With Chris Matthews reportedly moving closer towards a run for the United States Senate in Pennsylvania, the head-to-head polling matching him up against incumbent Republican Arlen Specter has been a bit over the map. But the one unifying feature of all the polls is that Specter isn't cracking 50 percent against Matthews. Here's the latest Rasmussen Reports poll:
Republican Senator Arlen Specter is potentially vulnerable in his 2010 bid for re-election. A Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Pennsylvania voters finds Specter leading MSNBC pundit Chris Matthews by just three percentage points, 46% to 43%, in a match-up that may foreshadow one of the nation's most closely-watched Senate races.[...]
While Specter attracts support from 32% of Democrats, only 70% of Republicans say they would vote for him.
[...]
Specter is viewed favorably by 60% of voters statewide while Matthews earns positive reviews from 49%. Just 68% of Republicans have a favorable opinion of their senator, but the GOP incumbent also gets positive reviews from 48% of Democrats.
Matthews elicits a more polarized response: 65% of Democrats like him, but only 27% of Republicans share that view.
Recent polls have showed Matthews' level of support to be lower, 33 percent according to Quinnipiac University and 27 percent according to Public Policy Polling (D) (.pdf). However, the unifying feature across the three polls is Specter's weakness, polling at just 45 percent in the Q poll and 40 percent in the PPP poll.
It's not clear to me that Matthews is the best candidate to exploit Specter's weakness (nor is it clear that he's not a sufficiently strong candidate, either). But if the Democrats can figure out a way to get Democratic voters to vote the party line in the Senate race next fall -- and shining light on Specter's high profile support of conservative jurists John Roberts and especially Samuel Alito should help -- Specter's weakness among Republicans could finally spell his doom in 2010.
|
|
|
Permalink :: 16 Comments :: Post a Comment
|
In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.
If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.