Democratic Nomination, At a Glance
State polls are all May 4-31. Last update: June 5, 12:45 pm eastern
| State |
Est. Date |
# Polls |
Clinton |
Obama |
Edwards |
Richardson |
| Net Avail Cash |
Mar 31 |
Q1 |
$23.4M |
$17.7M |
$9.6M |
$5.0M |
| Iowa |
Jan 07 |
6 |
22.8% |
19.8% |
27.7% |
8.3% |
| New Hampshire |
Jan 15 |
3 |
33.3% |
19.0% |
15.3% |
9.0% |
| Nevada |
Jan 19 |
0 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| South Carolina |
Jan 22 |
4 |
30.3% |
26.0% |
17.5% |
-- |
| Florida |
Jan 29 |
4 |
38.8% |
18.5% |
18.5% |
-- |
| National--High |
Feb 05 |
3 |
37.7% |
29.7% |
13.0% |
-- |
| National--Low |
Feb 05 |
3 |
33.7% |
26.3% |
11.3% |
-- |
Notes:
Last week's standings can be found here. Methodology for the high-end average
can be found here, and methodology for the low-end national average
can be found here. "Net Available Cash" means total cash on hand, minus debts, minus money raised for general election.
Open Secrets.org makes all relevant information on this subject readily available. All state polls doe not include all Gore, where possible. No Nevada polls have been conducted in the last five weeks, although Clinton has led by double-digits in every Nevada poll to date. Also, Michigan has been removed from the table, since it appears they will not go on January 29th after all. One New Hampshire poll and one Florida poll conducted in the last four weeks were not included in the averages because the trial heat questions in those polls only gave Clinton, Obama and Edwards as options. One national poll conducted in the last two weeks was also left out for that same reason. The fourth Florida poll was
the IVR poll released on MyDD, and I opted to go with the "blended" results for political reasons (didn't want to anger anyone). Finally, the dates for the primaries and caucuses are not fixed, but
they are my current best guesses.
Update: Today's New Hampshire poll has been added to the numbers.
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