Hawaii Caucus Thread

The Hawaii caucuses have begun and will take place at 81 caucus sites throughout the state. Interestingly, while the caucuses usually last just a half hour, this year they'll continue "as long as there is a consistent influx of participants." Hey, if you're going to hold a caucus, this is the way to do it:

"We're going to keep it open," said Florence Kong Kee, the party's political director. "We don't know when this kind of interest will happen again. This is history right now."

Conventional wisdom is that the Hawaii caucuses favor Barack Obama because of his traditional strength in caucuses so far this cycle and, not insignificantly, he was born there, but Clinton has her strengths in the state as well.

From The Chicago Tribune:

Local volunteers for Clinton believe she may be stronger outside of urban Honolulu and on the Neighbor Islands, where traditional Democrats and labor unions appear to have more influence. Most of the grassroots activity and energy, however, are behind Obama, who was born here and graduated from Punahou School.

Higher caucus turnout would generally favor Obama.

Obama also has the benefit of a local family connection: his half-sister, Maya Soetoro-Ng, still lives there and has been headlining rallies on his behalf.

"I'm not quite as compelling as he is but I do my best," said Soetoro-Ng, who added she believes Obama's island identity will resonate with voters.

"I'm hoping that the people of Hawaii understand that he shares their rhythm and perspective, their view of the world as complex, their sense that diversity is gorgeous," said Soetoro-Ng.

Barack Obama is running ads in Hawaii while Hillary Clinton is not. In addition, he has been endorsed by nine-term U.S. Rep. Neil Abercrombie.

In Clinton's favor is her daughter Chelsea who has been traversing the state campaigning for her mom as well as Senator Daniel Inouye who has endorsed her and could hold sway with traditional Democrats.

The state's most powerful Democrat, longtime Sen. Daniel Inouye, has endorsed Clinton, as has state Senate President Colleen Hanabusa, considered a rising political star here. [...]

Though there have been no polls conducted to show any trends here, Inouye's appearance to bolster Clinton's chances heightens the drama, according to Ian Lind, a local political blogger and former activist. It's the first time in 40 years that Inouye has involved himself in Hawaii's caucuses.

Anyone care to add any local flavor? Not sure I'll be up still when results do come in but if you are, feel free to throw them in the comments.

Update [2008-2-20 3:4:44 by Todd Beeton]:This dailyKos diary has a nice recap of a caucus in Hana, HI.



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Re: Hawaii Caucus Thread (none / 0)

Turnout is reported to be big, at least in Honolulu.

Sen. Inouye in Line heh.


by MNPundit on Wed Feb 20, 2008 at 02:23:11 AM EST

Re: Hawaii Caucus Thread (none / 0)

Nice attempt at making Hawaii a horserace.  Obama is winning 4-1 in precincts reporting.  This will be a blowout.  Luckily for the Clinton campaign, this state doesn't matter.


by stuckinsf on Wed Feb 20, 2008 at 02:27:26 AM EST

Re: Hawaii Caucus Thread (none / 0)

Very few have reported and thereis very little said even on Daily Kos that can be taken as fact. Geez...calm down.


by americanincanada on Wed Feb 20, 2008 at 02:40:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]

FWIW (none / 0)

all the anecdotal reports at Kos by Hawaiian commenters is 3:1 or 4:1 Obama.


by magster on Wed Feb 20, 2008 at 02:29:13 AM EST

Re: Hawaii Caucus Thread (none / 0)

FWIW there are no official results yet.


by americanincanada on Wed Feb 20, 2008 at 02:35:44 AM EST

Re: Hawaii Caucus Thread (none / 0)

Obama 77% to 23% with 8% reporting from CNN.


by Shaun Appleby on Wed Feb 20, 2008 at 02:41:44 AM EST

Re: Hawaii Caucus Thread (none / 0)

I feel so ripped off Shaun. 40 seconds!

If I hadnt stopped to fix a typo!!


by inexile on Wed Feb 20, 2008 at 02:43:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]

8% Reporting Hawai'i (none / 0)

Obama       77 %
Clinton     23%
by inexile on Wed Feb 20, 2008 at 02:42:32 AM EST

Re: Hawaii Caucus Thread (none / 0)

looking good.
!
by alex100 on Wed Feb 20, 2008 at 02:46:19 AM EST

Re: Hawaii Caucus Thread (none / 0)

Yowsers.


by rfahey22 on Wed Feb 20, 2008 at 02:49:45 AM EST

Re: Hawaii Caucus Thread (none / 0)

Can Barack top Idaho, or heck even deny Clinton the 15% threshold here?


by Socraticsilence on Wed Feb 20, 2008 at 02:50:06 AM EST


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