CNN/LA Times/Politico (via email) commissioned a poll by Opinion Research Corporation of CA Democratic voters ahead of the critical Feb 5th contest (5% MOE):
Democrats Clinton 47% Obama 31% Edwards 10% Republicans McCain 20% Romney 16% Giuliani 14% Huckabee 13% Paul 8% Thompson 6%Those votes which are solidified are exact opposite on the parties. About 62% of Democrats are solid, and about 61% of Republicans might vote for someone else.
Clinton's lead is pretty strong; coupled with an expected Florida pick-up, where Clinton is polling ahead of Obama by 21% (52-31-9), it makes South Carolina pivotal for Obama to re-gain momentum. Edwards needs a miracle on the LV strip to happen.
The Republican situation in Florida is just a mess, a four-way tie.
My hope is that Romney wins in Michigan, McCain in Nevada, Huckabee in South Carolina, Giuliani in Florida, heading into Feb 5th. That will guarantee nothing is settled on the Republican side until September.
|
|
|
Permalink :: 37 Comments :: Post a Comment
|
In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.
If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.