How The Iowa Caucuses Work Late Night Open Thread

by Todd Beeton, Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 03:12:10 AM EST

In case you haven't read desmoinesdem's excellent series, if not now, then when...

Consider this a late night/early morning happy Iowa caucus day open thread.




Tags: open thread, iowa caucus (all tags)

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Re: How The Iowa Caucuses Work Late Night Open Thr (none / 0)

Did we have a prediction thread already , if we did i missed it .

Here is my prediction looking into my crystal ball for tomorrow :

Obama wins :      38%

Edwards Second :  33%

Clinton third :   31%

Obviously thats not the order I hoped for and I pray I am proven wrong but its hard to see Clinton winning under most scenarios.

Obama will turn out his people and Ann of the dmr poll would be inducted into the hall of fame of polling.

Edwards would not lead the first place votes going in , Obama would , clinton second , but Edwards second choice placing would boost him over clinton but not enough to catch obama who would also pick up a sizeable amount of second place votes.

I have been wrong on a lot of things  , infact I hope this is another instance in which I stay true to form and I am wrong again.

It is probably going to be a long night for me tomorrow. Infact once I hear the results I am going straight to the bar with a couple of my girlfriends ( all clinton supporters) , odds are someone would have to drag me back home.


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 03:29:58 AM EST

Re: How The Iowa Caucuses Work Late Night Open Thr (none / 0)

No wrong here. Looks like your instincts are on target.


Click on Peace, Propaganda, & The Promised Land and learn the truth about the I/P conflict.
by shergald on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 09:17:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: How The Iowa Caucuses Work Late Night Open Thr (none / 0)

I know the little guys are hurting (particulary given the way the Iowa caucus requires 15% at a precinct to get any votes). But is it so bad the non Obama/Edwards/Clinton vote is -2 %?

38+33+31=102

;-)


by TheWinch on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 10:40:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: How The Iowa Caucuses Work Late Night Open Thr (none / 0)

I am willing to bet that zogby would show Obama leading in his poll tomorrow and he would claim he saw a surge for him.

A crappy pollster is easy to spot from a mile away.


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 03:58:50 AM EST

Re: How The Iowa Caucuses Work Late Night Open Thr (none / 0)

Props to demoinesdem for the excellent series.


by Shaun Appleby on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 05:39:33 AM EST

Oh, and... (2.00 / 1)


"If we're going to make our mark on history, this spirit of possibility ... this spirit of hope has to shine through," he said. "This is our moment. This is our time. And Iowa, if you will stand with me ... we won't just win this caucus, we will win this primary and we will win this general election."

Deborah Charles - Reuters Obama "fires up" thousands before Iowa poll 3 Jan 07


by Shaun Appleby on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:37:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

putting the finishing touches on part 9 (none / 0)

which should be up sometime this morning or afternoon.

Thanks for reading!


Join the Iowa progressive community at Bleeding Heartland.
by desmoinesdem on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 08:21:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: putting the finishing touches on part 9 (none / 0)

Thanks for the late effort.  Good luck at the caucuses.


by Shaun Appleby on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 05:28:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

So ... I've never followed (none / 0)

the Iowa Caucuses on the day of the Caucus before. At what time will we start seeing some results come in?


by Cleveland John on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 08:35:56 AM EST

My prediction (none / 0)

My prediction.

Clinton -
Obama -
Edwards or Richardson

Iowa is not easy to predict, you know? These guys go their own way. Richardson in third would be a major move by his camp, but its possible.


by Trey Rentz on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 08:49:57 AM EST

New Year's Video: Joe Biden - Stand With Me (none / 0)

Joe Biden: I want this Fight - I Relish this Fight ( General Election ) I Can Win This Fight!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FS6-7DeS6 Is&eurl=http://www.mysilverstate.com /


by dearreader on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 09:17:14 AM EST

Re: How The Iowa Caucuses Work Late Night Open Thr (none / 0)

thanks for this excellent series.

what a screwy process - I had no idea.


by mightymouse on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 11:10:09 AM EST


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