Iraq Supplemental: A Huge, Short-Term Victory For Both Progressive Camps

I still have some work and packing to do before an 8 a.m. train, but I wanted to offer some very final thoughts on the Iraq supplemental bill. This has been an extremely trying experience for everyone involved on the Democratic side, but with the deal made today with progressives, the bill will pass the House. I am bothered by some of the invectives that have been thrown my way, but I probably haven't been the best at restraining myself either. I also don't get how so many people can be so angry at David Obey for his perceived insult (for which he later apologized), and then be so willing to throw insults around themselves. However, people are pretty emotional about this, and I don't blame them. They should be emotional about this, so go ahead and let it out. Still, let's wake up tomorrow and prepare for the next fight, together. We need to stick together because, at least in the short term, the fact is we all won this fight.

The more I think about it, at least in the short term, both camps in the progressive side of this debate will actually get what they want. This bill will pass the House, but it will also never pass into law. Many anti-war activists don't want any more spending bills for Iraq to pass into law, and they want to start by defeating this one. When Republicans defeat this bill via Senate filibuster, or when Bush vetoes the bill, anti-war activists holding that position will get their wish, as this bill will be defeated. It will not be defeated in the way they want it to be defeated, but it will be defeated nonetheless. At the same time, those of us now favoring the bill will get what we wanted: headlines showing Democrats trying to end the war, but being thwarted by Republicans. Pelosi will look like a strong leader, and the Democratic caucus will look unified. In the short term, not only have Democrats won the politics of this fight, but there still won't be any more money to continue the Iraq war. We all won.

I indicated yesterday that the next fight would probably be engaged over the Department of Defense appropriations bill in late April / early May. However, when this bill--the one we have so agonized over--is defeated either via filibuster or via veto, the fight over the Iraq supplemental will continue. And we will need to work together on that fight. If there is any attempt to cave to Republicans, and pass a bill with no restrictions whatsoever, people on both sides of the current debate will need to join together to help defeat that bill. You better believe I will help whip votes to defeat a straight-up funding of the war. Further, if Democrats decide to scrap this bill, and start over with new legislation, we will all need to work together to make the language stronger, rather than weaker. Yet further, even apart from this bill, we will need to make sure that provisions which were stripped out of it, such as language requiring congressional approval for any military action on Iran, are not only given a vote on the House floor, but passed by the House. In short, no matter what happens, once this bill is passed we will need to continue working together to help bring an end to this war.

Some people in the anti-war community wanted progs to defeat this bill instead of Republicans. So what--the bill is going to be defeated anyway. Some people, like me, wanted stronger language in this bill. So what--we are getting the desired political effect we wanted anyway, even with the weaker language. In the short term, we are both going to receive the results we wanted. In the long term, those of us who are opposed to the war need to work together, both DLC-sellouts like me and idiot liberals you, in order to actually bring the war to an end (and yes, in the interests of not starting anymore flame wars, I am being sarcastic when I use those invectives). We have lots of fights ahead, and we need each other. If we let insults uttered during emotional times stand in the way of forging continued alliances, not only will we blind ourselves to our short term successes, but we open the door for Republicans to return to power once again. Passing this bill through the House won't result in the war getting one more dime, while simultaneously giving us all a huge amount of political capitol. That sounds like a helluva victory to me. Progressives performed well during this fight, as for once the final approval of a bill had to go through us, not the Blue Dogs. That is an added bonus, even apart from the Iraq victories. Now, let's move on to the next one, and get ever stronger.

I'm off to North Carolina, and I am done talking about this bill. I know I said I was tired, but I can sleep on the train ride. I will see you all again on Monday.



Display:


Well said Chris (3.00 / 1)

Progressives need to gain influence in the caucus to really make things happen in these future battles.  And since the Republicans are too idiotic to accept the weak restrictions in the bill and instead make them out to be more than they are, Democrats will succeed in highlighting the differences between themselves and Republicans (ie. anti-endless war and pro-endless war).   That's the takeaway message that we want to send.

And as you say, a Bush veto is possible anyway.  It's a good thing he's torpedoing it rather than progs.


by PeterB on Fri Mar 23, 2007 at 02:26:41 AM EST

The Air is Going Out of the Balloon (3.00 / 1)

The only thing that matters for progressives is that the votes happened. The weathervane slice of the Republican party will bend as the election nears. Every vote that takes place is an opportunity for change.


by risenmessiah on Fri Mar 23, 2007 at 03:40:14 AM EST

Re: Iraq Supplemental: A Huge, Short-Term Victory (none / 0)

Good points, and I'm all for not tearing each other apart.  I would like to make two points, though.

1) The best outcome for us is a Senate filibuster, and this is what the Dems should let happen. The Senate version must not be a reconciliation bill (which precludes filibuster). Bush already owns this war; let the Repubs buy in. Let them be the ones preventing the troops from getting their money. And a real, not a procedural, filibuster. If the Repubs won't vote for it, they have to actually command the floor all day. That will keep this in the headlines till they cave; the longer the better. And once they cave; they have cave. We look strong, and them weak. And when they eventually cave, all who voted yes will be committed to imposing deadlines on Bush. Then Bush vetoing looks even worse.

2) There should absolutely not be a resolution requiring Congressional approval to attack Iran. It was a mistake to put that in the Iraq bill, because now the Repubs can claim that the failure to pass that provision means the President has such a right by default. The Dem leadership should state that Bush has no right to attack Iran unless a bill specifically permitting him to do so is passed. They are on very strong Constitutional ground here, but cannot let the Bush position become the default, as they will never be able to pass this over a veto. This will not stop Bush from attacking, but neither will force him to veto or signing statement a "permission slip" resolution. Frankly, nothing but impeachment will stop him, if he decides to do it, and impeachment cannot be done quickly enough. Our moves, then, have to be calculated in terms of what happens the next day after he attacks Iran, and the position we want to be in is that what he did was clearly illegal and unconstitutional and therefore grounds for impeachment.


by bento on Fri Mar 23, 2007 at 06:19:45 AM EST

And a real, not a procedural, filibuster. (none / 0)

Absofuckinglutely.

This is what the Dems need to do somewhere, to make the sixty-vote rule go away: make a filibuster have consequences.  

If all the GOP has to do to 'filibuster' is block a cloture bill, then everyone goes back to their offices and goes about their days, then a 'filibuster' is cheap, and they'll do it wherever they can.

But if they know that (a) they'll have to spend hours and hours speechifying in order to maintain a filibuster, and (b) the whole country will get the opportunity to watch them be obstructive of the public will, then the price of an unpopular filibuster will go way up, and they'll be less likely to block cloture in the future.

The Dems should choose an issue where they feel the country is on their side, and force the GOP to do a true filibuster to block a vote.  The minimum wage bill would have been the ideal opportunity, but the Iraq funding bill would work pretty well too.


by RT on Fri Mar 23, 2007 at 09:21:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Iraq Supplemental: A Huge, Short-Term Victory (none / 0)

There should absolutely not be a resolution requiring Congressional approval to attack Iran. It was a mistake to put that in the Iraq bill, because now the Repubs can claim that the failure to pass that provision means the President has such a right by default.

Maybe... but we all know that that the reason it was taken out was not for such strategic reasons, or any reason even approaching progressive, and that in itself marks a huge defeat for the progressive caucus -- the real ones anyway.


by Disputo on Fri Mar 23, 2007 at 04:18:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I Am Tired Too (none / 0)

I seldom do this, but I feel the need to mirror one of my previous posts on this subject. It is THAT important. I am hoping the supplemental will be filibustered in the Senate:

The real reality is that the USA is now BANKRUPT. Bush, or his surrogates plan to nuke the hot Iran reactors, and Turkey plans to attack northern Iraq. Russia and China may simultaneously make a pre-emptive nuclear strike.

If Bush gets any kind of supplemental, he will borrow that amount of money, and he will use it to nuke Iran. He will laugh at any stipulations, 'mandatory' or not! World War III is now on the table. THIS IS NOT A TEST.


by blues on Fri Mar 23, 2007 at 07:21:29 AM EST

Re: I Am Tired Too (none / 0)

who the fuck are you? what is this bullshit rhetoric that you are spewing about other countries wanting to make war with us?


by eddersen on Fri Mar 23, 2007 at 02:43:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I Am Tired Too (none / 0)

Russia, China, Iran, and India are all bracing for a first strike by the USA. That just happens to be the current situation. Let's just say they are a bit leery of Bush, Cheney, and our media warlords.


by blues on Fri Mar 23, 2007 at 09:21:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Statement of a leader (none / 0)

Excellent stuff.

If I wanted to be picky, I'd suggest that the vote on the bill was a sanity test - the fact that the vote was in doubt at all was a measure of how close to self-maiming the Dem House party was willing to go.

And that everyone won argument, I suspect, is a trifle tricksy, if one were to analyze it too closely.

But - this is politics, the Dems are not overburdened with competent leadership, and Chris has been giving lessons - as with this piece.

(Thus - even now, I'd not be absolutely certain that the House leadership hasn't cocked up the count. We'll know soon enough, though, thank God!)


by skeptic06 on Fri Mar 23, 2007 at 07:53:42 AM EST

Tired Too (none / 0)

It's a beat down, that's for sure.  Too often throughout the course of history we are litered with examples of states or organizations within states making progress, but being polarized from within for "not doing enough".  Let's realize that we are on that right track and that we are further along than we have ever been on this issue.  There is no magic wand to be waved.


Mark
by Mark J. Bowers on Fri Mar 23, 2007 at 09:17:22 AM EST

Re: Iraq Supplemental: A Huge, Short-Term Victory (3.00 / 1)

This is already a good outcome.  If even the weak tea in this bill is unacceptable to the Republicans, we've already won.

If they filibuster or veto, they've lost their chance.  The anti-war crowd has no need for this bill; they have no need to compromise further.  The pro-war crowd needs it to keep the war going.  The negotiation is asymmetrical.  The progressive caucus holds all the cards.  Any funding bill has to go through them.  When Republicans kill this bill, we can just toss something back at them that is even more restrictive, or even just superficially different from the current bill.  There's no need to give them any more, since killing this bill is perfectly acceptable.  Progressives can walk away from the table and be perfectly happy.  The pro-war crowd cannot.

All that remains true so long as Pelosi holds her ground and keeps the Blue Dogs chained up.  The only way we lose this is if she lets a bill come up for vote that can pass Republican muster.

Republicans must know all this, so they may even fail to follow through on the filibuster and veto threats.  If they do that, they've admitted to the emptiness of their threats, and we can abuse them worse the next time around.


by fwiffo on Fri Mar 23, 2007 at 11:06:55 AM EST

Re: Iraq Supplemental (none / 0)

This may be a "political" victory in a sense.  However, it does funds george bush's arrogant war for one more year.  Why is it so hard to just say no to more war funding? We need those funds for other purposes.  Why cant we just say no to war?


Can you say with a straight face that Hillary has been a strong leader in the Senate?
by AnthonyMason2k6 on Fri Mar 23, 2007 at 11:19:24 AM EST

Re: Iraq Supplemental: A Huge, Short-Term Victory (none / 0)

great post. this vote is a progressive victory.


by eddersen on Fri Mar 23, 2007 at 02:41:38 PM EST

Another major coup in this debate (none / 0)

Republicans can no longer condemn Democrats for voting against funding the Iraq War, since they have gone on record doing so.  They have validated the concept that the power of the purse means holding back money until you get the terms you want.

We need to publicize the Republican vote in the districts of vulnerable Repubs and instead of lambasting them, give them credit for standing up for their principles.  We thereby give ourselves room to do the same when the time comes.


by keshini on Fri Mar 23, 2007 at 03:14:21 PM EST


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