Two new reputable polls of New Hampshire Democratic Primary voters will show statistically significant drops in support for frontrtunner Hillary Clinton, Democrats who have seen those polls said today.The polls will be released this weekend and are embargoed; though I'm not privy to the embargo agreement, I'll be a little vague out of respect for the polling organizations.
One of the polls shows that the gap between Clinton and Barack Obama narrowed by more than 10 points. Her biggest decline was seen among older voters.
The other shows Clinton's lead over Obama reduced by approximately 9 points.
John Edwards remains at about 15 percent in both.
The argument has been made by some that Obama's decision to hit Clinton for not addressing the supposed "crisis" in Social Security has been the key factor in moving the numbers in New Hampshire. To this end, folks have noted that Clinton's support among older voters in New Hampshire has fallen more than her support within other groups.
Whether or not this is the case, I still believe this strategy to be a poor one for a couple of reasons. For one, it is blatantly disengenuous -- clearly there is no crisis -- and as such it undercuts one of the central themes of the Obama candidacy, namely truthfulness. But more importantly this strategy also plays directly into the hands of those who would seek to partially privatize or even completely privatize the Social Security program.
Anyway, it will be interesting to see the actual data over the weekend.
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