Since Mark Warner won the statehouse in 2001, Virginia has been trending blue. Tim Kaine's 2005 win, Jim Webb's Senate win in 2006 and Warner's commanding lead in this year's Senate race are all testimony to that.
But the latest polling information on the 2009 Governor's race is the most dramatic evidence I've seen yet that Virginia is becoming a flat-out Blue Big-D Democratic state:
The question, included in a Washington Post Poll on the presidential race published Monday, highlights the challenges facing Republicans as more Virginia voters identify themselves as Democrats and independents.
Of registered voters, 48 percent prefer a Democratic governor vs. 31 percent who want a Republican.
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But for the first time since 1985, Democrats are girding for a primary fight to decide their nominee. Del. Brian J. Moran (Alexandria) and state Sen. R. Creigh Deeds, who narrowly lost to McDonnell in the 2005 attorney general's race, have announced they plan to run. Terry McAuliffe, a former chairman of the Democratic National Committee and adviser to Bill and Hillary Rodham Clinton, is also considering a run.
The nomination is up for grabs in a three-way fight, according to the poll. When self-identified Democrats and independents who lean Democratic were asked which candidate they prefer as the nominee, 16 percent named Moran, 12 percent McAuliffe and 11 percent Deeds.
This gives Virginia Democrats an unprecedented opportunity to push for the most progressive nominee and still have an excellent chance of winning.
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