MyDD :: McCain is Finished

McCain is Finished

by Pravin, Tue Mar 06, 2007 at 11:53:04 PM EST

My gut feeling is McCain won't make it. He tried it have it both ways, and now he has lost both sides - the conservatives who hate him for some mysterious reason(unlike Lieberman, McCain actually never really enjoyed bashing his own party base) and the moderates who have seen him reach out to extremists desperately.

I think the conservatives who decided to ignore their personal distaste for McCain temporarily because of electability argument, now find that electability aura disappearing.

And McCain has really dug in with his Iraq war support beyong the point of no return. Yet the people who tend to favor the war are the ones who despise him because of his friendly approach to the moderates in the 2000 election.

So I will make my first prediction. He will not be the Republican nominee in 2008. And if I am wrong, do we really care who among the top 3 in the repub party wins as long as Gingrich doesn't become their version of Gore and is drafted into the primary?

McCain, with his asskissing of the Bushies and Falwellites, has not only lost a bitter 2000 primary, but has lost the respect of the people who made him a great crossover candidate at one time. He is neither loved nor successful. I hope democrats learn a lesson from this. Update [2007-3-7 0:24:22 by Pravin]: I just noticed Chris Bowers' diary about the New Hampshire polling put up a few hours earlier. Kind of funny how all of us have come to the same conclusion about McCain and felt the need to use similar wording about his fate around the same time. SOmething must be in the air.

Tags: McCain (all tags)

Permalink :: 9 Comments :: Post a Comment

Re: McCain is Finished (none / 0)

McCain is creating an opening for another conservative to emerge such as Huckabee, Brownback, etc. I have not ruled him out as the nominee but his ship is sinking fast.

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by robliberal on Wed Mar 07, 2007 at 12:46:24 AM EST

my money's on a second-tier candidate (none / 0)

I know the Republicans don't usually do that, but McCain, Giuliani and Romney are all so deeply flawed and unpopular with the party base that I think a second-tier social conservative will take their nomination.

Where did I read that activists for one of the loony candidates (Tancredo? John Cox?) are wearing buttons featuring a big red no-smoking-type diagonal line through the name "Rudy McRomney"?

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by desmoinesdem on Wed Mar 07, 2007 at 01:32:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: McCain is Finished (none / 0)

Kind of early, isn't it Pravin?

Next year is a long way away.

by v2aggie2 on Wed Mar 07, 2007 at 12:51:49 AM EST

Re: McCain is Finished (none / 0)

Iraq is going to be a hell of an albatross to shake off for McCain.

Also, based on the polling, his age may come to play a factor in the race.

by PsiFighter37 on Wed Mar 07, 2007 at 01:58:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: McCain is Finished (none / 0)

Not to mention that many Republicans despise him and Hagel.

"And so in the place of the palace of privilege, we seek to build a temple out of faith and hope and charity."-FDR

by jallen on Wed Mar 07, 2007 at 02:12:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: McCain is Finished (none / 0)

It wouldn't be fun if I predicted once things were obvious later on. Heh heh. I just felt like making a prediction this early.

by Pravin on Wed Mar 07, 2007 at 04:10:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: McCain is Finished (none / 0)

I'll hold you to that!

by v2aggie2 on Mon Mar 12, 2007 at 12:56:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: McCain is Finished (none / 0)

John McCain is suffering from a contradictory campaign narrative: "I hate Rumsfeld - I support Rumsfeld's war." Even though that's a tad oversimplified, it is the message that is going out, and voters seem to be focusing on the part they DON'T like. With Iraq the central issue, none of the other candidates feel it necessary to point out McCain's co-authoring of the "amnesty" bill and his vote against the anti-gay marriage amendment to the U.S. Constitution.

That option is, of course, available. After all, McCain can still outflank both Giuliani and Romney on abortion and gun control. I think the big question is whether any of the little-known, more orthodox GOP candidates (Brownback, Huckabee, Tancredo, Gilmore) can emerge from the pack and pose the biggest threat to the current Big 3.

The bad news is that my Representative and two Senators are in the minority. The good news is that my Representative and two Senators are in the minority.

by CLLGADEM on Wed Mar 07, 2007 at 06:08:04 AM EST

Re: McCain is Finished (none / 0)

Agree. McCain sounds a little anemic these days, and he looks kinda filleted.

The early polls are giving him respectable but by no means overwhelming numbers. The support seems to be more polite than passionate, and it's not very deep.

He's a goner.

by HumOliver on Wed Mar 07, 2007 at 10:07:21 AM EST

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