Despite the stuffing, I was still able to rescue a lot of data and produce results for the February straw poll. It only includes 811 votes, but this has not been stuffed in any way. Considering the size of most polls, 811 is actually a decent sample:
MyDD February Reader Straw Poll
| Candidate |
1st Choice |
2nd Choice |
1st + 2nd Choices |
Last Choice |
Announced Candidates Only |
| Obama |
34.0 |
23.8 |
57.8 |
0.6 |
41.3 |
| Edwards |
28.6 |
27.1 |
55.7 |
2.2 |
37.0 |
| Richardson |
5.9 |
15.6 |
21.5 |
0.4 |
8.8 |
| Clark |
9.0 |
11.6 |
20.6 |
1.1 |
-- |
| Clinton |
4.1 |
7.0 |
11.1 |
13.8 |
5.4 |
| Kucinich |
2.7 |
3.5 |
6.2 |
17.9 |
3.5 |
| Vilsack |
0.6 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
0.9 |
| Gravel |
0.9 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
29.8 |
1.4 |
| Dodd |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
| Biden |
0.1 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
31.3 |
0.5 |
| Other |
10.0 |
4.2 |
14.2 |
-- |
-- |
| Unsure |
3.3 |
2.5 |
5.8 |
-- |
-- |
Clearly, Edwards and Obama tower above the rest, currently with a slight edge going to Obama. In fact, they are so consistently more popular than all other candidates, that there are no interesting cross-tabs to report. Differences between the MyDD and
Dailykos straw polls include a much weaker showing for Clark, a much better showing for Obama, a slightly weaker showing for Kucinich, and a slightly better showing for Edwards. How much of that is due to random error, taking the poll one week later, or the differences in our readerships is difficult to tell.
Four candidates have more last place votes than they have first and second place votes combined: Biden (-30.3), Gravel (-27.7), Kucinich (-11.7) and Clinton (-2.7). Two other candidates, Vilsack (+0.2) and Dodd (+0.9), are just barely positive. Clark comes in at a healthy +19.5, and Richardson is slightly better at +21.1. Edwards finishes in second at +53.2, while Obama places first with +57.2.
Edwards and Obama have such large leads in both first place and second place votes, that it appears either would become the clear netroots frontrunner if the other were to drop out. This certainly makes one wonder if the so-called "anti-Hillary" vote is being split, both online and offline.
