GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote

I've done quite a bit of research and writing on the Jewish vote in America in the past few years, both here on MyDD and for academic purposes. The one underlying theme of this research is that American Jews, who have voted for every Democratic presidential nominee in the last 70-plus years and who backed Democratic congressional candidates by about a 7-to-1 margin in 2006, aren't soon going to abandon the Democratic coaltion -- regardless of the entreaties of the Republicans. Yet that hasn't stopped Republican candidates and leaders from trying to court this Democratic constituency. Take a look, for instance, at this article from Sam Stein in The Politico:

In April Mitt Romney delivered a noteworthy but largely ignored campaign speech in midtown Manhattan.

Instead of addressing a group of Republican activists or high-end fundraisers, the presidential hopeful spoke to approximately 570 Jewish students, alumni and teachers at the graduation dinner for Yeshiva University's Sy Syms School of Business.

Romney emphasized his support for Israel. He accidentally, though to hoots and applause, called ex-President Jimmy Carter -- a critic of Israel's policies toward Palestinians -- "Jimmy Kidder." He even tried his hand at Yiddish.

"It takes chutzpah, I believe, to buy a company from somebody else," Romney said of his background in business as the sound of clanging silverware filled the room.

One might note that Orthodox Jews are more likely than others of the faith to vote Republican, which is probably true (though there isn't a whole lot of data to support this contention). As such, Romney's play for this group might have quite the potential for upside, right? Perhaps not. Back in February Ryan Grim reported, also for The Politico, that Romney was getting hit for having vetoed funding for kosher meals for Jewish Medicaid recipients while Governor of Massachusetts. Such a position certainly would not endear him to the Orthodox community, even if he was willing to deign one of the sect's places of higher learning recently.

But even getting beyond some of the admittedly less salient issues Jewish voters might have with one Republican presidential candidate, who may or may not receive his party's nomination next year, the fact still remains that American Jews aren't going to leave the Democratic coalition any time soon. It's just not going to happen, regardless of Republicans' positions on Israel. Back in October, for instance, a new survey showed that the gap between Democratic and Republican registration among American Jews was growing, and more recent polling has shown that American Jews, along with African-Americans, are about the most liberal and most allied with the Democratic Party on issues of any ethnic, racial or religious group.

I certainly don't begrudge Romney -- or other Republicans, for that matter -- trying to reach out to Jewish voters. I might correct reporters who swallow GOP spin about Republican outreach to American Jews, but I won't attack Republicans for their futile efforts. I would, however, like to end this post with a quick anecdote that I think ties in with what I have been writing here.

This month I attended an event honoring the reopening of the Jewish Community Center here in Portland. Some of the biggest names in the Jewish community were in attendence, a number of whom are quite wealthy and often back Republican candidates because of their position on Israel. Our Democratic Senator Ron Wyden, who is Jewish, delivered a speech and was greeted by strong applause. A letter from our Democratic Governor Ted Kulongoski, who is not Jewish, was read and was greeted by strong applause. But when a letter from our Republican Senator Gordon Smith, who is also not Jewish, was read not a single person in the audience clapped, as best I could tell.



Display:


Huh? (3.00 / 1)

That is, I must assume, a question from extreme ignorance. Libby and Perle are the EXCEPTIONS, and not the rule in the Jewish community.  


by andgarden on Thu May 31, 2007 at 12:44:58 AM EST

I am not so sure (none / 0)

I have yet to hear Barry Obama, John Edwards, or Hillary Clinton stand up and rap Isreal for the treatment of the innocent (underline innocent and look at the infant mortality rates) Palestinians, OR stand up and say a first strike against Iran is not in the thing to do.

We don't need the tail wagging the dog anymore.  We tried that once.


by dpANDREWS on Thu May 31, 2007 at 12:56:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I am not so sure (none / 0)

If you're waiting for any mainstream politician to give equal weight to the plight of the Palestinians, you had better not hold your breath. There has not been one to date.


www.thingsyoungerthanmccain.com
by LandStander on Thu May 31, 2007 at 02:11:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote (3.00 / 1)

I am Jewish, so I  thought I would give thoughts.

The Jews who can be swayed because of their, err..., Jewness; are the ones who have a hard line on Israel and the country's safety.  Truly, many of them might support Republicans lately than Democrats; because Republicans typically have a more 'protect Israel blindly' stance than Democrats--Democrats seem to me to try and work with both sides.

However, most Jews don't have such a hard line on this stance to where the Israel issue alone will sway their vote anti-Democratic.  If the Democrats put up a candidate who is clearly anti-Israel, then that would probably be a problem with the entire Jewish constituency.  However, I think most Jews vote on a lot more than simply Israel.


~Michael Hurta
by Michael Hurta on Thu May 31, 2007 at 12:45:26 AM EST

Re: GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote (3.00 / 2)

Jews remember what it was like to be persecuted. They also have a high regard for education. Thus, you have this group of well educated, pluralistic people who have a conception of the world outside their borders and have a deep love for Civil Rights and Democracy.


Rochester Turning: Turning the tide Upstate.
by sayhar on Thu May 31, 2007 at 12:53:11 AM EST

Re: GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote (3.00 / 2)

It's also worth noting that Jews of all political stripes are fundamentally against the war in Iraq. 77% of all Jews polled say that the war was a mistake, only 21% say it wasn't.

89% of Jewish Democrats oppose the Iraq war, compared with 78% of all non-Jewish Democrats.

*65% percent of non-Democratic Jews oppose the war*, compared with just 38% of non-Democrats of all other religious groups. Despite the limited sample size of non-Democratic Jews, the size of the difference is so large that it is still statistically significant.


by afertig on Thu May 31, 2007 at 12:54:58 AM EST

Re: GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote (none / 0)

You can look at polling dating all the way back to the pre-war period, and you'll find that Jewish-Americans have always been more opposed to the war than the public at large, in each and every poll.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Thu May 31, 2007 at 11:33:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]

the Jewish vote has been very stable (3.00 / 2)

Despite the Republican boasting in 2004, the Jewish vote has split about 80/20 in presidential elections at least since 1988, and possibly before.

I never believed the spin about all the Jews voting for Bush because he allegedly was good for Israel.

The cynic in me thinks they were just laying the groundwork for stealing elections in Florida. In 2004 there were a lot of south Florida ballots marked for Bush and then straight-ticket Democratic below. The explanation I heard was that these were Jews who always voted for Democrats but made an exception for Bush because of Israel. Seemed fishy to me.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Thu May 31, 2007 at 01:26:04 AM EST

Re: GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote (3.00 / 2)

It is the religious right stupid. Any party that includes them will never get much of  the Jewish Vote.


by Democraticavenger on Thu May 31, 2007 at 02:34:18 AM EST

Re: GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote (none / 0)

Really?  I always felt it was because we have a tradition of social justice that goes back for centuries, and which firmly aligns with the agenda of the Democratic Party.

Maybe I'm just projecting, but I think most Jews vote Democratic because they have a deep-seated belief in liberal values, not because they're turned off by the Religious Right.  Doesn't the data from prior to the rise of the Religious Right back me up on this?


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Thu May 31, 2007 at 11:36:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Strangers in a strange land (none / 0)

And strangers in an even stranger political party...

Let's face it, Jews have always been considered "outsiders". And the republican party, the quintessential insider's organization, while seeming to address their own narrow perceptions of Jewish concerns, will never let Jews sit at the head table.  


543,895 votes
by Michael Bersin on Thu May 31, 2007 at 07:04:42 AM EST

Re: GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote (none / 0)

Something I don't quite get is exactly why candidates would put that much effort into wooing the Jewish vote.  Jews are something like 1.5% of the population.  I realize that there are certain geographic concentrations that could increase the impact of the voting bloc, but they're mostly in non-swing states like New York.

By way of contrast, the non-religious make up about 14% of the population, and not only do presidential candidates make no effort to woo us, they take every opportunity to actively vilify us.


by fwiffo on Thu May 31, 2007 at 09:33:19 AM EST

Re: GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote (none / 0)

For the same reason as the GOP wants to have African-American faces to present on the dais, so that they can put forward a plausible visual that they are ecumenical, not simply a party of white Christians.  This appearance matters greatly, because swing voters in swing states do not want to sign on to such a party.  These voters also tend to put low-effort into researching political decisions, so visual cues make a big difference.

In short, what Jim Watt said as a derisive joke has become SOP for the Republicans.


by Ephus on Thu May 31, 2007 at 10:00:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote (none / 0)

I was just about to post this as a response both to Jonathan's post and the comments here but you beat me to it Ephus.

This is not so much about getting votes as it is giving all the swing voters permission to vote for an otherwise unacceptable set of ideas and individuals.

See, honey, the Republicans really aren't that bad....


by Nindid on Thu May 31, 2007 at 10:26:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote (none / 0)

Jews have a wicked high percentage of people who actually vote -- so even though we're only 1.5% of the population we account for a higher percentage of the voting population.


by afertig on Thu May 31, 2007 at 12:50:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote (none / 0)

Turnout among the general voting age population in presidential elections is something on the order of 50-60%.  So even if 100% of Jews vote, that's still only like 3% of voters.  The non-religious are also a relatively high-turnout group (being more male, college educated, politically engaged and higher income than the rest of the public), but still, we get no love.

The other replies to my post seem a reasonable explanation though.  The appearance of trying to appeal to minority groups (or at least, the minority groups people actually like) is probably more valuable than the votes Republicans could actually peal away from such groups.


by fwiffo on Thu May 31, 2007 at 01:03:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote (none / 0)

...So even if 100% of Jews vote, that's still only like 3% of voters...

For any election 3% is, well, Dayanu.
543,895 votes
by Michael Bersin on Thu May 31, 2007 at 04:08:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote (none / 0)

It never was about the jewish vote per se, accept in a few key states, it was/is about key pro-israel jewish money in certain states that can skew and affect Democratic politics and policy.

If was purely about votes, then us run of the mill Democrats in many districts, I believe, would have got a very different result than we did last week  (especially the Iranian vote).


by SandThroughTheEyeGlass on Thu May 31, 2007 at 12:31:07 PM EST

Re: GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote (none / 0)

Republicans seem to assume that Israel is the only thing American Jews care about.  Jewish culture is much more in tune with Democratic values than Republican ones.  Community and the common good are strong themes within the Jewish faith.  Republican messages about taxes and regulation fall flat.


by juls on Thu May 31, 2007 at 01:07:45 PM EST

Re: GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote (none / 0)

Hoping we can speak openly here, my comment back is "why should they".

Because it isn't the Republican's that need convincing.  They already support everything Israel, including their more aggressive military policies.
Steny Hoyer, whose wife was a past President of AIPAC, had this stunning phrase from a past speech to them on his website:

"....There are some who believe that we must demonstrate more even-handedness in the Israeli-Palestinian crisis...." I do not."

The majority of Democrats and the majority of the would do not and would not agree with new Democratic Majority Leader Hoyer.

We wereheld in high esteem as a superpower because the American people believed in being fair and evenhanded.

I too, in my 50+ years have done some studying to understand our world in much greater depth than to  just sit back and accept the talking points of others.

When the Democratic leadership in Congress stripped out that Iran provision in March, a serious provison requiring the President to seek Congressional approval before a strike on Iran, everyone accused the Dems of pandering to Israel:

NO, no, no everyone cried all the way home, to the provisons death.  They did it 'for the troops' they said:
"..The House leadership is scrambling desperately for votes to pass a supplemental with a firm deadline for withdrawing U.S. troops from Iraq. In this context, even a handful of Democrats who support the Administration's policies with respect to Iran have tremendous leverage. The decision of the leadership to concede on the Iran provision in order to save the Iraq withdrawal provision, while extremely disappointing, is understandable. It doesn't prove that Speaker Pelosi and Representative Murtha are owned by the Israel Lobby."

After that last vote, it does now.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/robert-nai man/round-to-aipac-on-iran-p_b_43302.htm l


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by hazmaq on Thu May 31, 2007 at 04:17:54 PM EST

Re: GOP Continues Futile Effort to Woo Jewish Vote (none / 0)

It was Steny Hoyer's sister.  His sister is still on the board.


by SandThroughTheEyeGlass on Thu May 31, 2007 at 05:43:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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