Frank Rich, Latter-Day Republicans vs. the Church of Oprah. Rich is one of the Obama supporters that has layed out some very interesting analysis of what Obama's support it's all about, and this is another. There are many that say "Obama doesn't pander" but that claim rings hollow whenever you hear Obama, as he gets close to any sort of faith/religious/evangelical event. Obama wouldn't give the secular warriors the time of the day, and you'll never hear Obama call out the fundamentalists, like Howard Dean did in 2003, for all the problems they've created in this country. Which is fine, it seems to be a part of his 'brand' that he's cultivated to overcome accusations that he's too liberal. Obama is similar to Tim Kaine in this regard. Kaine had a record that was much more liberal than Warner, but was able to shed Republican attacks through use of his faith.
The other is how Edwards has been Visiting Rural Precincts Where Frontrunners Have Paid Less Attention. I couldn't find it in a files search, but I have a long research article that I had prepared last year, title 'The Long Tail of the Iowa Caucuses'. It basically explained how, given the proportional math in combination with the limited number of delegates available in the small precincts throughout Iowa, a candidate that went after having at least a 15% threshold in every precincts would benefit nearly just as much as a candidate that went after gaining a majority in those same precincts. The reasoning being, that if only a few delegates were awarded in the precinct, which moved up to the county level where proportionality was decided, that a 'long tail' strategy would pay off by continually rounding up the candidate percentage from the precinct to the county to reporting the state numbers. That's probably not as great an explanation as I could have offered (I'll look around for the doc), but you get the idea. From the sounds of it, John Edwards is pursuing just such a strategy.
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