The numbers from the Democratic primary in Michigan, with 81 percent of precincts reporting, show Hillary Clinton well above 50 percent -- 57 percent, to be exact. Even with 38 percent of the primary electorate giving Clinton a bode of no-confidence in this one-person race by voting "uncommitted" and the contest not awarding any delegates to the Democratic National Convention (at least not yet), this win presumably gives Clinton at least somewhat of a momentum boost heading into Nevada and, even more importantly, South Carolina.
But something in tonight's results from Michigan should strike some concern with the Clinton camp, too, particularly as pertains to South Carolina. Josh Marshall:
According to the Fox exit polls, in the Democratic primary tonight, Clinton took 25% of the African-American vote and "uncommitted" is getting 69% of the African-American vote. Now remember, Hillary is only major candidate on the ballot. The others, and even Hillary to a degree, boycotted the primary because Michigan got crosswise with the national Democratic party over the date of their primary. Rep. Conyers (D) is an Obama supporter and he pushed for the state's African-American community to vote "uncommitted." There's too much screwy about the Democratic primary in Michigan tonight to draw too much from this; but it is suggestive.
Chris Bowers frames these results as a win for Barack Obama, and I can't say that I think he's too far off. If African-Americans in Michigan are overwhelmingly willing to vote for a non-candidate over Clinton -- particularly at a significantly higher rate than White voters -- it's not beyond the realm of imagination that they will have trouble voting at a much higher rate for Obama than for Clinton. While a lot of folks within the Beltway establishment may have chalked up the kerfuffle over past week and a half between the two leading candidates over issues of race as a win for Clinton, at least in the short term it looks like the fracas is having a seriously deleterious effect of Clinton's support among African-Americans.
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