Much has been made of Hillary Clinton's strength among Democratic women. In fact, a Washington Post analysis of their poll from June attributes her current lead among Dem primary voters entirely to her support among women:
In the most recent Washington Post-ABC News poll, Clinton led Obama by a 2 to 1 margin among female voters. Her 15-point lead in the poll is entirely attributable to that margin. Clinton drew support from 51 percent of the women surveyed, compared with 24 percent who said they supported Obama and 11 percent who said they backed former senator John Edwards of North Carolina.
But looking through the latest Newsweek poll, I was surprised to find that among all voters, when asked "If your party nominated a woman for president, would you vote for her if she were qualified for the job?", 88% of men said YES while only 85% of women replied the same. It's not a large margin (and is even within the poll's 4% margin of error,) but it seems significant all the same that it's even close. Why aren't women MORE comfortable with the idea of a woman in general and Hillary Clinton specifically as president than men? Of course, a woman would probably shoot back, "why would I be?"
But I've been intrigued by this question for a while as one Democratic woman after another I've spoken to (in a very unscientific poll) has expressed reservations about voting for Hillary Clinton. Looking more closely at the Washington Post poll might give us a clue as to the nature of what Anna Quindlen called her "woman problem."
Clinton is drawing especially strong support from lower-income, lesser-educated women -- voters her campaign strategists describe as "women with needs." Obama, by contrast, is faring better among highly educated women, who his campaign says are interested in elevating the political discourse.
Add this to The Nation article from June that argues that it's not a woman problem she has after all:
Hillary Clinton was the number-one choice of 42 percent of likely Democratic primary women voters in a recent Zogby survey, compared with 19 percent for Barack Obama and 15 percent for John Edwards. And her favorable rating among independent women is a whopping twenty-one points higher than among independent men.Let's be clear: Hillary has a "feminist problem," and more so with those who lean left.
Elaborating on why feminists might have a problem with Hillary, The Nation writes:
"Women are especially hard on Hillary because she's such a Rorschach and we all want her to be exactly like us, whoever we are," said Ephron in a recent Salon article. But feminists will also just as readily acknowledge the high price of playing with the big boys, even when they don't like her one bit. "She tried to be something different [as a First Lady], and she was ultimately beaten into submission--by the media, the voters, the politicos," says Friedman.
No doubt on some level, the Clinton campaign is counting on the fact that for some women, the historic opportunity voting for Hillary represents may be too strong to resist. As Bitch magazine founder Lisa Jervis put it:
"I'm not sure what will happen when I actually step into the voting booth and have to pull that lever," she says. But she has no doubt that if Hillary Clinton does make it past the primaries, "I know I'll have an emotional reaction to a Hillary candidacy. It is going to be meaningful to me."
If there's an upside from the Newsweek poll numbers it's that Clinton's got quite a bit of room for growth among women and if her favorable/unfavorable numbers (56/38) are any indication, it looks like she's beginning to expand her appeal among women and men alike.
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