Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean

There are those Obama supporters who are just deeply bugged that not all the bloggers who supported Howard Dean in 2004 accept the premise that Barack Obama is his Second Coming. And then, painful irony, they often praise Obama's bipartisanship, or ability to work across the aisle, or however they put it.

How's that again? I, for one, don't remember supporting Dean because he was bipartisan. Or because I thought he was the most progressive candidate. I supported him because he called out the fundamentalist takeover of our national dialogue, because he wanted to know what so many Democrats were doing supporting stupid Republican policies. I supported him because he was a partisan Democrat who knew how to sound like a member of the opposition and didn't attack other Democrats, liberals or progressives from the right. He knew what side he was on, even when he said that he wanted to appeal to Republican voters because he thought he could better protect their interests.

The oomph of the netroots back in 2004 was, whichever candidate a person got behind, mostly lined up behind the premise that the Republicans needed to be fought good and hard. As far as I remember, anyway. The Bush Dog campaign, as well as the "more and better Democrats" meme, is the current iteration of that same motive force. The liberal blogosphere was then, and has continued in the mainstay to be, a vehicle for encouraging Democrats to act like an opposition party and criticizing them when they don't.

Now the Obama folks come around after the Donnie McClurkin fiasco, the kiss off to the blogs, and the attack on Krugman, to wrap the Dean 2.0 mantle around Obama's shoulders in expectation that they'll be met with swooning agreement. If not, we must not be real Democrats. We've lost our progressive cred, our fighting spirit, we're sellouts.

Criminy.

I don't hate Obama, and if he wins the primary, I'll vote for him in the general. Like I would any of the other Democrats with a chance at winning. (Thank gods that doesn't include Biden.) But don't tell me Obama's something he isn't.

And don't even get started trying to convince me that bipartisanship is the solution to all our problems. My conviction that bipartisanship means a willingness to cave in Democrats and a refusal to yield in Republicans is if anything even stronger than it was four years ago.

Whomever wins is going to have a hard slog against a Republican party that fights every battle like a cage match to the death. That's just how Republicans operate these days and you have to legislate with the opposition that you have instead of the opposition that you wish you had, as they say. That nominee, and I hope, eventual president, is also going to find that many Democrats who hold bipartisanship as a high ideal are better at attacking fellow Democrats than gearing up to go toe to toe with Republicans for reasons that can only be guessed at.



Display:


Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (2.00 / 3)

I agree.  

Obama has been moving to the right on healhcare and trade.  He holds hands with Republicans.  

Dean was a Democrat, all the way through.  His message was the opposite of bipartisanship.  Dean preached that we should be proud Democrats.

Excellent post.


by TomP on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 06:15:25 PM EST

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (2.00 / 2)

As Edwards says, quoting Truman, you tell the truth and the Republicans think it's hell.  On most of the major issues today it takes a whole bunch of obfuscation to make a bipartisan case.


by MassEyesandEars on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 06:55:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I don't get why a Demo candidate (2.00 / 1)

who attacks progressives, gets lauded on progressive sites.

No less why progressives would support Obama in the primary when he's made it clear he despises both progressives and progressive ideas.

BI-PARTISAN? BI-PARTISAN? Ouch. This seems to be a disease of Democrats who came up during the days that Republican trod on them and called it bi-partisan.

The American voters have made it pretty clear they're tired of that definition of bi-partisanship, and it's Democratic ideals and progressive ideas they want their candidates to get behind.


by judybrowni on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 09:16:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

Hmmm. My understanding was that Dean was very pro-free trade.


by mcdave on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 09:25:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

And pro-gun (none / 0)

and for a balanced budget and a bunch of other moderate positions.

The irony is complete.  The icon that is held up for adulation could not get the leading Progressive in Vermont to endorse him for President.  


by fladem on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 10:27:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

four years ago (none / 0)

I tried to tell people that Kerry was more liberal than Dean. My brother-in-law lived in Vermont for most of Dean's years as governor, and we are well aware of the things he did that angered progressives.

I think most of Dean's support was due to his opposition to the war, which overshadowed everything else in his record.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 11:01:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: four years ago (2.00 / 2)

I think what made Dean attractive to a lot of us was that he was a fighter, someone who would run not just for himself but for the Democratic Party.  Sure Kerry was more liberal, and probably Clark, Edwards and Gephardt too.  But they weren't the same kind of partisan as Dean.


The sharpest criticism often goes hand in hand with the deepest idealism and love of country. ~RFK
by Vox Populi on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 12:02:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: And pro-gun (none / 0)

Dean was no more pro-gun than Bernie Sanders.

You must know what happens to Vermont politicians who bravely don't toe the pro-gun line, such as Congressman Peter Smith, R-Vt.  Congressman who?  Well, that's right. He had one term. He voted the "wrong" way - i.e. yea - on a gun-control measure.  That is why Bernie was able to beat him.  Bernie Sanders, the progressive icon.

Now that is ironic!

Dean's fiscal conservatism and centrist governance style was typical of Vermont governors - as was his strong environmental record.  But he was ahead of his time in pushing a universal healthcare program in Vermont - and while he didn't succeed in that, he did get kids covered.  


Keep it short. DemocraticShortList.com
by Rob in Vermont on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 11:38:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

IIRC (none / 0)

Jeffords stood up to the gun lobby.  

The truth is Dean wasn't all that different from Snelling.  The big things that happened in his term were the result of the Vermont Surpreme Court, and not his leadership.

He was certainly no partisan.  In fact, partisanship in Vermont never sold while I was there.  


by fladem on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 12:58:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: IIRC (none / 0)

The big things that happened in his term were the result of the Vermont Surpreme Court, and not his leadership.

Oh, I think that's a stretch, but to the degree that the court was the driving force on issues such as education funding and civil unions, you might wanna give Dean some credit for his Supreme Court appointments.

You're right, he did not govern in a partisan way. Over the years, he took some positions that irked progressives and he took some positions that irked conservatives. As I mentioned elsewhere in this thread, he wore his highly partisan hat on the national scene - at Democratic rallies, as a presidential candidate, and as party chair - but not as governor.

That's not surprising.    


Keep it short. DemocraticShortList.com
by Rob in Vermont on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 08:41:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]

The irony of this post, and this diary (2.00 / 1)

is that as Governor of Vermont, Dean was VERY bipartisan.

I came of political age and first met Howard Dean at a Chittenden County Democratic Party Meeting in 1982.

I have NEVER been able to square the technocratic moderate who governed Vermont with his image among the netroots.


by fladem on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 10:07:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

the DEAN campaign (none / 0)

is the point of reference here. I think you miss the point entirely.
by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 10:41:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

And my point (none / 0)

is that the argument is based on a wrong assumption: that Dean is the gold standard for progressives.

The post here proceeds from a mistaken premise which I am trying to correct.

Have I still missed the point.  


by fladem on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 12:04:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

imo, yes (2.00 / 1)

I did say that I didn't support him because he was the most progressive, I supported him because he was a bare-knuckled partisan. I knew there were issues the other candidates, even back then, were more liberal on.

His gold-standardness, if that's how you want to term it, rested in challenging the boilerplate Democratic rhetoric of compromise and putting the Republicans on the defensive. If that dynamic couldn't be shifted, I believed then and still do, it wouldn't matter how progressive anyone claimed their policies were.

We'd spent all the time from 9/11 to Dean's breakout tiptoeing around, wishing the Democrats would quit offering to cede territory to the Republicans before they were even asked. Pretty soon, he'd made it all right for other Democrats to criticize Republicans. Just like in 2006, Ned Lamont finally made it all right for Democrats to criticize the war, because he spoke up without fear, and lo and behold, the damn world didn't just up and come to an end.

The Democrats need to fight. And they need to know that they need to fight. Or a marginally better policy proposal on one issue or another isn't going to matter because the dang thing would never even come to a vote in the first place.

People talked a lot about electability last time, and they're still talking about it now. It's mostly a stupid argument, and if the repeated polls have shown anything, it's that any of our frontrunners are electable. Which is to say that, looking at their picture-to-date and bio, voters won't reject any of them out of hand.

But I have a different opinion of what makes a Democrat electable: Someone who isn't afraid to brawl or be unpopular, who doesn't give an inch, who won't be pushed around, won't play into the 'nice Democrat, what good manners you have, you win a cookie and a head pat' storyline.

The candidate I wanted isn't running. No Gore for me. My second pick candidate isn't running, either. No Feingold for me.

I don't want to run down our candidates, but I also think it's probably going to be about a decade before the country is ready for someone who would be a first choice for me as a presidential candidate. And I think that a strong progressive change would be best helped at present by altering the balance of power in Congress towards progressives, because we do now have a conservative supermajority in both chambers, and looking at what we can do to affect the leadership races and committee chair positions.

Given a strong progressive caucus, and a liberal majority, any one of these candidates could likely do more good than even Gore himself were he matched with the Congressional class of 2004.


by Natasha Chart on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 01:10:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: And my point (none / 0)

Yes. The Dean CAMPAIGN. Not the Dean Governorship.
by Big Tent Democrat on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 10:22:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The irony of this post, and this diary (none / 0)

I have NEVER been able to square the technocratic moderate who governed Vermont with his image among the netroots.

Well, his political persona was entirely different when he wore the hat of a partisan Democrat on the national scene, compared to when he was wearing his governor's hat.  This goes back further than the 2004 cycle. I remember seeing him give a speech on C-SPAN, some years before he ran for president, at a Democratic party conference in New Hampshire. He was all fired up, rallying the party faithful, bashing Republicans. I'd never before seen him in this partisan mode. And that, of course, is the mode he was in when he was running for president, and for party chairman.  So of course that is the image the netroots have of him.


Keep it short. DemocraticShortList.com
by Rob in Vermont on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 11:05:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

And Dean was true to his word--even when he lost--he changed the DNC despite all powerful people resisting.

That is a leader.  He persists for what he thinks is right even if in the beginning nobody yet believes him.  Eventually,  people start to believe and now even Hillary is singing praises to the 50 state strategy.

Dean reaches out to evangelists--not to find common ground--but to tell the truth about Democrats and how Democrats really are closer to Jesus teachings than Republicans.

He reaches out to Republican voters not to appear bipartisan but to sell them the Democratic Party--that Dems is really the party that have their real economic and significant needs at heart and will do something about it.

Dean never disappoints.


by jasmine on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 09:12:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]

This is precisely why, I am lukewarm about Obama (none / 0)

even though I am now supporting him and have given him money.

For us to accomplish anything in our progressive agenda, we need a fighter, NOT someone willing to compromise BEFORE even setting foot at the negotiating table.  

A few observations:

- Republicans don't have to compromise to get things done.  

- Republicans don't have to win much over 50% of the vote to get things done.

- The Republicans running on their side for the nomination are DECIDEDLY choosing to run on NOT compromising with the Democrats and their "liberal" agenda.

YET, with Obama, these things seem like the truth:

- Democrats need to be bipartisan and include Republicans, even when they hate us.

-  Democrats need supermajorities in the Congress to pass ANYTHING at all, even though the GOP gets major overhauls with only one vote over fifty percent in each house.

- Republicans can force filibuster on everything, whereas we cannot force one on anything...even when we have a majority.

I am sorry, but something tells me, whether it's unintentional or not, Obama is exacerbating this narrative and is adding to the problem.

I wish I was more confident in his ability to fight.  This ain't the fucking general election, yet Obama is ALREADY compromising.  Even if it's for show, it's damaging our brand and our ability to enact our agenda in 2009.


McCain is defining Obama, and Obama is neither defining himself, nor McCain. This is awful.
by jgarcia on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 06:23:06 PM EST

hmmm (none / 0)

You need to look at the big picture.

Obama has climbed back into the race by subtly fighting HIllary will light jabs. It's a different strategy that brute force that many bloggers advocate...but it can also work IF AND ONLY IF you have a likable politician imploying it.


by mcdave on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 09:54:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (2.00 / 1)

I believe Obama is running the Edwards campaign of 2004, right down to the campaign leadership of David Axelrod.  He's the cautious, hope-based candidate with little experience, a cute family and a nice life story.


The sharpest criticism often goes hand in hand with the deepest idealism and love of country. ~RFK
by Vox Populi on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 06:24:38 PM EST

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

Agreed.  That's why I found Edwards distasteful then and find Obama distasteful now.  (This year I'm supporting Edwards.)


"I do not support Roe versus Wade. It should be overturned."--John McCain
by lorax on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 10:52:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

Terrific, Natasha.  There's been a case of amnesia that happened to Democrats after the stunning 2006 victory, whereby anything previous to then is assumed to be ancient history and all that we Democrats need is for a Presidential candidate to be nominated, no matter who it is or what their record is or how they wage their camapign --it's just all a personality contest for us to elect whatever our excitement can imagine-- and presto, Democrats will win the 2008 election.

It's a nightmare to me to consider what Obama would be like in the general election against McCain.


by Jerome Armstrong on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 06:33:13 PM EST

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (2.00 / 1)

The irony is that you are asking the Democrats to do the opposite of what they did in 2004.  Dean was in our hearts, but the party chose Kerry and we made a huge mistake.

Now, you want the party to repeat what it did in 2004.  Namely, to reject what's in their heart (Obama) and go with whomever can stack up best against the GOP nominee strategically.

It's funny how the dumbass Democrats always choose wrongly.


McCain is defining Obama, and Obama is neither defining himself, nor McCain. This is awful.
by jgarcia on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 06:47:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

You have to realize that the environment is ripe for Dean's message whereas it wasn't in 2004. The public had not completely given up on the conservative agenda and Bush enough good will left from 9/11 to squeak back into office. This is not the year to pick someone who already concedes everything to the Republicans.

If Obama's main objective is working across the aisle, then he should stay in the Senate where that type of mind set works well.


No longer a Democrat, now proudly an independent voter!
by Ga6thDem on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 06:54:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

The Democrats need to think about what they are doing in real world common sense terms. Not because of a slogan like ABB or feel good language or other such nonsense, but where they are being motivated by overall goals and values of the party. At the core of all of this, including this diary, is 'fight for our core values."


by bruh21 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:03:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (2.00 / 2)

Did you even read this post, beyond what you needed to glean that its tilt was anti-Obama? Doesn't look like it. The point is that Obama does not merit the comparison.

I frankly don't want to meet anyone who has Obama "in their heart." That's not someone who's thought things through--in fact, people who are passionately behind any candidate this year, any of them at all, pretty much have a screw loose. The smart people are weighing or have weighed choices they know to be deeply imperfect.

So, yeah, watch the "dumbass" language.


by epenthesis on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:17:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

"choices they know to be deeply imperfect"

I haven't summed it up better myself.


by Jerome Armstrong on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 08:05:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

When exactly has any party ever had a "perfect" candidate since George Washington?

IMO, we're choosing among 3 candidates who are all better than anything that has come around in many, many years. Nothing to complain about.


The truth about McCain
by nstrauss on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 02:32:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Not in my heart (2.00 / 1)

In my heart, I want a nominee who wants Democrats to stand for Democratic values. My heart wants a fighter. My heart wants Edwards.

My head also thinks Edwards would be the best general election candidate.

I do believe there are plenty of people with Obama in the hearts. Unfortunately I think they are focusing solely on him and not the Democratic party in general.


by sinclair on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:52:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

Obama is in whose heart?  

I recall looking at his campaign with one good look, a fair look (and go back and read the archives here from Dec & Jan a year ago if you doubt it), and deciding that it was a campaign that basically took the movement style of the Dean campaign, deleted the progressive partisan substance, so it would have corporate appeal, and marketed to the masses based on a personality. Everything since then has confirmed it.

The only ones that are in love with Obama now are the ones that fell for the gimmick the first half of the year, and they are left to continually justifying it by castigating anyone that thinks otherwise. For others even more overboard, they are so far gone that it's a cult of personality: Obama! Oprah! marketing pizazz for President-- and they suggest anyone that argues otherwise is a racist.


by Jerome Armstrong on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 08:03:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

People are in love with the IDEA of Obama and not Obama himself.

They seem to be projecting what's in their fantasies onto a guy running for president named Barack Obama.  

And that concerns me.  Because I think he's going to win the nomination and we may actually lose because of it.  But, to quote Bill Clinton, I'd rather "roll the dice" and choose Obama then have a surefire centrist with Hillary.


McCain is defining Obama, and Obama is neither defining himself, nor McCain. This is awful.
by jgarcia on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 08:31:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (1.00 / 2)

Obama is not going to win the nomination. He will do very well in the first four states, they have a top-notch organizing team of strategists, but after that he will fail.


by Jerome Armstrong on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 10:43:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Obama is in GE mode (none / 0)

The way he's campaigning right now, bu moving to the "center," that sounds like positioning for November.


by mikelow1885 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 11:58:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

Indeed. Unfortunately, you get attacked if you make these points. Primary season is always ridiculous but Obama's online supporters have been off the charts. I'll offend some fols with this, but it is creepy cult like stuff.
by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 09:36:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

Funny you should mention amnesia.  John Kerry was the "establishment" candidate in 2004.  A long-term senator from a liberal state.  Yet in 2008, you've got your money on the "establishment" candidate, a long-term senator from a liberal state.  This is too hilarious.  You can't write stuff this good.  


"Life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forward." - Soren Kierkegaard
by SixthElement on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 09:37:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

By your logic, we should clearly be supporting Richardson, since he's the governor in the race. It's solely job title we're picking for now?


by Natasha Chart on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 11:15:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Ill tell you one thing (none / 0)

Obama would be a hell of a lot better than Clinton.  I watched from 1995 to 2001 as her and Bill let the Republican Congress run the show completely and were happy to just get table scraps from the Republicans.  We cannot work with Republicans after what they have done to us for the past year.  Never again.  


by Toddwell on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 06:34:28 PM EST

Re: Ill tell you one thing (2.00 / 2)

exactly.  Any rejection of Obama should not mean turning to the Clintons.  They are, afterall, why we are in this mess to begin with.  

When you are as poll-driven as Hillary and Bill are, it is a natural occurence that you are in a conservative country because if you are busy only REACTING to polls, you have no time left to DRIVE the agenda and CREATE the opinions of society.

Rove knew this and the Bush Administration actually MADE the opinion on certain issues liek Iraq and WMD.  The Clintons have ZERO talent, ability, or even desire to make public opinion.  They only react to it.  I hate that shit.

Bill Clinton's entire administration was a whole lotta nothing and ended up handing the whole kit and kaboodle to the Bush neocons.

Not again.


McCain is defining Obama, and Obama is neither defining himself, nor McCain. This is awful.
by jgarcia on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 06:44:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Ill tell you one thing (none / 0)

Well- on that I mostly agree. I think policy wise we are unlikely to see much difference, but I do think the Clintons are more likely to accomplish their goals because they aren't beholden to the "why can't we all just get along" crowd. I know too many Obama supporters who really do believe things will be different merely because it's Obama.


by bruh21 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:05:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Ill tell you one thing (none / 0)

The problem with the Clinton's is that they just let the opposition set the agenda, as they did through 1995 to 2001.  Whenever they would try to come up with a plan for anything(healthcare, taxes, ect), they would allow Republicans to attack it and kill it.  The Clinton's usually take a "follow the leader" approach to governing and thats not something we need again.  


by Toddwell on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:21:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Ill tell you one thing (none / 0)

Well yes, but here we are arguing over which is worse rather than which is better- kill your plans before you start or follow gthe leader so that the plans you come up with you throw under the bus? The later only marginally is better in that there is some hope that more will slip through without falling under the bus while the later guarantees that what ever you want may not even be on the table because in teh name of 'bipartisanship" Obama won't even put it on the table at all. Obama is still my second choice of the top three because of the trust factor with the Clinton's, but I am under no illusion about the flaws of his leadership style. or for that matter of edwards or clinton. of the three, i choose edwards because at least he's offering a new leadership style rather than rehashing the same thing the parties has been doing since 1992.


by bruh21 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:25:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Ill tell you one thing (none / 0)

And Obama has followed other leaders since he entered the Senate.  The manner whereby he does and does not cast votes in the Senate is illustrative of this tendency.  


by truthteller2007 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:28:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Ill tell you one thing (none / 0)

let me be clear- i dont think you are going to get the GOP to act differently unless you do things that aren't predictable in terms of what moves they should make. It's absolutely ironic to me that Obama argues what he does given even after a win of the Congress we are still playing by the same rules so that the GOP regularly wins by simply knowing how the Democrats will play the game. Ironic, sad and a wee bit pathetic. In a perfect world I would have a kind of Frankestein monster of a candidate- Edwards leadership and smart, Obama's appeal and CLinton's political abilities. But this isn't tha world so I take the one that's unpredictable and least likely for the GOP to control.


by bruh21 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:29:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (2.00 / 1)

I am not buying the premise here. Especially when I compare Obama to the other top tier Dem candidates. Which among them can we really say is any more a fighter than the others? Edwards has more fire in his rhetoric and I actually would be happy to have him win. But it is ineteresting how he converted once he got out of the senate. Clinton will fight dirty (stoop low enough to exploit race)and as we all know she is a master of triangulation. This arch type of a belt way insider will not acomplish anything but resurrecting the Dixiecrat. And in case you all have forgotten St. Howard (to use your terms) who I voted for governed as a pro-gun centrist. So why is Obama up for extra scrutiny? Who compared him to Dean? Name the names or give urls to the blog postings please.


by TMP on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 06:34:58 PM EST

Noen of them if you like (none / 0)

That OBAMA is not what you describe is the point of THIS DIARY.
by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 09:38:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

former Deaniacs in Iowa (none / 0)

are very divided between Edwards and Obama, with each side feeling strongly that all former Dean supporters should be with their current candidate.

I only know of a couple of former Dean supporters who are with Hillary.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:04:02 PM EST

I spoke with a senior person in NH at length (1.00 / 1)

today and he can't really find ANYONE for Hillary beyond the establishment officials.  None of the activists are for her.  

He went canvassing in Concord and found 1 Clinton supporter.  The activists are split between Obama and Edwards (though Richardson has some support).  


by fladem on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 12:16:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I spoke with a senior person in NH at length (none / 0)


today and he can't really find ANYONE for Hillary beyond the establishment officials.

Strange, then about 25% of all NHers must be establishment officials.
The truth about McCain
by nstrauss on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 02:47:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

Never remotely thought he was another Howard Dean. Not in the least.


by rikyrah on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:04:47 PM EST

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

Christ-on-a-stick, I was a Dean Meet-up coordinator and volunteered for a week at the Iowa caucus for Dean, so I know-of where I speak and comparing Dean to Obama is just plain goofy. In their fervid imaginations the man I call the Imaginary Obama might look like Dean, but frankly, all this bipartisanship talk is more Liebermanesque. Hell, Obama ain't even looking like Kerry.


"Man will never be free until the last king is strangled with the entrails of the last priest." -- Denis Diderot
by Stoic on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:20:47 PM EST

I don't get Dean supporters (none / 0)

for Obama.  The thing is, he REALLY believes in Kumbya politics.  It's not just rhetoric.  No one who supports Obama should expect him to become any sort of partisan president.    


formerly bookgirl
by masslib1 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:22:20 PM EST

Re: I don't get Dean supporters (none / 0)

But that is the rorcschach of his candidacy is it not?


by bruh21 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:27:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't get Dean supporters (none / 0)

I hear alot of people tell me they think Obama is going to go partisan once he gets into the WH, or atleast acknowledge that Dem's and Repub's have diverging priorities for the most part.  But perhaps that is what you mean. That people ascribe their own beliefs onto Obama.


formerly bookgirl
by masslib1 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:31:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't get Dean supporters (none / 0)

Rorschach Candidate:

You ask a group of people what do they think of what candidate Y said about issue X or you ask them what do you think of candidate Y?  Given what the candidate has specifically said, if each person is coming up with their own perception (and often doesn't realize they are doing it) and these perceptions if taken together are not only incompatable but conflicting (he's so smart he's faking it, he's smart because he know's he needs to compromise- which is it? because it can't be both) then I tend to call that a Rorshach candidate. Here, with the "He's like Dean, He's not like Dean" debate. Really, it's people projecting what they want him to be onto an pretty amorphous candidate who is smart enough to let people do the projecting on to his skillfully never quite going left or right language.


by bruh21 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:41:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't get Dean supporters (none / 0)

Yeah, it's skillful alright.  Except I disagree.  I think liberals believe he's one of them because of the breif speech he gave opposing the Iraq war.  He has always been quite upfront about his kumbya approach to politics, and he attracts those voters as well.  The more liberal wing doesn't see it.


formerly bookgirl
by masslib1 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:45:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't get Dean supporters (none / 0)

I agree in part. Definitely on the war. His record in Congress doesn't reflect his speech in 2004 and yet most gloss over that with "he doesn't have a choice between he wants to be responsible while we are at war." Convenient analysis that allows them to focus only on the first act of going to war rather than subsequent actions.


by bruh21 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:53:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't get Dean supporters (none / 0)

Well, that and he wasn't in the Senate at the time.


formerly bookgirl
by masslib1 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 08:00:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't get Dean supporters (none / 0)

thats the core point. he wasn't in the senate. its easy to find virtue in something that requires no accountability. its harder to find it with a complicated candidate. idealism is important, but so is looking at the truth of a candidates record.


by bruh21 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 11:24:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't get Dean supporters (none / 0)

We have Obama's voting record, and he's consistently voted the party line.

That sounds pretty partisan to me.

If you want to be an effective president, you have to appeal to a majority of the electorate. That doesn't mean that you're sacrificing your values.


The truth about McCain
by nstrauss on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 02:53:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

here's why some former Dean supporters (none / 0)

are for Obama, as far as I can tell:

1. 2002 vote on AUMF is an absolute deal-breaker for them. That rules out Clinton, Edwards, Biden and Dodd, and also Richardson, since he was not an early opponent of the war.

Alternatively,

2. There was a romantic aspect to Dean's people-powered movement (record crowds, buzz in the air, massive online community). Some people are drawn to Obama for similar reasons.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:46:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: here's why some former Dean supporters (none / 0)

I agree with this too- the one guy I know who is ferrent supproter- ie, going down to canvas in other states was variously a Nadar supporter in 2000, Dean in 2004 and now Obama. There's a pattern of behavior that fits.


by bruh21 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:54:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: here's why some former Dean supporters (none / 0)

Well, I think it naive to assume he woud have voted against AUMF.  He may have, but his record doesn't really demonstrate that, IMO.  So, to vote just based on that is unfortunate.  Dean's movement was about the poeple, I find Obama's movement to be about Obama.  I liked Dean.  Kerry was my Senator but I was more drawn to Dean and Clark.  I just don't think there are a whole lot of similarities, but to each their own.


formerly bookgirl
by masslib1 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 08:03:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I agree with you (none / 0)

Just look at Obama on funding the war--as a candidate for Senate, he said Democrats should stand up to Bush and not get "steamrolled," but as a senator, he voted for every Iraq War supplemental except for the last one.

I am far from convinced that Obama would have voted against the AUMF if he had been in the Senate at the time.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 08:54:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Yeah, I don't see it at all. (none / 0)

I guess it's a purity thing.  Some Dem's want to just feel like they are not voting for anyone who voted for AUMF.  Then they reach a candidate by process of elimination.  


formerly bookgirl
by masslib1 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 09:11:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yeah, I don't see it at all. (none / 0)

these Dems you speak of, the pure ones, seem like the very Dems who are Nader voters at heart.  I'd bet many even voted nader in 2000, yet are still holier-than-thou.  I hate those types.

My problems or potential problems with any of the candidates has nothing to do with Iraq.  


McCain is defining Obama, and Obama is neither defining himself, nor McCain. This is awful.
by jgarcia on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 09:27:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yeah, I don't see it at all. (none / 0)

Yes, I see by you tagline.  We immensely disagee on Ms. Clinton.  However, I would suggest that based on Kyl-Lieberman, Edwards is far more suitable than Obama, who niether participated in the vote, or spoke up about it until after the fact.  


formerly bookgirl
by masslib1 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 10:14:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yeah, I don't see it at all. (none / 0)

I would never vote for Nader (as a third party candidate) in a million years, but I still rank Iraq as the number one issue.

And it's not really a matter of difference between the candidates' solutions to the problem. I'd trust Clinton, Edwards, and Obama to solve the mess and get us out.

The problem I have is with electability. Obama was against the war from the start and, most importantly, didn't vote for the war in 2002. Edwards and Clinton, though, have electability problems because they did vote for the war. I don't want a repeat of 2004 with our candidate switching positions. I want our candidate to have gotten it right the first time.

Do you really want Huckabee, Romney, or Rudy to stand next to our nominee at the debate and say, "I didn't vote for this war. You did."


by Kal on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 10:34:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yeah, I don't see it at all. (none / 0)

Huckabee or Romney are not going to say that. They think that the war is a good thing so why would they attack someone for voting for a war that the majority of their party supports. As far as Obama goes, well, he voted to continue funding the war so he would have the same issue. If you're against it, why did you continue to fund it? You could have voted no right?


No longer a Democrat, now proudly an independent voter!
by Ga6thDem on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 10:57:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yeah, I don't see it at all. (none / 0)

Politically speaking, it would be a great line for the Republicans to deliver. As it stands now, their position is somewhere between "We probably shouldn't have gone in, but we have to see it out 'til the end" and "The idea of going in was fine, but it was poorly executed." Very few Republicans support everything we've done in Iraq for the past four years. None of the Presidential candidates have that viewpoint. They all criticize something.

And voting to go to war is a much more salient and understandable issue than the war funding. The authorization of use of military force is a clear-cut issue, while voting for the funding can and will be mucked up. Either you voted for the war or you didn't--that's easy. But when it comes to the funding, you can vote to fund the war, vote for money for the troops, vote against the troops, vote to bring the troops home, vote to deny them resources, etc. There are so many ways to spin it that, politically speaking, you cannot compare the Iraq War authorization vote with the subsequent funding votes.


by Kal on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 11:10:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yeah, I don't see it at all. (none / 0)

Where were you in 2004? Of course funding is going to be an issue. Obama himself called declining to fund the war "playing chicken with the troops" but then later on voted against funding. When did he decide that not funding was no longer playing chicken with the troops? He's waffled all around the issue and will be an easy target.

And just because you see the AUMF as the end all and be all doesn't mean that the voting public will see it. The public supported it in the beginning so they are in the same place that Hillary/Edwards are with this.

No Republican says that they shouldn't have gone in except for Ron Paul who has a snowball's chance in hell of getting the nomination. They all say it's been poorly prosecuted because that's saying the obvious. All of them are for staying in for the long haul except Paul who has a better stance than most Dems.


No longer a Democrat, now proudly an independent voter!
by Ga6thDem on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 11:43:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yeah, I don't see it at all. (none / 0)

Obama has a very easy out when it comes to the funding. Something along the lines of: "I voted for the funding to support the troops, but I couldn't vote for George Bush's/John McCain's surge."

And, like I said, funding can be spun a dozen different ways. You can't do that with the original bill to go to war.

Do you really think the average American would be more willing to support someone who was duped by the Bush administration than someone who had the judgment and vision to get it right the first time? It is a sign of weakness and an electoral liability to be forced to say "I'm gullible." The public doesn't want a President who's as fallible as they are. They want Superman. As much as I respect Edwards and his willingness to learn from past mistakes, the public wants a candidate who is right 100% of the time, is all things to all people, and who has a clear and understandable platform. See: Bush vs. Kerry.

I can definitely see a Republican saying, "We can argue for days about whether or not we should have gone in. But the Senator here did vote for the war. Now our job is to figure out how to stabilize the region that these Washington insiders have messed up. They broke Iraq, and we bought it."

As Iraq gets worse (or, more importantly, as public opinion regarding the war gets worse), the Republicans will try even harder to distance themselves from the war and pin the blame on Bush or anyone else. I know I'll feel a lot better having a candidate who was against the war from the start.


by Kal on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 12:49:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yeah, I don't see it at all. (none / 0)

Again you might be right if Obama hadn't used the phrase "playing chicken with the troops."

GOP: When did Obama decide to start playing chicken with the troops? They're using his own words here against him.

You're elevating the AUMF to the utmost important thing in the minds of voters whereas I don't think that they will care. McCain polls very well against Obama and he voted for the AUMF.


No longer a Democrat, now proudly an independent voter!
by Ga6thDem on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 08:43:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I think the AUMF (none / 0)

vote is the deal braker for many.

It very nearly was for me.  


by fladem on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 10:29:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I think the AUMF (none / 0)

Exactly. It's a very strong lure.

If Iraq is going to continue to be a major issue in 2008, and the Democrats are going to have an anti-Iraq platform, wouldn't it be grand to have a candidate who has been against the conflict from the start? Obama has a position that can be marketed as being consistent.

Edwards and Clinton, on the other hand, will have more trouble marketing their stance on the war. Edwards will have to explain how he was duped and then did a complete 180, while Clinton will have to explain the details of her nuanced position.

For electoral victory and selling your candidate, simple is better. I think Bush definitively proved that in 2004 when his "straight-forward, you know where he stands" platform beat out Kerry/Edwards' "Nuances/Explanation needed" platform.


by Kal on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 11:15:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I think the AUMF (none / 0)

Unless we ignore reality and the lessons of 2006, Iraq will be in the number one issue in 2008. Therefore, our nominee better have a solid (or at least defendable) record on the issue.

We're not trying to win over the conspiracy-theory Republicans who see every newspaper and encyclopedia and full of liberal propaganda. We're trying to win over the more apolitical independent/moderate. These people trust the news. These people doubted Kerry after the Swiftboaters and turned against the war after they had seen too many charred bodies. It is with those people that having one clear position on Iraq will be a big winner.

Frankly, I see Hillary's position on Iraq as being a repeat of 2004. It makes sense to me. I can understand why she voted the way she did. However, to most people out there, her stance(s) will be just as confusing as Kerry and Edwards' stances were in 2004. Her position requires way too much explanation to be understood by the people who have better things to do than read policy papers. Edwards would be slightly more marketable ("I was lied to and it was a mistake"), but Obama's would be the best.

I think Edwards, Clinton, and Obama will all be excellent Presidents. But I think Obama is the most marketable because of his early opposition to the war.


by Kal on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 11:39:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I think the AUMF (none / 0)

Its a deal breaker because we were betrayed by the dems in congress. They should have stood up to Bush and the patriotic--damn near fascist-- crap that was being shoved down our throats. But instead they capitulated.  We felt very alone and betrayed.

You let them off the hook if you support Clinton or Edwards.


by aiko on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 11:53:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I think the AUMF (none / 0)

When I think about Edwards, Dodd, Clinton, and Biden's vote for the war, all I can think is, "What in the world did Byrd, Durbin, Chafee, Wellstone, and freakin' Ron Paul know that those guys didn't?"


by Kal on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 12:37:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I think the AUMF (none / 0)

Okay but Obama wants to capitulate to these people even before anything gets going. I think perhaps Clinton and Edwards have learned their lesson but Obama hasn't. He wants to use the same strategy that Pelosi and Reid use-negotiating from a point of weakness.


No longer a Democrat, now proudly an independent voter!
by Ga6thDem on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 08:46:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: here's why some former Dean supporters (none / 0)

As a former Dean supporter who's now an Obama supporter, may I suggest another option:

3. They like Dean and Obama for completely different reasons, i.e. they believe there is more than one way to run for president.


The truth about McCain
by nstrauss on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 02:57:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (2.00 / 1)

I supported him because he called out the fundamentalist takeover of our national dialogue

This is why I became involved in politics, and this is why I oppose Obama, who is a symptom of and not a solution to fundamentalist hegemony.  His religious rhetoric is offensive, and I do not believe it has any role in American politics.  And can anyone ignore the McClurkin gay bashing tour in SC?


by truthteller2007 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 07:32:21 PM EST

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

He's a lot like Dean, but better.  Dean the Baptist delivered his head on a platter, the messiah follows with broader appeal and a more inclusive message.  Loaves and fishes to locusts and honey.  We won't say who is Salomé in this parable, but the comparison is surprisingly apt.  Merry Christmas.


by Shaun Appleby on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 08:00:51 PM EST

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

Anything and everything is surprisingly apt when one succumbs to an utterly tendentious allegorical impulse.


by truthteller2007 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 08:06:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

Funny you should mention impulse.  


"Life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forward." - Soren Kierkegaard
by SixthElement on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 08:10:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

Pascal on prolepsis comes to mind unbidden.  I recommend the French, not the English translation.


by truthteller2007 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 08:10:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (2.00 / 2)

Dean is Moses leading us out of the wilderness, he can't enter the promise land, but Obama sure ain't Joshua, maybe he's Caleb.


by Jerome Armstrong on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 08:13:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

If we ever had a Moses I would have guessed Lincoln.  Moses united the tribes of Egypt with Abraham's flock, from memory.


by Shaun Appleby on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 11:00:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

How is he like Dean?
by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 09:39:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

An insurgent purist who attracts a strong and loyal following but to whom notoriety is fatal.  But a pioneer of new constituencies.  The message is carried on by others, using the core group of followers of the Baptist, but enjoys a wider appeal from a less ascetic and more forgiving messenger.  As for Salome, well, it seems to fit too.  It was a brutal year for Dean supporters.  


by Shaun Appleby on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 10:58:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Dean Lost, Obama is something new (none / 0)

Dean was the candidate of small donors.  By the end of the year, he had around 260K?  280K donors?  Obama is sitting at 459,975 Unique donors.  Obama has outdeaned Dean.  

Dean was also the candidate of big crowds.  Dean had crowds around what size?  While Obama has had a crowd of 28K in Columbia, SC - 23K in New York City, NY - 20K in Austin, TX - 10K in Oakland, CA.  Obama has outdeaned Dean.

People keep trying to compare the two, when in reality, Obama is something different.  


"Life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forward." - Soren Kierkegaard
by SixthElement on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 08:06:33 PM EST

Re: Dean Lost, Obama is something new (2.00 / 4)

That's the essence of the Obama Movement, isn't it-- seeing only the concept of numbers, and marketing them even better by leaving out the substance.


by Jerome Armstrong on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 08:22:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Dean Lost, Obama is something new (2.00 / 1)

What is your problem Jerome?  These are parts of what made Dean, Dean.  He wouldn't have had such fluent fundraising if he didn't have a strong appeal to small donors.  If he didn't have a strong appeal to small donors, he never would have had a serious run for the white house.  If he didn't have big crowds, how would his campaign flex the energy and keep people on their feet with excitement?  A campaign that's purely substance is determined to lose.  

If you think the Obama campaign has left out substance, I'd be happy to hear what campaign you're watching.  You're the guy posting on the frontpage criticizing his Health Care Plan.  How can you criticize a plan if he has no substance?  Please, bring the conversation ABOVE a 2nd grader status.  Quit the petty arguments and bring something real.  


"Life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forward." - Soren Kierkegaard
by SixthElement on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 09:35:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Read him again (2.00 / 3)

Dean got small donors based on WHAT HE SAID and STOOD FOR, not because of his "charisma." Obama has very little in common with Dean on substance.
by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 09:42:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Except that they were both against the (none / 0)

War before it started.

I am surprised how quickly this gets lost.

Beyond that I would argue their political backgrounds are very similiar.  But then I was a Vermont resident from 1980 to 2000 and never understood how Dean was elevated to Sainthood.


by fladem on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 10:32:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Except that they were both against the (none / 0)

The reason it gets lost is what happened subsequent. i really have a  problem with selective analysis that leaves out inconvenient facts. Candidates must be looked at in their entire approach. Not simply one moment that was symbolic.


by bruh21 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 11:19:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The CAMPAIGN (none / 0)

See, you can asking us to judge Dean thr Governor, not Dean the candidate.
by Big Tent Democrat on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 12:08:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Dean Lost, Obama is something new (none / 0)

Given your constant criticisms of Obama's policy positions, this comment of yours makes no sense. Are you pretending to be dense again?


by Kal on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 10:29:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Dean Lost, Obama is something new (none / 0)

On voting day numbers count for a lot.


by Shaun Appleby on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 11:01:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Dean Lost, Obama is something new (none / 0)

Will Oprah serve as a precinct captain on 5 FEB?  Will McClurkin manage a GOTV operation in gay precincts in NYC?


by truthteller2007 on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 11:59:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Dean Lost, Obama is something new (none / 0)

No, but the boatload of cash Obama has sure will come in handy. ;)


by Kal on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 12:34:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Numbers (none / 0)

Hmmm. My understanding of elections is that they are based on numbers. Numbers of volunteers, numbers of dollars raised, and finally, numbers of people that come to the polls. The ultimate irony is that Obama is being criticized (by you) for getting tons of people interested in politics...rock star crowds a a political event? Shame on him!

Is his message fluffy and annoying to political jocks like us? Sure. But does it get people excited and lead them to take political action? We'll see...


by mcdave on Mon Dec 24, 2007 at 12:37:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]

After Dean, politics became something new (none / 0)

Don't confuse the campaign tactics and historical trends, as well as far more widespread voter outrage over the administration, with a basis for straightforward comparison. It's apples and oranges.

If you want to really come to it, the support structure of the Ron Paul campaign is probably more like Dean's. (The humorlessness about all of this is enough that I guess I should add the obligatory disclaimer: I absolutely oppose Ron Paul as a candidate and wouldn't vote for him in the general.) Which is to say that it came out of nowhere and the big, successful ideas have been coming from grassroots supporters as much as the campaign staff.

Yes, Obama is popular. But he's been campaigning for a year by now. By this time in 2003, Dean had been getting some attention over the summer and started getting crowds numbering in the thousands in late August, early September ... which was earlier than anyone had ever started getting crowds that big. It changed the whole game. This time, everyone started campaigning just about as soon as the hangovers wore off from celebrating the 2006 election, after they'd already been testing the waters for a while.

The entire cycle has become attenuated. MySpace and FaceBook are on the scene in a way they weren't in 2003-2004, and don't underestimate the impact of that. All the candidates have interactive websites with blogs and comments, while back then, Dean was the first.

That campaign started it off, even though they lost, which was to some extent about the new structures they employed as much as the candidate. Even the Kerry campaign changed because of it, and his 2004 general election run was other than it would have been, with a more interactive online presence and an unprecedented number of small donors. What has Obama's campaign staff pioneered this cycle? Or any of the rest of them?

Don't act like nothing's changed since then, is all I'm saying. It's not the same political world.


by Natasha Chart on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 11:33:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not The 2nd Coming Of Dean (none / 0)

Sure would feel better about him if he was qualified...


by my nickle on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 08:35:51 PM EST

he is qualified (none / 0)

My concerns about him are that he's never been tested in a tough general election campaign, and temperamentally, I think he would be too compromising and would move too far toward the Republican position on various issues.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 08:57:20 PM EST
[