keep the American people safe, but that she understands that the Iraq war isn't doing that, and we to find a way to end it.
     S
by georgiapeach on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:19:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Huh, let's wait till next week when Hillary's little win streak is dead and Obama's won 14 of the last 17 races.


by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:06:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The poll swing can be attributed to one thing (none / 0)

Negative campaigning - but it will probably swing right back - a month ago she was up by 15 points and that disappeared


Listening comes first
by Moonwood on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:03:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

He's already airing a comment where Clinton speaks unfavorably about Mississippi.  Now, the actual topic is a point that does not reflect well on the state (failure to elect female congressional leaders), but it's not a good idea to point out a state's flaws when you are trying asking for votes from that state.  Moreover, Pennsylvania's record is just as dismal in that regard, and I am quite sure she won't point that out while campaigning there.


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:56:12 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (2.00 / 1)

Well, Pennsylvania has had a number of women in Congress, as far as I know.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:03:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (1.00 / 0)

Hillary doesn't even care about Wyoming.  She herself said that the only states that count are CA, NY, MA, OH, FL, NJ, and TX.  


by Toddwell on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:58:53 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Clinton is absolutely amazing in being able to play so many roles in such a short period of time.

She goes from warm and smarmy to nasty and sarcastic  on a dime.

One minute she wants to be on a ticket with Obama (so he must be qualified to be either elected president or to take over should something happen to her), the next Obama doesn't cross the threshold (but McCain does).

My head is spinning and I have lost the respect I used to have for her.  Nearly every day I am chagrined that she used to be my preferred candidate.

I am frightened at the secrecy and the slime. Why can't we see those WH papers?  And why can't we see the tax returns?

I am now certain that she will promote executive privilege as much as our current president and this scares the hell out of me.  

And then I see people say that Obama has been as bad when Obama is temperamentally incapable of the contradictions and intellectual dishonesty that come out of Hillary Clinton within the very same day. Perhaps that means he is not as accomplished a politician (or liar), but that makes me like him more.

I appreciate that you like Clinton.  But as a feminist who long looked forward to having a woman president, I cannot support her. Right now I think I might be able to vote for her. But, as someone who has worked for every Democratic candidate since 1972, there's no way that will happen if she is the nominee.  No way.


by mainelib on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:02:53 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Please dont vote for her if she is the nominee. I guess you will be voting for McSame.

I am for HRC but will vote for BHO if he is the nominee.


by indus on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:07:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Yeah, we gotta support the team.  I reserve the right to be angry for a while, though.


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:08:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

I didn't say I wouldn't vote for her. I said I wouldn't work for her campaign, as I have for every Democratic nominee since 1972.

I'll never vote for McCain, that much I can tell you despite what I've mean told about him getting over the national security threshold.  


by mainelib on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:11:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

That's reasonable (none / 0)

I certainly will never donate to or work for any campaign of Barack Obama.

I will also never ever vote for McCain or his ilk.

Whether I will vote for Obama in the GE... well, I hope it doesn't come to that.  I'm looking to vote for Hillary.  And I'll work my ass off for her in the GE.


by Montague on Sat Mar 08, 2008 at 07:37:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (1.00 / 1)

When you have no core beliefs or values its easy to shift personas.


by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:07:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

I really feel dizzy watching her shift from one to another so easily.  


by mainelib on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:12:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

It could haunt her in the general, remember this is one of (the many) unfair things Gore was tarred with-- bouncing from personality to personality and not establishing a core message.


by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:30:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Perhaps you are a little unbalanced.  Don't fall down.


by Scotch on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:14:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Wow, that's a pretty nasty thing to say. And you know this how?


by Dari on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:33:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Now that's silly (none / 0)

All human beings are made up of complex emotions.  We're all able to be, at different points, nice, sweet, mean, angry, happy, loving, snide, appreciative, respectful, thoughtless, etc., etc., etc.  Obama has shown many of his own sides as well.  I don't hold it against him - it simply means he is human.  It doesn't mean he has shifting personas.  

It's just amazing to me how many Obama supporters think that Hillary has no values.  Both of them have values and both of them are capable of being inconsistent.  Neither one has multiple personalities.


by Montague on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:01:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Yea Hillary has values (none / 0)

Monsanto, Goldman Sacs, Walmart, Tyson Foods,
Corporate morality
Listening comes first
by Moonwood on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:07:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yea Hillary has values (2.00 / 1)

Goldman Sachs is Obama's biggest supporter.  What is your deal?


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:34:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yea Hillary has values (none / 0)

"Goldman Sachs" as an entity did not give Obama money.  People who work there did.


by mainelib on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:54:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yea Hillary has values (2.00 / 1)

Interesting that you felt the need to start posting after my post, but not after the post I responded to.  Yes, it's true, Hillary is supported by the worst corporations in the world, while Obama is simply supported by innocent employees of those corporations who love hope and unity.

Of course Goldman Sachs as an entity is not giving money, because that would be illegal.  But when employees of that company are Obama's #1 source of funds, you better believe it's not the guys who change the trashcan liners giving 10 bucks apiece.  Goldman Sachs supports Obama, it's that simple.  My good friend at JP Morgan Chase told me their higher-ups are for Obama, too.

Not that I think Goldman Sachs is an evil corporation.  Jon Corzine was their CEO.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 11:34:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Some Hillary values: (none / 0)

She told the people of New York, after winning her Senate seat the first time, that she would serve out that term and categorically not run for higher office, and she kept her word.

She has marched proudly in Gay Pride parades, side-by-side with GLBT people.

She has worked to improve the lives of impoverished women and children.

She has always voted a clear Yes on pro-choice issues.

She knows her own platform up, down and sideways because (a) she had the biggest hand in making it and (b) it's only fair to voters that she be able to show that she's done her work and deserves their consideration.

She has actually shown, in the Senate, that she is capable of working across the aisle with other senators to get bills passed.

After 9/11/01, she worked hard to get New York the assistance it needed from the federal government.

Even though she knew that she might not have the warmest welcome, she went to events like the most recent Yearly Kos and State of the Black Union.

She knows how to handle asshats like Tweety with grace and a sly wit.

She respects and works for Americans who don't have the opportunity (or desire) for a college education, knowing that they form the backbone of the Democratic Party.


by Montague on Sat Mar 08, 2008 at 07:51:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Grammar snark (none / 0)

I can't stand the phrase "cannot be over estimated"  or "cannot be overstated".  Everything can be over stated or over estimated in a matter of seconds.  

But at least if you're going to submit to this verbal tic, you could get it right.  Do you really think that "the importance of psychological wins cannot be UNDER estimated" ?


by snaktime on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:04:45 PM EST

Re: Grammar snark (none / 0)

While we're correcting people, what's the deal with 'loose' instead of 'lose' (insert Seinfeld voice)?


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:07:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

You obviously have not been paying attention. He does a great job in town halls.


by mainelib on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:08:48 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Exactly, I think they should be major part of his PA strategy, he'll have six weeks he should rally in Pittsburgh, Philly, State College, etc. , and hold town halls throughout the "Pennsyltucky" region do 4 or 5 a week, literally hit the state from East to West (maybe do a bit of focus on the IN, and  KY border area's in order to get some crossover media coverage), if he stays at OH it will be cancelled out in NC, if he can get TX levels he can knock her out in NC, and if he wins-- its over.


by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:14:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Hey I live in PA and it doesn't (none / 0)

border on KY or IN.  


Listening comes first
by Moonwood on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:50:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (2.00 / 1)

Thanks for the tip. Unfortunately, I cannot find the broadcast on CNN.com

As for the Hillary haters on the thread, you embarrass yourself and your candidate with your wild accusations against her. The voters are speaking loudly in her favor. As a result, you are watching the next POTUS.

Let's wait and see how tomorrow goes. Especially if there are folks actually watching what happens in the caucuses (ala Texas).


by cath on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:11:55 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Tell us what wild accusation I or any other Obama supporter have made?

She does shift personas quite easily.

She is hiding her financial information and WH papers.


by mainelib on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:14:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

If you want to wait for tomorrow's results, then you shouldn't write them off if she doesn't win.


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:16:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

She'll be doing it without the white male vote. Congrats.


by carbocation on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:56:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

uh.. you mean like democrats in every general since carter?


by hctb on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:54:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

By what measurement are the "voters speaking loudly in her favor" she trails in:
-primaries won
-primary delegates
-Primary votes
-Caucausus won
-Caucus delegates
-caucus votes
-Overall delegates
-Overall Voters

What metric are you using that leads you to believe she has the support of the voters?


by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:04:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

You didn't get the memo about the states that matter?


by carbocation on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:07:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (1.00 / 0)

Sore Loser Orange Ants, go find your own picnic.


On to the Convention Floor!
by oh puhleeze on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:21:13 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

"sore Loser" don't you actually have to be losing, to be a "sore loser"?


by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:31:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My first troll rating (none / 0)

Now I feel like I belong.  


On to the Convention Floor!
by oh puhleeze on Sat Mar 08, 2008 at 03:42:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Hillary Clinton's behavior is frankly monstrous, and the media's flagrant bias in favor of her and whatever ridiculous lies, spin, or smear-tactics she is pushing has allowed her to get away with deceiving the American people.


by andrewbellinger on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:34:18 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Agreed. She needs to either tone it down or switch party affiliations.


by carbocation on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:55:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Or else Obama could leave and find a party where he can take some criticism and hits and deal with them like an expert. If he wants to play pattycake and then take a nap through the campaign without someone  pulling his hair, maybe he just isn't ready yet.


by Scotch on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:11:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Obama might have to after a Clinton nomination causes blacks to jump ship like Southern whites did in 1964.


by carbocation on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:13:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

And the Democratic party shouldn't count on women either if Obama wins, or any of Hillary's male supporters either.  Women comprise over half of the members of the party, and many, many of us are sick to death of the display from the party and Obama's followers who seem to think steemrolling over Clinton and her supporters is just fine.


by Scotch on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:27:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Keep dreaming, Democratic women vote abortion before all else. Have fun with two more Alitos on the court.

Clinton supporters won't feel that the election has been unfairly stolen because she will have lost both pledged and superdelegate counts. Blacks will go nuclear if Clinton wins the nomination if Obama has won the pledged delegate count.


by carbocation on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:38:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

No, most women are not single issue voters, not even most Democratic women. Obama's weakness on UHC and bread and butter issues would give McCain an opening to appeal to the moderate women that Hillary is winning and Kerry lost in 2004. Note that Kerry lost moderate women to the man who appointed Alito.


by souvarine on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:46:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

We weren't one justice away from a conservative majority with Bush's second term.  If what you say is true, I will enjoy laughing at every supposedly Democratic woman protesting about McCain overturning Roe v. Wade.


by carbocation on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:49:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

And what might the single issue be that you speak of?  I am a woman, and I am in touch with a bunch of other women.  We've been talking. That's how I know.  That is some anecdotal stuff, but it is something that I have never run into before in all my 34 years of voting.


by Scotch on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:53:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Uh.. are you seriously comparing a possible depression of African American support for Clinton to the dealignment the Southern Democratic party in response to the efforts to effect civil rights legislation?

This seems a bit... counter-intuitive to me. Maybe you are suggesting that both groups are pursuing ingroup protection? Southern whites attempting to maintain hegemonic control... what are African Americans protecting? This is absurd. Even if African American support did not restore if Clinton was the nominee (a really big assumption), they are not leaving the party. They are staying home.


by hctb on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 10:06:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Great point.  I don't get and never have gotten this fascination people have with the Clintons. Bill never received 50% of the vote, we lost the House of Reps under him after 40 years of control, he spent his idle time getting his hog slurped in the oval office... etc, etc, etc.  And along comes his wife who's gets elected to the Senate because she's married to him.

Now we have a clear, clear, alternative in Obama.  We don't have to suck-up to the Clintons anymore.  I recognize that everyone here is hell bent on beating the Republicans.  But we don't need Clinton to accomplish this for us.  I feel that the Clintons give liberalism a bad name.  Bill let down an entire Baby-boom generation with his philandering.  Let's lose both of them while we have the chance.


by KensUSA on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:50:11 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

I was a Hillary supporter until her recent "attack mode"  She wins the nomination and I vote for Nader.  Hillary is now all about the power and not the good of the party or the people.  I have no respect for the "win at any cost" mentality.


Scy
by scytherius on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:00:58 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

That the caucuses are closed is gratifying to me.  I still don't get the concept of open primaries allowing republicans and independents to pick the nominee for the DEMOCRATIC party.  There are really a number of things very wrong with the structure of the party and our methods for picking a candidate.

Obama tends to win in caucuses and some primaries in which outsiders can vote, but Hillary leads with actual Democratic voters a lot.  I have been supporting the Democratic party with my money and efforts my entire life, I would like other actual members along with myself to pick our own damn candidate.  In my state, it is closed and unaffiliated are out of luck as is the way it should be.


by Scotch on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:08:08 PM EST

You're probably going to get (2.00 / 1)

some disagreement in a moment or two.  But not from me - I happen to agree with you.  Some like to say "Why not have open primaries? That shows that so-and-so  (in this case, Obama) can appeal to indies and repubs."  I say, Why should we allow indies and repubs to decide who is our standard-bearer?  That will dilute our platform.  Yes, we need independent votes in the general election, but independents have been willing to vote for strong Democrats before.  They'll do it again.  Let's pick our best Democrat amongst ourselves.


by Montague on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:15:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (none / 0)

The reason we have open primaries and causes is because it prevents a nonviable general election candidate like Clinton from being nominated. Independents would flock to McCain in droves if she won.


by carbocation on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:19:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (none / 0)

causes=caucuses


by carbocation on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:20:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (2.00 / 1)

A bare assertion without any supporting evidence.


by InigoMontoya on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:04:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (2.00 / 1)

Close, but no cigar. Keep trying, you'll come up with something more believable.  By the way, they have been so successful in assuring us that Democrats don't flock to republicans, and in picking us a winning candidate it isn't even funny.  Really, it isn't......Kerry, Dukakis, McGovern......even funny.


by Scotch on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:11:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (none / 0)

I agree, nominating Clinton wouldn't even be funny. It'd be a funeral.


by carbocation on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:13:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (2.00 / 1)

Then why have party affiliations and party primaries at all?  Just open it all up and do away with the parties.  


by realtarheel on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 10:44:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Precisely. nt (none / 0)


by Montague on Sat Mar 08, 2008 at 07:22:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (none / 0)

Democrats already dilute their platform by trying to predict who is more electable in the fall.  That's why Kerry beat Dean.  Your argument doesn't bear out even accepting your initial premise, because in closed primaries Democrats would simply internalize the argument about which candidate would best appeal to independents.


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:26:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (2.00 / 1)

Many of his wins have been small wins in states that have open elections, but which are red states.  We never win those states, and never will win those states in the general.  In the large states with the most electoral votes, many of them having closed primaries like PA and Florida, it is important to have the nominee as the winners from those states.  Losing with Dems, but winning with indies and repugs in  red states--What the heck good is that?


by Scotch on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:37:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (2.00 / 0)

My states are more equal than your states.


by carbocation on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:40:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (none / 0)

Well mine are, and I am glad you acknowledge that.


by Scotch on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:45:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (none / 0)

We need to get the DNC to only hold contests in Big States. Madame Clinton must be assured victory in 2012. It'd be a shame if we let Democrats as a whole have a say in the nomination.


by carbocation on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:54:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (2.00 / 1)

Having Democrats as a whole have a say in them nomination is exactly the point:  Democrats, not indies and Republicans.   Can I get my vote counted on what your household has for dinner or how much to spend on vacation?  I didn't think so.

Moreover, it's never been a problem before because there hasn't been a race this close but ditch the caucuses.  Use a process that facilitates more Democrats participating, not fewer.  What, you don't like that either?  I didn't think so.


by InigoMontoya on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:03:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (none / 0)

Tunnel vision like this cost both Kerry and Gore the election. Thank god the DLC has been marginalized. Keeping independents and crossover Republicans in our nomination contest allows rare politicians like Obama to grow the base.

The states should get to pick what kind of system they want. If their citizens are upset by the caucus system, they can change it. If not, the candidates should suck it up and learn how to master the system.


by carbocation on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:08:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (none / 0)

There's no point in having a Democratic party if Democrats do not decide who their candidate is.

Btw, I thought it over and you're going to vacation on the Outer Banks of North Carolina this summer.  And you're having squid and tofu for dinner tomorrow night.


by InigoMontoya on Sat Mar 08, 2008 at 01:29:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

This is most certainly NOT what (none / 0)

cost Kerry the election.  And let's remember that Gore won the popular vote and the electoral college.  It was truly a stolen election.  Let's bear in mind that the very same primary system that put Obama in front also put Kerry out in front.  Gore, of course, was a foregone conclusion to become the nominee in 2000.

Obama is rare indeed - a politician as craven as most out there but who so far has kept millions fooled into thinking he is above all that.


by Montague on Sat Mar 08, 2008 at 07:27:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (none / 0)

No actually we need to get the DNC to penalize the states that hold open primaries, or caucuses, so that the true Democratic voters choice can be known.  The penalty can be that the votes of millions won't count, but then part of those millions will be indies and repugs, so not such a loss.  Seems to work where I live, in a big purpleish/ bluey state that has turned so blue it isn't that purplish anymore. So apparently the indies don't mind not choosing the primary candidate for us.  They don't get mad or anything and some of them vote Democratic anyway in the GE.  Try it, you might like it and the sky doesn't fall if your primary is closed, either.


by Scotch on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:04:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (none / 0)

Wow. This is rich coming from the camp that whines about how punishing Florida and Michigan will hurt us in the general election. Instead of pissing off two states, let's insult forty of them! I'll give you points for being consistent with established Clinton strategy.


by carbocation on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:11:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're probably going to get (none / 0)

You can't make that argument legitimately without speaking to the head-to-head polls with McCain.  Primary wins and primary losses do not equate to wins and losses in the general, as I'm sure you know.


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:41:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

If you have data that shows the self-identified independents in these primaries do not vote reliably Democratic (or at least 51% Democratic), I'd love to see it.  The only rightwing push I'm aware of is Rush's, calling on Republicans to push Clinton over the finish line.  And, really, do you think same-day registration is some sort of impossibly high bar weeding out motivated Republicans and preventing them from meddling in the primaries?  If they were going to do so anyway, filling out a registration card isn't going to hold them back.

This idea that millions of people who don't reliably vote for the Democratic ticket are clandestinely stealing the primary is a great conspiracy theory, but there's no empirical evidence to back it up.  Lots of people don't self-identify as Democratic, for whatever reason.  That doesn't mean they aren't on our side.


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:22:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Let's see reliable data that says they do vote for us.  I am going by statistics and exit polls which say that Obama is losing among true party democrats. His edge in many of the states is from other than Democrats.  Repulicans who already have a candidate, don't really get any fun out of voting for McCain so why not mess with the Democrats in the primaries.


by Scotch on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:32:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

You're making the allegation, so you're the person who needs to provide the evidence.  Moreover, I didn't know the exit polls said "true party Democrats."  I thought they just said "Democrats."  You can't tell how affiliated a person is to Democratic values from an exit poll.  It's a soundbite, no more, no less.  Besides, what would be their incentive to vote for Obama?  They've been salivating at the chance to go after Clinton for over a decade, and Rush Limbaugh himself is requesting that Republicans vote for her.


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:39:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

I'm not in the moood for a game, maybe tomorrow.


by Scotch on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:46:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

I'm not in the mood for a game, either, just trying to see if there is any factual basis for this supposed conventional wisdom.  I guess there isn't.


by rfahey22 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:49:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

It is pretty much published knowledge, if you follow the analyses after states that have voted. I have read it more than once.  I just don't feel like looking it up for you, because I have a feeling you won't believe your eyes even if I do.


by Scotch on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:57:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

There are many studies in academic journals that show that most independents are "leaners" who favor one party or another about as much as people who identify as Democrats or Republicans. The data on this goes back to election studies in the 1950s and then on to recent years.


by mainelib on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:57:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)


"They are literally pinning all their hopes on ONE THING. Pledge Delegates."

Yea its called democracy - you know the voters choose the delegates.


Listening comes first
by Moonwood on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:59:24 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Democracy has many definitions but that is beside the point, you are defending INSTITUTIONS not democracy. It is worth a discussion of the representativeness of those institutions.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horsera ceblog/2008/03/are_the_chickens_coming_h ome_t.html


by hctb on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:21:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

And I guess Hillary is willing to do whatever it takes to make sure the she destroys voter confidence and with it the chance for a Democratic victory in the fall.

Way to go Clinton campaign.  Do or die.  If you keep this up, we are all dead.

McCain is more prepared to be commander in Chief??  Stay in Iraq for 100 years, bomb Iran, make permanent the Bush tax cuts.

Is that the America you want to live in for the next four years?  At this point you would have a hard time convincing me the answer is no.

Oh by the way, is this the "fun part?"


Health care is a human right
by Helenann on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:10:09 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Why is rough competition so apocolyptic? If voters didnt trust Clinton or think she may have a point than this wouldnt have an impact. She is providing a voice for those who have doubts.

Dial down the melodrama, there is a lot of race left.


by hctb on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:26:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Wyoming Townhall (none / 0)

Kind of wish she had thought my vote was worth fighting for back in the Potomac Primary. Didn't even mention us in her "concession" speech.


Unable to rec or rate
Still supporting Obama
Still not putting up with "preening" posts
by jaiwithani on Sat Mar 08, 2008 at 11:03:10 AM EST


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