House 2008: Dems Line Up Big Time Candidate for MI-07

We've been watching Michigan, and the state's seventh congressional district in particular, for a long time given the great opportunity the state affords the Democrats as they try to extend their majority in the United States House. Now, as alluded to up in Breaking Blue, the Democrats have found themselves a candidate more than up to the task for taking advantage of the great opportunity in Michigan's seventh district. The Associate Press has the story, via Walberg Watch.

State Senate Minority Leader Mark Schauer said Thursday he will seek the Democratic nomination to challenge Republican U.S. Rep. Tim Walberg in the 2008 election after declining earlier overtures to enter the race.

The district, which leans about 2 points more Republican than the nation as a whole in presidential elections, looks a little like  this:

The Michigan seat most clearly under the Democrats' gaze this year might be CD 7. Backing up one cycle to the 2004 campaign, the Republican primary went to the somewhat more moderate Joe Schwarz as conservative Republicans, including the son of the retiring incumbent Nick Smith (who Republican leaders attempted to bribe on the House floor with promises to support his literal political heir, but that's a whole other story...), split the field. Once in Congress, Schwarz was almost immediately under conservatives' sites despite proving a fairly reliable vote for his party (he voted with his caucus on party-line votes 84 percent of the time in 2006, for example, according to CQ), and with the backing of the Club for Growth, Tim Walberg was able to unseat Schwarz in the primary.

Yet Walberg was -- and is -- too conservative for his district, which leans about two percentage points more Republican than the nation as a whole. Despite outspending his Democratic challenger by more than a 20-to-1 margin, Walberg was not even able to secure a majority of his district's vote on November 7, clocking in at just 49.9 percent of the vote.

According to Michigan Liberal, DCCC polling out of this race already puts Schauer within the margin of error of Walberg (the incumbent leads by 3 points Schauer is up 3 points), a fact that augurs quite poorly for Republicans hopes of holding this seat (or at least doing so without spending so much money that they have to scrimp elsewhere). Remember, the DCCC already has better than a 10-to-1 cash-on-hand advantage over the NRCC, meaning that either the Democratic spending is going to at least be on par with that of the Republicans, or else the GOP will have to forgo, nearly completely, any attempts to go up against just about any Democratic incumbent. So mark this one down as another win (in a figurative though clearly not yet literal sense) for the Democrats.



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Re: House 2008: Dems Line Up Big Time Candidate fo (none / 0)

A win here would be sweet, if only because Jackson, MI (in the district) is one of the two "birthplaces" of the Republican party (the other being Ripon, WI).

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by silver spring on Thu Aug 23, 2007 at 11:01:16 PM EST

Re: House 2008: Dems Line Up Big Time Candidate fo (none / 0)

I'm pretty sure the Republican party originated in Wisconsin first.  Wisconsin is the place to birth political parties.  


by JeremiahTheMessiah on Fri Aug 24, 2007 at 04:50:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Not quite (none / 0)

I've gotta stand up for my Michigan here, even if it's a dubious honor. If you want to believe the Republicans (a bad choice in most cases), Jackson, Michigan is where the first official meeting was.

From GOP.com:


The Republican Party was born in the early 1850's by anti-slavery activists and individuals who believed that government should grant western lands to settlers free of charge. The first informal meeting of the party took place in Ripon, Wisconsin, a small town northwest of Milwaukee. The first official Republican meeting took place on July 6th, 1854 in Jackson, Michigan. The name "Republican" was chosen because it alluded to equality and reminded individuals of Thomas Jefferson's Democratic-Republican Party. At the Jackson convention, the new party adopted a platform and nominated candidates for office in Michigan.

So I think it'll be quite the symbolic victory if we defeat Tim Walberg.

In case you're wondering, Ripon, WI, is in WI-06, held by Republican Tom Petri. So winning there, too, might be nice.


Walberg Watch - Following Radical Conservative Rep. Tim Walberg in MI-07
by Fitzy on Fri Aug 24, 2007 at 10:25:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: House 2008: Dems Line Up Big Time Candidate fo (3.00 / 1)

His state senate district (no 19) seems to fit in quite nicely within the 7th congress district and seems to encompass the population centers of the district ...

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by silver spring on Thu Aug 23, 2007 at 11:19:49 PM EST

Re: House 2008: Dems Line Up Big Time Candidate (none / 0)

Sounds like they convinced him they were going to put some money behind him.

If so, that's good. The DCCC should be using its money advantage to attract good candidates.


by Bush Bites on Thu Aug 23, 2007 at 11:24:46 PM EST

Schauer will be a great candidate (none / 0)

But in the interest of fairness, it's worth noting that there are three other candidates in the race too: former state Senator Jim Berryman, attorney David Nacht, and 2004 and 2006 nominee Sharon Renier. And all of them would be a lot better than Tim Walberg.

Mark Schauer's a great candidate, though. I look forward to hearing what he and the others have to say.

It'll be a fun race!

(And thanks for the link to Walberg Watch! I appreciate it.)


Walberg Watch - Following Radical Conservative Rep. Tim Walberg in MI-07
by Fitzy on Thu Aug 23, 2007 at 11:28:15 PM EST


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