Edwards Scores First Endorsement from Iowa Congressman

If you're keeping score at home, this one's a big one for Edwards:

John Edwards is set to collect a key Iowa endorsement tomorrow from one of the state's Democratic members of Congress, a coveted prize that each of Mr. Edwards' rivals have been aggressively courting.

Representative Bruce Braley, who represents Iowa's First Congressional District in the eastern portion of the state, is scheduled to announce that he is supporting the presidential candidacy of Mr. Edwards, a former senator from North Carolina. The development was confirmed to The Caucus by two Democratic officials familiar with the endorsement.

Mr. Braley was elected to Congress last year as Democrats swept control of the House of Representatives from Republicans. In recent weeks, he has been sought after by Senators Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barack Obama and Mr. Edwards, all three of whom headlined separate versions of "Bruce, Blues and BBQ," a fund-raising dinner for Mr. Braley.

He is the first of Iowa's three Democratic members of Congress to announce his endorsement. The value of any endorsement is always an open question, but as Mr. Edwards seeks to compete for attention and support with Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Obama, this rollout signals the beginning of an intense final month of the Iowa caucus campaign.

The endorsement will formally be announced tomorrow in Waterloo.

With Edwards consistently polling in third in Iowa after having led consistently in the state for the first half of the year, this comes as an important piece of news for the former North Carolina Senator. Although he seems to have arrested his fall in the polls in the state, he could certainly use a jolt, which could potentially be provided by this endorsement.

As a lot of folks have noted before, endorsements don't necessarily make a terribly large impression on voters decisions directly. However, the Braley endorsement does do at least a couple of important things for Edwards. First off, this could be the big piece of news in the statewide media Tuesday, and perhaps more importantly it could prompt the national media to remember Edwards, who they have been perhaps too quick to forget given their focus on the scuffles between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. What's more, a Braley endorsement could bring some of the organizational support and expertise that helped put Braley in Congress last fall. All in all, tomorrow should be a good day for the Edwards campaign.



Display:


Re: Edwards Scores First Endorsement from Iowa Con (none / 0)

Congratulations to Edwards. I think Edwards could have a shot at winning Iowa, if due to Hillary's tantrums and eventual free fall she takes Obama down with her.


by aiko on Sun Dec 02, 2007 at 10:38:02 PM EST

Huge Pickup for John! (none / 0)

Grt post Singer.  This will pay huge dividends.

Congressman Braley is a fresh new face in the Iowa political scene.  This is crucial since he is not your typecast several term politico who people hear drone on and on the stump moments before election day.

This which will add some glimmer to John who hasn't been shown the media spotlight as of late.  

With about 30 days til the Primary, this will send some conflicted leaners and sit fencers towards John's camp.

Anyone know about the other dem congressmen and if they have endorsed a candidate?    


by optimusprime on Sun Dec 02, 2007 at 10:49:58 PM EST

Re: Huge Pickup for John! (2.00 / 1)

According to the article, this is the first Iowa congressman to endorse a candidate.  


by JeremiahTheMessiah on Sun Dec 02, 2007 at 10:51:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Polls (2.00 / 1)

can be very misleading in caucuses.  They are all about GOTV.  Whoever has the most effective organization will probably win.


by bakho on Sun Dec 02, 2007 at 10:58:24 PM EST

endorsements help with media (2.00 / 2)

Undecided Iowans aren't sitting around wondering who Bruce Braley will caucus for. But this story will be big in the Waterloo, Dubuque and Quad City media markets (those are the major metro areas in the 1st CD).

Edwards did not do particularly well in those parts of the state in 2004, so if Braley can lend some organizational help, that could be a big plus.

Background on biggest counties in Braley's district:

Scott County (Quad Cities, third-largest in state
delegates):
Kerry 47.1 percent, Dean 22 percent, Edwards 19.1
percent, Gephardt 10.9 percent

Black Hawk County (Waterloo, fifth-largest in state delegates)
Kerry 39.1 percent, Edwards 25.5 percent, Dean 19.7 percent, Gephardt 13.3 percent, Kucinich 2.2 percent

Dubuque County (Dubuque, sixth-largest in state
delegates)
Kerry 43.8 percent, Edwards 21.9 percent, Dean 14.1 percent, Gephardt 17.8 percent, Clark 1.3 percent, Kucinich 0.7 percent


Join the Iowa progressive community at Bleeding Heartland.
by desmoinesdem on Sun Dec 02, 2007 at 11:04:57 PM EST

I don't expect Boswell to endorse (none / 0)

Leonard Boswell (D, IA-03) didn't endorse in 2004 and is not expected to this year.

I haven't heard anything about Dave Loebsack, the new Congressman in IA-02. I imagine Obama has been working very hard to get his endorsement. He covers the Iowa City/Cedar Rapids area, along with a lot of southeast Iowa.


Join the Iowa progressive community at Bleeding Heartland.
by desmoinesdem on Sun Dec 02, 2007 at 11:06:05 PM EST

Re: I don't expect Boswell to endorse (none / 0)

what do you make of the desmoines mayor's endorsement today of Obama?


Obama! because 51% isn't enough!
by nevadadem on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 12:09:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't expect Boswell to endorse (none / 0)

Nevadadem, you know how I was talking about the Ted Kennedy endorsing rumor?  There's more to it.  It's going to happen this week.  


by JeremiahTheMessiah on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 12:12:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't expect Boswell to endorse (none / 0)

How do you know?


by Piuma on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 12:14:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't expect Boswell to endorse (none / 0)

First off, news came on two different low-key Iowa blogs.  Both had the same wording, one included the name senator Kennedy.  On top of that, addressing the rumblings in a blog on Obama's website, a blogger wrote:  

It is going to be Kennedy-

This is from my field organizer here in IL (in a long email)

3) And finally in the endorsement news, Senator Ted Kennedy (D-Mass) is set to endorse us this week. Sen. Kennedy have never backed a candidate who has lost an Iowa caucus (except maybe for himself but we'll not get into that now) and has overwhelming support within the rank and file of Iowa Democrats. This is a big endorsement for a lot of the older undecided caucus goers. Now the two big remaining endorsements are Al Gore and John Kerry, hopefully we'll get both!

Mid America Mom

http://my.barackobama.com/page/community /post_group/ObamaHQ/CR52

-I can't link the comment specifically, but it's under the chain "GORE/KENNEDY ENDORSEMENTS" in the middle of the page.  (The person was asking who the rumblings were about, gore or kennedy, there is nothing in there about a gore endorsement.)


by JeremiahTheMessiah on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 12:19:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I don't think endorsements are key (none / 0)

Tom Harkin is loved by Iowa Democrats, as is Gore, but that couldn't save Dean.

I saw Ted Kennedy at one of the rallies he did for Kerry. He talked about his brother John winning the Iowa caucuses, and his brother Bobby winning the Iowa caucuses. Then I came here in 1980, he added--well, two out of three ain't bad.


Join the Iowa progressive community at Bleeding Heartland.
by desmoinesdem on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 12:53:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't think endorsements are key (none / 0)

I think Gore's endorsement will carry unusually heavy weight if he does it this year.  For what it's worth, people are saying the Mayor's endorsement is a precursor to Gore's because of the environmental ties.


by Piuma on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 12:57:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't think endorsements are key (none / 0)

Haha, that's great.  What a sweet story to have!  I hope he carries the same dedication in 2008 as he did in 2004.  That would really make a difference.  


by JeremiahTheMessiah on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 12:57:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't expect Boswell to endorse (none / 0)

I'd love to see teddy endorse Obama , but i seriously doubt it will happen because Ted respects the Clintons , specially Bill(Not love or close , but he respect their status as royal family) , and the last thing i'll do is cause some friction among the Kennedies and the Clintons.

The good news for Obama is , Ted likes him so much that he won't do anything to make his path to the nomination harder...Meaning Ted will also not endorse Hillary and give her a huge advantage over Obama.

The bad news is , Obama really need someone with huge influence to endorse so he could blunt Hillary's attacks...

The Oprah campaign appearance in IA next week , will definately help by changing the narrative from " Hillary is attacking Obama" to " Oprah is stumping for Obama".

Anyway , i think the rumors of ted kennedy endorsing Obama are just made up rumors and nothing else.


by Prodigy on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 07:00:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Edwards Scores First Endorsement from Iowa Con (none / 0)

You mean after accepting a bribe from Obama, Braley endorsed Edwards.  What is Clinton going to make of that?


by Piuma on Sun Dec 02, 2007 at 11:25:11 PM EST

Re: Edwards Scores First Endorsement from Iowa Con (2.00 / 1)

This seems significant to me, in terms of putting an end to the impression that Edwards is out of it.  Congressmen don't typically waste their endorsements on people who have no shot.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Sun Dec 02, 2007 at 11:38:21 PM EST

Re: Edwards Scores First Endorsement from... (none / 0)

I like how every time you mention Edwards name you talk about how he has "arrested his fall" when he is actually trending upwards. I will admit he was in a bit of a freefall for a little while, but he hasn't just arrested that trend, he's reversed it.


by Rtael on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 12:02:33 AM EST

he was never in free fall (none / 0)

He lost a little soft support, but he always had a rock-solid base here.


Join the Iowa progressive community at Bleeding Heartland.
by desmoinesdem on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 12:54:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Good for Edwards... (none / 0)

I see his strategy now.  He stoped Hillary from getting too popular in Iowa, now he is back on message and co-opting a little of Obama's so he can perhaps get some of those voters, as well.  I have to say, well played.


by bookgrl on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 12:47:26 AM EST

Re: Good for Edwards... (none / 0)

George Will has some not too kind statements to say about Edwards in his piece today on Real Clear Politics:


John Edwards's health-care agenda involves un-Jeffersonian bossiness. "It requires," he says, "that everybody get preventive care. If you are going to be in the system, you can't choose not to go to the doctor for 20 years." In an ad running in Iowa, Edwards brandishes his mailed fist at Congress, to which he vows to say: "If you don't pass universal health care by July of 2009, in six months, I'm going to use my power as president to take your health care away from you."

What power would that be? What power enables presidents to "take" health care from people who have it by statute? This is the Democrats' riposte to the grandiosity of the current president's notion of executive prerogatives?

Edwards might, however, reconsider -- he is, after all, a serial apologizer. Of his actions during his six years in the Senate, he says: My vote for the Iraq war? Sorry about that. For the Patriot Act? I don't know what I was thinking. For No Child Left Behind? Oops! For liberalized trade with China? Forgive me. For storing waste in Nevada's Yucca Mountain? I was for it before I was against it.

And to that list you can now add the vote for Bankruptcy Bill which he admitted was a mistake during the Brown/Black Forum. John has a good heart but my gosh his attack ad writes itself.


by Piuma on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 01:01:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Oh so what? (2.00 / 1)

I mean, that's not the biggest issue for me. People probably should get a physical every year.  Anyway GW is a conservative jerk.


by bookgrl on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 01:06:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Good for Edwards... (2.00 / 2)

I'm a big believer in making the right enemies.

If George Will has a problem with you then you can't be all bad.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 02:46:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Good for Edwards... (none / 0)

Wow, George Will Repug talking points. A new low for MyDD. Do you even know who George Will is? Him coming out against Edwards speaks for itself, and you try to use it against him? LOL!!


by RDemocrat on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 11:27:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Good for Edwards... (none / 0)

Yeah, I agree. I think he's going to let Obama and Hillary take each other down. Possibly the worst time for attacking is at the end. Edwards made his differences at the right time, kept the race close, and is now putting out his message.

The only thing complicating matters is money. I imagine Hillary and Obama are going to spend a lot on advertising. Certainly Edwards won't be able to do the same, but I think he'll hold on.


by Progressive America on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 06:54:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Good for Edwards... (none / 0)

funny he has more in the bank than any Republican canidate


by marketingman on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 02:54:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Edwards Scores First Endorsement from Iowa Con (none / 0)

Edwards/Obama or Obama/Edwards ticket would be the dream tickets in 2008.

Whoever wins Iowa will win the nomination. Can you say that 2008 is looking alot like 2004.

If Edwards wins Iowa there is no doubt he will win New Hampshire. The same thing will be true for the Obama campaign and the Clinton campaign.


by Djneedle83 on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 01:02:16 AM EST

Re: Edwards Scores First Endorsement from Iowa Con (none / 0)

I'll doubt that on if Edwards wins Iowa he wins NH. And I say that as Edwards as my first choice and Obama as my second.

Not so much doubt on Obama that he finishes first in NH following first in IA.

1 month to go, and a many things cans till happen. Wake me on the night of Jan 3


by Trowaman on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 02:14:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Edwards Scores First Endorsement from Iowa Con (none / 0)

Edwards is not expected to win New Hampshire even if he wins Iowa. He just has to have a good showing. A good 2nd would be good. Then he can go onto Nevada and South Carolina.

Mary Stylianopoulos


by 12345 on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 03:01:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Edwards Scores First Endorsement from Iowa Con (none / 0)

Agreed, a 1st in Iowa and strong 2nd in NH would be great for Edwards.  However, given recent polls showing him trending up in NH I certainly think him winning there after a strong first in Iowa is more than a possibility.  Even if he gets into the low 20s in NH polling (not unlikely, given he's in the mid-high teens now and has been rising of late) pre-Iowa that, I think, would be a small enough gap to close.


"Success is dependent on effort." Sophocles
by B VT on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 04:14:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

The bad news fpor Edwards (none / 0)

Many Edwards supporters on this blog seems to believe that if Obama and Edwards goes nuclear on each other , this would help Edwards while hurting both cliton and Obama.

The m problem here is that if the narrative becomes "Obama vs Hillary" , it could also hurt Edwards because Obama and Hilary are democratic superstars who will definately get more "new voters' to the polls then Edwards can ever dream of.

Obama and Hillary arent Dean/Ghepart<----This is where some of the Edwards supporters get it wrong....Both , Edwards and Hillary have very solid support , solid organization and millions more to spend then Edwards.

Also , i'm 100% sure Edwards will not just let Obama and Hillary go at it and stand on the sideline....I expect Edwards to try to elbow himself in this fight by taking huge swings at Obama and Hillary.

Edwards will attack Obama on the mandate issue...BUT he will also go nuclear on Hillary by saying her mandate is vague.

I seriously dont think Edwards wants the media to focus on Obama and Edwards....This is not 2003...Hillary and Obama are 2 heavyweight and you should not expect to get anything by standing on the sideline.


by Prodigy on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 07:12:35 AM EST

Hmm (none / 0)

I strongly admire Bruce Braley, the first term Congressman. I find it hard to believe that this endorsement could ever possibly be called big news. But what do I know? I mean Tom Harkin's endorsement must be the REALLY BIG news we are waiting for right?
by Big Tent Democrat on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 08:07:50 AM EST

Re: Hmm (none / 0)

Do you live in IA?


by bruh21 on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 08:29:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]

No (none / 0)

Does Jonathan? Do you? Do you live in places o which you feel confident enough to comment about? Seriously Bruh, are you now going to become one of these mindless candidate supporters? Do you REALLY freaking believe Bruce Braley's endorsement is a BIG thing? Come the fuck on. It's nice for Edwards. But that's it. This post is absurd.
by Big Tent Democrat on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 09:07:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: No (none / 0)

Did you see me make a prediction about the impact somewhere along this thread? My guess is very little, but my issue is your certainty. You are becoming guitly overstatement-itis. That disease in online A list bloggers such as stating as they have at various times- "WITH THIS ACT THIS RACE IS OVER" etc. D below gives a better job of sussing value.


by bruh21 on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 10:48:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: No (none / 0)

For crissakes, it is an opinion in a comment thread. I happen to believe STRONGLY, however, that the Braley ENDORSEMENT is not even remotely big in Braley's own mind. This is a ridiculous post.
by Big Tent Democrat on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 03:03:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: No (none / 0)

I dont see how its ridiculous to question that your posts are over the top or to compare that over the topness to other bloggers who also tend toward hyperbole. of course, you maybe right here but frankly every post by you lately on edwards has been over the top so its a little hard to see teh difference between the over the topness i see from other blogges and yourself.


by bruh21 on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 07:09:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

BTW (none / 0)

Yepsen lives in Iowa and no one had any qualms saying he is full of shit. WTF dude? This is ridiculous. When it has infected you too I KNOW this place has gone to complete suckiness.
by Big Tent Democrat on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 09:08:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Harkin said he won't endorse (2.00 / 3)

His wife is involved with Hillary's campaign, though.

The big remaining endorsement in Iowa is Congressman Dave Loebsack (if he intends to endorse, and I don't know if he will).

As I said upthread, this makes no difference to undecided voters--it does help Edwards in the media narrative, though. Halperin is now saying "only fools count Edwards out."


Join the Iowa progressive community at Bleeding Heartland.
by desmoinesdem on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 09:55:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Harkin said he won't endorse (none / 0)

there are no big endorsements.
by Big Tent Democrat on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 03:04:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Edwards Scores First Endorsement from Iowa Con (2.00 / 1)

Congrats to Edwards!


by yitbos96bb on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 09:34:28 AM EST

Re: Edwards Scores First Endorsement from Iowa Con (2.00 / 1)

Here is someone elected as part of the "this darkness gotta give" in 2006. Having spent a year in Congress I am sure he is aware of the real powers in control. He must believe Edwards is the candidate that represents his hopes/beliefs.

http://braley.house.gov/Issues/


"If you want to end war and stuff, you gotta sing loud"...Arlo Guthrie
by nogo war on Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 11:02:30 AM EST


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