Count me among those who expected Hillary Clinton's refusal to apologize for her vote to authorize the war to be a bigger problem for her in this primary. I saw footage of her early on getting confronted with the question at townhall meetings in Iowa and New Hampshire and thought surely she won't be able to get away with finessing this with the anti-Iraq occupation Democratic primary electorate. Well, by the look of Clinton's strength in both early state and national polling, so far she is.
The latest Pew poll finds that
While Pew's June survey found 80% of Democratic voters saying Iraq was very important to their vote, it has yet to become a defining issue in the primary contest.
The poll asked Democratic or Democratic-leaning voters whether the party's leadership is challenging Bush's Iraq policy strongly enough. 56% said no yet the poll found that the candidate preferences of this majority don't differ from those that think the Dem leadership is doing just the right amount to push back against Bush on Iraq.
Among those that said the leadership is doing the "right amount," support for the candidates is as follows:
Hillary Clinton: 42%
Barack Obama: 21%
John Edwards: 9%
Bill Richardson: 2%
Among those that feel the leadership is "not doing enough":
Hillary Clinton: 42%
Barack Obama: 22%
John Edwards: 10%
Bill Richardson: 3%
Voters at large are not seeing any appreciable difference among the candidates on Iraq even though John Edwards has made it very clear he regrets his vote and has become fiercely against the war, Barack Obama has reminded voters time and time again that he came out against war with Iraq back in 2002 when it wasn't popular to do so and Richardson is constantly telling us he will leave no residual troops in Iraq. It appears the Democratic primary electorate is sick of nuance on this issue -- it's either get out or more of the same and they see Hillary on the right side of that question. Not surprisingly, Stoller disagrees and sees some real problems with the language Clinton used in the debate last night. While I may have a little more faith than Matt as to Clinton's intentions with respect to Iraq, I would like to see more scrutiny of Clinton's real plans when it comes to getting our troops out.
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