Every news outlet so far has listed the leaders in the entrance polls as Clinton, Obama on the Dem side.  I don't know if the order is meaningful or just alphabetical.  That's my one cent.

Edwards ahead with 3 precincts in at 49%.

http://www.iowacaucusresults.com/

Just said it was a record turnout.  375.

I am not reading anything into it but a lot of older folks.

There's no way those numbers are right.  There are some severe sampling errors no doubt.  Please leave them up so we can see how off they were when all is said and done!

if the above diary is true.

Clinton wins no matter what.

The word is out that the 2nd tier and maybe even edwards will throw support to Obama just to keep it a race.

If Clinton can show proof she won the ground game in Iowa, she wins.

Please be true.

Remember, it all comes down to the second choice voting.  Clinton has run as the incumbent, and so those who vote for someone else are likely to also be voting against Clinton.  So, Clinton won't go much higher than the 36 claimed.  Obama and Edwards will probably draw a much larger percentage of the second-vote (particularly Obama), so their percentages are probably floors not ceilings.

Another issue, in my estimation, is where the polling is taking place.  Edwards' strength is outside of the urban areas, so this poll may understate his support.

On the GOP side. . .ouch Romney.  And if McCain isn't in 3rd, do we really talk about a comeback?

With a grand total of 9 out of 1781 precincts reporting:
Edwards 39%
Clinton 32%
Obama 26%
Richardson 2%

I think the only thing you can read into these numbers is that precincts reporting so quickly must have very light turnout, so these are likely from really rural areas.

Realtime results:
http://www.iowacaucusresults.com/

Where did you get those numbers Jonathan?

but if Clinton leads the final entrance poll #'s by 1 percent. She wins.

"I won because Kucicinch, Richardson, and Biden told their supporters to go for me as 2nd choice"?

That dog won't hunt in America.  Maybe at Msnbc.

Obama better hope these entrance numbers are wrong and they get updated.

If not, all the buzz about EVERY candidate going for Obama 2nd choice kills the bounce.  Maybe if they had shut up about it, it would look genuine.

Please let these numbers hold up!

If so, Hillary might hold on even after 2nd vote

just appeared on the tote board, 1%

Edwards is kicking ass so far with close to 40%!

Reports that Dem turnout being driven by 1) women, 2) older voters, and 3) first timers.  If this is true, it seems good for Clinton.  IF it's true.

If Obama wins but doesn't do so with enough Democrats (i.e. by pulling independents) that's a bad thing...

You're telling me (if it happens) that all the candidates make a conscious  choice to support Obama for the reason of keeping the contest alive doesn't affect you?

It would mean in a fair fight, Obama lost, everyone ganged up and said, "hey guys, if we let people go where they want for 2nd choice, they prob. divide up and the race is over".  "This way, we got a chance in later states".

That wouldn't be democracy (if it happens). It would be MSM and candidates manipulating caucus spirit

...uncommitted, 0.21 to 0.16

Its tightening on the reporting page.

New thread opened up with actual results...