NH '08 primary poll

Research 2000 did a poll released on the Concord Monitor in NH, with these results:

Clinton          33
Obama            25
Edwards          15
Richardson        7
Dodd              3
Biden             2
Kucinich          1
Gravel            1
If Gore were also in the mix, here are the results:
                 Dec '06           July '07

Clinton          22                27
Obama            21                23
Gore             10                14
Edwards          16                10
Richardson        2                 8
On the Republican side, Romney still has the lead:
Romney           27
Giuliani         20
McCain           16
Thompson         15
Paul              1
From the last Research 2000 poll, Clinton has opened up a bit of a lead, but Obama has also increased his percentage, and Edwards falls 1% without Gore in the race 6% with Gore. The quotes in the article are amazingly anti-Edwards while pro-Clinton, hoping for Richardson, and pretty much ignoring of Obama. They also know that Romney is a loser. Dodd has moved up to 3% and Paul still is just a blip outside the internet.



Display:


Re: NH '08 primary poll (3.00 / 0)

I think it's time to acknowledge what we knew all along. Gore isn't going to run. Can we please stop talking as if he might?


by Pope Jeremy on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:06:28 PM EST

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

yeah for real. if he sneezes, the gore lovers would make that a sign he is running. wishful thinking.  good to see hillary still in the lead in nh. still cruisin.


African-american for Hillary 2008
by terrondt on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:27:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

Yes!!  Go Hillary!  we LOVE Republican-lites.


Hillary/Obama08
by annefrank on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 06:07:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Well, Gore hasn't ruled out a run (none / 0)

or the possibility of being drafted.

And, recently, DraftGore.Com | delivered their petition with  over 100L signatures. Doesn't seem like Gore told them to stop their draft efforts.


by NuevoLiberal on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 09:09:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

I'm surprised Gore takes 6% from Hillary if he runs.   Given he is the more progressive of the two, CW would be that he would pull more from Obama and Edwards.  


http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:10:45 PM EST

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

A lot of Hillary supporters do not realize she is not progressive - yet.  It is still early, and, if anything this poll shows the race is still very much up for grabs.


"I'm LeBron, baby. I can play on this level. I got some game." Barack Obama
by gb1437a on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:13:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

and, if this were how the vote turned out Obama would be fine goining in S.C, with a second in Iowa and N.H.


"I'm LeBron, baby. I can play on this level. I got some game." Barack Obama
by gb1437a on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:15:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

I think Obama will take South Carolina but I also believe he is in a good position to get Iowa and New Hampshire. He has 28 offices set up in Iowa now and is running a fierce campaign there on the War and on not reliving the Clinton Years.


"I don't oppose all wars...what I do oppose, is a dumb war" ~ Barack Obama
by BlueDiamond on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:43:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

not reliving the Clinton years (none / 0)

it's a risky message, but one that I think will resonate with many people, even those who like Bill and Hillary Clinton.

Although the right-wing hate machine will go after any Democrat, the particular Clinton-hating industry is so unpleasant that I think a lot of people share the feeling that we don't want to go back there.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 04:36:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

I think that shows that name recognition and familiarity counts for a lot right now. For political junkies like us, the primaries seem to be dragging on forever, but for the average voter, it seems like they're just beginning.

Give it time. Things will shake out.


by Pope Jeremy on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:39:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

It's not just about ideology; it's about loyalty to Clinton for the amount of crap she's taken for being a Democrat over the years.  People love her b/c of who hates her.


by Adam B on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 04:36:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

Our entire Democratic Party has been demonized just a badly as Hillary. She shouldn't get special treatment. They hate all of us.

;p


"I don't oppose all wars...what I do oppose, is a dumb war" ~ Barack Obama
by BlueDiamond on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 11:16:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

Have you been accused of murder?


by Adam B on Mon Jul 16, 2007 at 06:42:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

Gore pretty much always draws more from Clinton, in state and national polls.   If Gore is not running in the end, the true extent of Clinton's lead over Obama and Edwards is actually a lot larger than it shows in these "with Gore" polls.


by georgep on Mon Jul 16, 2007 at 10:33:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

Wow, I JUST don't get the appeal Romney has to the WASPy GOP base.  I would NEVER have guessed he would lead any polls.  I guess the GOPs candidates are in an assload more trouble than we thought.  


http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:12:33 PM EST

Re: NH '08 primary poll (3.00 / 1)

Well, considering that he is from neighboring Massachusetts, Romney should probably be favored in NH.   Thompson has hit some pretty big roadblocks and has been brought back to Earth to an extent.   I still think Giuliani is going to be the GOPs nominee in the end, actually.


by georgep on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:21:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Yup. (3.00 / 1)

Romney's Iowa lead is more interesting than NH...he BETTER be ahead in New Hampshire.   I'm not sure I agree about Guiliani, though.  If Romney can actually pull out wins in both IA and NH, he'd have pretty strong momentum.  And it's pretty clear that Romney's going to self-fund, so money won't be an issue.

Thompson's a possibility, but my feeling is that he won't wear well.  We'll see.

If I had to guess right now, I'd say Romney's going to win the Repub nom.


by rashomon on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:52:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yup. (none / 0)

I put my money on Romney right now. In addition to what you said, I think he looks really Presidential, and the Republicans are into that sort of thing


Never separate the life you live from the words you speak. -Sen. Paul Wellstone (Minnesota)
by Max Fletcher on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 06:10:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

Didn't think about that... very good point!

I hope not Rudy... I'd much rather beat up on Mitt.  


http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 04:41:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

Doubtful.  Romney has invested near 9 million dollars to his campaign in 6 months.  He's ready to buy the nomination.  He is too invested.  There gets a point in poker where you feel you are too invested to back down... That's Romney right now... It could go bad... But nobody really has a better hand.  


by JeremiahTheMessiah on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 05:17:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

How do they justify ignoring Obama? You say Clinton lead is large, but looking at your numbers, it doesn't appear that way. It seems like the press is developing a narrative that's not linked to the actual numbers to me- even in NH.


by bruh21 on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:24:30 PM EST

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

sorry you didn't say clinton's numbers are large, but I still don't understand not saying this is a tight right given the amount of time left


by bruh21 on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:25:27 PM EST

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

What do you expect the Media to say? Hell, they keep saying Edwards leads in Iowa. Hello? .6 % ain't exactly something to brag about. The Media are doing nothing more than attempting to sway public opinion. It's not going to work. Just show up on election day and bring someone with you.


"I don't oppose all wars...what I do oppose, is a dumb war" ~ Barack Obama
by BlueDiamond on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:32:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

take out ARG and Edwards' lead is bigger (none / 0)

ARG has been way out of line with other polling in Iowa all year. The Clinton people know it, which is why they replaced her Iowa director and why Vilsack sat down with her money people a month or so ago and told it to them straight: she would not win Iowa if the caucuses were held today.

If Clinton's internal polling were showing that she was only 0.6 percent back in Iowa, they would not have taken those steps.

I am not saying that there won't ever be other polls showing her in the lead in Iowa. Gephardt and Dean led in numerous Iowa polls before finishing fourth and third.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 04:39:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: take out ARG and Edwards' lead is bigger (none / 0)

Isn't Iowa the hardest state to poll accurately?


http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 04:42:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: take out ARG and Edwards' lead is bigger (none / 0)

Caucuses are generally harder to poll accurately than primaries, and Iowa's caucus system is especially prone to influence happening at the polls. Also, the viability test means supporters of people like Kucinich and Dodd will have to jump to someone else.


Never separate the life you live from the words you speak. -Sen. Paul Wellstone (Minnesota)
by Max Fletcher on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 06:21:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Clinton and Iowa (none / 0)

You're right about ARG, and you're right about the fact that she's definitely not ahead.

One thing you might be overlooking is her institutional strength. She's racking up big endorsements from state legislators and other officials, which are going to help her towards the end of the campaign. A lot of people look to these sorts of opinion leaders to help them decide, so that's at least one area where she's ahead of Edwards and Obama in the state.


Never separate the life you live from the words you speak. -Sen. Paul Wellstone (Minnesota)
by Max Fletcher on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 06:13:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

which people? (none / 0)

Dean had AFSCME and Tom Harkin backing him--didn't stop the slide.

In our gubernatorial race last year, Mike Blouin had AFSCME and by far the largest number of endorsements from legislators and others who had served in statewide office. He didn't win the primary.

I don't get the sense that people are going to pay much attention to endorsements. Clinton's strongest cards are 1) the people who think it's time for a woman president, and 2) lingering affection for Bill and a desire to get the Clintons back in the White House.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 07:57:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Iowa Endorsements (none / 0)

Check it out at the Des Moines Register

Hillary Clinton
14 State Legislators

Barack Obama
3 State Legislators
Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller
State Treasurer Michael Fitzgerald

Joe Biden
5 state legislators

Edwards, Kucinich, Dodd, Gravel don't have any endorsements yet, and the article didn't mention Bill Richardson.


Never separate the life you live from the words you speak. -Sen. Paul Wellstone (Minnesota)
by Max Fletcher on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 06:20:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Iowa Endorsements (none / 0)

She Also Has The Majority Of Democratic Senators
by Deltaforcevd1960 on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 07:30:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

actually, the Register missed one (none / 0)

State rep Kurt Swaim has endorsed Edwards.

I saw another state rep at an Edwards fund-raiser a few weeks ago, although she has not endorsed anyone yet.

But Clinton does have the most, it's true. The Clintons and Vilsacks have done a lot of favors for a lot of people over the years.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 07:58:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

Six months to go, folks. Buckle up for the ride. My prediction: Whoever takes New Hampshire wins the nomination.

I think it's going to be a close call in New Hampshire.


by rosebowl on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:29:32 PM EST

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

The description of the article is not what I would write.  Jerome may be ignoring Obama, but the article points out:


On the Democratic side, Clinton wins head-to-head match-ups with all of the poll-topping Republicans, but Obama outpaces her by a point in almost every case. She also has 40 percent of voters rating her unfavorably, the highest rating in her party.

And to say the article is "amazingly anti-Edwards" is quite a stretch since Edwards is the only one of the top 3 who loses in one of the match-ups with the Republicans (Giuliani versus Edwards), and he's the one who has lost ground.  They quote a talk-show host who has an opinion as to why, just as they quote people offering an opinion of why Richardson has increased, but to characterize that as bias, which the phrase "amazingly anti-Edwards" implies, is an attack on the press not substantiated by any un-biased reading of the article.


by DD2 on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:46:26 PM EST

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

Edwards was barely mentioned . I read this article this morning. I didn't see anything wrong with it, so I don't understand how it was Anti-Edwards either.


"I don't oppose all wars...what I do oppose, is a dumb war" ~ Barack Obama
by BlueDiamond on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:52:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

Also from the article:

Ali said the only way he can foresee the Republicans taking New Hampshire in the 2008 general election is if Clinton is the nominee.

"If it goes to a general election, I think the only hope the Republicans may have would be against Hillary, because they seem to be more competitive against her than they do against the other top Democrats," Ali said. "The only saving grace for the Republicans is if she's the nominee."

Analysts seemed unable to discuss Clinton without using the descriptives "very polarizing figure" or "divisive." Andy Smith, the director of the University of New Hampshire survey center, said Clinton actually appears to fare better in New Hampshire than elsewhere.

"She's the most polarizing of the candidates," said Smith, whose "Granite State Poll" is due out this week. "I think she's less polarizing in New Hampshire than she is in other parts the country."


"I'm LeBron, baby. I can play on this level. I got some game." Barack Obama
by gb1437a on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 02:59:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

more like Jerome is ignoring Obama. hey, jerome's instincts on Obama aren't that unpredictable.


by pmb on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 03:01:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

From what i've seen in previous NH polls, this polls is decent news for Obama since she had held a double digit that reached as high as in the mid 20's,in most polls taken after the NH debate.

Our hope is to stay in the single digit and allow the independent to be the swing voters who will decide the winner.

Since the hatred for Hillary only grows once you move to the center,my guess is she can't like the possibility of independent playing a large role on who the democratic nominee would be.

Again,bad news for Edwards and he's basicly falling everywhere...The next Iowa poll should be interesting, specially the Des Moine Register.

Now,even if he wins Iowa by a few polls,he would not win NH because he's way too far behind...Iowa can only get him a boost of 10-14 points but Edwards is down by about 20+ point and the boost will not be enough to catch the front runner in NH.....The Iowa boost would not even be big enough to beat Obama's numbers in NH.

The Edwards campaign is on life support...If this poverty tour doesnt catch fire with the voters,then he might as well drop out.

Edwards will spend 2/3 of his money in Iowa because of how important it is for him and by the time he's done spending there, he wont have any money left for NH and NV.

I just dont see how Edwards can win this nomination.

Again, not even a"Iowa boost of 14 points" can overtake the frontrunner in NV and NH....Hillary lead Edwards by about 20-40 points in NV depending on what poll you look at....And Hillary lead over Edwards is about 20 points in NH.


by JaeHood on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 03:07:19 PM EST

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

jaehood,

some of these comments don't win any points for obama. i'd stick with pro-obama comments on this blogs to stop the flame wars. please, please for barack's sake, quit these anti-edwards comments.


by pmb on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 03:09:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

Exactly.

We need his supporters to take down Hillary so please. Just cool it a little bit. If you want to get your frustrations out, go here. This thread is heating up right now.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/the-news/c omments/2007/07/15/56277


"I don't oppose all wars...what I do oppose, is a dumb war" ~ Barack Obama
by BlueDiamond on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 03:27:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

I think Obama can win Iowa , I think he will win NH the polls are a mirage right now, once Obama blitzes the state with some of his less "partison" rhetoric but progressive on the issues position the state's voters will realizes he fits them like a glove.


Obama! because 51% isn't enough!
by nevadadem on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 03:28:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

I think Obama will win N.H. if the election were today - the indi's wehn 70-30 R to D in 2000 - and I think indi's and new voters are going to turn out in mass for Obama.  He is going outside the traditional base to craft a new political class.


"I'm LeBron, baby. I can play on this level. I got some game." Barack Obama
by gb1437a on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 03:39:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

you're assuming no movement (3.00 / 1)

between now and January in the polls?

At this point in 2003, Dean was just breaking through. A lot can change in six months.

Now if these were the numbers on the eve of the NH primary, then I would agree with you that a bump out of Iowa probably wouldn't be enough for Edwards to win NH. But could he finish a strong second? Absolutely.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 03:38:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

it's anybody's game (none / 0)

Look for Edwards to pick up some big labor endorsements in Nevada. That's the theory about how he turns an Iowa win into one in Nevada.

I don't think he's in a great position right now. He is in a must-win situation in Iowa. His ads in New Hampshire must not have worked any wonders, and he's going to need to improve there to follow up on Iowa. But there's a lot of time, and he's got a strong base of support to draw from on the internet. And, most importantly, he still seems to be winning in Iowa, however slim the margin may be. He's far from out of it.


Never separate the life you live from the words you speak. -Sen. Paul Wellstone (Minnesota)
by Max Fletcher on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 06:32:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I worry about labor being afraid to endorse (none / 0)

The Clintons are going to turn the screws on labor not to endorse. I am not confident that the important unions in Nevada will get behind Edwards. They should, but they may be too afraid to end up on the wrong side.

In NH, Edwards seems to have stopped the bleeding. Remember that the media have not cut him any breaks in the last three months. He just opened a bunch of field offices there, and if he can get within 10 points of the leader by January, he will be positioned well in NH.

I agree, Iowa is must-win for Edwards. I take nothing for granted here.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 08:12:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

Anti-Edwards comment?..I'm sure telling it the way i see it,that's all....All i've heard from the Edward's supporters is the "no beef" Obama and the "rock star" obama with "no substance", or the "empty suit" Obama....Now that i'm just clarifying what the poll are saying,i have to be an anti Edwards?


by JaeHood on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 03:19:59 PM EST

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

Shhh. I know . I know. Take it over here.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/the-news/c omments/2007/07/15/56277


"I don't oppose all wars...what I do oppose, is a dumb war" ~ Barack Obama
by BlueDiamond on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 03:28:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

the thing about NH is who do the indies who always vote (civic pride) deicde to support in the last weeks, does anyone really think that Obama isn't set up to win a huge majority among those type of voters?


Obama! because 51% isn't enough!
by nevadadem on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 03:21:05 PM EST

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

This is why Obama has got to keep her lead under single digit....If he can do that,then i think the indepedent would break on his side.

More independent will vote on the democratic primary then in the GOP side, so this is great news....the GOP field is so bad they they won't have any choice anyway.


by JaeHood on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 03:41:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

no, not a huge majority (none / 0)

I expect Obama to do better among the independents, but I think it's going a bit far to say he'll rack up a huge majority among them. What is the big story out of Iowa going to be? If Obama won or took a strong second place, that's one thing. If Obama were third or fourth that's a very different media narrative, particularly if there's a big surprise in there, like Richardson in second place or some such thing.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 03:41:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: no, not a huge majority (none / 0)

I think it's between Rudy and Obama for the indies in NH, in 2000 McCain probably cost Bradley the state, in 2008 I think Obama in the race will give the state to Romney who will win the loyal GOP vote there, I still think Fred T will be the nominee but I don't undersatand why Fred isn't trying harder in Iowa to ignite a spark yet, if Romney cruises in the first 2 the GOP may just do what dems did in 2004 and steamroll Romney to the nomination jsut beiong happy to have someone other than Bush as the face of the party.


Obama! because 51% isn't enough!
by nevadadem on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 04:08:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I don't expect Romney's numbers to hold up (none / 0)

There is a long, long way to go before anyone votes. I think Romney's lead in Iowa was a reflection of his tv ads and the weakness of the other front-runners. I wouldn't put money on him winning Iowa (or NH, though his Massachusetts tie makes him stronger there).


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 04:41:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NH '08 primary poll (3.00 / 1)

I like Obama so I am not prepared to hope for his failure as many do for Edwards, the candidate I prefer because he has, I think, matured and grown in the intervening years since being a VP candidate and since casting his Iraq vote.

He now knows he was wrong and will fight to correct his error in a way I do not see others doing (HRC thinks she made no error and it appears Obama feels that having opposed the war , he is excused from all the many votes he has cast as a senator that have the effect of prolonging the war).

That and I have long thought economic inequality is the greatest problem this country faces - the problem that unites most of the others and which only Edwards has made the cornerstone of his campaign.  Whether or not his policy prescriptions would work or have a chance to pass, rhetorically placing economic inequality on the agenda, a la RFK, is the single most important things any politician can do at this moment in our history.  With an average income, I imagine, north of 50K, I suspect poverty does not loom large as a problem close at hand for readers of this site.  But it is the most fundamental problem we face, in my opinion.

As I say I do like Obama and I am fiercely impressed by his 18 months of community organizing in Chicago.

The big concern I have with Obama is that he appears to believe that a lack of comity among politicians is the biggest problem we face.

No.

The biggest problem we face is that the GOPers are driving the entire country down a rat hole and taking the rest us and the world with them.  This is not a moment to parade about preening in favor of civility. This is a time to fight.  To draw a line in the sand, saying, 'No more'.  Right now, that ain't Obama.  Blowing kisses at Lieberman is not leadership and is not helpful.

Trond Jacobsen


"We live entangled in webs of endless deceit, often self-deceit, but with a little honest effort, it is possible to extricate ourselves from them". -- NC
by Trond Jacobsen on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 04:43:14 PM EST

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

It Took Me This Whole Blog Or Whatever It Is To Figure Out This Were A Osama Bin Barrack Site
by Deltaforcevd1960 on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 07:37:58 PM EST

Jerome, the quotes in this article (none / 0)

are not amazingly pro-Clinton.  The pollster quoted keeps claiming only a Clinton run will motivate Republicans.  But, I would say one of the more interesting figures coming out of these polls is the Richardson number moving 2-8.  I also believe he's picked up support in Iowa and Nevada.  I also find it interesting that Gore may have picked up support from 10-14.  I think that suggests that there is still some real disatisfaction with the current crop of candidates.


by bookgrl on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 08:00:23 PM EST

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

Obama isn't going to win Iowa. He will come in second  or third.

My Iowa odds:

Edwards 60%
Clinton 25%
Obama 15%


by Djneedle83 on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 10:24:32 PM EST

Re: NH '08 primary poll (none / 0)

My message to John Edwards...

Go to Iowa and New Hampshire and say these words on local tv.

"Bush is using the stall and wait tatic on the war and is ready to blame democrats for the mess in Iraq when we withdrawl our troops from that country".

Somebody call him out on Iraq and stop being pussies.


by Djneedle83 on Sun Jul 15, 2007 at 10:28:10 PM EST


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