Cynical GOP Sens Walk Away from Own Immigration Bill

Last year 23 Republican Senators voted in favor of Senate bill 2611, immigration reform legislation that would have begun to deal with the issue of the more than 10 million people unlawfully in this country. While it was far from a perfect bill, it was significantly better than the legislation drawn up in the House, which called for unrealistic and highly unpopular mass deportations.

Fast forward to the current Congress. Despite the fact that the Republicans' nativist language did not save their congressional majorities as some in their ranks expected and that such positions actually hurt the GOP in a number of instances, Republicans in the Senate appear to be drifting even further to the right on immigration -- a position that runs almost completely contrart to current polling. Yet even more interesting than the general rightward shift of Senate Republicans on the issue is the entirely unsubtle move of a number of the chief proponents of S. 2611, as Elana Schor reports for The Hill.

Senators from both parties yesterday rushed to keep the door open for a bipartisan immigration deal, but Republicans are already confronting a choice between blocking the start of debate or taking up a bill many of them reluctantly backed last year.

Taking Republicans even closer to a filibuster, four pivotal GOP members of this year's immigration talks urged Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) to call up a new measure or nothing at all.

"We are united in our resolve to enact comprehensive immigration reform this year and will only support moving forward with legislation that is a product of the ongoing bipartisan discussions," Sens. John McCain (R-Ariz.), Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), Mel Martinez (R-Fla.) and Arlen Specter (R-Pa.) wrote in a letter sent to Reid yesterday.

[...]

[Alabama's Jeff] Sessions implored Republican leaders to act without fear of Democratic attempts to tar the minority as obstructionist for blocking a motion to proceed on immigration. Reid laid the groundwork for that argument yesterday, reminding reporters of the strong GOP support for last year's bill.

"How could they complain about using this as a document?" Reid asked, adding, "It would be a tragedy for the American people if Republicans would block this very important legislation."

The cynicism and opportunism of these Republican Senators -- chief among them McCain, Martinez and Brownback -- is quite remarkable even if it were predictable. Each of the three aforementioned Senators, who are walking away from last year's bill, not only voted for it when it came to the floor but were among the bill's six co-sponsors. For McCain, in particular, this rapid shift (perhaps a flip-flop?) just serves to underscore the fact that he is a man of no political principles who will do near anything to feed his ego and serve his personal ambitions.

This move also carries great potential downsides for the Republicans, who could be on the verge of losing the Hispanic vote for years to come. Hispanic voters, many of whom were repulsed by the GOP's resort to nativist language last cycle, gave Democratic congressional candidates close to 70 percent of their vote, up between 10 and 15 percent from just two years earlier. In the Demember special election in Texas' 23rd congressional district, Democrat Ciro Rodriguez upset Republican incumbent Henry Bonilla in no small part as a result of the support of Hispanic voters.

And it's not just Hispanic voters who could be turned off by GOP antics on immigration reform. As mentioned above, polling quite clearly indicates that the public favors creating an arduous path towards legalization and perhaps even citizenship for those here unlawfully. At the same time, just a very small, however vocal, minority supports mass deportations. So while Republicans in the Senate play games, backing away from their own compromise of just one year ago to placate their extremist base, it's quite clear that both in the short run and the long run they're in for a rude awakening as voters' unhappiness with their shenanigans comes home to roost.



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Re: Cynical GOP Sens Walk Away from Own Immigratio (none / 0)

Polling also indicates that those who feel that a "pathway to citizenship" is a good thing are much less passionate about the issue than those who hate all mexicans.  That enthusiasm, or lack of, makes a difference.

Personally, I don't even understand why are we even discussing this issue in congress.  This is a republican issue, not a democratic one.  When did any of the previous republican congresses even bring up health care?  Answer: almost never.  Even though the crisis has been severe, they didn't care about health care.  We shouldn't care about immigration "reform".

It's not our issue.  Any move we make will probably hurt us in some way.  What's the point?

Let the republicans spew their hate... we don't need to get involved.  

Thanks,

Mike


by lordmikethegreat on Thu May 10, 2007 at 11:49:07 PM EST

Re: Cynical GOP Sens Walk Away (none / 0)

If the Democrats would just build the darn Border fence, they'd rob the GOP of this as an issue.


by rikyrah on Fri May 11, 2007 at 12:03:06 AM EST

Re: Cynical GOP Sens Walk Away (none / 0)

And if Dems banned abortion and abolished the minimum wage, it'd take those issues away from them too. Your point?


Visit Forgotten Countries, my new foreign policy-based blog
by Englishlefty on Fri May 11, 2007 at 04:49:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Immigration is a wedge issue, not a base issue (none / 0)

The Republican base is already voting Republican; they don't need more hot-button issues to retain their base.

No, immigration is an issue only because (1) it is emotional (and evokes racist psychologies), and (2) has some power as a wedge issue to split the Democratic coalition. But, to really understand the opinion polling immigration, and why it works as a wedge issue against the Dems, you need to ignore the aggregates and look at how immigration polls disaggregate with different demographic groups, racial groups, regions, and most important, swing districts.

The 2008 election is all but determined in most states or districts due to the clear dominance of one perty or another. How does immiration play in Ohio, Missouri and Pennsylvania, which are some of the largest swing states.

Does fear of immigration resonate sufficiently well in these states to pull off some of the Democrat supporters? I'd like to see this kind of specific opinion polling.


There's more of us than there is of them.
by MetaData on Fri May 11, 2007 at 01:08:01 AM EST

Re: Cynical GOP Sens Walk Away from Own Immigratio (none / 0)

Why do i need to keep restating this to my Democratic friends? It is not immigration that people dislike but illegal immigration. Some of us Democrats do feel that, whether it is "our" issue or not, its an American issue and I am glad Democrats in Congress are attempting (although feebly) to do something. Of course mass deportations are not what anyone sane person wants, but no State can live long that can't control its borders. Why is it that almost no one wants to seriously tackle this situtation?


by BrklynBrkr on Fri May 11, 2007 at 02:34:02 AM EST

Re: Cynical GOP Sens Walk Away from Own Immigratio (none / 0)

'cos it's not an "issue"

The republican "populists" are using illegal immigrants as a scapegoat for their loss of jobs and status (much as we do the same with outsourcing--except our complaint is real, not imagined)... but there is more to it than that... it allows them to be openly racist with a convenient excuse.  After all, in the Republican mind, all hispanics are presumed to be illegals until proven otherwise.  It's open season on hispanics!  Let's get 'em!  

If thinly-veiled racism wasn't driving the issue, there would be no reason why republicans in Ohio, let's say, who don't have much of a hispanic population to speak of, would declare this the "number one problem in the country".... based on what?  Certainly not the experiences in your home state?  

I can understand strong emotions in border states, who are directly affected by illegal immigration, but for other republicans to behave so passionately towards the issue is nothing more than nazi-style racism (and if Tom Delay can call us Nazi's, I certainly can call them that).

So, screw it.  Why should we mess with it.  We are only going to piss someone off and please no one.  We've got more important things to worry about.

Thanks,

Mike


by lordmikethegreat on Fri May 11, 2007 at 02:47:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Cynical GOP Sens Walk Away from Own Immigratio (none / 0)

I agree. Many progressives like me view illegal immigration and mass-immigration as an economic and fairness issue that imposes real consequences for legal residents who struggle to survive in an excess-labor supplied low-wage economy.

Additionally, the so-called "debate" about illegal immigration has been narrowly framed by open-border advocates on the Left and their big business buddies on the Right to limit the solutions to the ones that support their cheap labor, cheap vote agenda.

For instance, when people are asked what should be done with the 11-20 million illegals who are already here, the polling questions typically present the false dilemma: Legalize them or round them up for deportation. A third option --self deportation over time through strict work-site enforcement -- is never presented as a choice.

This may explain the disconnect in polling results that show a large opposition to amnesty, but an acceptance  of allowing illegals who are here to remain.


by fafnir on Fri May 11, 2007 at 07:48:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]

No, not an economic issue. (none / 0)

The economics of immigration are at worst neutral.

Look at it this way, 10 million immigrants, $20,000 each means that our GDP is $200 billion bigger. What does that mean to the rest of us? 10 million people renting 5 million houses, buying plumbing fixtures and paint to fix up those houses, eating in restaurants, paying taxes (sales, property, income and SS).

Who owns the businesses that immigrants shop at? Previous generations of Americans, or the kids of previous generations. Immigration feeds a growing economy. You want a job as a house framer, or do you want to run a small contracting firm?

Imagine you wave a magic wand and make 10 million or 2 million suddenly leave, concentrated in five or ten states. Watch small businesses fail and local housing markets collapse.


There's more of us than there is of them.
by MetaData on Fri May 11, 2007 at 10:38:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]

labor economics, costs (none / 0)

Are very real and unfortunately those who want to frame this as "racist xenophobe" or "open borders/unlimited migration" are completely missing the point.  There is a reason we have in masse, the AILA, the US Chamber of Commerce lobbying for massive guest worker Visas and "comprehensive" immigration reform and this is not contradictory towards people being outraged about these bills yet seeing a case for allowing some to stay at all..

There is a huge difference between allowing some to stay versus endorsing these massive Corporate cheap labor lobby creation of more Visas, increasing every guest worker Visa, putting immigration status under an employers control, and finally never fixing the system to stop this influx at all.  It's about U.S. jobs in a nutshell and why this issue polls so oddly....look at national sovereignty and jobs and one will see no contradiction in both reps pulling away from these bills and what the majority in the country are saying.

Unfortunately as long as people try to claim this is a "GOP" issue or a "racist xenophobe" issue are completely missing the Corporate cheap labor lobby real agenda, most illustrated in the WTO, GATS mode 4 to trade people (services to be traded).


NoSlaves.com | The Economic Populist
by Robert Oak on Fri May 11, 2007 at 02:12:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Cynical GOP Sens Walk Away from Own Immigratio (3.00 / 1)

It is an issue. People are dying along the border trying to get in, and the current set-up is rife with corruption, violence, and lawlessness. The current situation does no one any good, and a sane, humanitarian approach to the situation that takes into account the needs of the people trying to get into the country would be a good thing.

Unfortunately, the painting of the issue in starkly racist, xenophobic terms by the right makes some people on the left think it is "their" issue. But it's most assuredly not "their" issue. It's the single biggest wedge in the GOP, dividing the corporatists and the elites of the party from the mass of the base, which views every single issue through the lens of predation ("brown people are invading and taking our livelihoods!") and punishment. Rove has been desperately trying to head off the base on this issue for years.

Because the base is driving the party off the cliff, accepting nothing less than a bill based solely around exclusion and punitive measures. They're losing AZ, NM, NV, CO, and FL over this, and will be putting TX in play in the cycles ahead. And all over the country, they are on the road to making the Hispanic vote a nearly African-American style bloc for the Democrats. It's the death of the GOP, if the Democrats are at all smart about it.

I've said before that the war in Iraq is the major issue, but immigration could be the real stake in the heart of the GOP.


by BriVT on Fri May 11, 2007 at 09:25:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]

No, not a wedge in the GOP (3.00 / 1)

Yes, certain businesses would like more immigration, but they don't represent many votes, and those who vote republican do so for other reasons. This makes Immigration a false (or ineffective) wedge because of the relative voting numbers on either side of the split, i.e. big, nativist numbers (who don't need another base issue) vs a small population of business interests who MIGHT take offense and go Democrat.

Immigration is a big fat, emotional wedge that tries to split white, working class dems fearful of losing jobs from the rest of the democrat, and only mildly splits the Republicans.

Look at a specific red districts where you might think Immigration would work as a wedge against the Republicans. For example Marilyn Musgrave's CO-04 which has a large and growing immigrant population, lots of farmers who need good workers, packing plants in Greeley which just experienced INS raids splitting up families by deporting a bunch of workers. Those farm areas vote deep red, and they continue to do so for reasons other than immigration.

Or, look at rural Ohio with relatively low ACTUAL immigration impact, but considerable EMOTIONAL impact. Again, the hard-core Republican base doesn't need additional persuasion, but if immigration can scare the middle into voting Republican, than it has succeeded.

The point is, to understand how a wedge works you have to go into the mind of Karl Rove. Look specifically at how the demographics are distributed unevenly and what is happening in the swing states.


There's more of us than there is of them.
by MetaData on Fri May 11, 2007 at 10:26:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Long-Term Trends (none / 0)

I think its important to note that this pandering is really going to hurt the GOP in the future with Hispanic voters, a bloc of the population that is only getting bigger and bigger. I think you're gonna see a backlash against this xenophobia much like after California Gov Pete Wilson signed that state's anti-immigrant bill in '94. Its not a smart play for their party and it will put Texas, of all states, back in the competitive column.


by AC4508 on Fri May 11, 2007 at 02:54:15 AM EST

Re: Cynical GOP Sens Walk Away from Own Immigratio (none / 0)

Under the status quo, 5% of America's labor force comes from the 12 million undocumented people living in shadows in America.

Corporations abuse these workers, who are afraid to protest (and risk deportation) when their employer takes advantage of them in any number of ways -- withheld overtime, brutal working conditions, sub-minimum wage payments, etc....  

This situation is untenable for low wage native born workers who should not have to compete with these indentured servants.


by Hauser on Fri May 11, 2007 at 10:40:38 AM EST

Re: Cynical GOP Sens Walk Away from Own Immigratio (3.00 / 1)

A serious comprehensive immigration reform bill will accomplish the following objectives:


    1. Increase work-site enforcement efforts and penalties, including stiff fines for employers and mandatory jail time for repeat hiring offenses. Allow states to augment illegal immigration worksite enforcement activities. Without work (or job magnet), many illegals will leave or self-deport on their own over time. (Note: After ICE arrested and deported 90 percent of the workers at a meat packing plant in Georgia last year, the company raised wages and improved working conditions to hire local black citizens who had been displaced by illegals.)

    2. No amnesty. (Do not reward people for entering or remaining in our country illegally, and for committing identity fraud.

    3. Allow illegals to return to their country of origin, where they may apply for legal entrance.

    4. Lower legal immigration levels from 1 million per year (1.3 million last year) to 250K per year. A tight labor market is the best friend the working-class workers (especially for black workers) ever had. Wages and benefits increase when employers abide by the laws of economics to compete fairly for labor. Additionally, a lower immigration level promotes healthy communities, where revenues can adequately service a community needs for social support, education, housing, health care, transportation, energy consumption and waste disposal.

    5. Lower H-1B visas to reduce insourcing of middle-class jobs in technology, knowledge and medical. Nursing schools are filled to the brim, yet hospitals are importing nurses from Africa and Asia. Also, many technology workers with advanced degrees are not working in their desired profession, because too many tech companies are hiring over them to reach cheaper workers in India and China.

    6. Overhaul H-2A and H-2B visas to minimize the use of so-called "guest workers." According to a new report by the Southern Poverty Law Center, Close to Slavery: Guestworker Programs in the United States, "Guest workers are usually poor people who are lured here by the promise of decent jobs. But all too often, their dreams are based on lies, their hopes shattered by the reality of a system that treats them as commodities. They're disposable workers in the global economy."

    7. Promote foreign investment that values the economic security of American workers, while helping poor countries build sustainable economies that support poor people where they live, so that they do not have to leave their home of origin for better wages. This will help discourage economic policies, like those in Mexico, that rely on remittances from its exported citizens.

    8. Construct a barrier along the border to further minimize illegal entry and, most importantly, drug trafficking.


Finally, Democrats should not throw native and legal immigrant workers overboard in order to help deliver an unnecessary and undeserved "win" for Bush and his anti-labor, big-business, open-border cronies


by fafnir on Fri May 11, 2007 at 11:35:43 AM EST

Perhaps we have overlooked some things.... (none / 0)

Though I have been impressed by the political and economic calculations in the comments thus far, I find some important points missing from the debate. Senators on both sides of the aisle cannot walk away from immigration reform. Immigration isn't soemthing that democratic leadership can take or leave- it is a must. Why?

Because immigration isn't simply a wedge issue for the millions of voters suffering from the US' broken immigration system:

    - A few weeks ago, in a suburb of NYC, ICE officials used an outdated warrant to break into the house of US citizen and 12 year-old Erica Leon in the middle of the night, harrassing her citizen mother, grandmother and little brother. The man that ICE was looking for hadn't lived there in over a year. The family continues to live in trauma.

    - Over the last few weeks we have been hearing consistent local media reports that farmers and local industry will be at a major loss without immigration, and reform of the visa system.

    - On average, American taxpayers spend over $8,000 per person to arrest and deport an undocumented immigrant. We can no longer continue to fund inefficient and unworkable immigration policies.

    - US workers across the country are affected by the lack of worker protections for immigrant workers. Without better worker protections for immigrant workers we are unable to raise the working conditions of all workers.

   - Last week, House republicans had the gall to suggest that immigrant families were not the bedrock of strong and prosperous communities in the US; making this ascertion in the face of numerous statistics that indicate that family based immigration actually raises the wages of the US worker.

When you walk through towns in the southeast that our experiencing population growth in the hundreds and the thousands, or when you visit a man wrongly dpoerted to Guatemala after the New Bedford, MA raids... you begin to see the reality of immigration in the Us that goes far beyond the back door deals and politicing on the hill. If we don't make change now, America will have to wait at least two more years- I am in interested in knowing: can voters wait that long? And what will our country look like by then?


by NicolaWells on Sat May 12, 2007 at 04:54:05 PM EST


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