Post-Debate Thread

Sarah Palin acquitted herself more effectively tonight than she did with Katie Couric. The problem is that this wasn't enough. Despite the talk from some that the bar Palin had to top was well underground, Palin had to not only deliver a performance free of gaffes (and it's not clear to me that she even did this -- embracing Dick Cheney and mistaking the top General in Afghanistan with a Civil War-era General were not particularly smooth), she had to seem credible as Vice President. She had to have gravitas.

But after an hour and a half of going up against Joe Biden, at least the second half of which she appeared flat on her feet and unable to conjure up all of her empty talking points, she did not come off as Vice Presidential. She sounded like a moderately effective surrogate -- a little better than a Carly Fiorina, not as good as a Mitt Romney -- but not as an able partner to John McCain, and certainly not as one who could step in as President should God forbid anything happen to McCain.

In this regard, this was not a successful debate for the McCain-Palin ticket. While it may have staved off the hemorrhaging of support for the Republicans, it did little to nothing to swing the momentum back away from the Obama-Biden ticket.

Update [2008-10-2 22:42:32 by Todd Beeton]:Totally agree with Jonathan here. It's funny, the post-debate buzz on CNN seems to be that "it wasn't a game changer" but I have to say, I think this was only close to a draw in a political sense, from an expectations vs. reality perspective. Sure she didn't fall on her face. But looking at it as a debate and even as a political event, I think it was so monumentally clear who won this thing and I think viewers will concur it was Joe Biden. As David Gergen said, this was "the debate of Joe Biden's life." Watch perhaps Joe's finest moment in the debate below and I dare you to keep a dry eye.

Update [2008-10-2 22:44:17 by Todd Beeton]:Umm, CNN has like 12 people on stage all with laptops to give their analysis. 12 people, really? MSNBC it is.

Update [2008-10-2 22:50:36 by Todd Beeton]:On my way to MSNBC I stopped on FOX and saw some of the Luntz focus group. 4 people said they switched their vote as a result of the debate: 3 to McCain, 1 to Obama. Luntz: "This debate will make a difference in this race. Watch the polling in the next 48 hours."

Update [2008-10-2 23:11:56 by Jonathan Singer]: Pay heed to Judd Legum, Hillary Clinton's research director, who wrote last week "Ignore The Pundits: How To Figure Out Who Won The Debate." With that in mind...

CBS News Poll of Uncommitted Voters Watching the Debate)

46% of uncommitted voters who watched the debate tonight thought Joe Biden was the winner. 21% thought Sarah Palin won, 33% thought it was a draw… 98% after the debate saw [Biden] as knowledgeable (79% before the debate).

Those are huge numbers.

Update [2008-10-2 23:13:20 by Todd Beeton]:One of my favorite post-debate pundit moments was Paul Begala on CNN. He said that Sarah Palin did not make the case once why Barack Obama is a risky choice, while Joe Biden time and time again reiterated that John McCain would be "more of the same." In other words, "Sarah Palin was looking out for Sarah Palin tonight. She thinks it's over and is looking toward 2012." Awesome.

Update [2008-10-2 23:14:27 by Jonathan Singer]: CNN polling gives Biden the win by a 51 percent to 39 percent margin. That's two-for-two for the Democratic ticket in post-debate polls.

Update [2008-10-2 23:17:53 by Todd Beeton]:Also from CNN, on the question of whether Palin is qualified to serve as VP, she went from 42% Yes 54% No before the debate, to 46% Yes 53% No after. A +5% move isn't bad but the fact that this debate performance couldn't get her back to where a majority feels she's qualified has to be seen as a failure.



Display:


Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

She was folksy, and the conservatives will be thrilled, she didn't go Couric on us.

Biden, after he clamed down, won the last hour.

No harm no foul, not a game changer.


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by WashStateBlue on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:40:53 PM EST

CBS News focus group (none / 0)

500 independent voters:

Who won?
Biden 42%
Palin 22%

Just saw it on TV. Also, 18% of voters said more likely to vote for Obama, 10% more likely to vote for McCain.


by existenz on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:04:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Sarah Palin (2.00 / 3)

came in with low expectations.  People were waiting for her to make Couric kinds of misstatements.  She made some inconsequential errors, like forgetting the name of the general in Afghanistan, but there was nothing Couric-sized in the deficits in her performance.  I am sure she is happy it's over, and after watching her for an hour-and-a-half, so am I.  If that is the standard to which she is held, people will applaud her successes tonight.

But frankly, she was awful.  She had a certain strength in the first part of the debate, like a student who has mastered the spelling of words for a class quiz, but clearly, when she didn't know the answer to the question, she simply changed the subject, and she frequently changed the subject.  I am sure that when her handlers recognized the magnitude of their problem, that is precisely what they taught her to do, and I thought she did it rather effectively, but it will be interesting to count the number of times she didn't answer a question.  My guess is that she didn't know the answers to at least half of the questions.

As time went on during this excessively long hour-and-a-half, she was running out of steam.  It was sort of like she exhausted every she had to say, and instead of saying substantive things, she started to parrot the same tired cliches about John McCain being a maverick and reformer over and over again.  

I am not going to bother to compare her performance with Joe Biden's.  To do so would be to dignify her performance as somehow on a par with his.  They occupy different universes.


Our long national nightmare is over.
by Beltway Dem on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:06:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Biden won and it is a game changer! (2.00 / 0)

all I can say that Biden looks to me the only candidate among 4 people running for prez or VP who is actually Qualified to be a President.
Biden won so much, that if I will be McCain, I will try to convince Palin to withdrew for family reason.
Landslide of lies
by engels on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:17:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Biden won and it is a game changer! (none / 0)

Who are you and what did you do with engels!?!!


Change has come to America.
by the mystical vortexes of sedona on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:22:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

I think the "war on the media" meme is going to really start to bite the McCain camp in the ass.


www.payd.org Keeping PA Blue
by dannybauder on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:41:15 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

Pat Buchanan is predictably blowing smoke.


"Who are you for? That is the wrong question. It should be who is for you?" HRC
by skohayes on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:42:24 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

The thing that surprised me was her willingness to jettison the mainstream Republican party and it's long-held positions in her effort to establish she and McCain as 'mavericks.'  The only problem is she and McCain aren't running as independents.  For most of the debate she sounded like she was running with Ross Perot.


by Shaun Appleby on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:42:31 PM EST

That's Our Joe! (2.00 / 4)

Biden had a better debate than Obama did last week.  A disciplined and focussed Biden is a pleasure to listen to.  

Gwen Ifill is a total pro.


Our Moment Is Now
by mboehm on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:43:14 PM EST

Gwen Ifill (2.00 / 1)

I thought she was awful. She asked easy, predictable questions and never pressed Sarah Palin to be specific and answer the questions. She never asked about Palin's record in Alaska, other than softball energy issues.

Also, she allowed Palin to get away with yes and no answers on so many issues. Compared to Katie Couric, Ifill straight up sucked.


by existenz on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:06:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That's Our Joe! (none / 0)

Disagree... Gwen Sucked.  Bring back jim.

Other than that... spot on.


by yitbos96bb on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:07:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That's Our Joe! (none / 0)

I thought she did well on controlling the amount of time spent on answers, though you are right, she didn't try to keep her on topic (though she didn't need to do that with Biden)


by Pa Woman on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:14:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That's Our Joe! (none / 0)

in her defense, I do have to say that the terms of the debate were negotiated between the campaigns. One of the terms that was negotiated was a short time period for response and no follow ups.


by bushsucks on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:20:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That's Our Joe! (none / 0)

so were the terms of the first debate and one of those was no direct response.  Lehrer said Screw That...


by yitbos96bb on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:41:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

LOL...Pitchfork Pat is spinning like a top!

Pat thinks she would have beaten Lincoln at the Lincoln Douglas debate...


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by WashStateBlue on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:43:43 PM EST

Really? (none / 0)

HAHAHA!!!


Washington Woman

Progressive Blue

by kevin22262 on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:50:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

Palin definitely won "cute." Just what I always wanted in a Vice-President.


by royce on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:45:03 PM EST

her "cute" (2.00 / 2)

was making me sick!

If I want her kind of "cute", I will watch "Leave it To Beaver".


Washington Woman

Progressive Blue

by kevin22262 on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:50:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

Okay guys, as always, you make watching these debates more enjoyable (my labrador snored through the whole thing), but I have to get up early in the AM.
Good night!
"Who are you for? That is the wrong question. It should be who is for you?" HRC
by skohayes on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:45:48 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

My expectations were that Palin would win this debate quite easily.  Instead, Biden completely destroyed her.  I was very pleasantly surprised.


by agpc on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:46:03 PM EST

Serious? (none / 0)

Why?!


Washington Woman

Progressive Blue

by kevin22262 on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:48:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I should add (2.00 / 1)

Why did you think she would win?


Washington Woman

Progressive Blue

by kevin22262 on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:49:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I should add (none / 0)

The only reason I can think of is the exceedingly low bar Republican's have created for themselves -a win by default situation.


by phoenixdreamz on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:53:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I should add (none / 0)

I also thought that she would win. Expectations were so low for her, that even Dan Quayle would have won. The other thing is that her "hockey mom", "moose hunter" bullshit plays real well with people of low intelligence. Thirdly, she has mastered the art of saying just about any nonsensical thing with a straight face.

I am pleasently surprised with how things turned out. Let's wait for the presidential polls, but if the post-debate focus groups/polls are any indicator, it looks like nothing changed tonight. If the polls in the next few days don't show a significant surge for McCain, Obama is going to win in a landslide.


by bushsucks on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:31:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 2)

CNN focus group: Biden overwhelmingly won.


by fsm on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:46:23 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 2)

And, unlike the Fox group, more of them decided to vote in favor of Obama.


by fsm on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:54:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

CNN insta-poll of uncommitted voters went 46-21 for Biden.

Same poll showed 18% are now for Obama, 10% are now for McCain.


by randomscientist on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:00:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

That Biden moment (none / 0)

hit me. I "felt his pain". I am serious. I choked up and teared up with him.


Washington Woman

Progressive Blue

by kevin22262 on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:48:04 PM EST

Re: That Biden moment (2.00 / 1)

Did you notice how he had no response to that moment?   Not "I'm sorry about your wife and daughter, but..."  Or, "And for others who have been or are single parents..." Not a word.  


John McCain smells like mothballs.
by asherrem on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:54:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That Biden moment (none / 0)

You mean "she"?


Washington Woman

Progressive Blue

by kevin22262 on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:08:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That Biden moment (none / 0)

I did indeed.

And um, I'm cute so you can't bring attention to my mistakes  ;)


John McCain smells like mothballs.
by asherrem on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:10:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

hahaha! (none / 0)

Well gosh darn... I bet you are cute as the dickens.

hahaha


Washington Woman

Progressive Blue

by kevin22262 on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:32:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That Biden moment (none / 0)

Her response was, "John McCain and I are mavericks".

Didn't see the whole debate live, but Biden talking about his family, his dad, struggling as a single parent was the key moment for me.  I think Palin is very genuine when speaking about being a "regular" person and that is also her weakness from an experience standpoint.  Biden has plenty of faults but it is clear he has not forgotten his roots and he has dealt with some tough things in his life.  


If yer after gettin the honey, then you don't go killing all the bees.
by Fluffy Puff Marshmallow on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:09:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That Biden moment (2.00 / 1)

She has $1MM in assets.  2 vacation homes, lake rights, a plane, and a main home.  I do not see her as a "regular" person, no matter what she said!


by Pa Woman on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:16:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That Biden moment (none / 0)

She was trying to lull you into a false sense of regularness with her hypnotizing winks.

I can't believe you didn't buy it.  When are we going to live in a world where women who act like spoiled 8 year olds get the respect they deserve?


John McCain smells like mothballs.
by asherrem on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:20:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That Biden moment (none / 0)

ROFL!  I almost vomited, but hypnotized?  I think not!


by Pa Woman on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:22:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

LOL. Pat Buchanon said Palin "wiped the floor with Joe Biden."

Scarborough should be on their debate coverage. He's willing to be reasonably objective. Buchanon will give credit to Obama and other Democrats during the typical cable programs, but in the heat of an us-or-them question he defaults to the right and it's often embarrassing, like tonight.


by Gary Kilbride on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:51:07 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

He's desperate, and just like Ed Rollins on CNN, is the Republican spin representative.


by phoenixdreamz on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:56:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

She used to be a Buchanan supporter remember ... and besides .. his sister doesn't want to go unemployed in the future .. even if it means working for Tom Tancredo 2.0


John McCain: Bush right to veto kids health insurance expansion
by Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:00:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 2)

Not exactly new here(been visiting this site or years), but this is the first time I'm posting a comment.

Some thoughts on the debate:

A.)Palin was going out of her way to be cute.  She wasn't...  At all.  She overplayed it, and I think that cost her.

2.)Biden- thankfully- did not go overboard at any point nor become condescending.  Big plus.

VI.)Hopefully, no one was planning on taking a shot anytime the word "Maverick" came up, otherwise welcome to AlcoholPoisoningville.

#.)In my opinion, Biden won by a margin of let's say...  63-37.

-DS


by doomsdayshark on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:54:44 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

"Hey Putin (wink wink) don't rear your head in our airspace dontchaknow (wink smile wink)"

If women want to be taken seriously, "cute" is not the way to do it.  


John McCain smells like mothballs.
by asherrem on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:58:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

When Biden had that moment where he choked up, that was very emotional. It was real. It was sincere. It wasn't scripted like all of Palin's responses. Biden won many hearts, I'm sure, with his response and I think it will play very well with independent and undecided women voters. Biden was very impressive tonight!


by Steve24 on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:56:12 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

": "This debate will make a difference in this race. Watch the polling in the next 48 hours."

I think Luntz is spinning...

But, I never underestimate the potential for the American public to pull stupid out of their backside.


Support the separation of Church and State: Vote YES on WA R-71!
by WashStateBlue on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:56:19 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

C'mon... How much pressure was Luntz under to deliver a GOP win this time? It's awfully easy to skew those samples when you have the motivation and go-ahead.


"Hey, check it out. You just had yourself a glue OD. So you're learning another lesson. Don't do too much glue, or your night sucks."
by vcalzone on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:58:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

I was about to yak if she said it again...


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by WashStateBlue on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:58:15 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

Did you hear her call Biden O'biden??  LOL!

Mudflats had Palin Bingo, and I'm guessing that you could have hit with ALL 4 cards!


by Pa Woman on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:04:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

Interesting comment by Paul Begala to the effect that she did well for herself but didn't help McCain, she's running for 2012.  Ha!  I can see what he means.


by Shaun Appleby on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 10:59:08 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

Interesting comment by Paul Begala to the effect that she did well for herself but didn't help McCain, she's running for 2012.

It depends on what the economy is like.  If the economy has recovered by 2012 .. she won't run .. cause she'll get slaughtered like Dole did ... if it hasn't ... Romney and Huckabee will likely run too


John McCain: Bush right to veto kids health insurance expansion
by Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:03:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

Don't forget the gingrich either.


by yitbos96bb on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:04:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

here's my prediction.

Obama/Biden will win the election. She will be impeached as Governor and has a good chance of being convicted and removed from office. She is not especially popular with even her own party.


by bushsucks on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:39:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

Not to mention Huckabee would destroy her with a smile.  But I think she thinks she is some kind of values conservative wunderkind.  She is so eager for approval that all of the rallies and public attention is going straight to her head, which doesn't seem capable of holding many complex ideas all at once.

Having digested this for a while I think she did meet the low expectations set for her but a more subtle narrative may emerge where she actually did the McCain 'brand' some irreperable harm, on consistency, policy and integrity.  The bleeding may have been staunched on the outside but now it is internal.  I can see McCain being very alarmed at some of the policy issues she brought unwittingly to the public attention, not least of which same-sex civil rights and her extremely simplistic and populist frame for their economic policy in general.  Their contributors and bundlers may not be too impressed.  I'm guessing that the net negatives of her performance will become more obvious in the next few days.


by Shaun Appleby on Fri Oct 03, 2008 at 12:05:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

Thanks, that's exactly what it feels like to me.  And wants to get her hands on Cheney's levers of power.  She gives me the major creeps, frankly.


by Shaun Appleby on Fri Oct 03, 2008 at 02:54:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

Barracudas are cannibalistic.


by Shaun Appleby on Fri Oct 03, 2008 at 03:54:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 2)

First off, HD is not Sarah Palin's friend!  LOL!

OK, that said, I can't believe that she tied herself to Cheney, I can't believe she brought her props to the debate, and I can't believe people are going to let her get away with the fact that she didn't answer questions, but kept going back to her talking points!

Game Changer?  I think not!  She was snarky, and Joe was a gentleman!


by Pa Woman on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:03:31 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

luntz is a putz.   The CNN group had about 8 or 9 change their vote and only a few to McCain.


by yitbos96bb on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:03:39 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

Only 1 to McCain, the other's had already decided on McCain.


by Pa Woman on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:05:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Best moments (2.00 / 1)

I'm surprised no one caught Palin's flub: "It's a toxic mess on Mainstreet that's affecting Wallstreet."

I'm also surprised people are complimenting Palin for not answering the questions asked and giving prerehearsed scripts instead. This was a smart strategy, but also obvious: you can't hope to make up for a lifetime of incuriosity, so no matter what the moderator asks, she gives a few sentences she can recite from memory.


by Memekiller on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:05:16 PM EST

Re: Best moments (2.00 / 1)

She was talking too fast, I didn't catch that!


by Pa Woman on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:07:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Best moments (none / 0)

I think there's going to be flub forgiveness on both sides tonight... and that's quite alright with me.  I think Biden beat her on the issues as well as in the gaffe race.


Join the Matthew 25 Network and help Democrats win the next generation of evangelicals.
by mistersite on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:21:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Best moments (none / 0)

Thing is, for Biden, a flub's a flub. With Palin, it's an echo of Couric.


by Memekiller on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:25:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

Four people out of how many in the room switched their vote?


by RandyMI on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:08:05 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

52,384

Big room.


If yer after gettin the honey, then you don't go killing all the bees.
by Fluffy Puff Marshmallow on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:12:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

She would be foolish to run against an incumbent in 2012. Obama, if he wins, would be in the most favorable situation imaginable in 2012, an incumbent with his party in power only one term. Carter in 1980 is the only loser in 100 years in that scenario. Normally it's a landslide for the incumbent.

Palin probably helps McCain only because the polling margin right now is outside where it figures to be. An open race shouldn't be a 5-7 point margin against a known quantity like McCain. I prefer a power rating-type measurement and this cycle should be 2-4 point Democratic edge, not 5-7. A natural downshift may be attributed to Palin when in reality it's simply a return to where the race logically fits.


by Gary Kilbride on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:09:42 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (none / 0)

Howard Fineman just called her a wolverine, who grabbed on to a strangers pants leg...


Support the separation of Church and State: Vote YES on WA R-71!
by WashStateBlue on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:10:01 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

There seems to be a lot of talk about what people are looking for when watching a debate. One being personality, another a command of the issues, and three do they look like they can play the part.

I think it was a draw on the first one. I know Palin and McCain folks really wanted to win the personality portion. But it also felt that way watching it and it shouldn't. You shouldn't have to appear to be trying to be folksy. It seemed forced I think most objective viewers. But to the viewers that would eat her shit I am sure they loved it and so will a choice set of independents. Biden seemed very much himself and unpretentious which he sometimes can be and at some points very real like in the video above.

On the second I think Biden clearly sounded more knowledgeable. Mostly because his answers were well answers. Palin kept going back to a canned answer approach which again wore thin after the first half hour and became increasingly obvious after that. But she never got caught off guard other than on surprisingly enough the social issue of gay rights.

On the third I again think Biden took it. He seems to have the demeanor and authority that Palin lacks. She talks about being a governor but I don't see it. Like I know you don't have to fit the prototypical mode of old white male but it was deeper than that. You hear it when Hillary speaks. You hear it when Janet Naplitano speaks or Kathleen Sebelius. You just don't get the confidence of a leader from Palin.

I think at the end of the day Biden took it to objective viewers. But Palin didn't tell us she'd find and and get back to ya on that one and to the pundits that is all that will matter for them to call it a draw.


by flux08 on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:11:06 PM EST

Luntz? (none / 0)

Is he really going to push the notion that the polls will now move in McCain's favor?  I thought she did well, was adorable, but to conclude that she won, I don't know how anyone could make that conclusion.

It's Fox v. CNN polls again.


by Blazers Edge on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:11:48 PM EST

Re: Luntz? (none / 0)

Sure he is...that's who is...that is what his spin will be.

The early polls says Biden won, but no one switched their votes.

It's a push, and that is what I expected.

Folks, this is about Obama vs McCain.

It was last week.

It will be so neek week.

And, that is good for our side.


Support the separation of Church and State: Vote YES on WA R-71!
by WashStateBlue on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:15:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

CNN Poll of watchers of the debate:
Biden 51, Palin 36
Biden: 64% though he did better than expected, 14% worse.
Palin: 84% better, 7% worse (not a tough thing there...)
Palin Qualified: 46% say yes, 4% up from before the debate

They didn't mention the demographics of the poll; last week, more democrats than republicans were polled.


by fsm on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:13:22 PM EST

How I score it (2.00 / 1)

First off -- I don't think she was going for "cute". I think she was going for "folksy", a la say Ronald Reagan. I think it worked -- for about 5 minutes. Then it was ok -- for about 5 minutes. Then it got old and grating for the rest of the debate. And I think that's the key in scoring it.

So:

  1. If you're a conservative base Republican, she won huge. Bigger than McCain. We knew that going in.
  2. If you're a conservative intellectual Republican, she won a squeaker. Her answers were, for the most part, vapid, but she delivered them well and proved she could learn or at least be coached.
  3. If you're a moderate Republican, probably slightly reassuring, but not massively.
  4. If you're a Democrat of any stripe, she lost, not as badly as she might have, but still badly.
  5. If you're an independent (the key here) I think she lost moderately broadly but not badly. The "folksy" got entirely too old and grating, and anyone who's independent at this point is going to notice she failed to answer much of anything.

Secondarily:

  1. If you're a base Republican, Biden lost. We knew that.
  2. If you're most anyone else, Biden won, even if you also think Palin won. The problem here is that most of Biden's best remarks were never responded to, particularly his absolute demolition of maverickyness. Biden consistently advanced Obama and demolished McCain with substance, and fended off every Palin talking point; if you hadn't already bought into the talking points, he won. Palin was ineffective at either hitting Obama or defending McCain on much of anything -- again, unless you're already predisposed to like McCain and dislike Obama.

So my scorecard is in the 60-40 range, maybe 65-35. It's impossible for it to pass 70-30.

I think we may see apparently paradoxical results in polling. Flat to slight uptick for Obama, with possibly a slight uptick for McCain as well (i.e. each's numbers may go up, with undecideds deciding; I don't think McCain's gains will come from Obama losses). Gains for Palin on positive/negative, she helped herself, but even better gains for Biden. Flat to slight gain for Obama; loss for McCain, who loses because of how poorly she defended his maverickyness.

Of course I've been terribly wrong on these things before, but that's my take on it.


No Way. No How. No McCain-Palin!
by Texas Gray Wolf on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:14:09 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

Palin did what she needed to do - earn a passing grade to stem the embarassment she's caused McCain lately.

Biden did what only he can do - he was supurb, and assured the momentum towards Obama will continue.


by phoenixdreamz on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:14:21 PM EST

According to Focus Groups (2.00 / 1)

Palin lost the debate when she said that Obama was raising the white flag in Iraq. They they thought she did well, but those few seconds tipped the balance as well as when Biden talked about being a single parent raising his own children.


Dizzy Zzyzzy
by Zzyzzy on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:18:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

CNN Poll (2.00 / 1)

Biden won the debate 51-39 percent. Both candidates did better than expected.


Dizzy Zzyzzy
by Zzyzzy on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:15:23 PM EST

Biden will pick up the male voters (2.00 / 2)

Paraphrasing somewhat--
``I am not going to let anyone say that just because I am a man, I do not know how to raise children..''

That is going to resonate with a bunch of people.  


by ann0nymous on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:17:03 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

Carl Berstein just said, She is ready to be Secretary of the Interior, not President.

Even Ed Rollins said, this doesn't change it, it's about McCain.


Support the separation of Church and State: Vote YES on WA R-71!
by WashStateBlue on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:18:29 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

Palin stopped the bleeding.  However, the Republicans are 5-7% behind and I doubt it will change.  I agree that Palin represented herself well, but couldn't really defend the indefensible.  It is a game to say "don't look in the past" or "don't play the blame game" when your party is to blame.  


by flatblade on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:21:00 PM EST

Re: Post-Debate Thread (2.00 / 1)

I think "don't look in the past" combined with "i've only been here 5 weeks" are not going to win many votes for McCain.


If yer after gettin the honey, then you don't go killing all the bees.
by Fluffy Puff Marshmallow on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:38:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Biden's Favorables (none / 0)

in CNN poll improved to 69% (from 58%); Palin's improved to 56% (from 48%)


by fsm on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:24:41 PM EST

I have to admit (none / 0)

I did not think I'd come away from this liking Sarah Palin. But I do. She was extremely gracious to Joe Biden in a way that we just haven't seen. Of course, that could have just been Biden breaking through the partisanship. First thing he did was walk right up to her dad to shake his hand.


"Hey, check it out. You just had yourself a glue OD. So you're learning another lesson. Don't do too much glue, or your night sucks."
by vcalzone on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:40:23 PM EST

Re: I have to admit (none / 0)

Not me...

I still think she's a smuck... she has personality and she is good in this bullshit soundbite "debate format... but 1) she spews ignorance...she is bush with Breasts... i just want to do to her what I want to do to push... slap them and then shake the shit out of them while screaming..."WHy ARE You THIS STUpid?"   2)  Bush scared the hell out of me when he got "elected".   Palin TERRIFIES ME... She reminds me of Katherine Harris a bit...  


by yitbos96bb on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:48:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I have to admit (none / 0)

She IS like Bush. I mean, truthfully, if you met Bush outside of a political setting, he'd be the life of the party and a really nice guy.


"Hey, check it out. You just had yourself a glue OD. So you're learning another lesson. Don't do too much glue, or your night sucks."
by vcalzone on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:55:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I have to admit (none / 0)

As Carl Berstein, Secretary of Interior...

If your idea was drill baby drill...

Vcal, she is a beauty pagent journalism major, that's her GIG, to make you think she is likeable.

Just ask yourself this: do you get the nickname the Barracuda if you are the sweetest little thing?

She would rip your head off and crap down the hole if she needed to get where she was needing to go....


Support the separation of Church and State: Vote YES on WA R-71!
by WashStateBlue on Fri Oct 03, 2008 at 12:08:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I have to admit (none / 0)

This is true. And as time has worn on, I've gotten more and more angry at her performance. She attacked Biden like a shih tzu, and it was only his surprisingly high level of grace that kept her from coming across as extremely negative. Biden is going to keep Obama civil at all times, and God bless him for taking the spot.

As for her, in the long run, letting her think she won is smart on his part. She feels very confident now, and that's just going to make her more and more irritating, make more and more people think she's being overly presumptuous (I hesitate to say uppity, but it applies). It's started already with her Carl Cameron interview. By November, Americans will vote against McCain just to keep from having to hear that accent anymore.


"Hey, check it out. You just had yourself a glue OD. So you're learning another lesson. Don't do too much glue, or your night sucks."
by vcalzone on Fri Oct 03, 2008 at 03:37:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I have to admit (none / 0)

To put it another way, sometimes little kids get very bossy. They start thinking that they are geniuses, and when faced with one that doesn't belong to them, adults typically watch with a mixture of amusement and anger, but never say a word. They let them keep talking, and just make sure they don't go one step too far.

That's what I saw last night now that I've had time to think about it. An adult watching a four year old call them stupid.


"Hey, check it out. You just had yourself a glue OD. So you're learning another lesson. Don't do too much glue, or your night sucks."
by vcalzone on Fri Oct 03, 2008 at 03:40:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Palin avoided humiliation because of format (none / 0)

The format of this event allowed Palin to avoid humilation because there was no follow up questions. Katie Couric always got her on the follow up. Specifically, what newspapers do you read. Specifically, what Supreme court decision do you disagree with. Specifically, how does Alaska being close to Russia prepare you for being the President.

In this format, Palin could spout anything she wanted. She did not have to answer the questions. Many times while she talked, I found myself having no idea what she was talking about and what the question was.

Joe Biden, on the other hand, talked in complete sentences and had your complete attention with his ideas. He was very easy to follow and you learned things when he talked. I was very impressed by him.  I would go so far to say Joe is a better debater than McCain or Obama.


by erlin on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 11:44:05 PM EST

Sarah Palin coulda phoned debate answers in (none / 0)

This was the most sexist and contrived debate I have ever seen.  Evereything was set up to favor Sarah Palin.  The format, the moderator, and even the questions, all softballed so as not to demonstrate her ineptitude.  If Sarah Palin was a man, she would never have gotten a pass on it, and the Mainstream Media (MSM) would have been all over it.  We are still not past the point where a pretty smiling woman gets a pass by nature of her sex.  What nonsense this is!!!  First, to attend the debate, then stand there and announce that you aren't going to answer any of the questions...astonishing!!  It's like showing up at a sporting event, and announcing that you aren't going to play by the rules.  Haven't we seen this before, where an elected official refuses to play by the rules (ala Dick Cheney, Troopergate etc)?   Anyone hearing this should be really afraid of Sarah Palin.  Joe Biden clearly defined his responsibilities under the Constitution.  I doubt Sarah Palin has ever read it, and basically wants awesome and unchecked powers, just like Cheney.  Or maybe she has read it, since she seems to have read any and everything.  Be afraid, be very afraid!!!  Secondly, she never answered any of the questions, but just repeated talking points.  For Christ sakes, why have the debate at all?  Post debate, we have MSM males drooling about how well she did.  I am seeing lines like "Palin meets expectations".  Whose expectations?  Certainly not the American peoples.  We as a people thought that and expect that the VP candidate would be at least coherent and conversant; not an android repeating rehearsed words and talking points.  What debate were THEY (The MSM) watching?  If you're not going to answer any questions, Ms Palin coulda saved us the folksy lingo and repetitious talking points.  If fact, Ms Palin coulda just phoned it in!!!


by AndyatMyDD on Fri Oct 03, 2008 at 07:37:38 AM EST


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