The Terms Of The Debate

Taking a look at the guidelines the two campaigns have agreed upon for tonight's townhall style debate, there is little hope for any fireworks or spontaneous moments. The two campaigns' debate negotiators have made sure of that.

From Lynn Sweet:

Tuesday's match-up at Belmont University in Nashville, Tenn., will be moderated by NBC's Tom Brokaw, with the questions to be culled from a group of 100 to 150 uncommitted likely voters in the audience and another one-third to come via the Internet. The Gallup Organization -- as in past debates like this -- has the job of making sure the questioners reflect the demographic makeup of the nation.

Brokaw selects the questions to ask from written queries submitted prior to the debate, according to the "contract."

An audience member will not be allowed to switch questions. Under the deal, the moderator may not ask followups or make comments. The person who asks the question will not be allowed a follow-up either, and his or her microphone will be turned off after the question is read. A camera shot will only be shown of the person asking -- not reacting.

While there will be director's chairs (with backs and foot rests), McCain and Obama will be allowed to stand -- but they can't roam past their "designated area" to be marked on the stage. McCain and Obama are not supposed to ask each other direct questions.

The media can't seem to discuss this debate without insisting that the forum favors McCain. He is the self-professed townhall king, after all, having challenged Barack to a crapload of these things this summer.

The Obama campaign is, rightly, playing up these expectations.

When it comes to sheer format, we enter today's debate the decided underdog.  John McCain does extremely well in town hall settings. It's been his favorite format throughout his career and we think that he will of course do very well.

The McCain campaign for their part is previewing the tone McCain is likely to strike tonight.

McCain, 72, will try to leaven his attacks with humor, said Republican campaign aides, some of whom plan to wear cufflinks with a mock Obama presidential seal. McCain and his surrogates will be ``aggressive truth tellers'' on debate night, said senior adviser Nicolle Wallace. ``I don't accept the premise that that makes the campaign negative.''

And while McCain's demeanor is likely to be a big improvement over his first debate performance, honestly, having seen McCain in action at these townhalls, part of his thing is having a dialogue with the questioner and taking follow-up after follow-up, as if to say "see, I'm not afraid of your stinkin questions." He won't be able to do that tonight. Also, no one talks about how good Barack Obama is in these townhalls. If he is stiff in debates, in townhall settings he's much looser; the interaction allows his personality to come through more.

All of that having been said, I do suspect that McCain has lowered the bar for his performance to such depths that the whole expectations game might actually be a wash. While McCain's insistence on a series of townhalls should signal that the McCain campaign sees the format as a strength, the fact is people think the Democrats have done better than the Republicans in the debates.

By a 21 point margin, 50%-29%, voters said the Democrats had the debate edge over rival Republican running mates John McCain and Sarah Palin, while 10% of respondents said the two tickets were equally as good and 4% said neither was good.

That is likely to carry over into expectations for Barack tonight.



Display:


Going Negative in a TownHall (none / 0)

I just can't see how McCain can effectively go negative in this format, which is ironic since his campaign really pushed for this kind of debate.  I've been to and watched plenty of these events, and they just don't lend themselves to the kind of attacks McCain seems to be planning.  

I also second the notion that Mccain's schtick will be hindered by the inability to take follow-ups.  Even though that's designed to "protect" the candidates, it actually defeats the entire point of the format that McCain excells at.  


by HSTruman on Tue Oct 07, 2008 at 12:37:18 PM EST

Can't the McCain campaign do anything right? (none / 0)

Not that I'm complaining, but sheesh... Walk right into the expectations trap on the second debate.

Oh, and from the out of touch files:

"...said Republican campaign aides, some of whom plan to wear cufflinks with a mock Obama presidential seal."
Oh, Muffy and I have placed a mock Obama Presidential seal on the gate to our community. Now off to my polo game with the Worthingtons!


I attended PUMACon '08!!!
by iohs2008 on Tue Oct 07, 2008 at 12:38:24 PM EST

Lovely... (2.00 / 1)

I wonder what that seal's inscription will read.  I'm betting on something light and classy, like  "The Seal of the Muslim Terrorist N*gg*r-in-Chief."  


by JDWalley on Tue Oct 07, 2008 at 12:59:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The Terms Of The Debate (2.00 / 1)

"Agressive truth telling?"

Is that Republican slang for, "Going to lie through my teeth?"


"This was never part of our arrangement, Specter" "I am altering the deal! Pray I don't alter it any further!" "This deal keeps getting worse all the time!"
by LordMike on Tue Oct 07, 2008 at 12:43:57 PM EST

McCain's height (none / 0)

I read somewhere the other day that McCain is only 5'7".  I didn't realize he was that short.  Voters tend to support the taller candidate and even though Bush is shorter than Kerry, he is still over 6'.

I wonder how that is going to play.  Walking around without a height adjusted podium might make McCain look even more like an angry old man.   While the media may not be able to focus on that, it seems to me that it might be something that stands out in peoples minds.

I also hope that Obama just tries to be himself tonight.  I don't want to see him try and bring up any new tricks.  I know that he is not Bill Clinton at these types of talks, but then again, who is.


by gavoter on Tue Oct 07, 2008 at 01:03:55 PM EST

Re: The Terms Of The Debate (none / 0)

I wonder how the McCain campaign "liaison" Tom Brokaw will inject himself into this debate tonight?


by djhwood on Tue Oct 07, 2008 at 01:05:43 PM EST

Brokaw should get the Ifill treatment (2.00 / 1)

If Gwen Ifill had to bend over backwards trying not to seem biased for Obama just because of her book on African American politicians, why aren't we howling to the moon about Brokaw's strong ties to and bias for McCain?  


by chiefscribe on Tue Oct 07, 2008 at 01:14:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Brokaw should get the Ifill treatment (none / 0)

We are. We just don't have the media echoing it for us.


by kitebro on Tue Oct 07, 2008 at 01:44:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The Terms Of The Debate (none / 0)

Cuff-links?

Seriously?

Who the hell wears cuff-links nowadays?


by notedgeways on Tue Oct 07, 2008 at 01:17:35 PM EST

Cuff Links???? (2.00 / 0)

OMG, Tad and the rest us Elite NEVER wear cufflinks to a debate, it's just so gauche and low class....

It's not like this is a meeting with our trust fund managers, is it?


Support the separation of Church and State: Vote YES on WA R-71!
by WashStateBlue on Tue Oct 07, 2008 at 01:50:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The Terms Of The Debate (none / 0)

Ben Smith says that Brokaw hasn't agreed to the "no follow-ups" rule.

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/1 008/A_followup_follow_up.html?showall


www.georgetownprogressive.com
by leaveonlyfootprints on Tue Oct 07, 2008 at 04:10:34 PM EST


You are not logged in.

In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.

If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.