McCain Can Have His Cake and Eat It Too

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This is what we'll be fighting against until November.  Stanley Fish writes a disingenuous love letter to St. John McCain in his blog at the New York Times.  From Fish's standpoint, everything McCain has done regarding Iraq will help him in the general election.  To come to this point, Fish must ignore all of the reasons we went to war in the first place.  As is usual with the American media, what's past is quickly forgotten, which is why Fish gets to say this:

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On the one hand, he voted to authorize the invasion. On the other, he consistently disagreed with the administration's prosecution of the war in general and with the judgment of defense Secretary Rumsfeld in particular. And on the third hand, he advocated for a course of action that was at last implemented in the so-called "surge," and with some success.

So, at any moment, he would be able to present himself as a strong patriot, and at another moment as a critic of the hard-line hawks, and at still another as a hard-line hawk with more experience and military knowledge than the others. And, depending on which position he was occupying, he could deny that he was an uncritical supporter of the war or that he was inattentive to the needs of the troops, or that he had nothing positive to offer.

To clarify: on the one hand, McCain voted to authorize the war based on weak intelligence and for reasons that have now been thoroughly discredited, and on the other hand, McCain supported the surge, which has reduced violence, but which has failed to bring about the political progress for which it was intended in the first place.

A collective gasp issued from close observers of the Iraqi parliament when news broke on Thursday that a key piece of legislation had stalled. The provincial powers bill, already ratified by the country's legislature, had been vetoed. That piece of legislation had been hailed by the Bush Administration as an important step in defining the nature of the Iraqi government.

I guess Stanley Fish thinks that repeatedly poor judgment makes McCain fit to lead.  Whatever.  I'd say that if anything, the surge has demonstrated just how intractable the divisions are in Iraq.  Even with the added security, we're not seeing substantial progress.  In fact, according to the Center for American Progress, as of the end of January 2008, only three of the eighteen benchmarks America set for Iraq had been fully met (another five have been partially met).  The goals on which little or no progress have been made are by far the more important initiatives such as disarming the militias, shielding Iraqi security forces from partisan influence, or coming to a detailed agreement on oil revenue distribution.  But this doesn't matter to the media, because as usual, they've forgotten what the surge was supposed to achieve in the first place.  All they know is that violence is down, so the surge must be a success.  They say this even as our own military groans under the increased pressure to maintain these levels.

"The cumulative effects of the last six-plus years at war have left our Army out of balance, consumed by the current fight and unable to do the things we know we need to do to properly sustain our all-volunteer force and restore our flexibility for an uncertain future," Gen. George Casey, chief of staff of the Army, told the Senate Armed Services Committee last week.

Gen. James Conway, the Marine Corps commandant, sent a similar message when he agreed to send another 3,200 Marines to Afghanistan. Without relief soon, he told reporters, the Corps cannot continue to sustain such commitments.

So what does our good friend Stanley Fish offer to these facts?

The parts of McCain's story, even with one or two twists and turns, fit nicely into a coherent narrative that brings credit to him in every chapter. I was resolute in the beginning, I demurred for a while but for good reasons, and now I am resolute again, and you can trust me because, in this area especially, I know what I'm doing. He can rehearse this narrative without apologizing for anything and then turn around to Obama and (borrowing from Clinton's attacks on him), declare: You, on the other hand, don't know what you're doing, as everything you say, not only about the war, but about the conduct of foreign policy, proves. (He and President Bush are already pushing this line in anticipation of Obama's nomination.)

With Obama as his opponent, McCain has the advantage every which way. He continues to get mileage out of the straight-talk express, and at the same time he also has the political flexibility that comes along with having taken a few detours along the way, and talked out of several sides of his mouth.

Are you effing kidding me?!  McCain and Bush, two of the most stalwart supporters of what is widely considered a major foreign policy blunder get to school Obama on foreign policy?  And everything McCain has done in regard to Iraq has been right and "brings credit to him in every chapter."  Seriously?  Even the part about remaining in Iraq for 100 years if need be?  McCain has got Stanley Fish in his back pocket, clearly.  And since when does a candidate actually get credit for talking "out of several sides of his mouth?"  It's not even "both sides of his mouth," McCain is so all over the place that Fish actually had to change the expression to make it fit.

This is just ridiculous.  This piece sounds like it came straight from the McCain press office and onto Stanley's blog.  It is completely out of touch with reality, and Fish should be embarrassed for having even published it.

I took on the New York Times love affair with McCain when they endorsed him as well.  That piece can be found here.



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Re: McCain Can Have His Cake and Eat It Too (none / 0)

Fish also says:

"Obama would be standing still, stuck in the one-note posture he has assumed from the beginning of the campaign. In the democratic primaries and caucuses, Obama's strong suit - the club he used to beat up Hillary Clinton - has been the absolute consistency of his position on the war: he would have voted against it had he been in the senate at the time; he has spoken out against it repeatedly since becoming a senator; and he has promised to end it and bring the troops home within a short time.

"But once McCain, and not Clinton, is his opponent, that position becomes a liability, because it can be attacked as being inflexible and without nuance. McCain can ask, Don't you see that the situation has changed in recent months, and shouldn't a responsible leader adjust his or her stance according to the facts on the ground? And he can add, I too had my doubts about the conduct of the war, but now a policy I long advocated has been put in place with good results. . . "

Obama has gotten a lot of milage out of his early opposition to the war. Really, it's the one of the few policy difference that he has with Hillary, and the only significant one about which it can be said that he is more "progressive" than she is. The Democratic party was split on the issue at the time, with a small majority against AUMF, and Obama's slight overall lead in votes and delegates reflects that split.

But, in the general electorate as a whole, the overwhelming majority supported AUMF and the war, at least at the beginning. So, Obama simply stating that he was "right" while McCain was "wrong" may not play so well, because most of the voters were "wrong" too.

And, while I don't disagree with your assessment of the "surge," the public appears to view things differently. In fact, the polls are now showing that immediate withdrawal or withdrawal over the course of one or two years is no more popular than keeping the troops there, with the trend running away from Obama's position and towards McCain's:

"In another significant finding, the poll showed rapidly decreasing support for a quick withdrawal from Iraq.

"This past November, 13 percent more people wanted to 'bring troops home' than preferred to 'keep troops in Iraq' (54-41), but now, respondents split 49-47 percent on the issue.

"Just under half (47 percent) say that the U.S. should keep troops in Iraq until the situation has stabilized, with most of these (30 percent) saying that no timetable should be set. Only 14 percent want an immediate withdrawal, while 33 percent want to keep troops in Iraq or bring them home gradually "over the next year or two."

http://www.cnsnews.com/ViewNation.asp?Pa ge=/Nation/archive/200803/NAT20080303b.h tml

So, I'm not sure that Fish' position can be dismissed as "ridiculous." McCain was in favor of the war at the beginning. So were most GE voters. McCain had complaints about the conduct of the war, so did most GE voters. McCain supported the surge which, it seems, more than half of the GE voters see as working. And McCain wants to keep the troops in Iraq, which, again, seems to be a position that at least half of the electorate agrees with.

Obama was against the war from the beginning. Most voters now see that as the correct call, but it was not the call that they made. Fair or not, most people don't like to hear "I told you so" too much or too often. Obama, like McCain, has criticized the conduct of the war, so let's call that a tie. And Obama's call for relative quick withdrawal is now about as popular as McCain's postition in favor of "finishing the job," with the trend running McCain's way.

It may not be a slam dunk for McCain, but I don't think Fish is all wet (!) in his analysis, either.


by freemansfarm on Mon Mar 03, 2008 at 09:14:39 PM EST


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