KS-Sen: Fmr. Dem. Cong. Slattery Reconsidering a Run

First we thought he was might get in, then we were a little more sure of it. But all of the sudden, former Democratic Congressman Jim Slattery decided not to challenge Republican Senator Pat Roberts in the Kansas Senate election this cycle. Now, however, word has it that Slattery is rethinking his decision (h/t Senate Guru).

Slatts just called. He's looking. He's thinking. "It's not going to take long," he said of making a decision.

He'd like some clarity on the presidential race before pulling the trigger. "That's not the sole consideration, but it's certainly a factor, as you can imagine."

* * *

Former 2nd District Kansas Congressman Jim Slattery tells Prime Buzz he's reconsidering his decision not to challenge two-term incumbent Sen. Pat Roberts this year.

Slattery, a Democrat, weighed the race last year before backing away.

The only Democrat in the race now is Lee Jones, a 56-year-old railroad engineer from Overland Park who ran unsuccessfully for the Senate in 2004.

Insiders say Jones is not positioned to give Roberts, a Republican, a major challenge.

More later.

"He'd like some clarity on the presidential race before pulling the trigger" presumably means that Slattery is waiting to see what the likelihood is that Barack Obama will be the Democratic nominee. Leaving aside other questions over issues of electability or general strength in red areas, there's little debate over the likelihood that Obama, who has Kansas ties and who had an active campaign organization running in the state in the lead up to its nominating contest on February 5, would have stronger coattails (or less negative coattails) in Kansas than would Hillary Clinton.

With Slattery in, this would likely be another one of those races that wouldn't be in the top-tier but would nevertheless potentially be competitive by November. Roberts isn't the most popular Senator in the world, and his waffling on jobs issues isn't going to make him more well-liked. What's more, Kansas is seemingly becoming more purple (coming from a deep red), with Democratic congressional candidates in the state picking up 49.6 percent of the statewide two-party House vote in 2006. So with a candidate who has a number of wins in the state under his belt like Slattery (he served the State in the House of Representatives for a dozen years), this could end up on the map -- particularly in the instance that Roberts slips somehow. And at the least, a Slattery candidacy would help put the Republicans on the defensive in yet another state, thus helping the broader cause of bringing more and better Democrats to the United States Senate.



Display:


Re: KS-Sen: Fmr. Dem. Cong. Slattery Reconsidering (none / 0)

But Obama's coattails don't count!

WAAAAA!


M Hussein Garvey
by MGarvey on Tue Mar 11, 2008 at 05:34:38 PM EST

re (2.00 / 1)

Yea Obama's gonna win Kansas, its a done deal! All those old white Republicans are going to vote for Obama! Hallenjuah they've seen the light!


by rossinatl on Tue Mar 11, 2008 at 05:37:42 PM EST

Re: re (2.00 / 1)

Unlikely Obama would win but Slattery probably would have a better chance with the top of the ticket losing by only ten instead of twenty.


by conspiracy on Tue Mar 11, 2008 at 06:01:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I liked following our Senate races (none / 0)

I liked following our Senate races before we had to start viewing them through the prism of Obama's coattails.


by Zeitgeist9000 on Tue Mar 11, 2008 at 05:53:22 PM EST

Re: I liked following our Senate races (none / 0)

I think it is fair point. Hillary might be able to help congressional candidates in NY better than Obama.


by conspiracy on Tue Mar 11, 2008 at 06:00:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I liked following our Senate races (none / 0)

I liked following our Senate races before we had to start viewing them through the prism of Obama's coattails.

I appreciate your concern, and would point you to every other post I've written pretty much ever that don't mention the potential effects of Obama's coattails. The only reason why I bring it up here is because apparently Slattery is.


Blogging here @ MyDD.com. Twittering @jonathanhsinger.
by Jonathan Singer on Tue Mar 11, 2008 at 06:05:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I liked following our Senate races (none / 0)

Oh, no offense intended to you, you and the other moderators here are remarkably objective compared to your compatriots elsewhere, it's Obama's bloggers and posters that have sucked the joy right out of seeing us take a 60-seat Senate majority.


by Zeitgeist9000 on Tue Mar 11, 2008 at 06:12:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I liked following our Senate races (none / 0)

More of this Hillary Math®.

it's "un"objectively objective<sup>TM</sup>.

©2008


!
by alex100 on Tue Mar 11, 2008 at 06:55:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Not competitive (none / 0)

Slattery lost by 24 points statewide in 1994, in an open race for Governor. He's running against an entrenched incumbent, and you think he puts the Republicans on the defensive?


by VA Blogger2 on Tue Mar 11, 2008 at 06:08:40 PM EST

Re: Not competitive (none / 0)

2008 is not 1994, and Kansas is trending a lot more blue (though still red) than it was in 2994. So, yes, I'd put this in the potentially competitive category in the event of a Slattery run.


Blogging here @ MyDD.com. Twittering @jonathanhsinger.
by Jonathan Singer on Tue Mar 11, 2008 at 06:11:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not competitive (none / 0)

The only race in my opinion in the whole country where we won't be fielding a top-tier candidate is AL, and that's because Ron Sparks dropped out....

This will be a pretty big year for our Senate gains regardless of our presidential nominee!


by Zeitgeist9000 on Tue Mar 11, 2008 at 06:14:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not competitive (2.00 / 1)

I'll drink to that!


by NewOaklandDem on Tue Mar 11, 2008 at 06:23:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not competitive (none / 0)

Slattery lost in 1994 in a down year for Democrats.  The incumbent Democratic Governor was politically toxic at the time.

Add in the fact that Graves had the explicit televised endorsement of an extraordinarily popular Senator.  (The Kassebaum ad was a killer.)

In that position, it's unlikely any Kansas Democrat would have done much better that year.


The Kansas GOP under Kris Kobach
by Shocker Jim on Tue Mar 11, 2008 at 06:46:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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