Donna Edwards, Obama and Transformation

This is a potential wave of change that can sweep the nation, and it would not be possible on this scale without the two movements scratching each other's backs. However, because both movements are roaring, we stand at the brink of a transformational moment in American politics. -Chris Bowers

Today at OpenLeft Chris Bowers has a very good post. It's about what happened yesterday and what it could mean for the progressive movement and America. Yesterday progressive champion Donna Edwards defeated corrupt incumbent Al Wynn in the Democratic primary for Maryland's fourth congressional district and Barack Obama rode a wave of new voters to overwhelming victories in Maryland, Virgina and DC.

First of all if you don't know about the Edwards vs Wynn race read up about it here.

But back to the post Chris made.

turnout was significantly higher than in September 2006. Seventeen months ago, when Donna Edwards lost by 3%, there were about 77,000 voters in the primary. Last night, turnout seems to have been about 113,000, an increase of about 47%. Despite the large increase in turnout, Wynn's overall numbers did not change much. Seventeen months ago, he received about 38-39,000 votes. This year, it looks like Wynn will receive about 40-41,000 votes.

There is not enough data to prove this exactly but here are the basics. 47% more people voted and mostly because of the presidential primary. A large majority of those voters voted in the presidential primary because of Barack Obama. Those new voters also overwhelmingly voted for Donna Edwards. The end result? Not only does Barack Obama win but his victory helps bring about the the first progressive primary victory against an incumbent U.S. House Democrat in a decade. Two movements. Working side by side.

In the end, the two movements supplemented each other quite nicely. Now, we not only have a wave of new voters, but we have a wave of new progressive voters that sent a powerful message of change to Democrats, corporations, and basically everyone in Washington, D.C.  That strikes me as exactly the message that both movements hoped to send.

Ladies and gentleman. You've just seen the first result of the Obama Effect. Even Howie Klein sees it:

The new voters who were so motivated by Obama also voted overwhelmingly for Donna. Basically with voter participation skyrocketing in Maryland, Wynn's numbers are pretty much the same as what he got in 2006. Most of those extra voters went for Donna and her message of real change.

To be blunt. We won big last night. This is could be the beginning of a real transformation. Essentially Barack Obama ,who would probably be the most progressive president since the 60's, is bringing thousands of new voters to the polls. Those voters are sweeping progressive down ballot candidates into office. In the general election we are talking about a huge effect that has the potential to make the difference in a lot of close races and sweep in new majorities in the house and senate.

In short there is potential for a real transformation.

But change never comes easy. And transformation certainly does not.

So let's get active. On Sunday I wrote a diary about 5 easy ways to get active. Check it out. Also one more thing. My fellow blogger snout launched the Obama Action Network today, it is a group for all Obama supporters who are taking action. It will be a great resource to help you take action and have fun while you're doing it. Action, fun and transformation. Does it get better?

And always remember one thing: Donate!

Let's get active my friends. Tag, you're it!



Display:


that was a great win last night (none / 0)

and I am sure you're right, Obama's coattails were a big part of her victory.

I know the folks at Ed Fallon's campaign (IA-03) are very excited by Donna Edwards' victory.


Join the Iowa progressive community at Bleeding Heartland.
by desmoinesdem on Wed Feb 13, 2008 at 08:52:09 PM EST

I sure hope they are! (none / 0)

If someone who has never held office before can do it Ed can do it.

Ed really needs to get a website up because I want a website to link to once I start writing about him.

He also needs to come and start blogging more.

Then he can do it.


"Live your beliefs and you can turn the world around." --Thoreau
by Populista on Wed Feb 13, 2008 at 10:33:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: (none / 0)

LOL Wynn is an Obama endorser too.


by rossinatl on Wed Feb 13, 2008 at 08:55:03 PM EST

Yes. . . (none / 0)

. . .Wynn endorsed Obama weeks before Edwards did. Did Obama endorse Edwards? I don't think so.

So, why should Obama be given credit for Edwards' win? Haven't progressives in her district, and in left-liberal circles in general, been trying to get her elected since at least 2006? It seems to me that there have been numerous diaries on this website detailing all of the work that has gone into the Edwards campaigns.

As for the turnout, naturally it was much larger with a contested Democratic presidential primary going on than it was in 2006, an off-year, Congress-only election. Why should Obama get all the credit for that, either? Also, is there even any way of knowing whether Obama voters and Edwards voters overlapped anymore than Clinton voters and Edwards voters?


by freemansfarm on Wed Feb 13, 2008 at 09:28:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yes. . . (2.00 / 1)

Obama brought out new voters and 'change' voters.  Those are the people who helped Edwards win.


The sharpest criticism often goes hand in hand with the deepest idealism and love of country. ~RFK
by Vox Populi on Wed Feb 13, 2008 at 09:49:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yes. . . (none / 0)

The "new" voters (as compared to the 2006 primary) were brought out by the simultaneous occurence of a contested Presidential primary. That was not, obviously, solely Obama's doing, as it takes two to tangle. Again, both congressional candidates endorsed Obama, the loser endorsed Obama weeks before the winner. The winner has been working for years to take this seat. The winner did not coordinate her campaign with Obama's. And, from what Bowers and the diarist have presented, and from what I could gather on my own, there is simply no evidence that an Obama vote correlated with an Edwards vote anymore than a Clinton vote did.

I realize that you and the diarist want to give Obama the credit for anything good that happens, but you are going to have to do better than this. Tell me, if Edwards had lost, would this diarist be here telling us it was Obama's fault?


by freemansfarm on Wed Feb 13, 2008 at 09:57:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yes. . . (none / 0)

I'm not attributing the win to Obama, I'm saying that Obama certainly boosted turnout among 'new' voters and 'change' voters.  That cannot be disputed according to the exit polls.


The sharpest criticism often goes hand in hand with the deepest idealism and love of country. ~RFK
by Vox Populi on Wed Feb 13, 2008 at 10:25:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yes. . . (none / 0)

You may not be "attributing" the win to Obama, but the diarist certainly, at the very least, is implying that. As for the voter turnout, again, it is axiomatic that more people will turn out to vote when there is a closely contested, presidential primary being held than when a congressional seat primary is being held in an "off-election" year. The "new" voters (as compared to 2006) came out for that reason. And to have a contested presidential primary, you need two candidates, of which Obama, unless the laws of physics have been repealed, can only be one.

The exit poll data that I have seen only relates to the presidential race, not to the congressional primary. So while your assertions about that data cannot, as you say, be "disputed," they have not been shown to be relevant to the question we are discussing.

Look at it this way, say there was no Obama, and Clinton and Edwards were battling it out. Don't you think more voters (that is, what you call "new" voters) would have turned out than did in the 2006 Edwards/Wynn primary?


by freemansfarm on Wed Feb 13, 2008 at 10:56:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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