Current Primary Calendar With Polling Averages
by Chris Bowers, Tue Apr 10, 2007 at 05:52:31 PM EST
Here is the current state of play in polling in the post-announcement period (2/23 and later) for the Democratic primary / caucus season:
- Iowa, 1/14: Edwards 30.3%, Clinton 26.8%, Obama 19.5% (four polls, all post Vilsack)
- Nevada, 1/19: Clinton 32%, Obama 18.5%, Edwards 13.5% (two polls, one includes Gore)
- New Hampshire, 1/22: Clinton 31.2%, Obama 25.6%, Edwards 19.8% (five polls, one poll includes Gore)
- South Carolina, 1/29: Obama 29.5%, Clinton 28%, Edwards 18.5% (two polls)
- Michigan (1/29 possible): Clinton 36.3%, Obama 26.8%, Edwards 16.3% (four polls)
- Florida (1/29 possible): Clinton 35.3%, Obama 16.3%, Edwards 16% (three polls, one includes Gore)
In the post Elizabeth Edwards announcement period, current national polling without Gore gives us a nine-poll average of Clinton 37.6%, Obama 24.6%, Edwards 18.1%. Those averages can be used as a placeholder for polling in the February 5th states.
Clinton holds the lead in most states, but clearly lacks a stranglehold on the overall process. Clinton and Obama, especially Obama, hold a financial advantage on the field.
The current trends are, somewhat surprisingly, slightly upward for all three top-tier candidates.
Tags: President 2008, polls, New Hampshire, Iowa, Nevada, South Carolina, Michigan, Florida, Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, primary elections, Democrats (all tags)
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