I just replied to a post by lori regarding HRC's likely VP picks and it gave me the idea to dedicate an entire diary about it. I would like to try to initiate some discussion about who each candidate is likely to pick as their running mate, should they get the nomination. I thought it would be nice to see a diary that doesn't focus on red-faced name calling between the partisans of each candidate.
lori suggested that Hillary's likely VP pick would be Obama or possibly Mark Warner. I can see maybe Warner, but definately not Obama. The only way she would consider Obama is if the nomination battle is super close and goes down to the wire nationally between the two of them. Then she might be advised to pick Obama to heal the rift between primary voters. Otherwise, it would be stupid to pick a VP that might become more popular than you. Warner would be a real coup, but I think a lot of party establishment would prefer he run for the Senate. I'd say the clear favorite right now for Hillary's VP is former Iowa governor Tom Vilsack.
Vilsack couldn't jump out of the race quick enough in order to endorse Hillary and has remained very close to her campaign. I suspect some quid pro quo and think he's been promised a place in Hillary's cabinet (I don't mean that as an anti-Hillary conspiracy theory, it's just how things tend to work in presidential politics). Besides Vilsack I would list the following possibilities, in order from most likely to least likely (all names mentioned by people close to HRC's campaign): Ohio governor Ted Strickland, Warner, Bill Richardson and former Senator Evan Bayh. These guys would balance the ticket well because they would appeal to white guys in the Midwest, which will be the most challenging demographic to win over for Hillary.
I would be very surprised if Obama did not pick Tom Daschle for VP. Like Vislack and Hillary, Daschle has been very instrumental in Obama's campaign. Daschle would also balance the ticket nicely, creating a New Guy/Old Guy, Outsider/Insider ticket. He might help the ticket be competitive in the West and add gravitas to the ticket as well.
With Edwards I'm drawing a complete blank. Same with Richardson. Any thoughts? Let's try to keep it clean and only argue about the likelyhood and merits of each candidate's possible VP pick, not who is likely to win the nomination and why they're so great and everyone else sucks.
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