Where the Campaigns are Spending

In my last post I noted the overall disparity between the advertising efforts on behalf of Barack Obama and John McCain. Over at The Fix, Chris Cillizza goes a step further and breaks down spending by state, which I have reproduced below. Note that although independent expenditures by the Republican National Committee don't bring the same bang for the buck as candidate ads they are included in the total for McCain. Note, too, that the chart is arranged slightly differently than Cillizza's original, with the states arranged by the percentage difference in ad spending between Obama and McCain (plus the RNC) the week of October 7-13.

StateObamaMcCain% Diff
Michigan$2,300,000$0O+∞
Montana$250,000$0O+∞
New Hampshire$1,100,000$289,000O+281
Virginia$3,900,000$1,100,000O+255
Florida$4,700,000$1,800,000O+161
Missouri$2,000,000$824,000O+143
Indiana$1,900,000$790,000O+141
Nevada$1,000,000$460,000O+117
New Mexico$700,000$370,000O+89
Colorado$1,500,000$990,000O+52
Pennsylvania$3,800,000$2,600,000O+46
Ohio$4,100,000$2,900,000O+41
Wisconsin$1,500,000$1,100,000O+36
North Carolina$2,100,000$1,800,000O+17
Minnesota$675,000$608,000O+11
Iowa$590,000$560,000O+5
Maine$75,000$297,000M+296

The first thing that jumps out from these numbers is that McCain and the RNC, combined, are outspending the Obama campaign in a single state -- and even there it appears from Cillizza's chart that the Obama campaign is outspending the McCain campaign. In nearly half of the states, Obama is at least doubling the ad budget of the Republicans.

But beyond that, look at the map. There are about twice as many states in play right now as there were at the same time four years ago -- and this list doesn't even include Nebraska's second congressional district, which it appears the Obama campaign is targeting, or West Virginia, which Obama is already hitting with his Virginia and Pennsylvania ads. Close to three-quarters of Obama's ad expenditures in this range are in states that George W. Bush carried just four years ago. This is exactly why folks in the netroots had been clamoring for a candidate to opt out of the public financing program in the general election -- so that Democrats aren't forced into the box of chasing after the single path to 270 but rather are on the offensive and put the GOP on its heels.



Display:


North Carolina is McCain's #3 state! (2.00 / 1)

Amazing, he is having to spend as much as in Florida.  That is a real success for Obama's strategy.


New Jersey politics and news
by John DE on Wed Oct 15, 2008 at 01:19:02 PM EST

Obama shuld cut his MI budget in half... (none / 0)

..and split it between Ohio and Virginia.


by Hesiod Theogeny on Wed Oct 15, 2008 at 01:19:10 PM EST

I don't get McCain's spending in PA. (none / 0)

That's crazy. He should be putting his money in Virginia and New Hampshire.


by Hesiod Theogeny on Wed Oct 15, 2008 at 01:20:17 PM EST

Re: I don't get McCain's spending in PA. (none / 0)

To see where the campaign's (supposedly) more accurate internal numbers are showing a close race, you have to watch where the candidates are showing up, not the public polling.  The fact that all 4 candidates were in PA recently tells us that both campaigns see it as too close to call.  

What I'm hearing from friends in political coordination offices at both AFL-CIO and CTW unions is that their numbers in PA are nowhere near the double-digit picture the public polls are painting.  PA is closer to OH right now than, say, IA or NH.


by zombieflanders on Wed Oct 15, 2008 at 02:12:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Obama can trade Florida, though. (none / 0)


by Hesiod Theogeny on Thu Oct 16, 2008 at 11:35:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't get McCain's spending in PA. (none / 0)


Forget New Hampshire- it's a 55/45 generic partisan split state now.

McCain isn't getting electoral votes from north of the Potomac.  To win he's going to have to take some Blue States in the Midwest/Great Lakes.


by killjoy on Wed Oct 15, 2008 at 06:11:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Where the Campaigns are Spending (none / 0)

I think it is great to see McCain being forced to spend so much money in North Carolina.


by gavoter on Wed Oct 15, 2008 at 01:25:44 PM EST

Re: Where the Campaigns are Spending (none / 0)

Especially, when he's going to win it anyway. The really great thing is watching how much money he can't spend in Va BECAUSE of NC.
Virginia is for Lovers...
and DEMOCRATS!

A PROUD Hopium user!
by xodus1914 on Wed Oct 15, 2008 at 02:13:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Speaking of West Virginia (none / 0)

Another poll shows its definitely a toss-up.


Visit West Virginia Blue
by WVaBlue on Wed Oct 15, 2008 at 01:36:05 PM EST

Re: Where the Campaigns are Spending (none / 0)

The difference in Va and Fl jumps off the page! Wow!


by ND1979 on Wed Oct 15, 2008 at 02:23:07 PM EST

Re: Where the Campaigns are Spending (none / 0)

BTW: Why is McCain spending one red cent in Maine???


by ND1979 on Wed Oct 15, 2008 at 02:26:34 PM EST

Re: Where the Campaigns are Spending (none / 0)

I think they split up their EVs.


Change has come to America.
by the mystical vortexes of sedona on Wed Oct 15, 2008 at 03:10:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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