Pew Poll: Growth in Rate of Internet Access in America Stalls

The Pew Research Center poll (.pdf) released yesterday on Americans' general political knowledge has garnered a fair deal of attention within the blogosphere. But a different set of numbers from the survey -- and I'm not talking about how many people can correctly identify the Vice President as Dick Cheney -- jumped out at me in particular: How many people are going online.

Back when Pew began asking questions about Americans' use of the internet back in 1995, just 14 percent of respondents self-identified as being online. By 1998, that number was closer to 40 percent, and by 1999 Pew's polling estimated that a majority of Americans were online. As of 2003, the proportion of respondents saying they use the internet was closer to two-thirds. Yet in the most recent polling conducted in February of this year, just 63 percent of respondents reported being online -- a decline that can probably be accounted for by the margin of error of the polling, but certainly not a number that indicates a continuation of the increase in internet access within the country seen previously.

During this period in which the rate of internet access within the United States has topped out in the 60 percent to 70 percent range, more Americans have begun to move from dial-up connections to high speed internet in the form of cable, DSL or the like. Specifically, in the past three and a half years or so, the proportion of respondents indicating to Pew that they had a high-speed internet connection in their homes nearly doubled, from 23 percent in August 2003 to 45 percent this past January. However, while there has been growth in access to high-speed connections within America, there is reason to believe that the United States is greatly lagging behind other countries in the area. An OECD survey released in late 2005 showed that America is not among the top-ten most connected countries, in terms of broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants, and in absolute terms there are reports that China will overtake the United States in terms of the sheer number of inhabitants with broadband subscribers some time this year.

Back in 2004, President Bush called for universal broadband access by 2007 -- a goal that has not yet been achieved even if you take "universal broadband access" to mean access to buy connections rather than actual access to high-speed internet connections. Some reports even put the United States behind Estonia on this metric.

Clearly, something needs to be done within Congress to ensure that America does not fall further behind and so that, in fact, America can reclaim its position as one of the leaders in internet access around the world. Hawaii's Democratic Senator Dan Inouye, the chairman of the commerce committee, has spoken to this issue in recent months, and as Matt has written about before and I've been harping on for years, there is spectrum already available, owned by the American people, that could make universal broadband internet using wireless technology feasible. This is not the only answer, but it is one. And it's high time that we actually have a debate about putting the resources towards ensuring that not only every American has the ability to buy a high-speed internet connection but that every American who wants it indeed has broadband access.



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Re: Pew Poll: (none / 0)

Is part of the leveling off a function of the fact that a certain number of people just aren't going to bother, and that (as I recall) they tend to be older, and so time will make that adjustment?


by Lucas O'Connor on Tue Apr 17, 2007 at 01:26:57 PM EST

That's part of it, but how much? (none / 0)

I doubt it is 1/3 of the population.  Also, time should have been making the adjustment already, but it hasn't.  

After all, if it is the older population that is less likely to use the net, they would be dying off more quickly than the rest of the population because they are older.  


Saxby Chambliss
by bosdcla14 on Tue Apr 17, 2007 at 01:59:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That's part of it, but how much? (none / 0)

I'm not suggesting that this is a factor that explains it all away, but it may be an element. Mostly I suppose my point is that it would be nice to know the demographics of people who are or are not using the internet.


by Lucas O'Connor on Tue Apr 17, 2007 at 02:12:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Pew Poll: Growth in Rate of Internet Access in (none / 0)

If he won't run for President, can we get Gore to go for Senator from Tennessee again?  We need someone with knowledge of building internet infrastructure.

I'm being serious, not making those stupid "invent the internet" jokes.  Gore did a great job building the Information Superhighway, he could probably help extend it to everyone.


Political Games: Where the fuck's the reset button?
by themann1086 on Tue Apr 17, 2007 at 01:30:49 PM EST

Re: Pew Poll: Growth in Rate of Internet Access (none / 0)

Since this is broadband, couldn't this spectrum also be used to increase universal telephone access also?  I think that would increase the amount of support we might get from our more rural senators, they tend to look at phone access rather than the tubes.


by Demo Dan in Dayton on Tue Apr 17, 2007 at 02:02:48 PM EST

Internet-era "universal service" policy (none / 0)

What we're really talking about here is the Internet-era equivalent of "universal service" in the 20th century telephone business.

Having just completed a report on spectrum and Internet policy, muni-wireless, neutral networks, etc., I'm increasingly convinced there's enough wireless spectrum (coming from broadcasters in 2009) and favorable-enough economics to provide free or near-free universal access to a "neutral" wireless network.  

I'm trying to come up with a name or phrase that would encapsulate this policy goal in a way that would get public (and politician) attention similar to what's been achieved with the term "network neutrality" and, in the old days, "universal service."  Below are some possibilities I've been considering.  If anyone reading this prefers one over the others, or has a better suggestion, please chime in, or send me an email at mitchipd@gmail.com.

universal wireless
universal wireless access
universal network access
universal neutral network access
universal Internet access
universal Internet service
universal IP access
universal IP service
wireless commons
public interest IP (PIIP) networks

Any suggestions would be much appreciated.


by mitchipd on Tue Apr 17, 2007 at 04:01:03 PM EST

Re: Pew Poll: Growth in Rate of Internet Access in (none / 0)

It is hopeful that most of the democratic candidates for President in 2008 have added some sort of "universal service" broadband policy to their platforms. Just this week in his proposal for rural recovery Edwards said:
"Investing in Rural Broadband: Once a world leader in broadband access, the U.S. is now 21st in the world, trailing Estonia. Rural households are only about half as likely to have a broadband connection even though digital inclusion is one of the quickest and surest ways to attract businesses. Edwards will establish a national broadband map to identify gaps in availability, price, and speed and require telephone and cable companies not to discriminate against rural communities in building their broadband networks. [ITU, 2006; CWA, 2006; Pew, 2006]" Obama has said,  'Let's invest in scientific research, and let's lay down broadband lines through the heart of inner cities and rural towns all across America. We can do that.'  Hillary has come out with similar statements.  What they all realize is that this can't happen on its own.  All the countries that have passed us have had public policy to promote affordable, universal high speed broadband. We need to do the same thing.  There is a broad range of these proposals in http://www.speedmatters.org.
by Laura Unger on Wed Apr 18, 2007 at 03:24:17 PM EST


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