AK-Sen: Run, Mark, Run!

I noted it yesterday over in Breaking Blue, but it looks like Ted Stevens, who is the longest serving Republican in the history of the Senate, is in a lot of trouble. The Alaska Anchorage Daily News' Richard Mauer and Erika Bolstad have the scoop.

Federal law enforcement agents raided U.S. Sen. Ted Stevens' Alaska home in Girdwood on Monday, hauling off undisclosed items from inside and taking extensive pictures and video.

Officials wouldn't say what they were looking for or what they found.

"All I can say is that agents from the FBI and IRS are currently conducting a search at that residence," Dave Heller, assistant special agent in charge of the FBI's Anchorage office, said Monday.

With Stevens up for reelection in 2008 and reportedly under investigation for corruption, the Democrats are going to need to field a real candidate to jump in this race. And right now it looks like DC Dems (as well as those in Alaska) have been working overtime to try to recruit one such candidate: popular Anchorage mayor Mark Begich, son of onetime Alaska Congressman Nick Begich. The Washington Post's Paul Kane had the story on Begich last month.

With a trio of stories today involving ethical allegations against Alaska Republicans, Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich's phone started ringing early with calls from Capitol Hill.

Begich, a popular mayor who won his second three-year term a year ago, is being courted to challenge one or the other of Alaska's longtime Republican incumbents, who have more than 73 years of combined congressional experience. He's the son of the late Rep. Nick Begich (D-Alaska), who died in a 1972 plane crash with the late Rep. Hale Boggs (D-La.), in a remote part of the Frontier State. Begich, now 44, was 10 at the time.

Facing a term limit in the spring of 2009, Begich is in a minor bidding war between the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee -- which wants him to challenge Rep. Don Young (R), who took his father's seat after the crash -- and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee -- seeking a challenger to Sen. Ted Stevens (R), 83, the longest-serving Republican in Senate history.

I've been watching this race for a long time (I think my first post on the race was back in December of last year), and I have long believed that although Stevens is a long established incumbent his standing is a lot softer than folks might otherwise believe. The raid on his house yesterday only serves to underscore this fact.

And, frankly, it's not clear to me that a retirement by Stevens would do enough to save this seat for the Republicans in the case that this scandal continues to fester through election day -- particularly given that this is not the Alaska Republicans' only scandal. There is a theory that there are rare cases in which a party is best served by having an incumbent retire rather than run for reelection. Charlie Cook came on this site back in January 2006 and said as much, disagreeing with my theory that Bob Ney's corruption would be a problem for Ohio Republicans regardless of whether or not he was going to be on the ballot. (As it happens, Ney resigned and the very Republican-leaning seat still went to the Democrats by a 24-point margin.)

That's why, regardless of whether or not Stevens decides to run again, it's important that a strong candidate jump in this race for the Democrats. So the message from this humble blogger today is as follows: Mr. Begich -- Run!



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Re: AK-Sen: Run, Mark, Run! (none / 0)

... And now Senator Stevens is threatening to block Senate Ethics reform. Can you say political theater at is WORST?

http://osi-speaks.blogspot.com/2007/07/b reaking-news-fbi-and-irs-raid-home-of.ht ml#links


by KYJurisDoctor on Tue Jul 31, 2007 at 03:32:41 PM EST

How about former Gov Tony Knowles? (none / 0)

Has he said no to running for Ted Steven's seat? I'm surprised his name is not being mentioned as a potential recruit.


by rosebowl on Tue Jul 31, 2007 at 03:58:47 PM EST

Re: How about former Gov Tony Knowles? (none / 0)

Frankly, I'm not surprised as Knowles has lost two statewide elections in a row. First against Sen. Murkowski (who was infamously appointed by her father to fill his seat) and then to now Gov. Sarah Palin in last year's gube race. I think it's time for new blood. And I'd be enthused about Begich.


by Sven at My Silver State on Tue Jul 31, 2007 at 04:08:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Is Alaska likely to send a Democrat to DC. (none / 0)

Alaska is a red state at the national level due to ANWR. Are they willing to send a candidate that will support Hillary Clinton and Harry Reid.

A Sarah Pallin type Republican can unseat Ted in the primary and defeat Begich.


by nkpolitics on Tue Jul 31, 2007 at 05:15:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: AK-Sen: Run, Mark, Run! (none / 0)

Erika Bolstad used to write for the Miami Herald. How do you go from the Miami Herald to the Alaska Daily News?? Unless they're the same paper and Erika's in the Washington Bureau. Err... both McClatchy papers.. i see.. that makes more sense. Sorry.


by BobbyNYC on Tue Jul 31, 2007 at 04:46:43 PM EST

Re: AK-Sen: Run, Mark, Run! (none / 0)

Does anyone know anything about Mark Begich's stance on the issues?


by pbcliberaldem on Tue Jul 31, 2007 at 05:10:02 PM EST

Re: AK-Sen: Run, Mark, Run! (none / 0)

Realistically we're faced with either going after the senate or the house instead of both. And also important, does anybody know if we have somebody to replace him in Anchorage?

This is why the 50 state strategy is so needed. We simply haven't got a deep enough bench in Alaska at the moment to react to every opportunity we've got there.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Ernst on Tue Jul 31, 2007 at 07:26:27 PM EST

And How About in Wyoming Too? (none / 0)

A tough nut, but there are two Republican seats up for re-election in Wyoming in 2008. Surely this is worth a little bit of organizing and media. And at least one strong candidate?


by RandomNonviolence on Tue Jul 31, 2007 at 10:08:51 PM EST

Re: AK-Sen: Run, Mark, Run! (3.00 / 2)

I live in Anchorage and am an independent, but will most likely be voting Democrat for at least the near future. First off, for those (if any) doing a search on the newspaper for more information, it's the Anchorage Daily News (http://www.adn.com), not Alaska (although the ADN is, effectively, the Alaska state paper as over half the state's population lives here).

As far as Begich is concerned, I think it's almost a given that he will run, although against whom I cannot say. The Senate seat is obviously the bigger prize, and I daresay from a national perspective it would be far more valuable to the Democratic Party given the current breakdown of seats in the two chambers. In the end, I suspect it will come down to which of the two (Stevens or Young) is more embroiled in scandal and therefore vulnerable. I can say that, by and large, Alaskans of all political stripes are disgusted with the "Bridge to Nowhere" fiasco as well as the seemingly endless streak of political taints on our state government. Palin's election to the governorship was based on a commitment to clean up government. I'd say the mood is ripe for change right now.

I'd also agree with the previous poster who noted that Dems would be better able to take advantage of opportunities up here if they were more active in the state. In that vein, another potential Democratic candidate could be Ethan Berkowitz, a prominent Democratic legislator who ran unsuccessfully against Palin for governor (don't read too much into that, though, since Palin would have beaten the Pope himself had he run against her).

Whatever happens, one thing I wouldn't count on is the new Alaskan senator/representative voting to restrict ANWR. It could happen, but I just don't know. That's a HUGE issue here, with a lot of local resentment at "outsiders" telling Alaskans what they can and cannot do. A refusal to support opening ANWR could by itself doom a candidacy. So, we'll have to see. If the Alaska Republican Party continues to implode via scandal, the math may change on ANWR.

For those few of you who have an actual interest in Alaska politics, the ADN hosts an Alaska politics blog (http://community.adn.com/?q=adn/blog/244 17) that is often the first place to find the truth about the "story behind the story".


by alaskansumo on Wed Aug 01, 2007 at 01:07:24 AM EST

Re: AK-Sen: Run, Mark, Run! (none / 0)

I see the best possible combo for the Democrats is to have Mark Begich run for the house seat with Knowles running for the Senate.  The Democrats are going to need 2 very strong candidates in order to gain either seat.  

Ethan Berkowitz is an interesting idea, but I don't think he has the star power to capitilize on yet.  Hey may want to think of running for the State Senate, assuming the seat he could run for isn't held by a Democrat.  


by skywrnchsr509 on Sun Sep 30, 2007 at 09:14:58 PM EST


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