Senate 2008: Dems Find a Candidate in Nebraska?

A Democratic race in Nebraska might seem futile on the surface. After all, George W. Bush carried the Cornhusker State by a 2-to-1 margin in 2004, winning all but one county in the state -- and losing that one by only 58 votes. What's more, a Democratic presidential candidate has only carried the state once in the last 70 years, and that only occurred in 1964.

That all said, Nebraskans do have a long history of giving their votes to Democratic candidates federal office, particularly the Senate. With the exception of two years in which an appointed Republican held one of the state's two Senate seats, Nebraska was represented by two Democrats in the Senate fromk 1979 to 1997, and the state has had at least one Democratic Senator since 1995, including their current junior Senator, Ben Nelson, who was reelected with 64 percent of the vote last fall. And even on the congressional level, Democrats won 45 percent of the vote in two Nebraska districts in 2006 and 41 percent in the other, indicating that with a real effort they can at least be in striking distance of winning contested federal elections.

No doubt it is difficult to defeat an incumbent in any year, and the Republicans do have a two-term Senator who is up for reelection in 2008. But that incumbent, Chuck Hagel, has not definitively declared that he will run for reelection, which, coupled with the fact that he had less than $150,000 in the bank as of the end of the year, has led many to believe that he will not seek another term, instead either running for president or retiring from politics.

With this in mind, it's no wonder that Democrats in the state, as well as some inside the Beltway, are keeping a close eye on this race. And according to C. David Kotok of the Omaha World-Herald, at least one Democrat is edging closer to a run in the state.

[Omaha] Mayor Mike Fahey knew what was coming when he agreed recently to meet with two of the nation's top Democrats - a pitch for him to run for the U.S. Senate.

In the past, Fahey quickly blunted any speculation that he was interested in running for higher office. That has changed, with Fahey now saying he will consider a Senate race if Republican U.S. Sen. Chuck Hagel doesn't seek re-election in 2008.

Late last month, Fahey was in Washington, D.C., for a mayors conference when he was asked to meet with Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada and Sen. Chuck Schumer of New York, chairman of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.

"They talked to me about the Senate race, and they were very complimentary," Fahey said. "They said all the right things."

[...]

Fahey fits the mold of recent Nebraska Democrats elected to the Senate - Edward Zorinsky in 1976, J.J. Exon in 1978, Bob Kerrey in 1988 and Ben Nelson in 2000. All held elected executive positions prior to going to Washington: Zorinsky was mayor of Omaha when elected, and Exon, Kerrey and Nelson had served as governor.

Each first made his mark in business, as Fahey did by founding a title insurance company.

While Fahey would not run against Hagel, if the Senator did run for a third term, and it's not clear if the other often-mentioned candidate, former congressional candidate Scott Kleeb, would do so either, it is quite heartening to see that there is so much interest in the Nebraska Senate race this year. And though this might not be the top target for the Democrats in 2008 even if Hagel doesn't run, the fact that the Democrats can remain competitive in a Senate race in a state as supposedly red as Nebraska is a real testament to the success of rebuilding state parties and Democratic institutions across the country.



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Good to hear (none / 0)

I seriously don't know if that seat can be won in 2008, but if it's possible, Fahey and Kleeb are just the guys to do it.

For some reason, I suspect Hagel will not be running for anything in 2008, and one of these guys will be the standard bearer in an open-seat race.


by brownsox on Mon Feb 12, 2007 at 03:47:05 PM EST

Re: Senate 2008: Dems Find a Candidate in Nebraska (none / 0)

And though this might not be the top target for the Democrats in 2008 even if Hagel doesn't run, the fact that the Democrats can remain competitive in a Senate race in a state as supposedly red as Nebraska is a real testament to the success of rebuilding state parties and Democratic institutions across the country.

While I'm sure this is in part a testament to our success rebuilding state parties, at the same time I have to think that the recent Democratic success recruiting candidates has just as much to do with the GOP's recent troubles as it does better management of the state Democratic parties (i.e. ambitious Democratic candidates see this as their best shot in years to actually win an election for the office they covet).  One real test of how much we've improved our state institutions will be how well we do recruiting quality red state candidates when (if?) the political climate becomes less toxic for the GOP.


by dal27 on Mon Feb 12, 2007 at 03:54:45 PM EST

do it (none / 0)

fight every seat!


by sdedeo on Mon Feb 12, 2007 at 04:11:02 PM EST

Re: Senate 2008: Dems Find a Candidate in Nebraska (none / 0)

How progressive is Fahey?  I sure hope he's not a Nelson clone.


John McCain: Bush right to veto kids health insurance expansion
by Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle on Mon Feb 12, 2007 at 04:27:19 PM EST

Re: Senate 2008: Dems Find a Candidate in Nebraska (none / 0)

Fahey's a good Democrat. Obviously, local issues are quite different than national ones. As mayor, he's been pro-business but has also worked to improve affordable housing throughout the city. He's done a lot to help the city of Omaha grow, and has really done a great job of reaching out to the community, so just based on his performance I'm going to give him good grades.

He'll probably be a little more conservative than most Democrats on a national level, but as someone who voted for him proudly in 2005, I think he'd be a great Senator.


Further Reading
by Dave Sund on Mon Feb 12, 2007 at 06:23:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Senate 2008: Dems Find a Candidate in Nebraska (none / 0)

Local issues aren't a great barometer for how someone will act on the national stage, but in this instance they tend to indicate a rather progressive streak in the man I'm proud to call my mayor.  Among other things he's publicly called on Omahans to be more accepting  of gay rights and he vetoed a resolution passed by the city council that would make prostitution a felony, insisting that rehabilitation should be the focus, not punishment.  


by Ryan Anderson on Mon Feb 12, 2007 at 06:41:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Senate 2008: Dems Find a Candidate in Nebraska (none / 0)

Fahey was probably the best success story from a shell of a Democratic Party in 2001. He defeated a well-funded but embattled incumbent Republican mayor on a message of restoring civility to the city government, and he delivered. In 2005, while Democrats in this state were still recovering from terrible losses in 2004, Fahey ran a strong reelection campaign and won easily, against an opponent from a well-known political (and police) family in Omaha.

I'm glad that the DSCC is pushing Fahey to run. One of the things that is really key to our success, not only in winning this race, but possibly winning in NE-02, is getting the national party money in there to help organize again. 2006 was the first time that the Nebraska Democrats really tried to do that.


Further Reading
by Dave Sund on Mon Feb 12, 2007 at 06:31:31 PM EST

Re: Senate 2008: Dems Find a Candidate in Nebraska (none / 0)

Oh, one other key stat, Jonathan:

Chuck Hagel is the only Republican to win a U.S. Senate election in Nebraska in the last 30 years.


Further Reading
by Dave Sund on Mon Feb 12, 2007 at 06:33:35 PM EST

Hagel's campaign cash (none / 0)

If Chuck Hagel WERE running for President, wouldn't it be a good idea to have a nice chunk of change in the Senate fund since it's transferable?  That seems to be what all the other Senators running for President have done.  $150,000 is meaningless if you want to run for President.  I don't know how much a Senate campaign can cost in Nebraska (I'd suspect much less than most other states), but it has to be a lot more than $150,000.


Rudy Giuliani hates firefighters. And puppies.
by Fran for Dean on Mon Feb 12, 2007 at 08:27:26 PM EST

Feeling Like a Hagel Retirement from the Senate (none / 0)

Rumors have been swirling for a little while now that Hagel would retire from the Senate regardless of his Presidential plans, and that's substantiated by the low cash-on-hand.

I don't know if Mike Fahey is a "Ben Nelson" clone, but he is a solid Democrat who could win statewide, which is a step up from a Hagel.  While we might not have the most progressive options in the world in Nebraska, to get a Senator who will vote for a Democratic Senate majority leader and a Democratic agenda from Nebraska is something.

Meanwhile, state AG Jon Bruning would probably be the early favorite to win the GOP nomination in the case of a Hagel retirement.

So let's see some Fahey-Bruning polling!


Check out the Guru's blog at http://www.senateguru.com/
by Senate Guru on Mon Feb 12, 2007 at 08:47:21 PM EST

Re: Senate 2008: Dems Find a Candidate in Nebraska (none / 0)

I generally agree with your take that Bruning is the early favorite, but I wouldn't discount the animosity between the Hagel-Heineman establishment of the GOP and Bruning. If Hagel throws his considerable weight behind someone like Fortenberry or Terry, it could be a race.


Further Reading
by Dave Sund on Tue Feb 13, 2007 at 01:50:17 AM EST

what I would hate to see... (none / 0)

is a repeat of Sherrod Brown v. Paul Hackett.

i don't think I could handle that.

I'd love to see Kleeb elected though, or Fahey.

Even though Hagel is sane about Iraq, he's still a Republican through and through.
-C.


by neutron on Tue Feb 13, 2007 at 01:54:58 AM EST

Re: what I would hate to see... (none / 0)

I can basically guarantee you that if Fahey runs, Kleeb will not. Kleeb's just barely old enough to run for Senate as it is, so he's got some time still.


Further Reading
by Dave Sund on Tue Feb 13, 2007 at 03:18:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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