Running For President Is Hard

Well, Grandpa Fred gave it a go, and, well...looks like tomorrow may mark the end of the road. Mary Matalin was a good little soldier on the talk shows today claiming that Fred Thompson will come in a strong 3rd place in the caucuses, and it's actually not out of the realm of possibility if you look at recent polling, but come on, this guy clearly wants out.

From The Politico:

When asked what Iowa results he'd be happy with, Thompson held up two fingers, indicating a second-place finish, according to reporters who were with him.

He did something similar on Sunday, when Thompson--apparently in a semi-jocular mood--dismayed his staff by telling reporters that he needed to finish second in the caucuses, a bar that nobody here expects him to cross. [...]

Recently, his stump speeches have dripped with contempt for the press and the campaign process, and this week he even joked about napping. On New Year's Day, he held just one campaign event at a time when the top candidates were going full throttle.

So under what circumstances will he actually drop out? Word is flowing in from sources "close to" the candidate...

Several Republican officials close to Fred Thompson's presidential campaign said they expect the candidate will drop out of the race within days if he finishes poorly in Thursday's Iowa caucus.

Umm, so what do you mean by "poorly," exactly?

"Without a solid third-place finish, there's no point in going on," a Thompson adviser said Wednesday. "It was an honorable race, and he turned out to be a good candidate. The moment had just passed."

OK, so when you say "solid"...?

A Thompson campaign source said there is "a strong likelihood" that if Thompson comes in a distant third in Iowa, with less than 15 percent of the vote, he would drop out soon--most likely before this weekend's New Hampshire presidential debates.

Yeah, so not going to happen. What's most interesting about Thompson's imminent departure is that he apparently intends to endorse McCain.

Friends and advisers emphasized that no deal has been cut to have Thompson endorse McCain. But they note that there would be a logic to doing so soon, in order to help a friend and colleague at a moment when he needs it most. In turn, Thompson might be named attorney general in a McCain administration.

This might make sense from a friendship perspective (Thompson did back McCain in 2000 as well after all) and from a quid pro quo perspective but for conservatives who actually do consider Thompson to be the one true conservative in the race, this poses a real problem. McCain supported campaign finance reform and "amnesty," and for this my conservative father can not forgive him and indeed considers McCain akin to a Democrat; if Thompson drops out, my Dad literally has nowhere to go and his endorsement of McCain will be nothing short of a betrayal.

This is gonna be fun to watch.



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Re: Running For President Is Hard (2.00 / 1)

I perceive no fun in watching Thompson endorse McCain.  McCain is still the candidate I would prefer not to face, and this rumored endorsement would be one more sign that the establishment is willing to accept McCain as a consensus candidate after all.  While I don't share the pessimism of those who think McCain is unbeatable or that he would surely crush [insert name of hated Democrat here], I still think this would be the worst possible outcome from the Republican side.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 02:06:44 AM EST

Not Necessarily Welcome News (none / 0)

If these rumors turn out to be true, they further reinforce the sense that many of us are getting: the Republican money establishment (eg plutocrats, corporate executives and all their PAC's) are rapidly closing ranks behind McCain.    

McCain is perhaps the most electable Republican they got at the moment. But his road to the Republican nomination particularly through the South (with a viable Huckabee still alive), past the evangelicals, into the teeth of the anti-immigration crowd, and through Mitt Romney's wallet, will be a very bumpy ride.  

Not sure he and the Republican party will survive intact. And the prospects for an anti-immigration third party candidate (Ron Paul?) will rise.

I had been hoping the Republicans would coalesce behind Thompson...I really wanted to run against him. Darn.


by Demo37 on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 02:24:33 AM EST

Re: Not Necessarily Welcome News (none / 0)

Hey third party Ron Paul would be AWESOME!!!   Further split the GOP.


by yitbos96bb on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 10:45:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Running For President Is Hard (none / 0)

Grandpa Fred will drop out. Too bad his campaigning did not live up to expectations.

And he was so looking forward to bringing his barcalounger to the oval office.

homer   www.altara.blogspot.com


by Homer on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 10:04:34 AM EST

Fred never wanted to be president (none / 0)

He was essentially bullied into running IMO. McCain will NEVER be trusted by the evangelical/conservative wing of the GOP, but I think you're right that he would be the toughest challenge for the Democrats.


by highgrade on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 10:35:20 AM EST

Re: Running For President Is Hard (none / 0)

I HOPE fred finishes third as McCain momentum is NOT what I wanted to see.  I do hope if he gets it, the Wingnuts back out... but if he is smart and picks Huckabee as VP or another Wingnut...or even Jeb, then I don't think they'll bolt.  Huckabee scares me less and less as the stories come out, and Romney's a joke.  


by yitbos96bb on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 10:44:36 AM EST

Re: Running For President Is Hard (none / 0)

I am pulling for Romney, with Paul in a surprise third.

The fact that Paul is almost sure to beat Giuliani at this point in Iowa is quite possibly the most hilarious thing of all time.


by animated on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 01:37:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Running For President Is Hard (none / 0)

Over at Redstate, the indignant reaction to this is well worth a read, for comic relief that is:

http://redstate.com/stories/elections/20 08/the_politico_calls_florida_for_gore_p anhandle_is_still_voting

It's rare to hear of a (supposedly) serious campaign fizzling BEFORE Iowa.


by animated on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 01:35:51 PM EST


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