NM-Sen: Domenici Continues Precipitous Drop in the Polls

Ever since he was implicated in the prosecutor purge scandal nearly three months ago, New Mexico's Republican Senator Pete Domenici, who is up for reelection this cycle, has seen his approval rating drop like a rock as his disapproval rating has shot up. As of this month's polling from SurveyUSA just 52 percent of New Mexicans approve of the job he is doing as Senator while 42 percent disapprove -- not terrible numbers in and of themselves but remarkably horrible when the trend lines are taken into account. Take a look:

Three months ago, before most people had heard of David Iglesias or the efforts by the Bush administration and some of their allies on Capitol Hill to try to turn the Justice Department into little more than another arm of the Republican Party, Pete Domenici seemed to be on track to win reelection. Though there were some, myself included, who have long advocated that the Democrats at least take a look at challenging Domenici, particularly after he was seen walking around Senate in pajama bottoms (or "hunting pants", as he calls them), there was an understanding that Domenici would be extremely difficult for the Democrats to defeat in 2008.

But the game has since changed. In the last three months -- the last 90 days -- Domenici has fallen from a 64/27 approval spread to a 52/42 approval spread, or a net drop of 27 points. It's difficult for me to recall any political figure dropping so noticeably and so quickly.

So while Domenici might not have been terribly weak just a few weeks ago, he is very beatable today. Already at least one potentially strong Democratic challenger -- former United States Attorney for New Mexico John Kelly -- has voiced an interest in the race, and others still might be willing to be coaxed into running. This just could turn out to be one of the premier Senate contests of 2008.

By the way... The Senate 2008 Guru is really the place to be watching the race for the Senate in 2008.



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Re: NM-Sen: Domenici Continues Precipitous Drop in (none / 0)

this is good.


by vwcat on Thu May 24, 2007 at 11:31:00 PM EST

Re: NM-Sen: Domenici Continues Precipitous Drop in (none / 0)

As a New Mexico Democrat and blogger, I'm happy with his plummeting poll numbers. I looked into the trends for each party and wrote this:

Democrats are leaving Domenici's camp at an astounding rate.  For the first time, more Democrats disapprove of the job Domenici is doing than approve.  Now, 54 percent disapprove of Domenici, compared with only 39 percent who approve.  This is a significant drop in support after Domenici enjoyed the support of 49 percent of Democrats last month.

Republicans still have Domenici's back, with a 71 percent approval rating.  This is down from the amazing November high of 85 percent.  The bad news for Domenici is the 71 percent number represents his lowest level of support from his party since tracking began.  The good news is that, well, 71 percent of Republicans still approve of the work he is doing.


New Mexico politics from the local perspective.
by fbihop on Fri May 25, 2007 at 12:53:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NM-Sen: Domenici Continues (none / 0)

Unfortunately now he can run on how Democrats won't fight for what they believe in.


by RDemocrat on Fri May 25, 2007 at 01:19:03 AM EST

Re: NM-Sen: Domenici Continues Precipitous Drop in (none / 0)

Also, I just saw an email listing four jobs that are open in Domenici's DC and NM office. Interesting...that's a pretty fair amount.
www.adamconner7.com
by Adam Conner on Fri May 25, 2007 at 10:38:35 AM EST

Re: NM-Sen: Domenici Continues Precipitous Drop in (none / 0)

I am a Nevada Dem and I was not pleased to read that Senator Domenici has a bill which would start shipping Nuclear Waste to Nevada and would gut environmental regulations to do so.  Thanks to Sen. Reid that bill will not get to the floor.  


by changehorses08 on Sat May 26, 2007 at 02:53:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NM-Sen: Domenici (3.00 / 0)

Reminds me of Conrad Burns


by who threw da cat on Fri May 25, 2007 at 10:56:39 AM EST

Precipitous Drop in the Polls (none / 0)

This is why I hope that former US Attorney runs against Domenici.  That would ram the scandal down his throat all election season.  


by JeremiahTheMessiah on Fri May 25, 2007 at 10:52:44 PM EST


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