Climate, Power, Omnibus

At the Inconvenient Truth presentation on Sunday at Yearly Kos, some fellow attendees who'd gone through Al Gore's climate presentation training told us three alarming things:

  • 2006 is now the hottest year on record.
  • The winter of 2006-2007 is now the hottest winter on record.
  • The arctic ice cap may melt completely in as little as 15 years according to the latest data.

Now it is the unfortunate truth that in politics, it isn't enough just to be right. It isn't enough to have the facts on your side. You either have to have a lot of money or you have to have a lot of people, in other words, power, or no one will listen to your facts. Even, to take an extreme example, if those facts are that civilization as we know it has less than a decade to avert the worst case scenarios as predicted by the very conservative IPCC report.

In the face of these dire circumstances, Congress continues to hem and haw, wheedle and whine, drag their feet like 10 year olds who don't want to face bedtime. In spite of the fact that polling indicates strong public support for higher CAFE standards, even among union households, Republicans and SUV drivers, Congress is AWOL on fuel efficiency. And in addition to taking too little action on some issues, they've taken large, harmful actions with the idea of being helpful. Repeat after me ... corn ethanol is an unmitigated disaster.

Not that it's just Congress. In a truly ironic example of greenwashing bad policy (and any policy that doesn't do enough, or prevents enough being done later, counts as bad at this point) even some environmental groups have seen fit to endorse the inadequate Lieberman-Warner cap-and-trade bill as though it was good and sufficient.

Amidst the rumblings and fury of the people who care because they're a little attached to the continuance of the species, I hear the same fatalistic disappointment that's seized members of the (also small and poorly funded) sustainable agriculture community following the House version of the Farm Bill: Well, looks like we'll have to wait another five years for the next [insert the name of your favorite omnibus clusterfrak here] Bill. So I just have to ask, um, why?

Why exactly should Congress be allowed to sit on their hands for the next five years when so much is at stake? Why should we accept the conventional wisdom that we'll only get "one bite at the apple"? Averting catastrophic climate change is a popular issue and an important one, but not one with either a large and active constituency* or a lot of money on the side of right, so the legislation regarding it was virtually guaranteed to be terrible. Maybe we should talk about ways to build people power, work together to try mobilization efforts we haven't considered before, and then talk again about what can and can't be done. This conversation would be worlds different if someone like Rep. John Dingell (MI-15) thought he might lose votes over it.

* I'll grant you that many environmental advocates are very active, but in terms of being able to mobilize constituent phone calls to congressional offices in sufficient numbers to get results, their activity is swallowed up in their relative isolation. Update: Link added.

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Re: Climate, Power, Omnibus (none / 0)

I'm tempted to believe that we do only get one real shot.  That doesn't stop us from doing what we can to lay the groundwork now, mind you.

Al Gore makes two major points in his movie.  The first is that it has to be a political solution.  The second is that it has to be a GLOBAL solution, encompassing the rapidly industrializing countries like China and India.  That's why he travels to Asia to give his slideshow!

Some people have responded to this by pointing out that China and India have many more people than us, that they're likely to dwarf us in terms of emissions and pollution within the next few years, so why should we hurt our economy by making changes when China and India aren't doing anything?  To which Gore responds, the world will follow us, but we need to LEAD.

China and India use the exact same excuse, after all; why should they hamstring themselves, when the US is the world leader in carbon emissions and hasn't done anything about it?  (In fact, China's fuel economy standards make ours look like a joke.)

Are you with me so far?  We're in a situation where we need a major legislative program to fight climate change, but we also need to negotiate with other countries and make sure they follow our lead once we enact that program.  Because if they don't, the anti-environment types are going to say "See! No one else is doing anything, we're killing our own economy for no reason!"  And our awesome legislative program will get undone, and that's the end of our one real chance.

That's why I think no one can direct this effort except a President who is truly on board with combating climate change.  Even if you could give me an awesome set of new laws right now, it would amount to nothing in the end because Bush isn't the guy to go to China and urge them to follow our lead.  He doesn't care about climate change.

So I'm content to do what we can, to pass the laws that are politically feasible, but not to get too far ahead of ourselves until we have a Democratic President in office who can be an effective advocate on this issue.  If we try and fail, Capitol Hill may be beachfront property by the time we get another shot.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Tue Aug 07, 2007 at 04:14:30 PM EST

Re: Climate, Power, Omnibus (none / 0)

But a Democratic presidency (one hopes) could be less than two years away and Bush is already threatening to veto this very weak legislation.

It would take a while to build up those who are now merely concerned into a more active constituency, though sometime in 2009 isn't an unreasonable time frame for doing so.


by Natasha Chart on Tue Aug 07, 2007 at 04:24:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Climate, Power, Omnibus (none / 0)

Most frustrating thing ... we can have a stronger economy while pursuing a path for dealing with CO2 emissions and other Global Warming causes.  See Energize America (www.ea2020.org). Or, Making Green by Going Green (http://www.dailykos.com/story/2007/3/28/ 22559/2254). Or ... well, there are lots of places to look.


by a siegel on Tue Aug 07, 2007 at 09:56:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Start Locally (none / 0)

Yes, we need good, progressive national legislation on this issue, but there are some things we can do locally to make a difference too.

Today, I emailed my Home Owners Association to ask them to refrain from doing any gas-powered landscaping on code Yellow, Orange or Red air-quality days. HOAs are remarkably responsive considering how restrictive they can be, and my HOA board is looking into implementing such a policy.

It's not much, but some of us can lobby Congress, some of us can change our HOA policies. We all do what we can.


by Paradox13 on Tue Aug 07, 2007 at 04:24:24 PM EST

Re: Climate, Power, Omnibus (none / 0)

I think it's already over. It's time to start trying to build shelters/bunkers to retreat to until the world sorts itself out from the chaos of climatological collapse and we can emerge to found knew societies.

Decommissioned Missile Silos are pretty cheap I hear...


by MNPundit on Tue Aug 07, 2007 at 05:39:35 PM EST

NEW (none / 0)

I mean.


by MNPundit on Tue Aug 07, 2007 at 05:39:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Climate, Power, Omnibus (3.00 / 1)

I'm with you, Natasha, I don't think we have the luxury of waiting. I went to the yKos Global Warming panel and learned that according to James Hanson, we only have 8 years left to prevent climate change from being an unmitigated catastrophe.

A couple of hours later, I attended the breakout session with John Edwards, and he said something relevant to this debate--"we don't have to wait!" i.e., let's not sit around for the next year and a half twiddling our thumbs and holding out for a regime change. I think this applies to the Farm Bill as well. Yes, it's been awfully discouraging to see our hopes for real reform dashed by the usual suspects, but we shouldn't discount the awesome force of people power.

As Markos said in his closing speech on Saturday night, "I'm just a guy who built a website." I rest my case.


Ignorance is an evil weed, which dictators may cultivate among their dupes, but which no democracy can afford among its citizens. William Beveridge
by Kerry Trueman on Tue Aug 07, 2007 at 05:43:25 PM EST

Rolling stone is not a scientific magazine (none / 0)

Come on, That article could have been written by an Exxon executive.


by delmoi on Tue Aug 07, 2007 at 05:48:43 PM EST

Re: Climate, Power, Omnibus (3.00 / 2)

Rolling Stone is not the greatest source but the claims have a great deal of support in the scientific literature.  Ethanol raises several legitimate concerns: trade-offs with food directly and through price pressures, exhaustion of scarce water resources, ff-intensiveness of corn production, etc.

I am sure it pains people in Iowa, but ethanol is not the answer.  

Conservation, conservation, conservation, conservation, then throw in a little wind, solar, geothermal, biomass other than corn, etc.


"We live entangled in webs of endless deceit, often self-deceit, but with a little honest effort, it is possible to extricate ourselves from them". -- NC
by Trond Jacobsen on Tue Aug 07, 2007 at 06:01:41 PM EST

Re: Climate, Power, Omnibus (none / 0)

What about cellulosic ethanol?  I thought Al Gore was a fan.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Tue Aug 07, 2007 at 06:24:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Climate, Power, Omnibus (none / 0)

Corn-based ethanol is bad.


"We live entangled in webs of endless deceit, often self-deceit, but with a little honest effort, it is possible to extricate ourselves from them". -- NC
by Trond Jacobsen on Tue Aug 07, 2007 at 06:30:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Cellulosic (3.00 / 1)

Cellulosic ethanol is different than corn, but still not favorable. You can get some benefit from biomass gasification, which uses the stuff as fuel directly but doesn't go through a liquid stuff.

Really, if you're talking about liquid biofuels, it's algae, all the way.


by Natasha Chart on Tue Aug 07, 2007 at 10:02:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

RE reaching people ... (none / 0)

Thank you.  Sometimes you just don't know if you've reached anyone. Powerful statement. Glad that I played some small part in sparking it.

Now, there is a serious question, even with Dingell onboard, would we want 80% by 2050 legislation to pass?  Probably, I guess. Bush would veto it, but it would set the minimum for 2009.

Now, the real threat is a political desire to pass anything with "Global Warming" in the title so that they can say 'we've paid that bill' and not deal with it again for years to come.  Sadly, that might mean a dangerous bill like Lieberman-Warner could pass. And, well, what are we doing even considering legislation on a major issue that doesn't have a Democrat in the title?  (Although putting a Democratic Senator's name on the bill wouldn't make it smell any better.)


by a siegel on Tue Aug 07, 2007 at 06:24:02 PM EST

Re: Climate, Power, Omnibus (none / 0)

I do think you're right when you point out that we don't have the luxury of sitting around waiting for  the next president. But this is such a frustrating situation. I know it's naive, but I just keep hoping Al Gore will run and we'll finally get the leadership this requires.    


The Republican Party ... where Truth goes to die.
by moneysmith on Tue Aug 07, 2007 at 07:57:34 PM EST

Re: Climate, Power, Omnibus (none / 0)

Keep in the mind that energy legislation is live in Congress right now. The Senate bill does have a hike in CAFE standards (closing the SUV loophole). The House bill has a mandate for more electricity coming from renewable sources. Both provisions could survive in House-Senate conference, or succumb to special interest pressure.

If we in the blogosphere help Washington enviros counter that special interest pressure, and get more citizens engaged, we can move the ball forward, and strengthen our position when broader cap-and-trade legislation is expected to be addressed by Congress in the fall.

More background here: http://commonsense.ourfuture.org/energy_ independence


Bill Scher blogs for Campaign for America's Future at commonsense.ourfuture.org
by BillScher on Wed Aug 08, 2007 at 10:10:36 AM EST


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