Obama Wasn't Right About Iraq -- AGAIN

I am NOT saying that Obama did not oppose the war. He did. I grant him that.

What I am saying is that on the 3 fundamental bases as stated in his speech on October of 2002, his judgment was NOT RIGHT.

Judgment 1 - The Case for War

Barack Obama was NOT RIGHT about the case for war.

"Now let me be clear - I suffer no illusions about Saddam Hussein. He is a brutal man. A ruthless man. A man who butchers his own people to secure his own power. He has repeatedly defied UN resolutions, thwarted UN inspection teams, developed chemical and biological weapons, and coveted nuclear capacity. He's a bad guy. The world, and the Iraqi people, would be better off without him."

He does not dispute the intelligence that everybody else believed. He does not dispute the causus belli for war.

Barack Obama was just as wrong as everybody else.

Judgment 2 - The Threat Posed By Iraq

Barack Obama was NOT RIGHT about the threat posed by Iraq.

"But I also know that Saddam poses no imminent and direct threat to the United States, or to his neighbors, that the Iraqi economy is in shambles, that the Iraqi military a fraction of its former strength, and that in concert with the international community he can be contained until, in the way of all petty dictators, he falls away into the dustbin of history."

Barack Obama was apparently ignorant of the situation at the time of the debate on the resolution. Which is kind of odd, since it occupied the front page of every newspaper and TV coverage 24/7.

Iraq was contained, and not a threat to its neighbors, because of the US/Great Britain enforced No Fly zones, which came at incredible cost and risk to us and our ally, and because of the sanctions, which we were losing support for on a drastic level (that whole Oil For Food Scandal, anyone). China, Russia and France all wanted the sanctions to be diminished and eventually removed entirely. Our ability to contain Iraq was diminishing by the day.

The "concert of the international community" was out of tune and losing musicians left and right. We could NOT contain Iraq indefinitely, could NOT continue to impose the no fly zones indefinitely and could NOT maintain support for the sanctions policy.

Barack Obama's Judgment was WRONG because he advocated a course of action that was already failing.

Judgment Three - Why We Shouldn't Go To War

"I know that even a successful war against Iraq will require a US occupation of undetermined length, at undetermined cost, with undetermined consequences."

First of all -- it still bugs me to no end that Democrats don't recognize that by framing victory in the language of defeat BEFORE THE WAR BEGAN, Obama was setting himself up to run for Commander in Chief on the pre-ordained failure of the very troops he wants to command. How you people out there don't see the truly disgusting, shameful, cynical long term political calculation in that phrase makes me fear for the future of the Party.

But let's put that aside for a moment. Obama agrees that Iraq is a threat. He was wrong about our ability to contain that threat. But even if you put THAT aside, Obama is saying that America should not neutralize threats to our national security if it's going to take a while, cost a lot and involve a lot of risk. A President Obama would have responded to Pearl Harbor by saying "Screw it, let the Japanese have their fun". After all, four years of combat? Billions spent? Lots of Dead Americans? Hell, Obama would have responded to 9/11 by doing...nothing. Afghanistan was no threat to us, and of course, 6 years later, we're still there, for an undetermined future, at an undetermined cost, at an undetermined risk...

Now. I opposed the war in Iraq right up until the moment we crossed the border. Not being a selfish, mindless idiot, I recognized that once we crossed the border, we weren't leaving until that country could function on its own, and that was going to take a long, long time.

I believed, as Bob Graham did, that the next target on the agenda needed to be Hezbollah. I still think that man was right and this country would have been better off if he had listened to him.

But it is silly beyond the point of stupidity to give Obama credence for opposing, or being "right" about the Iraq war when his opposition was based on such faulty, nee stupid, logic and reasoning. It's like a Teacher giving a kid in 4th grade credit for getting the answer to a long division question right without being able to figure out that the little bastard was just guessing.

Barack Obama was wrong about the case for war. He was wrong about the threat posed by Iraq. He is wrong on the criteria for what threats determine a military response.

Barack Obama is against the war in Iraq. He is not right about it. And you all should keep this in mind, because as the Surge continues its success, and we continue to see political progress being made at the local and regional level (as in fair distribution of oil proceeds, as is happening now), the singular basis of Barack Obama's candidacy -- that he was right about the war in Iraq -- isn't gonna be so compelling.

Especially if he's running against John McCain. Who, it's turning out, actually WAS right about Iraq from the beginning.



Display:


Re: Obama Wasn't Right About Iraq -- AGAIN (1.50 / 4)

Wow.  Excellent work.  Devastating.


formerly bookgirl
by masslib1 on Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 11:03:42 PM EST

Re: Obama Wasn't Right About Iraq -- AGAIN (1.50 / 4)

Yep, yep, yep. For all of Obama's boasting about his "judgment", it doesn't seem like his judgment in 2002 was any better than any of the other Dems who are now running for President. Oh yes, and has he EVER given a definitive answer on how he would have voted on AUMF in 2002?


Want to defend marriage equality in Maine? Ask me how!
by atdleft on Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 11:10:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama Wasn't Right About Iraq -- AGAIN (2.00 / 1)

You have got to be kidding me.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Mon Dec 31, 2007 at 04:43:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama Wasn't Right About Iraq -- AGAIN (1.50 / 2)

In July of `04, Barack Obama, "I'm not privy to Senate intelligence reports. What would I have done? I don't know," in terms of how you would have voted on the war. And then this: "There's not much of a difference between my position on Iraq and George Bush's position at this stage." That was July of `04. And this: "I think" there's "some room for disagreement in that initial decision to vote for authorization of the war." It doesn't seem that you are firmly wedded against the war, and that you left some wiggle room that, if you had been in the Senate, you may have voted for it. ("Meet the Press," 2004, via MyDD, Nov. 11, 2007)

What about Obama's speeches on Iraq in the U.S. Senate? "[H]e did not give a speech devoted to Iraq for 11 months, and waited 16 months to give his first floor speech dedicated to Iraq, which happened to express his opposition to Senator John Kerry's troop withdrawal plan. ..."

What about Obama's voting record in the U.S. Senate on Iraq? TPM Election Central painstakingly compared every single vote on Iraq by Sens. Clinton and Obama, since Obama entered the Senate. Senators Clinton and Obama voted identically, except once: On the confirmation of "General George Casey to be Chief of Staff for the Army, held just this past February. Hillary voted against confirmation, while Obama voted to confirm."  ...

There's more where that came from here.


by susanhu on Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 11:19:19 PM EST

Thanks, Susan! (1.33 / 3)

Thanks for providing yet more evidence that Obama's "judgment" isn't all that perfect. If that were the case, then shouldn't he be doing more in the Senate to end this occupation? Wouldn't he have started something sooner?


Want to defend marriage equality in Maine? Ask me how!
by atdleft on Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 11:29:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama Wasn't Right About Iraq -- AGAIN (2.00 / 1)

this is snark, right? John mccain being right about the war all along?

if it isn't you really shouldn't be expressing ideas, because they aren't worth a bucket of warm piss.


by liberalminded on Mon Dec 31, 2007 at 12:27:25 AM EST

Re: Obama Wasn't Right About Iraq -- AGAIN (2.00 / 1)

what? and it's recommended? wow, mydd has really gone downhill.


by liberalminded on Mon Dec 31, 2007 at 12:29:28 AM EST

Wow...Just Wow (2.00 / 1)

I have to agree.  This diary is recommended?  

Where to begin...wow...just wow...John McCain was right?  


by Demo37 on Mon Dec 31, 2007 at 02:55:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Pure NONSENSE! (2.00 / 2)


  1. Not quite. Obama never said that Iraq had Nuclear Weapons or was "a Nuclear threat". He did not "believe all the same intelligence" here,  or go around repeating the phony Dick Cheney "Al-Qaeda" talking-points,  the way that Hillary did (and even still does).   He just simply acknowledged that Hussein had a bad track record, while simultaneously drawing very, very different conclusions about what the policy consequences needed to be.   That is to his credit.


  2. You have already destroyed your own false premise here (claiming Obama 'was wrong'), by posting the actual statement that Obama made:   "But I also know that Saddam poses no imminent and direct threat to the United States, or to his neighbors."   This, of course, was indeed 100% accurate here, and the responsible & competent analysis to make.  

    Obama was correct here.    There was no military threat (and there was no weapons to substantiate the concept of an Iraq military threat).   Iraq was, in fact, very militarily weak (not 'a threat' whatsoever), and even Colin Powell himself admitted that much, back in January of 2001 (before he participated in Bush's and Hillary's campaign of lies and propaganda). Powell had made a statement, in Jan 2001, saying that Hussein "could not project any military power against his neighbors". So, Obama made the right judgement here.   You can't twist that around now!   Everyone knows now that there was indeed no Iraq military threat, and Obama got it right.


  3. This is just sad, desperate nonsense.  You claim that Obama said that Iraq was 'a threat', but we have already seen from the prior statements that Obama rejected that propaganda (about Iraq as a threat), and said the exact opposite.  You can't have it both ways here.  Obama said that Iraq was not a threat to the United States.  Then, because Obama correctly opposed  an illegal Invasion & Occupation, and gave very sound & practicle reasons why this was indeed reckless and destructive policy (which it was), you then try and portray Obama as unpatriotic. (-?-)    This is insane.   You have zero credibility whatsoever here.   You make a laughably absurd statement that:   "A President Obama would have responded to Pearl Harbor by saying "Screw it, let the Japanese have their fun".    This is sad and pathetic.    If that's all you got here, you ain't got nothing.   You have no valid argument here.   First of all, Japan directly attacked us, while Iraq never did anything to us and never attacked anyone for 12 years, so there is no comparison here between the two whatsoever.    Secondly, we did not Invade and occupy an unarmed and innocent Nation during WWII.   So, it is illogical to say that because we fought back against Japan in WWII, this somehow means that it is okay to attack, invade, occupy, and torture a weak, unarmed Nation that never attacked us in the first place.

    We all know that there was no honest justification here for the United States to invade Iraq and slaughter 1.5 million innocent people.    Iraq had nothing to do with Sept. 11.    There were not 'a threat' here of any true significance and no proof of any weapons was ever at any time clearly established.   The hostile U.S. Iraq seizure was about Oil, profits, and building 14 U.S. Military Bases in the Middle-East.   Obama was correct for opposing such reckless, destructive, and unjustified policy.


  4. Finally, even if Iraq had weapons, the mere possession of weapons is not an act of violence. Starting the War is the act of violence.  John Kennedy showed the correct way to handle a provocation during the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962.  Kennedy had established proof that the weapons really existed, and then rejected the pressure to invade and worked out a diplomatic solution - thus savings millions of lives.  This is what you call leadership.  Obama has already demonstrated the same calm, cool, responsible judgement, true leadership,  and he refused the reckless course of action that his opponents were too stupid, or dishonest, or to cowardly to stand up against.  

_____

History has proven that Obama made the correct and competent judgements.
Hillary Clinton and her dishonest Neocon supporters can lie and lie all they want to, but they cannot change that history.




For a "surge" in Truth:  Say NO to NeoCons!!!
by DerekLarsson on Mon Dec 31, 2007 at 01:51:00 AM EST

Re: Pure NONSENSE! (2.00 / 2)

Thank you, I was not looking forward to having to do that for the umpteenth time. . .


by dmc2 on Mon Dec 31, 2007 at 01:58:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama Wasn't Right About Iraq -- AGAIN (2.00 / 1)

How many times do you plan to write the exact same diary?  Horrible arguments don't become good just because you repeat them.

You could drive a truck through the gaping holes in this diary's logic.  Point 2 starts out by quoting Obama saying that Iraq is not a threat.  Then point 3 starts off: "aha, so Obama recognized Iraq was a threat!"  No, no, he didn't, as you'd know if you had read your own diary.

When you found yourself saying that Obama would have done nothing in response to 9/11, you should have stopped right there and realized you were writing a rant that only made sense in your own head.  The argument that "if you opposed Iraq, you would have opposed Afghanistan too, and you would have opposed retaliating for Pearl Harbor for good measure" is just astounding.  It's like something I would read at Blogs 4 Bush.

What I find most remarkable is that as many times as you've posted this identical argument, you still can't rid yourself of the unsupportable canard that everyone knew the war would be a long, hard slog.  Not only was the war sold by the Bush Administration as something that would be measured in weeks rather than months (or years), but Donald Rumsfeld threatened to fire anyone who presented him with a plan for an extended postwar occupation, so confident was he that no such occupation would be necessary.  Yet in your retelling, the American people realized as one that the administration was full of shit and that we'd be in Iraq for years.

Amazingly, at a time when the administration was trying to mislead the public into thinking that this war would be finished quickly and easily, your harshest criticism of Obama is aimed at the fact that he tried to expose this lie!  For the offense of making the true statement that even the good scenarios for Iraq would involve "an occupation of undetermined length, at undetermined cost, with undetermined consequences," something that virtually no one in either party was explaining to the public, you smear Obama as unfit to command.

How strange it must be to inhabit your world.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Mon Dec 31, 2007 at 04:42:44 AM EST

Re: Obama Wasn't Right About Iraq -- AGAIN (none / 0)

We could NOT contain Iraq indefinitely

No need to wait indefinitely.  The Soviet Union, an enormously bigger and tougher nut to crack than Saddam, crumbled into the dustbin of history, after a mere handful of decades.


Keep it short. DemocraticShortList.com
by Rob in Vermont on Mon Dec 31, 2007 at 08:40:36 AM EST


You are not logged in.

In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.

If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.