Mid-Election Day Thread

There's a lot going on today (duh!) so here's what I've been reading and watching today.

  • This morning, Barack Obama made a quick stop in Indiana while he was close by to vote. At the event, Barack sounded a confident note:

    Asked about his confidence in winning a state that has not backed a Democrat for president since 1964, Obama said he thinks he can change that pattern.

    "I think we can win Indiana, otherwise I wouldn't be in Indiana," he said, according to a pool report of the visit.

    Major Garrett on Fox News just reported that the reason for the stop was actually that Barack was down 5 in their overnight internal tracking polls. Come on Indiana, deliver this one for Barack. And by the way, if you live in IN, remember your polls close at 6pm LOCAL TIME.

  • NYTimes.com has a cool animated word cloud that compiles the words that election watchers are using to describe their mood today. You can enter your own and see which words supporters of both of the candidates are using to describe themselves. "Hopeful", "Nervous", "Excited" and "Anxious" are the top words from supporters of both candidates. A couple words you see on the McCain supporter word cloud that you don't see on Obama's: "prayerful", "resigned" and "defeated." Ouch.

  • Via CNN: Since 1928, 80% of the time, if the S&P 500 goes up during the three months before election day, the incumbent party wins; if the S&P goes down, the challenger wins. Right now, the S&P is down 24% so, if this has any predictive value whatsoever, Barack Obama will be our next president.

  • The NYTimes on expected turnout:

    Some voting experts and campaign aides predicted that there would be a record turnout of some 130 million voters, which would be the highest percentage turnout in a century, and would shatter the previous record of 123.5 million people who cast ballots four years ago.

    Some I'm hearing don't think it will exceed 1960's 63% turnout. In 2004, 55% of eligible voters went to the polls.

  • A few other tidbits from Major Garrett on Fox News:

    - Turnout is solid in NH, but not at blowout levels. Renewed GOTV calls there are underway.
    - As of 10:30am, 50% of Virginia's registered voters (including early + election day voters) had cast ballots.
    - In order to boost turnout in Missouri, the Obama campaign has launched a random dialer phonebank system (Activate) that supporters can access from home

  • Orrin Hatch: wanker.

    Looking forward to a potential Obama administration in an interview with CNN, Hatch said, "If you think you've got big spending now, wait till you see what happens then. Wait till you see when you don't have a Supreme Court that's going to stand up and do what's right. Wait till you see what's going to happen when they spend $1 trillion more."

    "We're going to lose a lot of stature throughout the world because we have somebody who, though eloquent and a very nice person, who I like, who doesn't know what he's talking about," he added.

    As opposed to George W. Bush who's a freakin wunderkind. These guys are freakin deluded.

  • Politico compiles the 25 most important counties to watch tonight.

  • I agree with Brownsox.

    Quote of the day:

    Democrats were optimistic that the only two Democratic senators who will lose their Senate seats as a result of the national elections will be Barack Obama and Joe Biden.

  • Oh yeah. And go vote.

What else is going on?

Update [2008-11-4 16:12:38 by Todd Beeton]:More:



Display:


Re: Mid-Election Day Thread (none / 0)

ORIN HATCH is auditioning for SNL with that kinda talk

Fired UP!!!!!  ready to go !!!!

Fired UP!!!!!  ready to go !!!!
Fired UP!!!!!  ready to go !!!!
Fired UP!!!!!  ready to go !!!!
Fired UP!!!!!    !!!! !!!!Fired UP!!!!!  ready to go !!!!
Fired UP!!!!!  ready to go !!!!


President Barack Obama "get used to it"
by wellinformed on Tue Nov 04, 2008 at 03:51:46 PM EST

I can live without Obama winning IN (none / 0)

That would be icing on the cake, and it would be great for the media narrative, but the fact that it's so close in Indiana is a victory in itself.

I just heard that the Republican Party of Iowa apparently wrote off holding Iowa House district 59, which has been held by the GOP for at least 40 to 50 years. (The current incumbent is retiring.) I'm going to love having a Democrat representing me in the state legislature for once!


Join the Iowa progressive community at Bleeding Heartland.
by desmoinesdem on Tue Nov 04, 2008 at 03:54:16 PM EST

Re: Mid-Election Day Thread (2.00 / 2)

I am sure that someone with access to Obama's internal polls likes to leak to Fox News.  Yeah, that strikes me as entirely plausible.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Tue Nov 04, 2008 at 03:55:44 PM EST

What a disgrace (2.00 / 1)

A place with < 2,000 people living there, and they have to stand in line for 6.5 hours.
                   
by Frank on Tue Nov 04, 2008 at 04:32:06 PM EST

Re: What a disgrace (none / 0)

I'm sure the racial makeup of that town is mere coincidence to the long wait to vote. cough. cough.


by the mollusk on Tue Nov 04, 2008 at 04:45:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Mid-Election Day Thread (none / 0)

I got this email from the Obama campaign... not sure if this is just motivational or something to really be worried about:

Friends --

Barack needs your help now -- our data indicates that the results will
be very close in many states.  I can't emphasize enough how urgent
this message is.  Please go to http://my.barackobama.com/call and
start calling as soon as you can.

We are not going to hit our goal of 500,000 calls for today by 3pm
Central, unless we get at least 2,000 more people calling for the next
hour.

Can you call now and continue for as long as you can manage?

http://my.barackobama.com/call

Thank you.

Judith


"This was never part of our arrangement, Specter" "I am altering the deal! Pray I don't alter it any further!" "This deal keeps getting worse all the time!"
by LordMike on Tue Nov 04, 2008 at 05:01:21 PM EST

Re: Mid-Election Day Thread (none / 0)

It's standard motivational stuff. Obama has been great at keeping people vigilant.


by elrod on Tue Nov 04, 2008 at 05:03:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Mid-Election Day Thread (none / 0)

I hope so because it gave me pause as well... and I am not one to concern troll or panic.


by yitbos96bb on Tue Nov 04, 2008 at 05:10:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Mid-Election Day Thread (none / 0)

We've been using Activate for a week and a half.  When it works (about 80% of the time), it's devastating.  And it's in place for Missouri and Indiana.

I personally think it's a bit too risky to use on E-Day.  It's not out of beta yet.


by dday on Tue Nov 04, 2008 at 05:26:47 PM EST


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