Hillary outpolled McCain among NH Independents

by markjay, Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 01:29:30 AM EST

Just saw a fascinating diary by our Silver Spring over at Daily Kos:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/1/9/2 2249/96025/158/434119

The key stat:
Number of independent votes that McCain won: 33,063
Number of independent votes that Clinton won: 40,111

Haven't seen too many articles in the press about how New Hampshire independents just LOVE Hillary Clinton!!




Tags: Hillary Clinton, John McCain, 2008 elections (all tags)

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Re: Hillary outpolled McCain among NH Independents (1.66 / 3)

well, well, well. i thought obama's trans-party coalition was going to reform the political landscape. too bad he couldn't hide his misogyny until after the election.

she kicked his ass.


by campskunk on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 01:39:26 AM EST

Re: Hillary outpolled McCain among NH Independents (2.00 / 2)

It was more the press that piled on Clinton. Obama actually handled it very well when he was asked about Clinton's Teary Moment.


by OrangeFur on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 02:43:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Well, the "transformation" I see now... (2.00 / 0)

Was the transformation of old, wrongly held opinions of Hillary being "too polarizing" or "too staus quo" or "not able to win" last night. I mean, she wasn't "supposed" to win... But obviously, the working women of New Hampshire wanted to say otherwise! If anything "transformative" this election year, it's the sudden excitement of women of all walks of life throughout this nation at the real chance of putting a fantastic woman in the White House this year... AS OUR PRESIDENT!! :-)


We shall overcome!
by atdleft on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 08:21:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]

2.5 point margin = Ass Kicking? (none / 0)

Based on polls taken two weeks prior to the NH primary, this would have been seen as a symbolic victory for Obama. Only the polls taken a few days before the primary (inflated by the Iowa result) led to expectations that he would win easily.

No, she did not kick his ass, not even close.


by Davidsfr on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 02:04:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 2.5 point margin = Ass Kicking? (none / 0)

She beat him by 7,000 votes among independents.
An a**kicking? Probably not, but still a sizable win.
by spirowasright on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 04:44:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

She Beat McCain Among Independents Not Obama (none / 0)

Obama won the most independents. Hilary won the overall primary by having a larger plurality among registered dems.


by Davidsfr on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 10:25:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 2.5 point margin = Ass Kicking? (none / 0)

she took the independents by large numbers.  That was supposed to be his strength. Yah, it was pretty much an ass kicking considering polls said he was going to win by double digits.  He thought he was going to win by double digits and the media had been raving about his surge for weeks.  You can't go back and rewrite history.  It was supposed to be an Obama blow out.  He blew it and she kicked his ass.


ABO... Anybody but Obama. I LIKE the democratic party.

by MollieBradford on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 08:33:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

ooops sorry (none / 0)

wrong info


ABO... Anybody but Obama. I LIKE the democratic party.

by MollieBradford on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 08:38:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Yes Very Wrong! (none / 0)

Once again, Obama won the independents (Clinton finished ahead of McCain not Obama among them) and a 2.5 percent loss would have been hailed as a symbolic victory for Obama based on over 90% of the polls taken in the state throughout the campaign.


by Davidsfr on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 10:27:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary outpolled McCain among NH Independents (2.00 / 2)

thanks markjay for reposting this here ... i like how you titled the diary ...

it is interesting how the indies voted, considering they, in effect, had the most options to choose from.


by silver spring on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 06:03:57 AM EST

Re: Hillary outpolled McCain among NH Independents (none / 0)

And yet Obama outpolled them both among the independents...

Go figure.

You Clinton people need some perspective. You say "she kicked his ass" and yet his margin of victory was three times greater over hers in Iowa. She won by 3 percent. He beat her by nine percent in Iowa.

If Hillary is nominated, we might as well start looking to 2012. She's going to lose to McCain, probably in a landslide.


by JackBourassa on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 01:23:19 PM EST

Re: Hillary outpolled McCain among NH Independents (none / 0)

Comparing the margin of victory of a caucus vs. a primary is comparing apples and oranges. We have no idea what the actual preferences were among caucus goers. We only know the caucus results. If the caucus didn't have the 15% viability rule, the percentages for each candidate would be different.

The fact that Obama outpolled both of them is totally irrelevant if the people didn't actually show up on election day and vote that way.


by LakersFan on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 01:34:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

But the did show up on election day (none / 0)

Independents showed up and voted for Obama more than any other candidate in either party--just what are you saying in your post?

If you are speculating that they wouldn't actually show up on the general election day to vote for Obama, how do you know they would show up for either of the other candidates either?


by Davidsfr on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 02:02:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: But the did show up on election day (none / 0)

I was under the impression that independents did not show up to vote in NH as expected (according to the polls). Basically, my point is that it doesn't matter who outpolls who, the only thing that matters is who shows up on election day and votes.


by LakersFan on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 03:06:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: But the did show up on election day (none / 0)

By "Outpolled" I meant got more votes.  Obama got the most votes among independents, then Hillary, and then McCain.  Everybody expected Obama to get a lot of votes from Indepedents. But I never read anybody who suggested that Hillary was more competetive with independents than McCain was.  I'll take that as an excellent sign for the general election.


by markjay on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 08:25:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I'm fine with that (none / 0)

It's great that both dems outpolled McCain among independents, both by sizeable margins. That certainly bodes well for the GE, but since dems can be counted on to vote for the eventual nominee anyway, the fact that Obama won them, and came within three points of winning the primary overall when he was behind by double digits within the last two weeks, lends strength to the argument that he would be the best GE candidate.


by Davidsfr on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 10:29:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary outpolled McCain among NH Independents (none / 0)

This bunch?
Don't hold your breath.
by spirowasright on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 04:45:08 PM EST


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