Earlier today I mentioned that there are people in Maryland's fourth considering jumping into the primary race against Al Wynn now that Donna Edwards showed him as vulnerable. This is actually happening in a few districts, and it's something I would discourage. I don't have a problem with most primary races, and I tend to think they are good for bringing out public debate. But if a candidate is in a longshot race and ends up coming very close to pulling off an upset without any institutional backing, it's bad form not to let them have another chance. After all, what kind of incentive is it to candidates to run for Congress in longshot races if they know that coming close will only lead to a more cautious and established politician leaping in to push them out of the way?
Take New York's 29th and Eric Massa. Rochester Turning put this out some time ago and I've been meaning to link to it.
This is craziness - Bausch and Lomb exec Dave Nachbar (who lives in Pittsford) may challenge Massa for Democratic nomination of the 29th district. Talk about a fool's errand.I'm going to put this simply: No Democrat from the 29th has any chance of winning in the general election if he's not from down south (Massa, who almost won last time, is from Corning). None. Zero. Zippo. Nil. What a terrible waste of time and energy for a man who, by all accounts, sounds like he has a lot to offer. If he's willing to move to Steuben County, live there for a few years, and then run, God bless him. But he'll never win the general election in this district running from up here.
Louise Slaughter is backing Dave Nachbar, and Nachbar is self-financing. Massa has done an enormous amount of work to build the party in the district, and ran when it looked like he had very little chance. And he lost narrowly, with no support from the DCCC.
Slaughter's move here is puzzling, though Nachbar is a maxed out donor to her so some loyalty makes sense. Nachbar was also a maxed out donor to the DCCC in 2006, and apparently is a good guy. Still, he doesn't have grassroots support and he didn't step up last cycle before it was clear Kuhl was vulnerable.
I don't like the whiff of opportunism here. Lots of candidates challenged Republicans in 2006 and got no establishment support. It's time for the party insiders, many of whom regret not throwing more support into districts like the 29th, help talk people like Nachbar out of the race.
I don't get Louise Slaughter, though she is fairly old politics and the lure of self-funding might be high for her.
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