Two new polls out of New Hampshire tell just about the same story: We may have a tie on our hands between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama among likely Democratic primary voters in the Granite State. Here are today's CNN/WMUR and Rasmussen Reports polls out of New Hampshire, along with the latest Pollster.com average out of the state.
| Candidate | CNN/WMUR (Nov) | Rasmussen (Nov) | Pollster |
| Clinton | 31 (36) | 28 (34) | 33.4 |
| Obama | 30 (22) | 31 (24) | 25.8 |
| Edwards | 16 (13) | 17 (15) | 15.6 |
| Richardson | 7 (12) | 8 (8) | 8.4 |
| Kucinich | 3 (3) | 3 (2) | 3.1 |
| Biden | 1 (2) | 4 (3) | 2.5 |
| Dodd | 1 (1) | 0 (3) | 0.7 |
So we now have two polls in a row showing Obama climbing 7-8 points in recent weeks and Clinton dropping 5-6 points over that same time period. Although one would caution against reading too much into such numbers because those moves are either not statistically significant or just on the edge of statistical significance -- remember the margin applies to both numbers, so Obama's 8-point move in CNN doesn't fall outside of the polls' 5 percent margin of error, though his 7-point climb is about there for Rasmussen's 3.5 percent margin or error -- at the same time there are now two polls showing almost the same change in recent weeks, suggesting that there isn't likely some sore of statistical aberration going on.
The race in New Hampshire just may be tied right now, as amazing as that is. Suffice it to say it's going to be an interesting four weeks between now and the New Hampshire primaries.
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