I think it's time to acknowledge what we knew all along. Gore isn't going to run. Can we please stop talking as if he might?

I'm surprised Gore takes 6% from Hillary if he runs.   Given he is the more progressive of the two, CW would be that he would pull more from Obama and Edwards.  

Wow, I JUST don't get the appeal Romney has to the WASPy GOP base.  I would NEVER have guessed he would lead any polls.  I guess the GOPs candidates are in an assload more trouble than we thought.  

How do they justify ignoring Obama? You say Clinton lead is large, but looking at your numbers, it doesn't appear that way. It seems like the press is developing a narrative that's not linked to the actual numbers to me- even in NH.

sorry you didn't say clinton's numbers are large, but I still don't understand not saying this is a tight right given the amount of time left

Six months to go, folks. Buckle up for the ride. My prediction: Whoever takes New Hampshire wins the nomination.

I think it's going to be a close call in New Hampshire.

The description of the article is not what I would write.  Jerome may be ignoring Obama, but the article points out:

On the Democratic side, Clinton wins head-to-head match-ups with all of the poll-topping Republicans, but Obama outpaces her by a point in almost every case. She also has 40 percent of voters rating her unfavorably, the highest rating in her party.

And to say the article is "amazingly anti-Edwards" is quite a stretch since Edwards is the only one of the top 3 who loses in one of the match-ups with the Republicans (Giuliani versus Edwards), and he's the one who has lost ground.  They quote a talk-show host who has an opinion as to why, just as they quote people offering an opinion of why Richardson has increased, but to characterize that as bias, which the phrase "amazingly anti-Edwards" implies, is an attack on the press not substantiated by any un-biased reading of the article.

From what i've seen in previous NH polls, this polls is decent news for Obama since she had held a double digit that reached as high as in the mid 20's,in most polls taken after the NH debate.

Our hope is to stay in the single digit and allow the independent to be the swing voters who will decide the winner.

Since the hatred for Hillary only grows once you move to the center,my guess is she can't like the possibility of independent playing a large role on who the democratic nominee would be.

Again,bad news for Edwards and he's basicly falling everywhere...The next Iowa poll should be interesting, specially the Des Moine Register.

Now,even if he wins Iowa by a few polls,he would not win NH because he's way too far behind...Iowa can only get him a boost of 10-14 points but Edwards is down by about 20+ point and the boost will not be enough to catch the front runner in NH.....The Iowa boost would not even be big enough to beat Obama's numbers in NH.

The Edwards campaign is on life support...If this poverty tour doesnt catch fire with the voters,then he might as well drop out.

Edwards will spend 2/3 of his money in Iowa because of how important it is for him and by the time he's done spending there, he wont have any money left for NH and NV.

I just dont see how Edwards can win this nomination.

Again, not even a"Iowa boost of 14 points" can overtake the frontrunner in NV and NH....Hillary lead Edwards by about 20-40 points in NV depending on what poll you look at....And Hillary lead over Edwards is about 20 points in NH.

Anti-Edwards comment?..I'm sure telling it the way i see it,that's all....All i've heard from the Edward's supporters is the "no beef" Obama and the "rock star" obama with "no substance", or the "empty suit" Obama....Now that i'm just clarifying what the poll are saying,i have to be an anti Edwards?

the thing about NH is who do the indies who always vote (civic pride) deicde to support in the last weeks, does anyone really think that Obama isn't set up to win a huge majority among those type of voters?

I like Obama so I am not prepared to hope for his failure as many do for Edwards, the candidate I prefer because he has, I think, matured and grown in the intervening years since being a VP candidate and since casting his Iraq vote.

He now knows he was wrong and will fight to correct his error in a way I do not see others doing (HRC thinks she made no error and it appears Obama feels that having opposed the war , he is excused from all the many votes he has cast as a senator that have the effect of prolonging the war).

That and I have long thought economic inequality is the greatest problem this country faces - the problem that unites most of the others and which only Edwards has made the cornerstone of his campaign.  Whether or not his policy prescriptions would work or have a chance to pass, rhetorically placing economic inequality on the agenda, a la RFK, is the single most important things any politician can do at this moment in our history.  With an average income, I imagine, north of 50K, I suspect poverty does not loom large as a problem close at hand for readers of this site.  But it is the most fundamental problem we face, in my opinion.

As I say I do like Obama and I am fiercely impressed by his 18 months of community organizing in Chicago.

The big concern I have with Obama is that he appears to believe that a lack of comity among politicians is the biggest problem we face.

No.

The biggest problem we face is that the GOPers are driving the entire country down a rat hole and taking the rest us and the world with them.  This is not a moment to parade about preening in favor of civility. This is a time to fight.  To draw a line in the sand, saying, 'No more'.  Right now, that ain't Obama.  Blowing kisses at Lieberman is not leadership and is not helpful.

Trond Jacobsen

are not amazingly pro-Clinton.  The pollster quoted keeps claiming only a Clinton run will motivate Republicans.  But, I would say one of the more interesting figures coming out of these polls is the Richardson number moving 2-8.  I also believe he's picked up support in Iowa and Nevada.  I also find it interesting that Gore may have picked up support from 10-14.  I think that suggests that there is still some real disatisfaction with the current crop of candidates.

Obama isn't going to win Iowa. He will come in second  or third.

My Iowa odds:

Edwards 60%
Clinton 25%
Obama 15%

My message to John Edwards...

Go to Iowa and New Hampshire and say these words on local tv.

"Bush is using the stall and wait tatic on the war and is ready to blame democrats for the mess in Iraq when we withdrawl our troops from that country".

Somebody call him out on Iraq and stop being pussies.