The Spinning of Clinton's Florida Victory Gambit

This morning the Obama campaign held a conference call with David Plouffe and John Kerry to push back against the Clinton campaign's insistence that Florida should count. Their frame of Clinton's Florida gambit of traveling to Florida to celebrate her expected win as though it's an election that counts in any technical way, is to accuse her of politics as usual. As Kerry put it:

The bottom line is that Florida does not offer any delegates and it should not become a spin race, the kind of politics we're trying to reject, which is to suggest something that isn't.

On MSNBC this afternoon, Chris Matthews called Clinton's planned victory event "incredulous" and wondered whether it was "against the spirit, if not the letter, of the rules" they agreed to in the pledge, but I have to agree with WaPo's Gene Robinson who offered a reality check when he suggested that what essentially happened is that the Clinton campaign outplayed the Obama campaign on this one. In other words, it's just smart politics to try to mitigate the 2 really bad news days she's had.

Yesterday Craig Crawford noted that to be fair, if the Clinton event -- which is officially being held after the FL primary is over -- violates the spirit of the pledge, so then would Obama's national ad buy, which included spots that aired in Florida. I think Crawford favors Clinton but he makes a good point.

The holier than thou attitude the Obama campaign is pushing, and the media is buying, is getting a little sickening.



Display:


Obama and HRC are tied (none / 0)

They have the same number of delegates from Florida.

Zero for Obama, Zero for HRC


by puma on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:06:38 PM EST

Re: Obama and HRC are tied (none / 0)

Aren't you getting tired of spinning this narrative?


by Zeitgeist9000 on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:14:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The Spinning of Clinton's Florida Victory Gamb (none / 0)

Hillary got crushed in the news over the weekend but she got back some momentum, first with the story about Rezko being arrested, and now with the whole "snub" flapdoodle.

What's interesting is that the Obama surrogates really really seem to be wedded to their talking points, the way I generally think of Hillary behaving.  Earlier you had Claire McCaskill talking about how the focus on the snub was "the old kind of politics."  Now you have Kerry saying the Clinton take on Florida is "the kind of politics we're trying to reject."  I have no idea if this stuff works or not but hey, I'm always a fan of message discipline.

You actually missed the best part of the Kerry quote:

You have a contrast today, a juxtaposition. You have an avoidance of a rule set up by the chair to create something that isn't supposed to be something.

Classic stuff.

The reality is that when the Obama campaign holds a media conference call and the very first topic is John Kerry trying to convince the media to ignore Florida, that shows concern that they might lose the spin on this one.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:08:17 PM EST

How many delegates did HRC get? (none / 0)

I think Zero.

I don't think the MSM will buy any type of Clinton win.


by puma on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:10:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: How many delegates did HRC get? (none / 0)

I understand that is the spin you prefer, friend.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:17:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The Spinning of Clinton's Florida Victory Gamb (none / 0)

The polling (from FL and, through Rasmussen, nationally) thus far does not suggest any shift towards Obama.


by kristoph on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:13:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Personally (none / 0)

I've got no problem with Clinton having a "victory rally" in Florida...  I think it's silly - since she gets as many delegates as say... Mike Gravel gets - but have at it.

I find it rather entertaining that the media seems to be intent on NOT playing along with the charade.


by zonk on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:10:06 PM EST

Re: The Spinning of (1.00 / 1)

My Lord, Obama folks.  

This is a huge Clinton victory--the most populous state voting thus far and the most diverse--and after a week of the MSM and even some Kennedy lions trashing the Clintons.

Sorry, no way does Obama deserve the nomination after losing Florida, Michigan, Nevada AND New Hampshire, and triumphing only in a largely outsiders-bused-in Iowa and a racially charged and segregated South Carolina.

The voice of true Democrats has been very well established--they do not want Obamaq representing them!


by lambros on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:11:48 PM EST

I am not (none / 0)

an Obama or Hillary supporter or hater.

I find this comment to be silly.
...

John Edwards!
http://johnedwards.com


Washington Woman

Progressive Blue

by kevin22262 on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:16:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The Spinning of (none / 0)

I too am an Edwards supporter. But, if Edwards is out of it (as seems likely), when primary season at long last rolls around to Indiana, these kind of antics from the Clinton campaign will certainly shove me in Obama's direction.

You've got a deal in place that Florida should be sanctioned for trying to cut in line. Trying to claim significance for a "race" that wasn't a "race" because there was no competition seems dishonest.


by mhojo on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:41:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The Spinning of (2.00 / 1)

Yes, let's ignore Florida completely, then in November when it goes for the republican, we can sit here scratching our heads.  The DNC made a stupid decision, they should have left at least 1/2 of the delegates for Florida, instead of telling them we won't count their votes. Again.


by AnnC on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:48:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Clinton has played it "smart" (2.00 / 1)

No question that it is smart to play up her victory here, which after will represent a huge number of actual voters.  I would too.  And I would buy a national ad, too, as a way to campaign in FL.

On the other hand, since she did plainly agree that the delegates don't count, it should remind us all that anything she promises in the campaign is just "smart" bullshit.  I have Iraq in mind, personally.


New Jersey politics and news
by John DE on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:12:14 PM EST

Hillary and Obama (none / 0)

are TIED in those who decided in the last week according to CNN.  That is great news for Obama.


Bring Back MyDD - Just say No to Rec'ing Candidate Diaries.
by CardBoard on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:13:04 PM EST

Re: Hillary and Obama (none / 0)

It was 35-35


Bring Back MyDD - Just say No to Rec'ing Candidate Diaries.
by CardBoard on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:13:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Totally agree with this... (none / 0)

"The holier than thou attitude the Obama campaign is pushing, and the media is buying, is getting a little sickening."

That and the cocky and arrogant "young" supporters.


Washington Woman

Progressive Blue

by kevin22262 on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:13:48 PM EST

So far 350,000 Democrats (none / 0)

YES THAT'S RIGHT 350,000 DEMOCRATS HAVE VOTED FOR HILLARY.  So Barack, you have unified nothing!

Looks like she will go on to get over 500,000 votes.

HALF A MILLION PEOPLE!


I like the silence of a church, before the service begins better than any preaching. ~Ralph Waldo Emerson
by Norwegian Chef on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:16:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Just so you know (none / 0)

I am a solid John Edwards supporter.

I do not support or hate either O or C.

...

John Edwards!
http://johnedwards.com


Washington Woman

Progressive Blue

by kevin22262 on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:18:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: So far 350,000 Democrats (none / 0)

I wasn't convinced at first. But then the "all caps". Those were very persuasive.


by mhojo on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:43:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The Spinning of Clinton's Florida Victory Gamb (none / 0)

Here, here Todd.  It's one thing to talk about process, but I just don't get this strategy of slamming Florida over and over and over again.  What does it get Obama except possibly blunting some short term mo?

Clinton getting over 50% will be a story when over 1,000,000 Dems voted.

And...where is Obama's SC bounce?  Where is his Kennedy bounce?


by rcipw on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:17:14 PM EST

CA New York does not matter (1.00 / 1)

HRC win in CA and New York wont matter because Barry will have won Albany and Sacramento .


by bayareasg on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:20:52 PM EST

Re: The Spinning of Clinton's Florida Victory Gamb (none / 0)

It's shocking that MSNBC doesn't mention Obama's national ad buy which has been playing in Florida on MSNBC for two weeks!


by BigBoyBlue on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:23:06 PM EST

Re: The Spinning of Clinton's Florida Victory Gamb (none / 0)

I'm shocked! Has it been playing anywhere else?


by mhojo on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:44:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The Spinning of Clinton's Florida Victory Gamb (none / 0)

Oh. My. God.

"You can't gain momentum in a state that everyone but Hillary Clinton pledged not to campaign in," - Robert Gibbs, Obama spokesman

Really?!?!  Hillary didn't pledge?!?!   WTF is this?


by rcipw on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:23:51 PM EST

More misleading Obama statements (none / 0)

The Obama people mislead, fib and stretch the truth, but the press doesn't call them on it because they don't like Hillary.  I don't know why the elitist wing of the Democratic Party loves the mainstream media candidate so much.  


by nascardem on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:29:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

CNN (none / 0)

Courtesy of CNN.  Do a find for "Gibbs"

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/01/29/f l.primary/index.html


by rcipw on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 09:14:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The Spinning of Clinton's Florida Victory Gamb (none / 0)

This is a Clinton victory, and I wish Obama supporters would simply concede for one evening like many Clinton supporters did during South Carolina.

Florida may not produce delegates, but it does signify somethings - mostly that Obama did not receive any bounce from South Carolina or Kennedy.  The more liberal areas of Florida are going for Clinton in huge numbers - specifically Monroe County (Key West) and even Miami-Dade's preliminary votes are very strong in her favor.

I think the biggest victory for Clinton tonight is that she took around 30% of the African-American vote and holds a command of the white and hispanic vote.  That's got to be unsettling for Obama supporters going into Super Tuesday.


by ejintx on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:25:08 PM EST

the idea of a victory event (none / 0)

in a state where no one has campaigned is ludicrous.

There is such a thing as trying too hard, and, given a chance the Clinton campaign tries too hard time and again. It's like that candidate Tracy Flick...the one Reese Witherspoon played...from the movie Election.

Holding a victory event when you haven't had a debate, haven't had real voter outreach, when the voters are just going on the news and name recognition...it's just pathetic. And it sends the wrong message after she agreed to observe the rules to back out on them now.

The signs from the Clinton campaign are not good.  If I were them, I would not be playing up Florida tonight.

But if I were them I wouldn't be running that new ad, Lifetime, either.


k/o: politics and local blogs
by kid oakland on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:26:15 PM EST

Re: the idea of a victory event (none / 0)

Is this the new talking point?  That Hillary broke the rules?  Wow.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:28:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Nah (none / 0)

It's just the AP

Last year, the national party stripped Florida of its delegates as punishment for moving its primary ahead of Feb. 5 and the candidates pledged to bypass the state. At stake Tuesday were 185 delegates.

Still, Clinton winked at that pledge, holding two closed fundraisers in recent days and scheduling a rally with supporters after the polls closed in Florida.


k/o: politics and local blogs
by kid oakland on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:49:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Nah (none / 0)

Wow.  You really exemplify the Obama campaign's commitment to truth and honesty.  Wow.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 09:07:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

If I were you (none / 0)

If I were you, I would want the best possible person to be president, not someone who has zero experience.


by nascardem on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:30:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: the idea of a victory event (2.00 / 1)

Maybe she could play a game of solitaire and celebrate that "victory" as well.


by mhojo on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:46:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The Spinning of Clinton's Florida Victory Gamb (none / 0)

Omg, Chris Matthews just said "For the people watching now, this doesn't count, what we're watching here. This is an unoficial, un-ratified, basically outlaw primary down here that doesn't matter, it doesn't exist."

Tell that to the 1 million voters.  Outlaw? Doesn't exist? Gimme a break.


by rcipw on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:36:06 PM EST

Re: The Spinning of Clinton's Florida Victory Gamb (2.00 / 1)

Tell that to the geniuses in the Florida Democratic Party who decided to cut in line.


by mhojo on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:46:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The Spinning of Clinton's Florida Victory Gamb (none / 0)

Todd, The whole holier than thou comment is a bit ... If you give Hilary the kudos for playing politics. Then you have to do the same for Obama for downplaying it. That's just fair.

Personally, I don't think it counts that much. After all, no one campaigned there. And many people voted absentee before SC and the Kennedy thing. But if she gets it, she gets it. It'll be a pyrrhic victory, though, in that Obama will cast serious doubt on it.


by blackmahn on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:47:35 PM EST

Obama blew it (none / 0)

Okay. As someone leaning Obama, gotta say, Obama blew it with Florida. Not saying he should have campaigned there, but he needed a more effective response to Clinton's well-maneuvered foray. This is a critical battleground state, and pretending it doesn't exist doesn't make it so.

Whether the mainstream media buys in or not, it now adds heft in her efforts to change the narrative away from Obama's recent gains to her own.

But what effect, if any, will it have on votersgoing in to Super Tuesday? Maybe some, but I think the pro-Hillary people overstate it.

I also think she undermines herself by trying to seat the Florida and Michigan delegates. Most objective observors perceive this as an attempt to change the rules merely because they favor her. It offends their sense of fair play. Pro-Hillary people need to understand that this is the sort of thing that alienates people.


by wolff109 on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 09:09:26 PM EST

Re: The Spinning of Clinton's Florida Victory Gamb (none / 0)

It's not as if the candidates will never return to these states.


by wolff109 on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 09:17:56 PM EST

Re: The Spinning of Clinton's Florida Victory Gamb (none / 0)

I'd say that your promotion of the Clintons' typical "dirty politics" is par for the course (just to respond to your comments in the same spirit and tone in which they were delivered).


by tarzanne on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 09:45:19 PM EST


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