Outsourcing You

This is really what the trade debate is about (hat tip dkmich):

The master plan, it seems, is to move perhaps 40 million high-skill American jobs to other countries. U.S. workers have not been consulted.

Princeton economist Alan Blinder predicts that these choice jobs could be lost in a mere decade or two. We speak of computer programming, bookkeeping, graphic design and other careers once thought firmly planted in American soil. For perspective, 40 million is more than twice the total number of people now employed in manufacturing.

Blinder was taken aback when, sitting in at the business summit in Davos, Switzerland, he heard U.S. executives talk enthusiastically about all the professional jobs they could outsource to lower-wage countries. And he's a free trader.

Talking about free trade is like talking about deregulation or the free market.  It doesn't exist without context.  NAFTA was an agreement to create giant prison camps of slave labor South of the border to compete with American union jobs, and prevent either the Mexican or American governments from interfering.  Period.  It had little to do with tariff reductions.  Even Paul Krugman, at the time a free trader, called NAFTA a 'foreign policy' agreement not a trade agreement.  If NAFTA genuinely were about free trade, it would have created a free flow of goods and a free flow of labor.  It did neither.

The outsourcing of jobs is not about efficiency or free trade.  It's about leverage, power, secrecy and money.  I'm a strong proponent of what globalization could mean, much like Jimmy Carter, George McGovern, and Bill Clinton. I'm a big fan of the internets, and that's a global network. Only, unlike the free trade evangelists, I'm actually paying attention to the goals of the people using these trade agreements, and those goals are deeply cruel and disturbing.



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Re: Outsourcing You (none / 0)

The outsourcing of jobs is not about efficiency or free trade.  It's about leverage, power, secrecy and money.
 
You don't think that Clinton, Gore and the DLC did know that?  I do.  I think they lied.
by dkmich on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 03:56:47 PM EST

Re: Outsourcing You (none / 0)

The Limits of Tolerance - by Patricia Goldsmith

It certainly wasn't tolerance when President Bill Clinton sat on his hands as Republican operatives wielding baseball bats stopped votes from being counted in Florida in 2000.

Corporate Plutocracy

With the words, "I'm in it to win," Hillary Clinton tossed her hat into the ring-and gave us the motto of the Democratic Leadership Council, the group that launched her husband's presidency and continues to dominate Democratic Party strategy. In the mid- to late-eighties, at the height of the Reagan Revolution, this group of Democratic politicians and strategists realized that unless they could figure out a way to start winning elections again, they would not have political careers.

DLC

So instead of bucking Reaganomics, they hitched the Democratic Party to the Republicans' bumper, like a string of tin cans bouncing along in the dust. They declared that business and government would henceforth be friends and partners. They had found a third way, a new center. No more unseemly scuffles.

In practice, however, it turned out to be a very lopsided partnership. If the average citizen won by inches during Bill Clinton's tenure-with his popular family leave bill, for example-big business won by light years, especially with the passage of NAFTA. (This is the same Bill Clinton, by the way, who chose to leave the Kyoto global warming protocols unsigned at the end of his term.)

Hillary's current war chest shows just how handsomely the move to a business-friendly party has paid off in cold hard cash-at least for people named Clinton. Rupert Murdoch actually held a fundraiser for Hillary over the summer-which just goes to show that corporate moguls know the value of having two parties to choose from. But not everyone has the billions it takes to put a down payment on a president. And the price is going up.

Campaign Financing 2008

Senator Clinton has opted out of public financing, the first candidate to do so for both the nomination and the general election campaigns-which, according to experts, will probably be the end of the current voluntary system for regulating big money in presidential campaigns.

NAFTA

Since the passage of NAFTA, we've seen the same effects in the US that we've seen with globalization all around the world: increasing economic inequality. Monetary agreements are harshly enforced, but there is no corresponding enforcement of labor, human rights, or environmental standards. Free trade has, in fact, turned out to be a very efficient vehicle for concentrating wealth in a few private hands at the expense of whole societies. It's a privatizing, planet-eating machine.

Class Inequality & Culture War

It will be an uphill battle. Centrist Democrats are working as hard as Republicans to protect free trade, while the deregulated corporate media continues to block most discussion of class inequality-and almost no one is pointing out the connections between culture war and class war inequality.

http://www.opednews.com/articles/opedne_ patricia_070211_the_limits_of_tolera.htm


by dearreader on Sat Apr 21, 2007 at 12:44:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]

You forgot to mention (3.00 / 1)

NAFTA is also designed for free flow of capital.

So, NAFTA helps Capital move wherever and whenever big business wants, while labor is trapped by national borders.

NAFTA supposedly lowered tariffs on goods, but then you notice certain tariffs are retained to protect powerful interests, and certain industries.


There's more of us than there is of them.
by MetaData on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 04:04:41 PM EST

Re: Outsourcing You (3.00 / 1)

And also lawyers . ..

http://www.law.com/jsp/article.jsp?id=10 98907069708


by bruh21 on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 04:05:26 PM EST

Re: Outsourcing You (3.00 / 0)

chapter 11 of nafta ought to be enough to convince anyone that the only thing nafta had to do with free trade was that the words were in the name.

http://www.pbs.org/now/politics/tradingd emocracy.html

matt is spot on.

if we live in the real world emperical data and experience ought to trump any ideology or theory.


by selise on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 04:27:48 PM EST

It would have been about trade, full stop. (3.00 / 1)

If NAFTA genuinely were about free trade, it would have created a free flow of goods and a free flow of labor.  It did neither.

A free flow of labor is not implicit in free trade. Only a free flow of goods in both directions is. And, indeed, under the classical argument for free trade ... that is, the Ricardian Comparative Advantage argument{Note} ... balanced trade is presumed, so there is not even any requirement for convertability of currency in support of an actual, bona fide free trade agreement.

{Note: Rather than the neoclassical Heckscher-Ohlin model which suffers the fatal flaws of any general equilibrium model with respect to stability and uniqueness of general equilibria.}


The words of the prophets are written on the subway halls
   and tenement halls
by BruceMcF on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 04:31:30 PM EST

Re: Outsourcing You (none / 0)

Its happening already. Our company is already doing much of its accounting work in India. Despite uneven results, the program is expanding because its so cheap.


by 54cermak on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 04:33:18 PM EST

Why the surprise? (none / 0)

Blinder was taken aback when, sitting in at the business summit in Davos, Switzerland, he heard U.S. executives talk enthusiastically about all the professional jobs they could outsource to lower-wage countries.

Where the hell has this guy been? Each of my former employers would happily crawl naked through burning glass if they could outsource the entire labor force to Mexico, Thailand, China, Else Where. I used to wonder why the hell some of these guys were still even in business in America when they so clearly saw the workforce as a necessary, inconvenient and expensive evil. One of my former colleagues and I used to joke that our employer would've gladly charged us for working at the company if they could've figured out how to snooker the payroll folks into doing it for them.

Traditional American business practice is like an irradiated bacterium that doesn't realize its dead yet - the end is nigh, it's simply a matter of time.

I don't know whether to mock Blinder or just feel sorry for him for missing the bloody obvious.

-GFO


by GuyFromOhio on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 04:39:33 PM EST

Economic treason (none / 0)

When you outsource an american job, you commit economic treason.  These jobs are at the center of American life.

We need to begin to find a way to document and make these people pay for the economic treason that they are engaged in.


by dataguy on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 04:43:51 PM EST

Re: Economic treason (none / 0)

Do you actually understand what you have just said?  You are claiming a job belongs to a country.  The job belongs to the employer.  The employer works in a country under that country's laws and regulations.  An employer has an obligation to its shareholders to maintain sustainability and profitability.  If and when a company decides to move its operations or production, they are moving THEIR jobs to reduce costs and increase the rate of return for investors.

If you want to claim a job is yours, I suggest you start your own company - then we can see how well those liberal business philosophies work.  


by totalkaosdave on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 06:16:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Economic treason (none / 0)

You're the one promoting liberal philosophy.


"And so in the place of the palace of privilege, we seek to build a temple out of faith and hope and charity."-FDR
by jallen on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 06:29:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Outsourcing You (3.00 / 1)

It's great to see people talking about trade in the blogs and great comment above catching the investor rights portion of NAFTA.

One thing that's important to remember is that corporate managed trade agreements like NAFTA are about much more than cheap labor and outsourced jobs. Here are just two:

Investor Rights:
 On of the major problems with these agreements are provisions that seek to give corporations the ability to ignore and even attack (through trade tribunals) the progressive regulatory system that we have all fought to create and preserve.
An example:
Environmental regulations are threatened by investor rights provisions (Read more about NAFTA Chapter 11 at http://www.citizen.org/trade/nafta/CH__1 1/) that can be used to challenge already enacted or future environmental laws.

IP and Trade:
A number of these trade agreements also include protections for big pharma that make medicine unafforable for those who need it most.
An example:
The Korea FTA goes as far to include language that Democrats explicitely voted down for their own nation - disallowing the Korean government to negotiate drug prices directly with pharma companies. Read more about this at http://citizen.typepad.com/eyesontrade/2 007/04/because_drug_pr.html.


http://www.EyesOnTrade.org
by hollysnj on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 04:45:19 PM EST

Re: Outsourcing You (none / 0)

Anyone who perpetuates the lose of American jobs being for unfettered "free-trade" is guilty of treason.  And the ones who smile about it and declare that it's somehow good for the economy (what they really mean is that it's good for THEM personally) rae traitorous bastards who hate America.

It's just evil greed.  Nothing makes me wish America had lost the cold war more than seeing these assholes talk like that.  Sometimes I wish this country would have gone socialist when we had the chance.  

McCain told me to my face in 1994 during the NAFTA debate that he thought it was "good" that low-skilled jobs are shed.  And what's really macabre is that they are now using the same old free-trade arguments even though now it is HIGH PAYING jobs being shed.


McCain is defining Obama, and Obama is neither defining himself, nor McCain. This is awful.
by jgarcia on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 04:56:24 PM EST

Re: Outsourcing You (none / 0)

That's roughly what I've thought about it as well, and so someone please set me straight on where this leads.  It seems to me that the next step in the thought process is that high-skill/high-education jobs like the above are easier to get rid of because they don't generally have the strong unions of more low-income, blue collar jobs.  In which case, is this country, for various reasons, overly tied to its lower-income, lower-innovation, lower-tech jobs?

I'm not saying I agree necessarily with what I just said, but it's where my thinking led me. Feel free to educate me.


by Lucas O'Connor on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 04:56:58 PM EST

Servitude Economy (none / 0)

What's really interesting to me about this is how these "Trade agreements" which are negotiated via non-democratic and opaque organizations with no public accountability end up trumping local and even national government.

It's a disturbing trend.

As for the outsourcing of my job, while I think it's correct to spotlight the intentions here, I also know from experience that people who are big proponents of outsourcing often vastly over-state the potential value and scale.

It's difficult to break a big chunk of your business off and send it 1/2 way around the world. People have been working this w/manufacturing for a long time and it's still glitchy. Trying to do the same with information is even harder: information-driven work operates on a much tighter cycle than manufacturing, and cultural/language/timezone barriers are harder to overcome.

However, the next century will be largely about tackling these problems, and headway will be made. That could still be good for us, but not if these jokers are running the show.

While 40,000,000 jobs is perhaps an over-statement, the point really is to get some critical sub-set of those out and use that to keep wages down, to turn service economy will become the servitude economy.


Me | My Work | Future Majority
by Josh Koenig on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 05:01:47 PM EST

Re: Outsourcing You (3.00 / 1)

I did watch the debate between Perot, and Gore.  Honestly, I worked for the Perot campaign in 92.

Canadien economic philosopher John Ralston Saul studied history, and found that global trade between nations almost always eventually results in one nation dominating the other, which often leads to hostilities.

For instance the scenario works like this
-my company sends my job overseas to India
-for a while, everyone is happy...my company, india..(except me)
-after some time, perhaps 10, 20 or 50 years, then the folks in India feel that this job is "theirs"...heck my company does not even know how to do this job.  The folks in India with my job start to assert this reality, and my company respods...instant hostilities.

This scenario has been repeated over and over throughout history with sugar, slavery, and now oil.

If you run the numbers, globalization fosters a kind of interdependancy that is ripe for manipulating your trade partners, and a struggle for power ensues.

Interesting reading..and he probably describes it much better than I do.


by surrendering on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 05:14:19 PM EST

If you look at a computer all day... (none / 0)

If your work involves looking at a computer all day, your job can and will eventually be outsourced.


by edgeplot on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 05:35:24 PM EST

Couldn't be further from the truth (none / 0)

Look, that's not going to happen.  I stare a computer all day.  I work for an investment bank.  We have developers and team members in Bangalore.  Are they paid less?  Yes.  Are they very skilled?  Yes.  But there are more indians here in America than there are there in Bangalore.  And they're paid the prevailing wage as well.

When I was interviewing last year with IBM, Microsoft, and a few other tech companies, they all told me the same thing.  They had huge layoffs following the bubble but who were they really laying off?  When I interned at GE, they had developers who majored in History and English.  Was the development that they were doing that hard?  Absolutely not.  But the really hard stuff needs to be done by highly skilled workers, and those are the people who are not in danger.  

When the layoffs came around, mostly people who did not study computer science lost their jobs.  And now they can't get back in because they don't have the training.  Thus the birth of certification programs, 2 year technical colleges, etc.

The truth is, three things are happening that guarantee that jobs will be plentiful in America's tech force.  

1.  Fewer Americans are enrolling in computer science.  There was a huge article in the NYT about this a week ago.  Fewer women are enrolling, and fewer men as well.  It's the only field of science right now where that's happening.  Physics, Chemistry, and Biology all are growing, along with Mathematics.  

2.  Technology is becoming more important in financial, medical, and other industries.  This need fuels the need for growth and jobs.  These jobs can only be filled by highly trained people.

3.  Baby boomers are retiring.  The majority of boomers will retire within the next 15 years.  Combined with #1, this will require that all of their jobs be filled.  Since the fat was trimmed only 4 years ago, these jobs can't be eliminated, they have to be filled otherwise important jobs will get missed.

Overall, there's no reason to think your job will get exported.  Is it under attack?  Yes.  Why?  Heavy regulation of business, the rise of Europe and London as an economic powerhouse, and the increase in engineering students from China, Japan, India, and Russia.  But Americans still like to deal with Americans, and that will ultimately mean that most of the jobs in America will stay in place.  As the model of software development moves from the desktop to the internet and customization becomes even more important, people will want to communicate their needs with engineers that understand them.  They don't like talking to help desks because of this fear, and they won't want their highly paid specialists to be this way either.


by Conquest on Sat Apr 21, 2007 at 11:46:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Excellent post, Matt. (none / 0)

It is about what kind of world we will live in.  Which side you are on.

Free trade is a rigged game in favor of big capital that harms workers.  That is it.  Yes, there are a lot of complexities, but at bottom, that is it.

George Stiglitz wrote a great book called Globalization and its Discontents.  If you have not yet read it, I think you would like it.  


by littafi on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 06:42:32 PM EST

Joseph (3.00 / 1)

it's joseph stiglitz...

nobel prize winner, chairman of clinton's council of economic advisers, chief economist at the world bank (until he quit in protest).

...and he has a new book out (which i haven't read yet), "making globalization work".

he does seem to give a lot of public lectures, if you're not sure about investing the time to read his books, you might give a listen to some of his lectures first.

here's two (scroll down):
feed://www.cceia.org/resources/audio/rss /feed.xml

Fair Trade for All: How Trade Can Promote Development
Joseph E. Stiglitz
Apr 3, '06, 12:00 AM
In a new book (co-authored with Andrew Charlton), Stiglitz details what a trade agreement might look like if based on principles of economic analysis and social justice for the world economy. He points to how less developed countries are disadvantaged in the negotiating process.

Making Globalization Work
Joseph E. Stiglitz
Oct 5, '06, 12:15 PM
Stiglitz offers new thinking about the questions that shape the globalization debate, including a plan to restructure the global financial system, ideas for how countries can grow without degrading the environment, and a framework for free and fair global trade.

strongly recommend - at least give him a listen if you're interested in trade policy.


by selise on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 07:42:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Joseph (none / 0)

Thanks for the right name.  I read it a while ago.  He is very good.


by littafi on Sat Apr 21, 2007 at 12:04:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Joseph (3.00 / 1)

understood. i suck with names... it's the ideas that stick with me.


by selise on Sat Apr 21, 2007 at 03:17:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Outsourcing You (none / 0)

Easy solution: increase DISC taxes on revenue generated from locations outside the US. Increase taxes on revenue generated domestically by corporations (like Halliburton) who expatriate.

Ooops, sorry. Forgot about the WTO.

Nevermind.


by scudbucket on Fri Apr 20, 2007 at 07:50:49 PM EST

Re: Outsourcing You (none / 0)

I remember hearing a lot about this when I was majoring in computer science.  

The problem is that the opposite has generally occurred and thus the general view is that globalization suppresses unskilled wages and increases skilled wages.

There is also the wrinkle of capital, but thats the general idea.


by sterra on Sat Apr 21, 2007 at 12:17:29 AM EST


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