Are we doomed?

The purpose of this diary is to facilitate a discusions that's been underpinning of sveral recent entries:
 Are we doomed as a party? Basically, my question is that if this Wirght stuff ruins Obama's crossover appeal, adn if the Ferraro dog whistle ruined Hill among African Americans, have we in the last week committed mass suicide?

Or is this all just blog hype, Obama and Hillary both remaining viablility adn the seeming polarization only an online phenomenon?



Display:


most likely!!! (none / 0)


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:01:58 AM EST

Re: most likely!!! (none / 0)

we are most likely doomed...that is!!


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:03:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

Yep, we're screwed. For the next election, I suggest we go back to letting the party bosses determine the nominee, because we clearly suck at it.


by animated on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:03:26 AM EST

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

No because they would select Dean, and he would somehow manage to get himself disqualified, leaving us with Gravel.


by monstergrrl on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:06:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Hey now, don't hate on Dean. (2.00 / 1)


Even John McCain lusts after teh engels.
by sricki on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:08:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hey now, don't hate on Dean. (none / 0)

Unless Florida gets a new primary, he deserves some hate.


by monstergrrl on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:13:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hey now, don't hate on Dean. (2.00 / 1)

I know, I know... his recent conduct disturbs me. But I supported him very enthusiastically in '04, so it's hard for me to hate him.
Even John McCain lusts after teh engels.
by sricki on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:27:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hey now, don't hate on Dean. (none / 0)

This time its not on him, the enitre Florida Delegation both Clinton and Obama supporters are refusing an offer to revote.


by Socraticsilence on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:31:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hey now, don't hate on Dean. (none / 0)

That because Dean did not take leadership earlier and just offer. Florida people are just plain mad now. And I DO blame it on Dean. He could have just halved the delegates from the start and avoided this mess.


by monstergrrl on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:48:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

At least the debates would be amusing, Lehrer could ask questions about Matlock, they'd end at 7pm, we could have an election were noone under 50 voted.


by Socraticsilence on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:15:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (2.00 / 1)

How sexist of you! The questions could just as easily be asked about Murder She Wrote! ;-)


by monstergrrl on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:18:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

Eh, its McCain and Gravel, honestly it would be another one of those thrilling chances to re-argue Vietnam, I mean doesn't everyone remeber how awesome that was last time, wooo, I would be in a coma.


by Socraticsilence on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:25:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

Listen pinhead. I was in NAM and I  know some vets that are still in a coma. If they never had their college days screwed over they would be as robust as  the rest of us.


Wisdom Is The Reward For Listening Over A Lifetime
by gunner on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:02:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

That's always been my dream (none / 0)

An all-powerful party leader who dictates the nominee. Throw out the primaries like a month old banana.

I've posted that on DU for at least 5 years. No one agrees but at least it provides credibility for supporting Hillary, and elevation via super delegates. No one can say I always wanted to rely on the will of the people. And super delegates are apparently the closest we'll ever get.

I've lived in Las Vegas for 20+ years. Public handicapping is inept. Whenever there's a dispute between public opinion and the choice of a superior handicapper(s), give me the later every time. Sportsbooks lose to local sharps but win from the general public. And that axiom holds up in more pronounced fashion in the highest profile events. The public thrills to mangle what they think they know best.

But no, we're not screwed. The big picture tends to prevail and 2008 always figured as a slight Democratic edge via open race with an incumbent president with hopeless approval ratings and reputation. But certainly there isn't the margin for error like '06, a second term midterm. The netroots is confident of Obama because they think they magically caused '06, not the incredibly favorable situation. They may get away with it again, due to the economy and Bush at 30%, and still have no clue they aren't as powerful as they imagine.


by Gary Kilbride on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:22:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That's always been my dream (none / 0)

You should write a diary on this subject !!


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:26:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Quite possibly. (none / 0)

I'm honestly not sure the Democrats can win this election anymore, regardless of who gets the nomination.
Even John McCain lusts after teh engels.
by sricki on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:06:44 AM EST

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

Every candidate is going to have something dredged up... whether it is real or fabricated. Obama has fielded it very well. I don't think Wright is an issue unless someone busts out video showing Obama listening to the 9/11 sermon at church, in which case, he is screwed.


by mattw on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:06:52 AM EST

Re: Are we doomed? (2.00 / 1)

But I'm not sure it's an issue of what's gotten dredged up. All politicians have "scandals". I'm just worried that people on both sides are going to walk if their candidate doesn't get nominated.
Even John McCain lusts after teh engels.
by sricki on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:09:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

Side question: what are the odds all the attacks on both sides are secretly coordinated by... Al Gore? Brokered convention and savior, here we come ;)


by mattw on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:07:41 AM EST

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

I actually heard a deranged commentor suggest that at Obsidian Wings earlier.  Kind of a funny thought.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:12:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

Its all be a complicated master plan, see he's also behind Global Warming (had to build up the credit to run again) and he's spent the last 5 years in his undersea lair planning his revenge, will know that its on when Nader is found dead in a vintage Corvair, bludgenoed with the last remaining stack of unused Butterfly ballots. Watch out Florida you're on the list too!


by Socraticsilence on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:18:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (2.00 / 1)

No way, baby.  We are going to win this thing.  As Ma West once said, famously, 'There ain't no such thing as bad publicity.'


by Shaun Appleby on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:07:57 AM EST

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

Ma West never worked for Enron !!


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:17:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (2.00 / 1)

Good point, and I meant Mae West.  Still...  McCain ain't exactly getting a lot of oxygen these days.


by Shaun Appleby on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:35:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

Obama is close to being doomed.

Ironically I think its his views on national security that would doom him in the general election if he gets there. ( if.....).


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:16:29 AM EST

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

You don't see how Obama getting taken out (especially on this issue) would cripple any chance Hillary would have?  Seriously, there's already talks of Blackouts, and if he goes down on what is essentially not too far out of the mainstream African American theology (note: this is also Tiger Woods, Michael Jordan, and Oprah's church, basically the three most mainstream AA figures in America), there is no way she doesn't suffer from low turnout (on the upside the Green Party might make the 5% threshold in Mckinney gets the nod, and Hillary is the Dem choice).


by Socraticsilence on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:23:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (2.00 / 1)

I think he would be damaged by this but it is not fatal.

However I think against Mccain,  National security would be the issue and if obama is the nominee he would be doomed on that score.

Meeting with these dictators personally as president is not an idea that makes any sense.

That is what you have lower level officials for


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:29:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

You are very wrong about this - and recent US history is proof for it.


by marcotom on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 05:57:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

As much as I respect you, and have enjoyed your posts all these long months, I feel that Obama's national security platform is his strongest appeal and is a coherent and well conceived solution for the global conundrum in which we now find ourselves.  Funny, isn't it?


by Shaun Appleby on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:40:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

Yeah , I know your stance and I respect it as well , but it is exactly his national security position that makes me wary of him from the beginning , but it wasn't a deal killer for me .

We are coming from different ideological perspective , but I have always respected.

However it is this whole race thing that has made me really distressed with obama's campaign.

When all of these charges were being thrown at Bill Clinton , Hillary Clinton and then Geraldine Ferraro it made me really emotional because I know how much these people had been in the front lines for women rights , civil rights and minority rights , it was deeply painful to take. I was always wondering how they would have felt especially Bill and Hillary .

What I saw was a campaign that was ruthless and crude , and would do anything regarding race because he had some license to do it and the media wasn't going to call him out on it.

Sorta like playing on white guilt , knowing that the media would be afraid from calling him out when he plays the race card and it was easier to blame it on the clinton camp.

From pressuring AA like John Lewis and other AA's to switch their support or face primary challengers from other AA's to calling them Uncle Toms, to Tim russert waving a stack of e- mails from his staffers pushing the race angle in Sc only after Clinton had to complain loudly , to Jesse Jackson saying Clinton didn't cry in Katrina a wink and nod to SC voters , to him coming to my neighbouring state to Mississipi using bamboozle , hoodwink , the Ferraro thing was another way to push the race angle , she said what she did in a small paper interview and if he didn't think there was no advantage to it he would have let it go.

I am not saying the Clinton camp haven't played a part but it is Obama and his allies that have exploited race because they won't be called on it.

It was just a little too much for me.

I have always respected your support for your candidate and you have been a great advocate for him , however at this point I would probably just vote my conscience in the general in an Obama Vs. Mccain matchup , not a straight party ticket like I wanted to just a few weeks back. I don't know how that will turn out yet.


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:07:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

Your vote is your choice, of course, but I am disconcerted that you feel that Obama and his campaign has acted so inappropriately as to have made your support for him a problem.  That is a serious concern to all.  It is probably pointless to discuss the pros and cons of both campaign's actions after such a long and hard fought contest.  I can understand, and admire, your loyalties and I certainly deplore some of the unwarranted comments which originated with the Obama campaign and it's surrogates, specifically those of Jesse Jackson Jr which you have noted.  I agree with you about the Clintons' advocacy for civil rights, which makes some of the narratives we have seen more painful, or deplorable, depending on your point of view.

We probably differ on many points of detail regarding these other incidents but I'm sure that the party is better for having energetic and observant advocates like yourself and hope, no matter what the outcome of the nomination, that the party we both share continues to enjoy the contribution you are obviously willing and able to make, whether in this election cycle or the next.  Vote your conscience and you will never be disappointed, and in the end the party will be served.  I always read your comments with interest and have enjoyed my time spent here the better for them.


by Shaun Appleby on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 05:10:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

I think we may be doomed.  Obama has a Wright problem and Hillary has a Hillary problem (that's not trying to be negative, republicans and misogynists don't like her because she's her).  What's sad is that the repubs will gloat at how we had such an easy coast to the white house this year and we still somehow fucked it up.


by shalca on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:24:24 AM EST

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

The GOP will laugh all the way to the White House.
Even John McCain lusts after teh engels.
by sricki on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:29:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

As someone old enough to have worked hard for Gene McCarthy and who remembers the 1968 convention very well, I have to say 'most probably we are doomed.' If the Dems. keep hammering each other until August whichever side is defeated will have no instinct to lick their wounds and jump to support the other side. It's easy to forget that the real enemy was Nixon (and is McCain and Bush III). And as Hillary and Barack slice each other for three or four more months, McCain's poll numbers keep climbing.
T.J. Pempel
by Pempel on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:31:30 AM EST

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

Hmmm, maybe it's time to restart the Draft Gore movement. If either Hillary or Obama gets it half the party will be screaming bloody murder but I can't imagine anyone wouldn't be happy with good ol' Al.


by animated on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:34:33 AM EST

that sounds like an A+ idea (none / 0)

I seriously, I mean very seriously think we should gather concerned bloggers and supporters from all over the internet and try to help make this reality. Bring back the websites, petitions, make news. I truly think he is our only way out and surefire thing. This idea isn't just confined to you and me. The chance of this going to a 2nd ballot is very high.


"there is nothing wrong with America that cannot be cured by what is right in America"-William Jefferson Clinton, forty-second President of the United States
by DiamondJay on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:41:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: that sounds like an A+ idea (none / 0)

Let's face it, the guy is like the only politician in the world who you could bring on as a dark house with some legitimacy, since he was cheated out of it last time.


by animated on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:45:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]

not to mention black support (none / 0)

considering that Hillary is gonna lose a lot of it, and its not clear if she can the numbers up in whites she gained. Obama will be a nightmare as a nominee considering how he hung himself with Wright and can't do damage control for shit.

Gore can get black support, because his non-ascendancy to the white house symbolizes their struggles considering the stolen Florida yet he is not the person who ran against Obama. Of course they'd rather Obama but if its so divided he would be bad, and it could be deadlocked forever with him and Hillary. Gore already proved himself electable, winning the people's vote against an opponent who was beating him in polls since 97, and that was before Monica http://www.cnn.com/ALLPOLITICS/1997/09/1 2/poll/ He would have to put a black on his ticket tho, but i'd really wanna keep Obama away considering this Wright guy


"there is nothing wrong with America that cannot be cured by what is right in America"-William Jefferson Clinton, forty-second President of the United States
by DiamondJay on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:49:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: that sounds like an A+ idea (none / 0)

Yeah, on face it seems like a good idea. I could definitely live with it at this point. But just think how angry African Americans AND women will be if a WHITE MALE steals the nomination. A lot of people would be pissed -- understandably.
Even John McCain lusts after teh engels.
by sricki on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:32:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

its AL GORE (none / 0)

and everyone loves him in the party, black, woman, men, everyone in the Democratic Party, and the country realizes how dumb it was to not vote for him in bigger numbers, which woulda given him one more state at least, thus the White House. And I only suggest this if it is hopelessly deadlocked going to the second or third ballot. because if it goes there, it is stealing in no way, as the delegates are not bound anymore. It would be easy to explain to people, and they'd accept it.

As with the blacks and women, the great thing is Gore could put either one on his ticket. The AA's still appreciate him, from Florida 2000, trying to make their votes count and stand up for them. He could put a black on the ticket, or a woman on the ticket. I was thinking at one time put Obama on the ticket, but if Wright is still an issue, keep him off. But there are other blacks to choose from. I'd see him picking a woman more easily tho. Maybe he could then sebelius or Napolitano or someone.

Gore could def whoop McCain


"there is nothing wrong with America that cannot be cured by what is right in America"-William Jefferson Clinton, forty-second President of the United States
by DiamondJay on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:58:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: its AL GORE (none / 0)

Go read this diary, and you'll see why it doesn't matter if it's Al Gore or Jesus Christ himself.
Even John McCain lusts after teh engels.
by sricki on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:04:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: its AL GORE (none / 0)

As crazy as this idea sounds, I am actually all for it. I think your idea of restarting petitions and web presence is a great one. If nothing else, floating the idea gives us a backup option because who knows where things will be by the summer at this rate.


by animated on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:06:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]

which is why we need Al Gore (none / 0)

to come in at the convention, and offer himself for the second ballot. What Hillary or Obama supporter won't support him.

On a more realistic note, I'm starting to think we are fucked. Obama's crossover appeal could be damaged, in no small part thanks to Wright and the fact that he wrote so much of allegiance to the guy in his book. Hillary may be affected by low black turnout thanks to the media and Obama's race baiting campaign.

But realize we still have the edge in polls and issues. Even tho 1968 resulted in HHH, don't forget we only lost the popular vote by a few thousand. It was a close election, and who knows how it woulda gone without Wallace, considering some of the states he won, may not have been ready for a Republican in 1968, tho they did go for Nix in 72. So lets not write 2008 off just yet.


"there is nothing wrong with America that cannot be cured by what is right in America"-William Jefferson Clinton, forty-second President of the United States
by DiamondJay on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:38:59 AM EST

remember the national popular vote? (none / 0)

which he won, against a stiff opponent, whom he was losing to as early as 1997, which was before Monica http://www.cnn.com/ALLPOLITICS/1997/09/1 2/poll/ And 2000 was a political environment favorable to the GOP. Now it is almost impossible for them to win, only it is very possible we lose. Gore would landslide anyone on the GOP side. He is now even more respected by everyone around the world, got and Oscar, Emmy, Nobel Prize, and now its time get Re-Elected. We need him to appoint judges, as he will do it with a vengeance too


"there is nothing wrong with America that cannot be cured by what is right in America"-William Jefferson Clinton, forty-second President of the United States
by DiamondJay on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:16:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

Join Clinton and Obama. It would have to be decided now, with Obama taking VP. The Clinton damage control team (you have to admit one of the best ever) could cover the Obama dirt as well as her own, and the Obama hope team could convince enough of the AA vote to come back to the fold. Is it perfect? Of course not, but it would be enough to win this election.


by monstergrrl on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:46:00 AM EST

Re: Uh no. Back of the bus will (none / 0)

It's a shame you think of it that way. Because if he wins the nom and loses to McCain, that will be far worse then being VP and winning. And then he will have the chance to run again after her. As it is, losing to McCain as well as his promise to never run again kind of knocks out the chance of us seeing him as POTUS. And most (not all of course) do want to see him there one day.


by monstergrrl on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:12:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I'm not sure why (none / 0)

I don't think she is MORE electable. I think they are about even. But without each other they will fail.


by monstergrrl on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:46:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Uh no. Back of the bus will (none / 0)

Fair enough, and you'll understand that the Hillary stuff isn't about gender, a lot of us just don't think she has any set positions and is a habitual liar.


by Socraticsilence on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:16:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (2.00 / 1)

If it happens I blame Obama and his supporters (sorry)....but we (the hillary supporters) have only been SCREAMING for months that you HAVE TO LOOK AT HIS BACKGROUND, HE NEEDS TO BE VETTED AND YES EXPERIENCE DOES MATTER....

But all the Oprama-lovers and the media were so in love with him.....were so ready to throw out all the respectable, reliable candidates - not just Hillary - but Edwards, Richardson, Biden, etc....because "his message, his message - Oh My God - his message....hope...hope....change...chang e...."

C'mon....if McCain is the next President we can blame ourselves for this.


by nikkid on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:51:20 AM EST

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

In fairness a lot of us 2nd choice Obama people have been saying a person with 50%+ negatives before a ballot is even cast is a doomed choice, and thus weren't goign to hop on the SS Clintanic


by Socraticsilence on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:00:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

47% negative ratings have been consistent since she announced.....and that is because she's familiar....

his negatives continue to go up in the meantime....


by nikkid on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:10:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (2.00 / 1)

Yes were doomed but it didn't have to be this way. The ego and audacity of a certain STATE senator got us into this mess. Obama has never really been a US Senator. He beat Alan Keyes and said "uh I am going to run for President now"


by rossinatl on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:17:05 AM EST

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

Yeah, and Hillary Clinton beat Rick Freakin Lazio in a state even more liberal than Illinois.  


by Toddwell on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:20:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]

that was a very close race for most of it (none / 0)

that was a close race in 2000, http://archives.cnn.com/2000/ALLPOLITICS /stories/10/31/new.york.senate/index.htm l and a another poll http://archives.cnn.com/2000/ALLPOLITICS /stories/11/07/ny.senate/index.html and unlike Obama in 04, that Hillary-Lazio was a challenge. Not to mention she was reelected with 68 percent of the vote. Obama has not been reelected yet. And if his run is unsuccessful, and 2010 isn't a Democratic year, he could lose reelection because if this were to happen, he prob woudln't have done shit for the state, as half of his term will have been campaigning for the presidency. I hope he is reelected, and if he is nominated this year, I hope he wins. But he should be aware of what happens to Senator Gone. Look at Edwards. He didn't run for reelected cuz he knew he'd lose.


"there is nothing wrong with America that cannot be cured by what is right in America"-William Jefferson Clinton, forty-second President of the United States
by DiamondJay on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:03:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: that was a very close race for most of it (none / 0)

Please Obama's massively popular in Illinois, and the Il Gop is in shambles-- actually Obama's race aagainst Keyes was a lot like HRC's v. Lazio in that both of them might have had races if their original opponents hadn't dropped out.


by Socraticsilence on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:19:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are we doomed? (none / 0)

online phenomenon.  Hillary won't get the nomination--if she manage to thieve it, we're screwed anyway.

Meanwhile, Obama will have run so far from Wright by the time we even hit Pennsylvania that it won't be an issue anymore.


It's all about McCain/Bush now...
by thereisnospoon on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:24:26 AM EST


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