Totally expected.

Now I wonder by what margin he will win?

...count.

I too am curious about the margin. CNN and MSNBC are basing their call on exit data only.

I hate when they say Georgia has a large AA population as if that explains it.  Don't they also have a large Woman population?

no surprise there --

i just hope it does not sway Cali late voters

What is important is by what amount.  That will determine delegate count.

And if these exit numbers are accurate?

Early numbers have 65%+ for Obama.

Polls still open in Alamaba.  Go vote for Obama!

Great. We'll take it.

65% is better then 75%

MSNBC: Obama doubled white vote from SC. Obama wins 43% of white vote in GA.

If Obama pulls 65% in Georgia, and lost Whites by 60-40, Jonathan's exit poll numbers are probably skewed. This will be a long night...

Obama got 43% of white voters; it was the over 60 white voters who brought down his numbers here, only giving him 26% of the white vote.

52% of voters African-American of which 86% voted for Obama.

43% of Whites voted for Obama which is much higher than what happened in South Carolina.

I'm not surprised.  GA is a big state, too, so I suppose at least 100 delegates???

One down, nineteen or so to go.  C'mon Obama...  Si se puede!

49% of white voters 40-59 yrs-old for Obama. That's pretty good.

Obama got 49% of White 40-59 Vote.  Huge.

According to CNN exit polls:

Obama: 67%
Clinton: 31%

Georgia has 87 delegates decided by the primary.

By my count at current percentages Obama will get 65 and HR 22.

Obama is gonna get a HUGE amount of the AA vote. And i mean 80-90% of it. I dont know how that reflects on Hillary in the General.

We could know by 8:00 pm though.

In the reports we got GA exit polls

Georgia: Obama 75, Clinton 26

while now CNN says 67/31 so obviously the reports are overstating Obama votes

wow, 7526 would be a huge margin of defeat.

I pray that you are right.

If I was the Obama camp, I would worry about what this skewed AA vote will say to states whose polls are still open. Not to mention that it doesn't bode well for the general.

I have to take it all with a grain of salt though. Only Georgia and Alabama have AA voter percentages that high.

Anybody know the Hispanic numbers?

Even in black majority districts, Clinton would do better among other groups.  Wouldn't that push her above 15%, even in the worst case?  

ND, Hispanic numbers are very limited.

MSNBC is saying that Obama may get 60 of the 87 delegates.

MSNBC is guessing.

We won't know delegates for awhile yet. Exit polls are not hard numbers people. Remember Kerry?

I am wondering because of the other states that have more hispanics then AA.

Here is a question that I have been asking since Iowa - isn't it a little surprising that pundits are  surprised when Obama gets a significant number of white votes in a DEMOCRATIC primary?  Haven't the Dems been the integrated party all these years, while the Reps have been running on their racist southern strategy?  I would be very disappointed in my party if white people did not vote for Obama if they were so inclined based on his policies.

I agree that in the general election I will be impressed if he gets 39% of the white vote in Georgia - but in the Dem primary?  I would hope so.  The pundits never mention this at all, like the last 28 years of the Republican southern strategy never happened.

Any thoughts?  This is a great forum and I'm really interested in your opinions.

They're saying that Clinton won white men 49/46 and white women 62/36. Obama's vote - not broken down by gender - among black voters was 88/11.

If she wins white men and Hispanics in other states, she will roll, right?

ND, we'll see. I dont know the demographics. It's gonna be really close. cali may not call a winner until 3-4 eastern time

If she wins white men and latinos she will roll in many states, including CA.

I'm saying that assuming she win among white women, white men and Hispanics, it is looking good.  There is no other way to see it.  I don't believe she will win white men in all states, but if she holds close among white men in Alabama and Missouri, she should win those states.

i dont think hillary will "roll" but I do think that the AA vote is lost for her in the primaries. People should not be surprised, but im not downplaying the rout in Georgia. Obama has cross appeal. Blacks will turn out for him in droves.

Falcon: That is why I have said she would have to choose Obama as her running mate.

The AA vote may turn out for him in droves but it won't be enough, alone, to win the nomination and certainly not enough in the general.

The Latino/a vote is larger than the AA vote nationwide. I don't think anything is decided using Georgia as a litmus test.

I just heard Brian Lehrer (in NYC on WNYC) say that 30 percent of CA voters are absentee voters. 30 percent. I had no idea there were that many absentee voters -- it's going to be a very, very long night.

I think that's sort of pathetic about "white" voters "deserting" Hillary.

Sad, sad, sad.

BTW, this white woman is not voting for the white woman.

From Marc Ambinder

TIGHT
**Obama wins Georgia...
**Campaigns nervous .... rumors fly about exit polls....

As an Obama canvaser in Georgia, all I can say is:  fuck yeah

If the exit polls only are doing polling for today? How does the absentee ballot get factored in? They are people who did not go to polls right? So are these #s slightly useless for states like CA?

Exit polls numbers aren't even close to actual vote in Ga right now.  

I wonder where they came from?  I'm guessing (only half seriously) a fax machine from Chicago.

well next time i sign on, i will hopefully happier.

just got out of election law.

going to a gay bar to watch returns with a few friends.

try to be civil boys! jk lol

ND, yup. She has to take him. HAS TO. No choice. Obama however may not want to do it. And it makes sense for him to not to.

Wow...Exit polls aren't even close in Georgia.  I'm expecting a long night, but unfortunately, I can't stay up late.  Ugh.

Fox already calling Alabama for Obama?

ND, Alabama is gonna be Obama big.

Holy Hell, Clinton broke 40.  I know she won't win, but I'm surprised.

I think people need to stop jumping the gun using exit polls. Obama's lead in Georgia is shrinking by the minute as the hard numbers come out. Interesting that they are not making a big deal out of that.

Sit back people...it's going to be a bumpy ride.

Georgia Result (2% Reporting)

Obama - 6926 - 52%

Clinton - 5514 - 42%

Edwards - 640 - 5%

Lead Decresing.........

Exit poll show 70-75% ????????

Drudge took the 75-25 exit poll numbers from ga. from his site. This looks like gamesmanship more and more.