A Push for Middle East Peace?

Tomorrow's Wall Street Journal has an interesting article on the relationship between Barack Obama and Brent Scowcroft, the foreign policy realist who served as National Security Advisor under both Presidents Gerald Ford and George H. W. Bush. Of particular note, at least from this vantage, are Scowcroft's views on the role of a Middle East peace process in helping foster stability throughout the region.

Many of the Republicans emerging as potential members of the Obama administration have professional and ideological ties to Brent Scowcroft, a former national-security adviser turned public critic of the Bush White House.

Mr. Scowcroft spoke by phone with President-elect Barack Obama last week, the latest in a months-long series of conversations between the two men about defense and foreign-policy issues, according to people familiar with the discussions.

The relationship between the president-elect and the Republican heavyweight suggests that Mr. Scowcroft's views, which place a premium on an Israeli-Palestinian peace accord, might hold sway in the Obama White House.

[...]

Mr. Scowcroft said his biggest piece of advice for the new administration was that it should make a renewed push to help broker an Israeli-Palestinian peace deal. He also endorsed Mr. Obama's call for diplomatic engagement with Iran.

Renewed attention towards a possible Israeli-Palestinian peace deal from the administration would come as a welcome development following eight years of disengagement from the Bush White House. A professor of mine once likened America's role in the peace process to a bicycle rider -- if the rider gets off, the bike doesn't continue to ride itself. So while there may be some potentially positive omens out of Israel, particularly the suggestion that Israeli leadership might consider the peace proposal forwarded by Saudi Arabia, without America on board helping to move the process forward, it's difficult to see much of any headway being made.

It's in light of this that the selection of Hillary Clinton as Secretary of State is so enticing. While there is a sense that Clinton is more hawkish than Barack Obama, that she is to the right of him on some foreign policy issues, I agree with Jerome that the differences during the primaries were overstated by both sides to make electoral cases. More to the point, though, the Israel-Palestine situation is one in which Clinton, like her husband, could try to stake her legacy. Indeed, if she were able to move the process significantly forward, thus improving not only the situation in the immediate area but also throughout the region, not only would she be able to cement her own place in history she would also be able to fulfill the effort upon which her husband hoped to stake his term in office.

To be clear, I'm not blind to the difficulty going forward, and the very real prospect that Bibi Netanyahu, rather than Tzipi Livni (or Ehud Barak, for that matter), becomes the next Prime Minister of Israel in the spring makes the path to peace that much more arduous. That said, there remains a glimmer of hope that cannot be overlooked, and the role an active U.S. administration could play in making peace a reality should not be underestimated.



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Re: A Push for Middle East Peace? (none / 0)

Perhaps you are missing the point that because of Hillary's foreign policy differences with Obama she is uniquely suited to prosecute a credible settlement with an arguably intransigent, and perhaps soon Right-wing, Israel.  Her reputation as an unequivocal supporter of Israel could actually give the Israeli politicians cover and provide some leverage which no other Obama appointee would be able to deliver.

Otherwise I agree with your post, we are seeing a resurgence of this issue in the managed chatter in the media, not to mention the recent Scocroft/Brzezinski opinion piece in the Post.  It seems Obama may be trying to make good on his election promise in Amman:


"And so, you know, my goal is to make sure that we work, starting from the minute I'm sworn into office, to try to find some breakthroughs"

Senator Obama - Amman, Jordan 2008


by Shaun Appleby on Sun Nov 23, 2008 at 10:51:17 PM EST

Re: A Push for Middle East Peace? (2.00 / 1)

Yes, but are they progressive enough? That's the most important question fo the day for left wing blogs on international and domestic issues? Not whether they are trying to move issues that have been stagnant for almost a decade forward. Didn't you get the memo?


by bruh3 on Sun Nov 23, 2008 at 11:09:19 PM EST

If Tzipi Livni (2.00 / 1)

wins at all then it's probably the best chance for a Middle East Peace deal in decades. If she wins convincingly and is able to put together a strong coalition and the Obama administration engages in a major way it could be the best chance ever.

If Netanyahu wins that's all off the table though.


"Live your beliefs and you can turn the world around." --Thoreau
by Populista on Sun Nov 23, 2008 at 11:38:22 PM EST

Bibi (2.00 / 1)

If Netanyanu wins, an agreement may be possible, though much more difficult to achieve.  It's going to take a lot of diplomatic pressure on Isreal to get Bibi to budge.  


by esconded on Sun Nov 23, 2008 at 11:58:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

He has ruled out (none / 0)

any concessions on Jerusalem. Without that a peace deal will never happen.


"Live your beliefs and you can turn the world around." --Thoreau
by Populista on Mon Nov 24, 2008 at 12:41:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: He has ruled out (none / 0)

True, but who knows what pressure may be brought to bear?  The influence of the US on Israel is understated and complex.  In the face of determined US pressure, if we chose to exercise it, Israel has a limited range of options to remain defiant of a negotiated settlement.  And who better to deliver that pressure than Hillary?


by Shaun Appleby on Mon Nov 24, 2008 at 01:13:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Livni has courage (none / 0)

I'm encouraged by the kicking out of the ultrareligious parties.

the world looks a little more hopeful, at least that corner of it.


yo mir kennen
by RisingTide on Mon Nov 24, 2008 at 08:51:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A Push for Middle East Peace? (2.00 / 1)

I worry... I don't have close friends in Israel anymore, but I still keep up with Ha'Aretz etc., and I don't think Livni's going to pull it out.  I hope I'm wrong.  I don't think any US administration would be able to work too well with Netanyahu; we could threaten them all day but does anybody in this country have the actual capacity and political capital to withdraw support for Israel?  I bet Netanyahu gambles that nobody elected President is willing to take that step.

Netanyahu and his ideas die when there is a lasting peace that all parties are willing to proactively maintain; he'll have no incentive to move forward to reach that position.  Bear in mind that Israel was moving towards a lasting peace when Ariel Sharon decided, intentionally, to take a stroll through a sacred Muslim part of the Temple Mount/Masjid Al-Aqsa.  We pray for Sharon's healing every week in temple, but I certainly don't extend that to Sharon's failed policies.

Nothing in Israel will happen until the elections and a government is formed, so all Obama can do in the meanwhile is basically give a courtesy call to all the party leaders.


by auronrenouille on Mon Nov 24, 2008 at 01:58:50 AM EST

Re: A Push for Middle East Peace? (none / 0)

Does anybody in this country have the actual capacity and political capital to withdraw support for Israel?  Well, if any Democrat does, it's Hillary, that's for sure.  Makes her long deliberation over taking the post seem understandable, under the circumstances.


by Shaun Appleby on Mon Nov 24, 2008 at 02:18:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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