Right, because Florida, Michigan and Ohio are the only states that will be in play this time around.

Look at 2004, look at how close the election was in Minnesota, Missouri, Iowa, Wisconsin and Colorado.

I am also somewhat concerned that our possible nominee will have overwhelmingly won states that will go red in Nov, and small turnout caucus states, while losing many important battleground states.  Are we setting ourselves up for failure?  Is anyone else concerned about the large number of republicans voting for Obama?  Do people really think that will continue in November? Does nobody else recognize that McCain is a very attractive choice for many of our base democrats, not just indys? If I hear Obama talk about that vote 1 more time, I'll scream.  Although it's quite a talking point for his base, and liberal bloggers, in real America they are over it. Why does Obama say we need to look to the future, not the past (except when he is talking about that vote - then it's perfectly fine to look to the past)?  If that is all he has on national security, it's not going to be enough. I am afraid that, once again, regardless of issues, the republican will win on a combination of national security votes and regular guy votes.

Don't dismiss states we're unlikely to win this time around. That's a guarantee we'll NEVER win them, it's the opposite of the 50-state strategy.

Also recall MO, IW, MN, ND, CO, and VA.