Mitt Romney Places First in Nevada -- And Ron Paul Second

by Jonathan Singer, Sat Jan 19, 2008 at 04:31:42 PM EST

Nevada hasn't taken nearly as much importance on the Republican side as it has on the Democratic side, but early reports show Mitt Romney carrying the state with very strong support from Mormon voters in the state (LDS voters making up 25 percent of the electorate). Interestingly, at this point Ron Paul is running second in the contest on the basis of support from self-described independent voters (according to MSNBC). Democratic results should take some more time to come in...

Update [2008-1-19 16:28:27 by Jonathan Singer]: Hahahahahah. With more than 64 percent of precincts reporting, Ron Paul is indeed leading John McCain in Nevada. I'm sure that's great news for the McCain campaign, though...

Update [2008-1-19 16:31:42 by Jonathan Singer]: Also, with Rudy Giuliani barely staving off Duncan Hunter for the honor of not quite being in last place, I'm sure that's also great news for the Giuliani campaign...




Tags: Nevada Caucuses, Republican Primaries (all tags)

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LDS Voters (none / 0)

     When you say LDS voters make up 25% of the electorate, is that the Republican electorate or the total Democratic, Republican and Independent electorate?


by Ron Thompson on Sat Jan 19, 2008 at 03:02:37 PM EST

Re: LDS Voters (none / 0)

I believe the Republican electorate today (not in general, just those who turned out today).


My Direct Democracy
by Jonathan Singer on Sat Jan 19, 2008 at 03:07:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Mitt Romney Places First in Nevada -- And Ron (none / 0)

I just heard on either MSNBC or CNN that Mormons are 7% of Nevada, but naturally, you can expect that is a much higher percentage for Republicans. Last I heard, about 20% of the Republican caucus voters were Mormons.


by TheWinch on Sat Jan 19, 2008 at 03:14:11 PM EST

Re: Mitt Romney Places First in Nevada -- And Ron (2.00 / 0)

Not sure that McCain doesn't at least tie Paul for second. They keep adding more people to the entrance poll sample, and Paul's numbers keep dropping. First time I saw them, there were ~350 respondents and Paul had 27% of males. Now there are 813 respondents and Paul only has 18% of males. Unless the late results are very strong for Paul, I think McCain holds him off.


by IVR Polls on Sat Jan 19, 2008 at 03:51:48 PM EST

the media will make excuses (none / 0)

for McCain finishing behind Paul. The fact that he came in fourth in Iowa didn't seem to make a dent with them.

Let's hope Huckabee can finish off McCain in SC. I expect that veterans will carry that state for McCain, though.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Sat Jan 19, 2008 at 04:30:52 PM EST

What will be great (1.00 / 1)

is seeing all the Paultards spin a 40-point loss in a state almost no one else campaigned in as a win.


New Mexico politics from the local perspective.
by fbihop on Sat Jan 19, 2008 at 04:33:30 PM EST

Re: What will be great (none / 0)

What is great is seeing all the political experts keep making excuses when Ron Paul does much better than they predicted.

Most thought he wouldn't make it past Iowa, if he got that far.  When he started raising top tier money, they grudgingly said he might hit 5-10% in a few states.

None of them predicted that he would hit 14% in Nevada and place second, or that he would beat Giuliani in almost every early primary.


by Lex on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 01:07:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

But in South Carolina... (none / 0)

Paul took only 2-5% in South Carolina counties.


by susie on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 01:39:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Mitt Romney Places First in Nevada -- And Ron (none / 0)

   Romney is certainly cleaning up in Nevada.  Is it a winner take all caucus?  If Huckabee wins South Carolina, McCain is really in big trouble.  Can Romney win by playing the delegate game?


Jim Oberweis
by cilerder86 on Sat Jan 19, 2008 at 04:36:15 PM EST


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